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No.

75 March 5, 2003

The IMF’s Dubious Proposal for a Universal


Bankruptcy Law for Sovereign Debtors
by Anna J. Schwartz

Executive Summary
The International Monetary Fund has tatives, thus eliminating the need for una-
proposed a universal bankruptcy tribunal nimity among creditors. Another proposal
to deal with sovereign debt restructuring. explains how capital market tools already
But does the international financial system exist and how they have been used to rene-
really need such a mechanism? There has gotiate outstanding debt in a short period
been little demand by sovereign borrowers of time. The crisis in Argentina shows that
or their creditors for a universal bankrupt- a centralized bureaucratic management of
cy law, and few countries have had to enter debt problems was not needed to initiate
into debt restructuring procedures. The reduction of outstanding debt or organize
absence of such a law does not appear to the country’s creditors.
have created chaotic conditions even in Any of the proposals for dealing with
those cases. sovereign debt problems may lead to
Academic support for IMF’s proposal is reduced lending to emerging market
limited, and a diverse group of critics sup- economies. That may be a welcome change
ports alternative, market-based solutions. from the current culture of debt-based
One such solution includes the use of development and overborrowing, which the
majority-action clauses in bank and bond IMF has helped to encourage. A greater
debt instruments that would bind all credi- reliance on equity investment may help set
tors to a debt renegotiation agreement countries on a more sustainable growth
between the country and creditor represen- path.

Anna J. Schwartz is a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research.


For centuries, their creditors, it is remarkable that the IMF
sovereign debt Introduction did not consult with representatives of either
of the parties to learn their wishes before issu-
defaults have The idea that there is a “gaping hole” in ing its proposals.1
been resolved the architecture of the international financial In this paper, I begin by discussing two
system that should be filled by a universal recent versions of the proposal for bankrupt-
without the bankruptcy tribunal is not credible. For cen- cy arrangements for sovereign debtors. I then
benefit of turies, sovereign debt defaults have been ask if there is extensive demand for such
bankruptcy laws. resolved without the benefit of bankruptcy arrangements from debtor countries, private
laws. When a financial crisis exposes a sover- investors, and disinterested observers and
eign debtor’s bankruptcy, it seems wrong- find it lacking. Next, I review the alternatives
headed to focus on resolving its dishonored proposed by various opponents of sovereign
obligations rather than expanding efforts on bankruptcy legislation, the majority of
preventing debtors from accumulating exces- whom prefer a market solution to bureau-
sive obligations. cratic management of debt-related problems.
Implicit in the bankruptcy approach is an I conclude with some observations about the
assumption that the financial crises that IMF’s role in the elusive quest for the devel-
have taken place in emerging markets have opment of emerging market countries by
been made worse by the difficulties debtor means of indebtedness.
governments have faced when trying to
attenuate the commitments made to their
creditors. But in each of the crises following A Proposal for a Bankruptcy
the Mexican devaluation of 1994, the Law for Sovereign Debtors
International Monetary Fund has bailed out
creditors, and, to the extent that debt restruc- In an address to a Washington audience
turing was involved, that restructuring was in November 2001, Anne Krueger—the first
not stymied. There has been so much criti- deputy managing director of the IMF—pre-
cism of the moral hazard created by that pol- sented a proposal for bankruptcy procedures
icy that in the future the IMF may restrain its for sovereign debtors to facilitate the orderly
penchant for bailouts. But even if it does so, restructuring of their debt as if that were the
its continued sponsorship of a universal holy grail long sought for the salvation of
bankruptcy law should be questioned. Why emerging market countries. 2 The proposal
would such a law be a higher priority for the would enable governments to seek legal pro-
IMF than more effective oversight of the eco- tection from their creditors by declaring
nomic policies of emerging markets? bankruptcy, similar to the way in which
The case for setting up an elaborate mech- Chapter 11 works for companies and
anism for sovereign debt restructuring is Chapter 9 for municipalities under the U.S.
weakened to begin with by the IMF’s acknowl- Bankruptcy Code. 3
edgment that such an instrument would not The objectives of sovereign bankruptcy
be activated often since many countries do not proceedings would be to (1) prevent creditors
need debt restructuring . Moreover, it is not from disrupting negotiations by seeking
clear that the absence of a bankruptcy law has repayment through domestic courts,4 (2)
produced chaotic conditions in the few coun- require debtors to negotiate with creditors in
tries that have had to settle differences with good faith and to reform the policies that led
their creditors. Finally, it is not at all obvious to their bankruptcy, (3) encourage lenders to
how a sovereign debt bankruptcy law, for provide new money (known as debtor-in-pos-
which there is no precedent, would work or session financing) by guaranteeing that their
whose benefit it would serve. If the legislation claims would come before the claims of exist-
was intended to serve both debtor nations and ing private creditors, and (4) persuade minor-

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ity creditors to participate in restructuring dissident creditors) of a domestic bankruptcy
arrangements. 5 proceeding. Disputes between a debtor gov-
Krueger outlined the proposal again in a ernment and its creditors would be adjudi-
speech in Delhi, India, on December 20, cated by an independent tribunal. A majority
2001, and responded to objections that had vote by creditors would bind dissident credi-
been raised.6 The IMF’s executive board gave tors just as if their bonds included collective
preliminary approval to the proposal, but at action clauses.
a two-day meeting in March 2002 there was
no unanimity among the directors on how to The April 2002 Proposal
proceed.7 The subject was not formally on In April 2002, Krueger modified the origi-
the agenda at the spring meeting. On April 1, nal proposal, mainly in response to criticism
2002, Krueger answered questions at a press that the original version aggrandized the
conference before giving another speech IMF’s authority to resolve a debtor’s negotia-
modifying the proposal.8 tions with its creditors. The revised proposal
removed the Fund from the restructuring
The November 2001 Proposal process, leaving decisions on the matter to the
The November proposal would have debtor and a supermajority of the creditors. As
authorized the IMF to grant a government, before, an amendment to the IMF’s articles
It is not clear that
in response to its application for a temporary would be required, this time to achieve a uni- the absence of a
standstill on the repayment of its debt, the form legal arrangement for collective action. bankruptcy law
right to declare bankruptcy. The government The definition of a supermajority was to be
would then negotiate a restructuring of its determined at a later date. has produced
debt with its creditors, a majority of whom A second change from the original pro- chaotic conditions
would decide the terms for all of them (a fea- posal was that the validation of the need for
ture modeled on British bankruptcy laws). a stay or a standstill would be declared by the
in the few coun-
To prevent an outflow of private funds dur- IMF only at the start of the process but tries that have had
ing the negotiations, the IMF would allow would then be revalidated by a creditors’ to settle differ-
governments to impose temporary foreign committee on its formation. A third change
exchange controls. required a single supermajority for different ences with their
To restrict the ability of creditors to creditor claims (bank loans, bonds, trade creditors.
enforce their claims in national courts, it credits, interbank loans, and other claims),
would be necessary to establish bankruptcy rather than each creditor class, to approve
laws for sovereign debtors in each of the 183 prolonging a stay beyond three months and
member countries of the IMF. Otherwise a final restructuring agreement. If that agree-
creditors could attempt to enforce their ment did not accord with the Fund’s view of
claims in jurisdictions without such laws. how much the debt burden needed to be
Alternatively, an amendment to the Fund’s reduced to be sustainable, the IMF could
articles—which requires the consent of 85 withhold further financing and additional
percent of the shareholders—could create an restructuring would be expected.
international law binding all nations and
altering terms of all existing and future
financial instruments. The IMF would then Who Favors Sovereign
become the international bankruptcy tri- Bankruptcy Proceedings?
bunal, whose job would be to mimic bank-
ruptcy proceedings in domestic corporate Neither sovereign countries nor private-
workouts. It would give sovereign debtors the sector investors have been clamoring for a sov-
benefit of a freeze on creditor lawsuits and ereign country bankruptcy law. If anything,
the “cram-down” features (meaning compul- sovereign debtors have shunned previous
sory acceptance of a restructuring plan by plans—such as preapproved credit lines and

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contingency clauses in bonds stipulating steps problem with an international bankruptcy
to be taken in case of default—to signal to mar- court is that it could not enforce its decrees in
kets that their countries had responsible poli- debtor countries. Moreover, in the event of a
cies. Countries with emerging markets have default, if lenders could not turn to national
regarded such devices as an indication of courts, which would be superseded by an
financial weakness and feared that adopting international court, the volume of lending
them would induce creditors to exact an inter- would diminish.
est premium on loans. Sovereign debtors When Rogoff was appointed director of
might well have a similar reaction to the IMF’s research at the IMF, his position on a bank-
proposal. Nonetheless, the proposal has some ruptcy law for sovereign debtors changed. In his
support among academics. June 28, 2002, remarks on the Joseph Stiglitz
Jeffrey Sachs, now at Columbia University, book, Globalization and Its Discontents, Rogoff
has long advocated a universal bankruptcy law.9 reversed himself. He stated, “there is a need for
In 1995 he made the case for giving insolvent a dramatic change in how we handle situations
countries the same protection from creditors as where countries go bankrupt.” He saluted
insolvent firms. His sympathies were with the Krueger for having “forcefully advocated a far-
sovereign debtors, not the creditors. Sachs’s reaching IMF proposal.” He taunted Stiglitz for
views were rejected in the report of an official having first sharply “criticized the whole idea”
working group issued after the Mexican crisis at a Davos panel in February and later taken
of 1994–95. That report, which received the credit “as having been the one to strongly
endorsement of the major industrialized coun- advance it first.”13
tries, favored debt workouts rather than mas- Michelle White of the University of
sive official bailouts and stressed the impor- California at San Diego believes that a bank-
tance of market discipline.10 ruptcy court or some equivalent may be needed
In a paper that Sachs prepared for a to rein in rogue creditors, provide private sector
Brookings conference in 2001 on debt financing that has seniority over earlier claims
restructuring, he relegated the bankruptcy against countries during debt restructuring,
court proposal to the periphery of his argu- and compel dissenting groups of creditors to
ment. He was more concerned with using accept a restructuring plan.14 She cautions,
grants and debt forgiveness to facilitate a however, that such a procedure may “dry up the
greater flow of resources from richer coun- sovereign bond market completely.”15
tries to heavily indebted poorer countries.11
Initially, Kenneth Rogoff, formerly of
Neither sovereign Princeton and Harvard universities, offered a Who Opposes Sovereign
countries nor skeptical perspective on sovereign bankrupt- Bankruptcy Procedures?
cy proceedings. 12 He differentiated between a
private-sector domestic bankruptcy court, which can seize The opponents of the IMF’s proposal
investors have physical assets and fire a company’s board of include former as well as present government
directors, and an international bankruptcy officials and academics. Their criticisms and
been clamoring court, which is unlikely to enter a debtor alternative recommendations vary. In the
for a sovereign country and seize physical assets, much less concluding section, I note the opposition of
fire the country’s government. For Rogoff, spokesmen for international investors and
country bank- municipal government bankruptcies, in debtor countries.
ruptcy law. which outside boards run the city’s day-to- Edwin Truman, a former Federal Reserve
day finances, are no more convincing exam- and Treasury Department official, is entirely
ples for sovereign government bankruptcies. opposed to bankruptcy proceedings, as he
Federal governments, in his view, would not made clear in a speech in New York on
tolerate a comparable level of outside inter- December 10, 2001.16 He believes that there is
ference. Rogoff concluded that the main no consensus among policymakers and com-

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mentators to make a sovereign bankruptcy ments.21 The IMF could also promote use of The absence of
proceeding politically feasible.17 He faults the clauses by lowering the charge for its majority action
payments standstills, which, in his view, are loans for countries that did so.22
likely to worsen crises. Instead of focusing on The Joint Economic Committee of the clauses in
debtor insolvency, as does a sovereign bank- U.S. Congress also rejected a new role for the outstanding
ruptcy procedure, he favors the provision of IMF in supervising sovereign bankruptcies.
adequate liquidity to the world financial sys- One explanation for the launch of the bank-
debt can easily
tem. He proposes a new fund for the IMF to ruptcy court proposal has been offered by be remedied.
be raised by an annual fee of 0.1 percent on Chairman Jim Saxton (R-N.J.), who said, ” I
international investment until it reached a can’t help thinking that its default supervi-
value of, say, $300 billion. Countries in finan- sion proposal would have the effect of com-
cial difficulties could draw on the fund. In pensating the IMF for the reduction in its
effect, Truman’s approach is a better influence arising from a more restricted pol-
financed continuation of the IMF’s previous icy toward international bailouts.”23 The JEC
response to financial crises, possibly includ- instead supported Taylor’s decentralized
ing bailouts. approach. It also released a study further
In opposition to the tax that Truman documenting how the private sector can
advocates, Charles Dallara, managing direc- resolve bankruptcy without a formal court.24
tor of the Institute of International Finance, The study shows how the absence of
which represents international banks and majority action clauses in outstanding debt
other investors, disputes the need to raise can easily be remedied. Exchange offers con-
more resources for the IMF. 18 taining majority action clauses could be
The U.S. Treasury Department’s response swapped for old debt. To execute those offers,
to the IMF’s proposal was negative. John the study’s authors advocate a series of auc-
Taylor, Treasury undersecretary for interna- tions. To encourage participation in the
tional affairs, told the congressional Joint exchange offers, exit consent amendments
Economic Committee that a decentralized could be used. Those amendments added to
approach that relies on collective action the terms of old instruments destroy the
clauses would be superior to the proposal.19 value of any instruments held by holdouts.
He elaborated on that approach in a subse- When a bond issue includes the amendment,
quent speech.20 It would involve adoption by voted by a supermajority of holders, it
sovereign debtors and their creditors of a becomes binding on the remaining holders.
majority-action clause to bind all creditors to As Carnegie Mellon University’s Adam
an agreement between the country and the Lerrick and Allan Meltzer note, the market is
creditor representatives. A second clause on familiar with exchange offers. In the period
procedures would stipulate that each class of before Argentina defaulted in December
creditors would have its own representative 2001, it made extensive use of exchange
and would require the debtor to provide the offers to fulfill a condition the IMF attached
creditor representatives with necessary data. to the $40 billion loan Argentina obtained in
Each creditor representative on instruction 2000 from a consortium of donors including
by a specified fraction of creditors would the IMF. The condition was to implement a
have the exclusive right to initiate litigation. voluntary, market-based operation to
A third clause would allow deferral of debt improve the country’s debt profile. The tech-
payments and bar litigation for long enough nique Argentina adopted was an exchange
to permit creditors to choose their represen- offer of debt instruments for existing matur-
tative. The three clauses would be included in ing bonds, without the use of exit consent
bank and bond debt instruments. Any coun- agreements. The new debt instruments pro-
try seeking an IMF loan would have to vided for longer maturities and higher inter-
include those clauses in its debt instru- est rates than did the original bonds. In 2000

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and 2001, Argentina made exchange offers to two further measures: he would include col-
foreign bondholders, presumably after con- lective-action clauses in all standardized debt
sultation with investment advisers on what contracts of both the private sector and gov-
the market would accept. However reluctant- ernments and a 90-day rollover option in all
ly, Argentina’s bondholders accepted the standardized debt contracts. He would require
exchange. Nominally the exchange offer debtors to exercise that option if a country’s
improved the terms of existing bonds, but government made a formal finding that the
the market rating of the bonds imposed sub- country faced a financial emergency. Coverage
stantial losses on the bondholders. 25 of private sector debt would be limited to
Lerrick and Meltzer show how debt con- debts denominated in foreign currency.
tracts can replicate the protections of a sover- The advantage of including private debt,
eign bankruptcy court. A trust indenture, for according to Kenen, is that it might obviate
example, provides for a trustee to control all the need to impose exchange controls. Under
action against the sovereign on behalf of all the IMF plan, if a government imposed
bondholders. In order to continue debt ser- exchange controls, the private sector might
vice in a liquidity crisis, the equivalent of have to suspend debt payments, but the IMF
debtor-in-possession financing can be would sanction a stay of litigation against
Debt contracts arranged by subordinating outstanding private sector debtors only if a country faced
can replicate the claims to interim lenders. The authors dis- a sovereign debt problem. Kenen believes
protections of a pute the IMF’s contentions that it is difficult that his plan avoids this problem but admits
to coordinate increasing numbers of anony- that private sector suspension of debt pay-
sovereign bank- mous creditors holding a great variety of ments, not backed by exchange controls,
ruptcy court. debt instruments and that holdout creditors might motivate debtors to buy foreign cur-
are likely to sue a country.26 As they note, a rency before the end of the 90-day rollover
creditors’ committee was formed in period to provide the means to resume debt
November 2001 before Argentina defaulted, payments after the end of the period.
which indicates that it is not so difficult to Because it will take years to amend the
access a broad spectrum of investors in such Fund’s articles of agreement and the proposal is
situations. Lerrick and Meltzer also argue apt to provoke opposition from the private sec-
that their recommendation for exchange tor, lacks Treasury support, and may be
offers and exit consent agreements preclude opposed by some emerging market countries,
the ability to sue and extract preferential Kenen favors his own comprehensive contrac-
treatment by holdouts. 27 tual approach as “the most expeditious second-
Peter Kenen of Princeton University dis- best way to go.”29
sents from the IMF proposals and the Taylor Stanford University’s Jeremy Bulow sets
position on the ground that they the right priorities for dealing with the prob-
lem of sovereign debt: first, control the extent
fall short of resolving the problem of borrowing by sovereigns, and, second,
encountered during the Asian crisis, downgrade the need for bankruptcy proce-
which involved the liquidation of dures.30 Bulow regards emerging market
short-term foreign claims on Asian economies as being prone to create budget
banks and firms, rather than claims deficits owing to corruption by many of their
on Asian governments. . . . Suspension policymakers and their willingness to borrow
of payments and stays of litigation for socially inefficient projects. The sovereign
may be required by all debt-related has an incentive to default not because of an
crises, not merely those requiring inability to pay but because of an unwilling-
restructurings of sovereign debt.28 ness to pay. Bulow would limit borrowing by
sovereigns to their own legal jurisdictions
Kenen would reinforce Taylor’s proposals by rather than allow them to issue debt in major

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foreign centers. The problem with a bank- emerging sovereign debtors. IMF Today, all bonds
ruptcy court, Bulow contends, is that it intervention is a solution to a problem are registered, so
would facilitate default and debt restructur- that does not exist.
ing. However, the capital market for loans to there is no prob-
emerging market economies would shrink as At stake if the IMF proposal for a sovereign lem in identifying
a result. In Bulow’s view, that is a desirable bankruptcy procedure or any of its variants is
outcome. implemented is that investors will view the new
holders and
conditions with a jaundiced eye and retreat organizing com-
from lending to emerging market countries. mittees of
Conclusion Indeed, the borrowers are well aware of this pit-
fall. That is the message that both creditors and homogeneous
The opposition to the IMF’s original and debtors have expressed in response. Charles claimants.
modified proposals is varied and substantive. Dallara, a spokesman for international banks
Even apart from the chorus of dissent, there and other investors, contends that various types
is reason to believe that the IMF will not suc- of contractual provisions for international
ceed in enacting its unwieldy and overly com- bonds will enable orderly restructuring to pro-
plex program. It would take years for the ceed without the need for the IMF to oversee a
membership to adopt the changes set forth country’s debt restructuring.
in the program or for the Fund to be in a At recent IMF-World Bank meetings former
position to amend its articles. It is doubtful Brazilian finance minister Pedro Malan said
that the Fund will be able to convince the that he was unconvinced that the benefits of
U.S. Treasury to vote for an amendment, statutory debt restructuring would be greater
which requires the consent of 85 percent of than the potential costs. Mexico has expressed
the Fund’s shareholders. 31 The U.S. vote is similar doubts. The costs to which Malan
more than 17 percent of the total. referred are higher interest rates that lenders
There are serious challenges to at least will require if either the contractual or the statu-
three of the premises on which the proposal tory approaches ever materialized.33
for a bankruptcy court is based: That might not be such a deplorable result.
Lenders have not exercised due diligence in
1. It is difficult to assemble committees of creditors extending loans to those countries, and the IMF
who hold bearer bonds of various maturities. has fostered a culture that encourages borrowing,
Today, all bonds are registered, so there is not only from creditors in the world capital mar-
no problem in identifying holders and ket but from the international financial institu-
organizing committees of homogeneous tions as well. Although the objective of such insti-
claimants. tutions has been to promote development, look-
2. A rogue creditor poses a threat to the success- ing back on what that culture has achieved over
ful conclusion of a restructuring. As the past 50 years, one has to conclude that their
Nouriel Roubini has remarked: record is unimpressive. Perhaps the time has
“Rogue creditors do not jeopardize the come to abandon debt-based development; to
completion of an exchange offer; their encourage the conversion of debt to equity; to set
incentive to start litigation is triggered countries on a different path than one that leads
by a successful offer, not a failed one. to unsustainable debt, crises, and debt restructur-
Only after a majority of creditors have ing; and to rely on equity investment for develop-
accepted a deal does a rogue have the ment.
incentive to obtain a full claim.”32
3. Official intervention is needed to facilitate
restructuring. Market solutions already Notes
exist and have been used to renegotiate 1. It is noteworthy that the first reference to con-
the outstanding debt of troubled sultation with market participants in an

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International Monetary Fund document on sov- 5. A voluntary market-based way of achieving this
ereign debt restructuring appears in the end is described below.
November 27, 2002, paper for a meeting April
2003 to consider an initial draft of the text of the 6. Anne Krueger, “A New Approach to Sovereign
amendment to the Fund’s articles. See IMF, “The Debt Restructuring,” address to the Indian
Design of the Sovereign Debt Restructuring Council for Research on International Economic
Mechanism–Further Considerations,” prepared Relations, Delhi, India, December 20, 2001,
by the Legal and Policy Development and Review www.imf.org/external/np/speeches/2001/
Departments, p. 3. 122001.htm.

2. Anne Krueger, “International Financial Architec- 7. Anne Krueger, “Transcript of a Teleconference


ture for 2002: A New Approach to Sovereign Debt on Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanism
Restructuring,” address to the American Enterprise with Washington-based Journalists and First
Institute, November 26, 2001, www.imf.org/external/ Deputy Managing Director, Anne Krueger,”
np/speeches/2001/ 112601.htm. International Monetary Fund, April 1, 2002,
imf.org/external/np/tr/2002/tr020401.htm.
3. Chapter 11 allows companies to continue
operating and to repay creditors’ claims from 8. Anne Krueger, “New Approaches to Sovereign
future earnings rather than from the proceeds of Debt Restructuring: An Update on Our Thinking,”
liquidating their assets. There is a stay on litiga- address to the Institute for International
tion against the company that was initiated Economics, April 1, 2002, www.imf.org/external/
before bankruptcy filing and on litigation after np/speeches/2002/ 040102.htm, and Anne Krueger,
the filing. Companies may obtain new loans— A New Approach to Sovereign Debt Restructuring
debtor-in possession financing—that are senior to (Washington: International Monetary Fund, 2002).
all claims that existed before the filing. For four
months after the filing managers have an exclu- 9. Jeffrey Sachs, “Do We Need an International
sive right to propose a reorganization plan that Lender of Last Resort?” The Frank D. Graham
specifies how the claims of each class of creditors Lecture delivered at Princeton University, 1995.
will be settled. If the bankruptcy judge ends the
‘period for the managers’ proposal, creditors may 10. Group of 10, “The Resolution of Sovereign
then offer their own reorganization plan. Each Liquidity Crises: A Report to the Ministers and
class of creditors must approve the final plan by Governors,” International Monetary Fund, 1996.
two-thirds of the amount involved and a majority
of the number of claims. When no reorganization 11. See Jeffrey D. Sachs, “Resolving the Debt
plan is adopted, the judge may order liquidation Crisis of Low-Income Countries,” Brookings Papers
of the company under Chapter 7. Otherwise, the on Economic Activity 1 (2002): 257–86.
judge may adopt the failed reorganization plan
under the procedure known as “cram down.” 12. Kenneth Rogoff, “International Institutions for
Chapter 9 applies only to cities and other entities Reducing Financial Instability,” National Bureau of
that are state creations. A city may file for bank- Economic Research Working Paper no. 7265, July
ruptcy only after obtaining permission from the 1999.
state. It must be insolvent and unable to pay
ongoing debts. Public officials may not be 13. Kenneth Rogoff, “Introductory Remarks to
replaced, as managers may be under Chapter 11. Discussion with Joseph Stiglitz on Globalization
The former have the exclusive right to offer a reor- and its Discontents,” International Monetary Fund,
ganization plan but a committee of creditors may June 28, 2002.
negotiate with public officials. In theory the judge
may offer his own restructuring plan, but that has 14. Michelle J. White, “Sovereigns in Distress: Do
never happened. The voting procedure on a plan They Need Bankruptcy?” Brookings Papers on
is similar to that in Chapter 11. See Michelle J. Economic Activity 1 (2002): 287–316.
White, “Sovereigns in Distress: Do They Need
Bankruptcy?” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1 15. Ibid., p. 316.
(2002): 293–97. Chapter 7 permits consumers and
businesses to be freed of most of their unsecured 16. Ed Crooks, “IMF ‘Needs a Cash Fund’ for
debts. Chapter 13 requires debtors to propose a plan Rescuing Crisis-hit Countries,” Financial Times,
to pay off at least some debt over three to five years. December 12, 2001.

4. Litigation has been a feature of sovereign defaults 17. See Edwin M. Truman, “Debt Restructuring:
for centuries, but there is no evidence that restruc- Evolution or Revolution,” Brookings Papers on
turing has been delayed or disrupted as a result. Economic Activity 1 (2002): 341–46. In discussing the
three papers presented at the Brookings 2001 con-

8
ference on an international bankruptcy court, vision Is Unnecessary: New Analysis Rejects More IMF
Truman reiterates his view that it is not now feasible Mission Creep,” press release, Washington, D.C., April
“because the intellectual and political foundations 19, 2002.
have not yet been laid” (p. 342). The reasons are (1)
no consensus exists on whether such an institution 24. Adam Lerrick and Allan H. Meltzer, “Sovereign
should seek to maximize the return to creditors or Default: The Private Sector Can Resolve Bankruptcy
give debtors a fresh start and (2) the world is not without a Formal Court,” Quarterly International
ready to give a supranational body the right to make Economics Report, Carnegie Mellon Gailliot Center
such judgments. for Public Policy, April 2002.

18. Ed Crooks. 25. Before the default, further exchange offers


were expected in 2002 but were never made. Two
19. John B. Taylor, “Grants and Sovereign Debt suits have been filed against Argentina—one by
Restructuring: Two Key Elements of a Reform Agenda German investors, the other by Americans seek-
for the International Financial Institutions,” ing class action certification. Four other suits
Testimony before the Joint Economic Committee of have been filed for small amounts. Argentina is
Congress, February 14, 2002, ww.house.gov/jec/ defending all.
heaings/taylor.pdf.
26. The reason that there is no obstacle to orga-
20. John B. Taylor, “Sovereign Debt Restructur- nizing creditors is that these days all bonds are
ing: A U.S. Perspective,” address to the Institute registered. The debtor or fiscal agent who distrib-
for International Economics, April 2, 2002, www. utes interest can distribute a note to creditors
treas.gov/press/releases/po2056.htm. stating that they are all invited to a meeting that
will be held on a designated date. In the same way,
21. The legal framework outlined by Taylor was creditors can organize themselves either in a cor-
endorsed by the finance ministers of the Group of porate or a sovereign context.
Seven industrial countries at a meeting in
Washington at the end of September 2002. See 27. In a 2001 paper, Lerrick and Meltzer proposed
Edmund L. Andrews, “World Financial Officials an approach to debt restructuring quite different
Back New Debt Framework,” New York Times, from their 2002 proposal. The earlier approach
September 29, 2002. Earlier that month Treasury required a debtor to declare default that would
presented the plan to a gathering of senior eco- prompt the IMF to provide a stand-by line of
nomic officials from the Group of Seven, large credit. The line of credit would allow any creditor
private investors, and representatives from several to sell its defaulted claim for a fixed cash price
nonindustrial countries. See Michael M. Phillips, that the IMF would set—an official floor of sup-
“U.S. Presses Bid for Escape Clause in Some port—significantly below the debt’s anticipated
Bonds,” Wall Street Journal, September 26, 2002. restructured value during a brief time period.
During this period, the country would offer to
22. An observer might have concluded that Treasury restructure its debt through an exchange for new
opposition to the Krueger proposal effectively ended bonds, fixing a maximum write-down. Negotia-
its prospects. Such a conclusion was spiked by a tions between the debtor and creditors during the
statement made by U.S. Secretary Paul O’Neill at the restructuring period would presumably set the
International Monetary and Financial Committee final restructured value above the official floor of
meeting of the IMF on September 28, 2002: “The support. See Adam Lerrick and Allan H. Meltzer,
United States strongly welcomes the significant “Beyond IMF Bailouts: Default without Disrup-
progress being made on the contractual approach to tion,” Carnegie-Mellon Gailliot Center for Public
sovereign debtor restructuring. We are particularly Policy, 2001.
encouraged by the broad support expressed by both
borrowers and creditors for the implementation of 28. Peter B. Kenen, “The International Financial
this approach. In addition, we strongly support the Architecture: Old Issues and New Initiatives,”
continued pursuit of the statutory approach.” The International Finance 5, no. 1 (Spring 2002): 38–39.
contractual approach to which O’Neill referred is Emphasis in original.
the one that Taylor offered. The statutory approach
is the one Krueger offered. Does Treasury favor both 29. Ibid., p. 42.
approaches? More dubious is O’Neill’s claim that
both borrowers and creditors have given broad sup- 30. Jeremy Bulow, “First World Governments and
port for these approaches. See contrary statements Third World Debt,” Brookings Papers on Economic
by these parties in the conclusion. Activity 2002(1), 229–55.

23. Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the 31. This may be wishful thinking. The Treasury
United States, “IMF Sovereign Bankruptcy Super- apparently has retreated from Taylor’s disavow-

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al of the Krueger proposal. At its meeting with the ment of the terms of a contract, are excoriated in
executive board at the end of September 2002, it was the literature.
expected that the IMF would be asked to prepare a
detailed account by March 2003 (subsequently 33. Michael M. Phillips, “Developing Nations Are
changed to April 2003; see note 1 above) of how a Reading the Fine Print,” New York Times, April 29,
bankruptcy system for countries could be put into 2002; Michael M. Phillips, “U.S. Presses Bid for
practice. See “Doubts Inside the Barricades,” The Escape Clause in Some Bonds,” New York Times,
Economist, September 28, 2002, p. 65. September 26, 2002; Edmund L. Andrews, “Big
Banks Step Up Efforts against I.M.F. Debt-Relief
32. Nouriel Roubini, “Do We Need a New Plan,” New York Times, December 19, 2002
Bankruptcy Regime?” Brookings Papers on Economic Michael M. Phillips, “Support Builds for Plan to
Activity 1 (2002): 329. Incidentally, I fail to see why Ease Debt Loads of Developing Nations,” New
rogue creditors who, after all, demand only fulfill- York Times, September 17, 2002.

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