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Pore Pressure Prediction Based on High Resolution Velocity Inversion in Carbonate Rocks, Offshore Sirte Basin Libya*

Robert M. Gruenwald1, Javier Buitrago2, Jack Dessay2, Alan Huffman3, Carlos Moreno3, Jose Maria Gonzalez Munoz2, Carlos Diaz2 and Khaeri Segayer Tawengi Search and Discovery Article #40551 (2010)
Posted June 30, 2010 *Adapted from oral presentation at AAPG Annual Convention and Exhibition, New Orleans, Louisiana, April 11-14, 2010
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Exploration, REMSA, Tripoli, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya (rgruenwald@ryremsa.com) Exploration, REMSA, Tripoli, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 3 Fusion Petroleum Technologies Inc., Houston, TX

Abstract ResidualTM velocity analysis was employed to refine the input gathers and velocity field for pressure prediction in Cretaceous carbonates and further processed to produce an inverted velocity cube. From the acoustic inversion a shale velocity trend was generated and used for pressure calibration with the control wells to predict pressures in 3D. Attributes were generated for pore pressure (PP), pore pressure gradient (PPG), overburden pressure (OB), overburden gradient (OBG), fracture pressure (FP), fracture pressure gradient (FPG) and effective stress (ES). Two reservoir specific PP models with different saturating fluids were generated to account for buoyancy effects; Z Reservoir = FG at structural crest. From down dip pressures P Max is calculated to a maximum extent of the possible fluid column to predict for pore fill columns using the local closure and spill points and pressure prediction at the penetration point for the reservoir assuming the existence of a centroid pressure point in a monoclinal structure. Fluid gradients used were; for brine 0.465 psi/ft, for light oil 0.3 psi/ft and for gas 0.1 psi/ft. PPP results indicate a benign shallow section and then increases steadily below 11,500 ft to a maximum of 15.5 PPG at 15,100 ft and temperatures exceeding 300 deg F at TD. Comparison of pre drill prediction, based on seismic velocities, with LWD guided pressure monitoring, intermediate and final VSP data and final WL results show a high affinity with the prognosis. Space and resolution dependent PP Models can be generated from actual well data and seismic displaying the inherent velocity heterogeneity of seismic data versus high resolution of WL data.

Copyright AAPG. Serial rights given by author. For all other rights contact author directly.

Integration of regional knowledge, sound understanding of the basin specific structural setting and offset well data, PSTM and PSDM data, with real time drilling parameter monitoring and a technology limited by the carbonate setting, provides valuable data for kick management and casing design in a HPHT environment.

Pore Pressure Prediction based on High Resolution Velocity Inversion in Carbonate Rocks, Offshore Sirte Basin - Libya

Javier Buitrago*, Buitrago*, Jack Dessay*, Dessay*, Carlos Diaz*, Robert Gruenwald*, Gruenwald*, Alan Huffman**, Muoz*, oz*, Huffman**, Carlos Moreno**, Jose Maria Gonzalez Mu Khaeri Segayer Tawengi*** Tawengi***

AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans

R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Draft Outline Geographical setting Offset Information Methodology Pre-Drill Prediction Well Monitoring Post Drill Analysis Conclusion

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Cyrenaica - Libya
A1-NC120

A1-NC173

A1-NC202 B1-NC152

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Drilled Stratigraphy Geopressure Issues


Age Formation GR MD (ft) DT

A1-NC202
1000

A1-NC202
southwest northeast

2000

SB Sea Bottom

Miocene

AL FAIDIYAH
3000

A L A BRA Q

S85 Intra Miocene


4000

Olig.

UPPER SHALE A L BA YDA

S80 Top Eocene


5000
DERNAH

6000

S70 Lower Shale S60 Apollonia

Eocene

LOWER SHALE

7000

LOSSES TOTAL LOSSES

S50 Paleocene S45 Base Tertiary S32 Santonian Unc.

A POLLONIA

8000

KHEIR

9000

S30 Top Turonian S26 Intra-Turonian 1

Paleo cene Maastrichtian Campanian

PA LEOCENE

10000

A L A THRUN

WELL KICKED
11000

S24 Intra-Turonian 2 S21 Qahash

AL MA JA HIR

Early Santonian Coniacian

A L HILA L

12000
CIA N ALCONIA HILAL MARL

Turonian

AL BANIYAH TURONIA N (upper)

13000

CENOMA -TURONIA N AL HILAL SHA;E

AL BANIYAH CENOMA NIA N (lower)

14000

Cenomanian - Albian

JA RDAS

DA RYA NAH

15000

5 km

PSTM (TWT)

?Early Cretaceous

QA HA SH

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Outline

Geographical setting Offset Information Methodology Pre-Drill Prediction Well Monitoring Post Drill Analysis Conclusion

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

HP-HT well: Offset wells PP Comparison


Pore Pressure (psi)

Mud Losses encounter on the well B1NC152 at 371 ft Mud Losses encounter on the well A1NC120 from 560 to 1369 feet

Mud Losses expected at 8800 to 9400 ft (corr with well A1NC173)

In the Cenomanian, PP Increase is expected at 13000 ft (PP= 12.1 ppge) and later at 15000 ft (PP = 14.2 ppge) in the Albian reservoir level (corr. with B1NC152)

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Presenters Notes: Offset Well Information

Offset wells: Pressures from MW

Offset pressure data from the NC 120-A1 (purple and magenta) and NC 173-A1 (blue) wells that had seismic data support 7
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Offset wells: Effective stress vs. Velocity

Velocity to effective stress calibration using a hybrid model (red curve) that moves from the minimum fluid pressure model at low effective stress to the maximum fluid pressure model at high effective stress. 8
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Outline

Geographical setting Offset Information Methodology Pre-Drill Prediction Well Monitoring Post Drill Analysis Conclusion

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Methodology for Mixed Lithology Areas


Perform traditional dense velocity analysis followed by residual velocity analysis Perform ThinMANTM high-resolution inversion for reflectivity Use the residual velocities as a low frequency constraint to generate a calibrated acoustic inversion Extract the low velocity trend related to the interbedded shales Use the shale velocity trend for effective stress calibration and prediction Use the entire velocity field for time-depth conversion
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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

PPP Pre Drill A1-NC202


SW A1-NC202 NE

Low Vel. Dernah Reservoir

Top Eocene (Dernah)

Sabil Vel. Inversion 8734 - 8930 ft

velocity (m/s)

Top Paleocene .

Santonian Unc. Top Cenomanian (S26) Top Albian Base Albian

Low Vel. / High Pressure Pockets ?

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans

Vel. reversal is observed in Horizon S26 in Barracuda


R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Presenters Notes: Comparison of inverted Vp and smoothed shale Vp at Well A

Inverted Vint section through prospect


S N

Intra-Oligocene

Wadi Dernah

Top Paleocene . L.Tertiary Unc. Santonian Unc. Top Cenomanian Top Albian

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Fluid P-gradient using pressure model (PPG/EMW)


S N

Intra-Oligocene

Wadi Dernah

Top Paleocene . L.Tertiary Unc. Santonian Unc. Top Cenomanian Top Albian

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Fracture P-gradient interpretation (PPG/EMW)


S N

Intra-Oligocene

Wadi Dernah

Top Paleocene . L.Tertiary Unc. Santonian Unc. Top Cenomanian Top Albian

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Outline

Geographical setting Offset Information Methodology Pre-Drill Prediction Well Monitoring Post Drill Analysis Conclusion

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Pre-Drill Prediction vs. Drilling Calibration


Pressure Gradient Data (ppg)
8.00 0 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00

2000

4000

6000

Depth (fbsl)

8000

10000

S-45 S-32 S-26

12000

14000

S-24

16000

18000

16 but honoring the major deep pressure ramp Revised prediction removal of initial pressure ramp,
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Presenters Notes: Plan was to predict first abnormal regime, result is lower pressure (losses). 1. 2. Isolate the first predicted abnormal pressure regime (Cased off Loss Zone) Drill safely the sharp pressure ramp towards the HP zone

Here it has to be mentioned that 12772 MDT point was taken after killing the well at TD.

Pre-Drill Prediction vs. Drilling Calibration


Pressure Gradient Data (ppg)
8.00 0 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00

2000

The plan 1. Isolate the first predicted abnormal pressure regime (Cased off Loss Zone)

4000

6000

Depth (fbsl)

8000

10000

S-45 S-32 S-26

12000

14000

S-24

16000

18000

17 but honoring the major deep pressure ramp Revised prediction removal of initial pressure ramp,
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Pre-Drill Prediction vs. Drilling Calibration


Pressure Gradient Data (ppg)
8.00 0 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00

2000

4000

6000

2. Drill safely the sharp pressure ramp towards the HP zone

Depth (fbsl)

8000

10000

S-45 S-32 S-26

12000

14000

S-24

16000

18000

18 but honoring the major deep pressure ramp Revised prediction removal of initial pressure ramp,
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Pre-Drill Prediction vs. Drilling Calibration


Pressure Gradient Data (ppg)
8.00 0 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00

2000

4000

6000

Depth (fbsl)

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

Pre-Drill Prognosis with drilled under / over pressure ramp 19


AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Pre-Drill Prediction vs. Drilling Calibration


Pressure Gradient Data Pressure Data (ppg) (ppg)
8.00 0 8.00 0 2000 2000 4000 4000 6000 6000 8000 8000 10000 10000 10.00 10.00 12.00 12.00 14.00 14.00 16.00 16.00 18.00 18.00 20.00 20.00

Depth(fbsl) (fbsl) Depth

S-45 S-32 S-26 S-24

12000 12000

14000 14000

16000 16000

18000 18000

PreView data (red) and MDT data The AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April(green). New Orleans

20 Original prediction from pre-drill location actual drilling data including drilled MW (blue), Pre-Drill Prognosis with drilled under / over with pressure ramp Revised prediction removal of initial pressure ramp, but honoring the major deep pressure ramp MDT at 12,772 is likely to be supercharged (SLB final) PhD R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman

PSDM Interpretation (Available Post-Drill)


S50 Kheir 8413 (BMSL) 8530 MD

Losses Zone 1 from 8750 ft 8819 ft

Sabil 8755 (BMSL) 8880 MD

S45 BTU 9965 (BMSL) 10090 MD BMSL 10000 10250 Losses Zone 2 10010ft 11340ft 10500 MD 10125 10375 10625

High Velocity Interval


11250 11375

Santonian Unconf. S32

S26 Cenomanian

13500

13625

S24 Albiian

TD
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans

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R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Presenters Notes: PSDM Line across Well Location

Outline

Geographical setting Offset Information Methodology Pre-Drill Prediction Well Monitoring Post Drill Analysis Conclusion

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Lessons Learned Geopressure issues

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Presenters Notes: The well did not kick at the 12772 MDT point because it is likely laterally connected to a reservoir isolated centroid, or connected by fracture deeper part of the reservoir like a short circuit but disconnected from shale behavior

Lessons Learned Geopressure issues

Severe to total losses

BGG decreased after MW increase


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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans

MDT P/EMW 15.13 ppg after killing well at TD MW 16 ppg

R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Geopressure Monitoring 8.5OH Section


8 11.500 10 12 14 16 18 20

9 5/8 @ 11.516 ft

FIT 17.5 ppg


12.000

12.500

13.000

13.500

MW=14.5 ppg just TG<8%. MW=14.7 ppg TG<2%. No cavings. No drag/overpull MW=14.7 ppg TG< 0.5%. POG = 3%. Rare cavings. MW=14.7 ppg TG< 2%. PCG = 7%. Rare cavings. MW=15.7 ppg TG 1%. POG = 11%. Cavings. MW cut to 10ppg MW=16 ppg TG 0.5%. Muddy water return 25

14.000

Static P = -0,1 to -0,9 ppg Dyn. P = > 0,4 ppg

14.500

15.000

15.500

16.000

Fusion Predicted Pore Pressure Fusion Predicted Frac Presure MW EPP ESD ECD

AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans

R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Outline

Geographical setting Offset Information Methodology Pre-Drill Prediction Well Monitoring Post Drill Analysis Conclusion

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Original Location Geopressures Post drilling

Calibration panel (right) showing the actual MW data (blue), the SLB PreView data (orange) and the MDT data (cyan) for the well and the original predicted pressure gradient (green curve). The left panel is the seismic shale velocities. 27 These are for the original predicted location. Datum is mudline.
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Final Drilled Location Geopressures Post drilling

Note milder shallow ramp

Calibration panel (right) showing the actual MW data (blue), the SLB PreView data (orange) and the MDT data (cyan) for the Barracuda well and the predicted pressure gradient (green curve) for the actual location where the well was 28 drilled. The left panel is the seismic shale velocities. Datum is mudline.
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Presenters Notes: This is the velocity function from the actual drilled location, which is 250 meters from the original prediction location. Note the decreased shallow ramp behavior. This velocity function predicts a lower pressure at 9,000 to 10,000 feet than the original location. Green curve on right with half ppg error bar final location prediction

Final VSP Geopressures Post drilling

Calibration panel (right) showing the actual MW data (blue), the SLB PreView data (orange) and the MDT data (cyan) for the well and the predicted pressure gradient (green curve). The left panel is the Vp from the VSP inversion. The 29 minima on the sonic curve are the shaley zones. Datum is mudline.
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Inverted Vp at Well Cretaceous Section

1000

2000

3000

4000 m/s

5000

6000

7000

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans

R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Comparison Int. VSP vs. Final VSP

Comparison of velocity data from the well sonic log, VSP and VSP inversion. The magenta curve is the shale minima 31 trend from the check shot survey.
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Presenters Notes: Mnemonic naming description; 1st TRACK Cstk_inv = Corridor stack inversion from the intermediated (1st) run checkshot Cstk_shl= Low frequency shale trend velocity Vint_flt= Checkshot interval velocity VP_ED= Velocity derived from the sonic log PSTMVint= inverted velocity constrained by ThinMAN 2nd TRACK Measured Depth 3rd TRACK VP_ED= Velocity derived from the sonic log PSTMVint=inverted velocity constrained by ThinMAN VP2chkin=Corridor stack inversion from the final (TD) run checkshot VP2chkst=Checkshot interval velocity from the final (TD) run checkshot PSTMVint= inverted velocity constrained by ThinMAN

Outline

Geographical setting Offset Information Methodology Pre-Drill Prediction Well Monitoring Post Drill Analysis Conclusion

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AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

Conclusion
Integration of regional knowledge, sound understanding of the basin specific structural setting and offset well data, PSTM and PSDM data, with real-time drilling parameter monitoring and a technology limited by the carbonate setting, provides valuable data for kick management and casing design in a HPHT environment. Pressure Prediction Can Be Performed In Complex Geologic Environments Under The Right Conditions Successful Predictions Require The Following: Robust Velocities That Can Be Relied Upon To Indicate Presence of Pressure Anomalies Investigate Thoroughly The Effects of Lithology on Velocity Good Understanding Of Lithological and Depositional Variability Sufficient Offset Well Calibration To Determine Which Pressure Mechanisms Are Active In A Study Area Routine to Distinguish Poor Offset Well Data Adding Negative Bias (A1-NC173) from Valid Offset Well Data Appropriate Seismic Methods Designed To Resolve Changes in Velocity Related To Pore Pressure Ability to Detect Velocity Variations in Complex Lithological Settings Full Integration of Structural, Stratigraphic and Geophysical Inputs Pre-Drill Predictions are designed to predict shale pressures ahead of the bit. Open fracture systems can cause the pre-drill prediction to be in error because of vertical fluid migration across formations. Wideazimuth data are required to detect these fracture systems pre-drill. 28
AAPG Annual Convention & Exhibition 11-14 April New Orleans R. Gruenwald & Alan R. Huffman PhD

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