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mergermarket M&A Round-up for H1 2012 5 July 2012, for immediate release
PRESS CONTACTS EMEA: Flora Wilke flora.wilke@mergermarket.com Tel: +44 207 059 6348 Americas: Dara Silverstein dara.silverestein@mergermarket.com Tel: +1 646 3783118 Asia-Pacific: Andrew Powell andrew.powell@mergermarket.com Tel: +852 2158 9710
www.mergermarket.com
Global M&A in H1 2012 falls 21.6% compared to same period last year Q2 2012 total of US$ 494.9bn, reverses five consecutive quarterly declines Third-lowest first-half total since H1 2004
Clifford Chance tops global legal advisory league table by deal value for H1 2012 Clifford Chance beats Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer to top spot in legal financial advisers league table by deal value Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom takes top spot in Asia-Pacific
mergermarket Heat Charts show TMT to be most popular companies for sale sector globally Industrials & Chemicals tops Asia-Pacific Heat Chart Germanic countries in Europe see similar popularity for Industrials & Chemicals
Asia-Pacific half-year M&A down 15.1% on H1 2011 Second quarter total of US$ 71.1bn, up 3% on Q1 2012 Asian investment into Europe experiences third consecutive quarterly decline
16 - European M&A Overview 29 - US M&A Overview 39 - Asia-Pacific M&A Overview (ex. Japan) 49 - Africa & MIddle East M&A Overview 53 - Criteria/ About mergermarket
European M&A in the first half of 2012 down 15.7% on H1 2011 Region accounts for 38.3% of global M&A by total value in H1 2012 Construction sector sees biggest percentage increase in half-year value
MEDIA CONTACTS:
EMEA: Flora Wilke flora.wilke@mergermarket.com +44 207 059 6349 Americas: Dara Silverstein dara.silverstein@mergermarket.com +1 646 378 3118 Asia-Pacific: Andrew Powell andrew.powell@mergermarket.com +852 2158 9710
Half-year M&A totals US$ 258.7bn, down 40.1% on H1 2011 Financial Services sees big decline while Consumer deals surge
Private equity buyouts in H1 2012 down by over a fifth on same period last year PE-backed buyouts total US$ 113.8bn for H1 2012, down 22.4% on H1 2011 Asian buyouts slump to lowest quarterly total since Q2 2010
Private equity exits down 30% on H1 2011 SBOs up 85.2% quarter-on-quarter US exit premiums at second-highest level in eight years
Energy, Mining & Utilities increases dominant market share in H1 2012 Business Services, Construction, Consumer and Agriculture only four sectors globally to see increases in value Construction sector in Europe sees major jump
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The H1 2012 total of US$ 929.4bn, however, was a decline of 21.6% on H1 2011 (US$ 1,185.1bn). The lower first half figure was also the third-lowest first half total since H1 2004 (US$ 826bn). Q2 2012s total matched this; the third-lowest quarterly total since Q2 2010 (US$ 428.6bn). On current form, full year 2012 is set to be the second-lowest yearly total since 2004 (US$ 1,685.4bn). Europe, plagued by the continuing uncertainty surrounding its debt crisis, managed to match all other regions in posting a quarter-on-quarter increase. Q2 2012 M&A on the continent totalled US$ 183.7bn, up 6.6% on Q1 2012 (US$ 172.4bn). This also ensured that Europe made up the largest share of global M&A of any region; it accounted for 38.3% of total deal value in the first half of 2012. The US, although posting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.9%, registered the worst half-year performance drop, with H1 2012 M&A coming in at US$ 258.7bn, down 40.1% on the first half of last year (US$ 431.5bn). Japanese M&A, meanwhile, looked robust. It registered increases across all comparisons; M&A was up 40% in Q2 2012 compared to Q2 2011, up 101.4% in Q2 2012 compared to the previous quarter and up 28% in H1 2012 compared to H1 2011.
Asia-Pacific (ex Japan) reversed two consecutive quarterly declines, with a Q2 2012 total of US$ 71.1bn up 3% on Q1 2012 (US$ 68.3bn). The H1 2012 figure of US$ 140.1bn, though, was a 15.1% decline on H1 2011 (US$ 165bn). Clifford Chance claimed the H1 2012 global legal advisers mantle, by deal value, after climbing 16 places from its H1 2011 finish. Jones Day won the day by claiming top spot for the deal volume crown.
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Volume of Deals
The freefall in global M&A was temporarily halted in Q2 2012. Registering US$ 494.9bn in deals, Q2 2012 was up 13.9% on Q1 2012 (US$ 434.6bn), reversing a seemingly terminal decline that had seen five previous quarters of consecutive falls in the global total.
800
TMT tops mergermarkets own global heat chart as most popular companies for sale sector, with tech companies in the US contributing heavily Energy, Mining & Utilities still attracting interest as it claims second place globally, favourable valuations possibly driven by falling oil prices combined with burgeoning interest in shale gas reserves Industrials & Chemicals still the most popular sector in Asia as consolidation looks to improve economies of scale in order to compete with bigger global names
Cold 70 20 0
Note: The Intelligence Heat Chart are based on companies for sale tracked by mergermarket in the respective regions between 16 December 2011 and 15 June 2012. Opportunities are captured according to the dominant geography and sector of the potential target company. mergermarkets Heat Chart of predicted deal flow is based on the intelligence collected in our database relating to companies rumoured to be for sale, or officially up for sale in the respective regions. It is therefore indicative of areas that are likely to be active in the months to come. The intelligence comes from a range of sources, including press reports, company statements and our own team of journalists gathering proprietary intelligence from M&A across the regions. The data does not differentiate between small and large transactions, nor between deals that could happen in the short or long-term.
www.mergermarket.com
H1 2011
Market share 25.4% 7.9% 17.1% 11.0% 8.8% 6.5% 4.4% 4.0% 5.6% 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.5% Deal count 627 878 1,292 583 539 731 871 83 106 260 222 252 194 82 21 6,741 Value (%) -14.3% 18.3% -46.6% -26.0% -33.2% -11.0% 23.6% -34.9% -53.9% 33.3% -20.2% -18.9% -39.9% 123.3% -94.6% -21.4%
Change
Deal Count -115 -149 -142 -113 -144 -111 -255 -21 18 -73 -46 -66 -10 -26 -5 -1,258
Northern Europe 5.4% Southern Europe 6.3% Central & South America 5.0% Southern Europe 5.4% Central & South America 5.4%
www.mergermarket.com
29-Jun-12
Anheuser-Busch InBev NV
17,790
21-May-12
12,600
21-May-12
A&L Goodbody; Davis Polk & Wardwell (Advising Citigroup; Morgan Stanley); Kinstellar; Matheson Ormsby Prentice; McCann FitzGerald (Advising Citigroup; Morgan Stanley); Simpson Thacher & Bartlett A&L Goodbody; King & Wood Mallesons; Mayer Brown
Arthur Cox; Blake, Cassels & Graydon; Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton (Advising Goldman Sachs); Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz
11,940
23-Apr-12
Nestle SA
Pfizer Nutrition
Baker & McKenzie; Clifford Chance; DLA Cliffe Dekker Hofmeyr; DLA Piper; Kirkland & Ellis (Advising Centerview Partners); Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom Clifford Chance
Pfizer Inc
11,850
16-Apr-12
GDF Suez SA
10,867
25-Feb-12
Amarchand & Mangaldas & Suresh A Shroff & Co; Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom (Advising Bank of America Merrill Lynch)
10,289
06-May-12
Electricite de France SA
Clifford Chance; Jones Day; Paul Weiss Rifkind Wharton & Garrison Bennett Jones; Curtis, MalletPrevost, Colt & Mosle; King & Wood Mallesons; Linklaters; McCarthy Tetrault Baker & McKenzie; Shook Lin & Bok Singapore (Advising Credit Suisse; Morgan Stanley); WongPartnership
7,582
20-Mar-12
Viterra Inc
Ashurst; Fasken Martineau Dumoulin; Sidley Austin ; Stikeman Elliott; Torys Allen & Gledhill; Makes & Partners
7,347
02-Apr-12
7,338
www.mergermarket.com
Global M&A Overview: Mid-market M&A Activity (US$ 250m to US$ 2bn)
Global mid-market deals total US$ 370.1bn for H1 2012, down 11.9% on H1 2011 But all major regions see increase on previous quarter Sullivan & Cromwell tops legal advisers table with US$ 33.6bn in deals
Global Mid-Market M&A Activity - Quarterly
RoW M&A
350
Asia-Pacific ex Jp Mid-Market M&A US Mid-Market M&A European Mid-Market M&A % of Global M&A
300
200
Nearly all regions saw an increase in mid-market M&A in Q2 2012 compared with the previous quarter, with the exception of Emerging Markets and Central & Southern America, which saw US$ 37.5bn and US$ 13bn worth of deals in Q2 2012, a 13.4% and 3% decrease, respectively, compared to Q1 2012 (US$ 42.5bn and US$ 13.4bn). All regions with the exception of the US saw a lower total value of mid-market M&A for H1 2012 than in the same period last year. Energy, Mining & Utilities was the most active sector in the global mid-market in H1 2012, accounting for 25.3% of all mid-market activity. The Real Estate sector saw the biggest increase in mid-market activity with US$ 24.6bn-worth of deals announced in H1 2012, 34% higher than in H1 2011 (US$ 18.4bn). The Industrials & Chemicals sector showed a significant decline in H1 2012 with US$ 38.4bn in deals, down 40% from US$ 64.5bn in H1 2011. Sullivan & Cromwell topped the mid-market legal advisers league table with US$ 33.6bnworth of deals.
100
Pharma, Medical & Biotech 7.7% Real Estate 6.7% Business Services 5.7%
Telecom 4.1% Leisure 3.8% Transport 3.0% Media 2.1% Construction 1.8% Energy, Mining & Utilities 25.3% Agriculture 0.4%
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% of Global M&A
The global mid-market saw the announcement of US$ 201.9bn-worth of M&A activity in Q2 2012, bringing the total deal value for the year to US$ 370.1bn. The second quarters total was 20% higher than Q1 2012 (US$ 168.2bn). The total value of mid-market M&A in H1 2012 decreased by 11.9% compared to H1 2011.
250
35.0% 30.0%
Asia-Pacific (ex Japan) saw its Q2 2012 buyouts total just US$ 3.9bn, the lowest quarterly figure since Q2 2010 (US$ 2.7bn) and the third consecutive quarter of decline from Q3 2011. Average buyout leverage ratio for H1 2012 was 58.2% which is up from the 55.5% seen for the whole of 2011. This was the third-highest level since 2007s high of 67.6%. Debt financing-to-EBITDA in the first half of 2012 was 5.3x, the second-lowest level in eight years (2009s 5.1x being the lowest). Linklaters topped the legal advisory tables for deal value (US$ 11.1bn) while Kirkland & Ellis topped the volume table (40) for the first half of 2012.
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Global private equity buyouts for H1 2012, valued at US$ 113.8bn, accounted for 12.2% of total M&A activity in H1 2012 (US$ 929.4bn) and was down 22.4% on the same period in 2011 (US$ 146.7bn). A total of 900 buyouts exceeded the 634 exits in H1 2012, though, which appears to confirm reports of investors holding onto their assets due to market volatility, in particular within the euro zone.
300
25%
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
So far it looks as though Europe will have a higher EBIDTA upon exiting compared to the US, for the sixth year in a row. At 11.8x, Europes multiples in H1 2012 were 25.5% higher than the USs 9.4x. Exit premiums continued to be the highest in the US at 63.7% whereas Europe went the other way, falling to 13.1% from a 2011 figure of 30%. The USs exit premiums for H1 2012 were at their second-highest level stretching back to 2004. Globally, premiums stood at 24.8% in the first half of the year; down slightly from the 2011 full-year total of 32.8%. The Consumers sector was one of the most active in the exits field in H1 2012, accounting for two of the top five deals.
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The H1 2012 total of US$ 119.7bn for private equity exits was down 30% on H1 2011 (US$ 170.9bn). SBOs, though, did experience an 85.2% increase in deal value, up from US$ 10.8bn in Q1 2012, to US$ 20bn in Q2 2012.
Emerging Markets M&A saw a Q2 2012 total of US$ 117.2bn, which was an 8.3% increase compared to Q2 2011 (US$ 108.5bn). Meanwhile, Emerging Markets saw H1 2012 M&A activity worth US$ 208.2bn, down 15.8% from the same period in 2011 (US$ 247.4bn).
Value of Deals (US$bn)
Q2 2012 saw BRIC M&A slide to US$ 56.7bn, its second lowest point since Q1 2010 (US$ 51bn). The loss in value can also be seen in quarterly and half-year comparisons. BRIC M&A activity was down 19.6% from US$ 70.5bn in Q2 2011. In addition, H1 2012s total of US$ 123.5bn accounted for an 18.7% decline compared to H1 2011 (US$ 151.8bn). Other Emerging Markets M&A accounted for US$ 60.5bn of the Q2 2012 total. These countries experienced a 59.3% increase from Q2 2011 (US$ 38bn). However, other Emerging Markets matched the BRICs for their drop in half-year activity; H1 2012s US$ 84.7bn was an 11.3% decline compared to H1 2011 (US$ 95.6bn). Emerging Markets accounted for 23.7% of global M&A activity in Q2 2012, up from the 18.8% they accounted for in the same period in 2011. Inbound cross-border activity into Emerging Markets in Q2 2012 totalled US$ 59.4bn, 57.7% up from Q2 2011 (US$ 37.7bn). Emerging Markets saw a 16% decrease in inbound investment from H1 2011 (US$ 97.8bn) to US$ 82.2bn in the first half of 2012, while Europe ploughed the most investment into Emerging Markets out of any region; US$ 38.7bn, or 47% of total global value. Outbound M&A activity from Emerging Market countries in Q2 2012 accounted for US$ 32.2bn, showing an increase of 63.8% from US$ 19.7bn in the same period of last year. H1 2012 also saw a 53.9% increase to US$ 70bn in outbound investment from emerging countries, compared to the same period last year (US$ 45.5bn). Europe remained the top destination for Emerging Market buyers, accounting for US$ 28.5bn of deals in H1 2012, which represented an impressive 87.1% jump compared to H1 2011 (US$ 15.2bn). H1 2012 saw Europes share of inbound investment fall in Emerging Market countries by 18.1%, to US$ 38.7bn from H1 2011s US$ 47.2bn. Asia-Pacific (ex Japan)s investment declined by 21.2%, falling from H1 2011s US$ 25bn to H2 2012s US$ 19.7bn.
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The value of deals in Emerging Markets bounced back from the past two quarters, which witnessed consecutive declines.
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North American premiums for H1 2012 were at 40.2%, up from 37.6% in 2011. Meanwhile, European premiums stood at 20.8% in H1 2012, down slightly from 21.6% in 2011. Targets in Asia-Pacific (ex Japan) had H1 2012 average premiums of 28.6%, higher than 2011 (21.9%) and the highest since 2004. The average EBITDA multiple across global M&A was 11.4x in the first half of 2012, down from 14.6x in 2011 and the lowest level seen in eight years. In Europe, the average EBITDA multiple was 9.6x, down from 12.4x in 2011, and the first time Europes multiples have dipped below double figures in over eight years. North America continued on a downward trend; from 17.1x in 2010 to 13.7x in 2011 and to 12.9x in H1 2012. Asia-Pacific (ex Japan) also saw a significant decrease in EBIDTA multiples from 2011 to 2012, with H1 2012 EBITDA coming in at 12.5x, down from 13.8x in 2011 and the lowest since 2004 (10.8x). Japan has also seen its average EBITDA multiple decline to 8.9x in H1 2012, down from 9.8x in 2011.
Average premiums (one day before) of global M&A deals in the first half of 2012 was 28.8%, an increase from 2011 (16.9%) and 2010 (22.3%).
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H1 2012 global M&A offers total US$ 390.6bn, down 27.7% on H1 2011 On course to be lowest yearly total since 2009
Share of total Global M&A - Deal Values
For the first half of 2012, global M&A offers stood at US$ 390.6bn, a significant decline compared to global M&A offers for H1 2011 (US$ 540.4bn). There was also a drop evident quarter-on-quarter with US$ 192.7bn in offers during Q2 2012, down from US$ 197.9bn for Q1 2012. Recommended offers for H1 2012 totalled US$ 369.2bn, contested offers stood at US$ 25.9bn while unsolicited offers for this same period were valued at US$ 20.8bn. Hostile bids for the first half of 2012 totalled US$ 21.1bn, which emphasised another period of decline when comparing it to H1 2011 (US$ 34.6bn). Behind Roches hostile bid for Illumina (US$ 6.8bn), the second-largest hostile bid to date was America Movil SAB de CV offer to acquire a 23.2% Stake in Koninklijke KPN NV for US$ 3.5bn.
70% 60%
54.5%
48.1%
46.1%
50.6%
56.6%
61.1%
58.3%
58.4%
8.8% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 41.2% 1.7% 6.0% 6.6% 4.1% 10.4%
2.4% 2.7%
1.0% 2.4%
37.7%
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2005
2006
Recommended
2007
Hostile
2008
2009
Contested
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Non-public M&A
2011
H1 2012
Deal Value Mega-deals account for 12.3% of H1 2012 global M&A with total of US$ 111.0bn Global quarterly total deal size comes in at US$ 468.5bn, third-lowest quarterly total since Q2 2010
100% 90% 80% 70% 25.5% 60% 50% 30.0% 21.9%
15.2%
12.3%
Mega-deals (over US$ 10bn) in Q2 2012 accounted for 10.1% of the value of global M&A deals announced, the lowest proportion in eight years. Mega-deals in H1 2012 had an aggregate value of US $ 111.0bn, down 19.8% on H1 2011 (US $138.4bn). In Q2 2012, deals valued between US$ 501m-1.99bn accounted for 31.3% of total deal value, the highest proportion for the deal size range on mergermarket record (since 2001). European deals valued at US$ 2bn-10bn added up to US$ 127.4bn, representing 36.4% of all European M&A deals announced in H1 2012, also the second-highest proportion for the deal size range on mergermarket record. The global total deal size for Q2 2012 was US$ 468.5bn, the third-lowest quarterly total since Q2 2010 (US$ 428.6bn).
Press Release: mergermarket M&A Round-up for H1 2012 12
32.5% 29.8%
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27.9%
27.5%
27.6%
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29.4%
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2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
H1 2012
$501m - $2,000m
$2,001 - $10,000m
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11.4%
11.6%
13.2%
Cash-only deals increased its already-dominant share in deal consideration structures in H1 2012, accounting for 70% of total deal value for the period, compared to 71.5% in H1 2011. This proportion was the second highest since 2008 (71.2%).
% of Global M&A
18.4%
16.8%
Meanwhile, the total value of equity-only deals in H1 2012 was US$ 111.1bn, 44.9% lower than H1 2011 (US$ 201.8bn). Deals with a cash and equity consideration in H1 2012 amounted to US$ 87.6bn, 28% lower than in H1 2011 (US$ 121.6bn). In Q2 2012, cash & equity deals accounted for 18.8% of total deal value, an increase from the sub15% level in each of the previous five quarters. Conversely, the total proportion of M&A accounted for by equity-only deals plummeted to 5.5% from 22.2% in Q2 2012, representing the second-lowest level seen during the past six quarters.
Insolvency
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2007
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H1 2012 global insolvency deals total US$ 9.3bn, up 43% on H1 2011 Insolvencies hit second-lowest quarterly total since Q4 2007
60 Value (US$bn) Volume
Global insolvency deals in H1 2012 showed a solid 43% increase totalling US$ 9.3bn, compared to H1 2011s US$ 6.5bn. Yet the second quarter had a steep 54.7% drop, from US$ 6.4bn in Q1 2012, to US$ 2.9bn. Europe had the lions share of insolvency deals in Q2 2012 (US$ 2.5bn), mainly due to Giuseppe Rotellis US$ 1bn acquisition of insolvent Italian hospital Ospedale San Raffaele. European insolvencies tripled in value from US$ 1.3bn in H1 2011, to US$ 5.9bn in H1 2012, representing a 353% increase. US insolvency deals experienced a 92% fall from US$ 2.7bn in Q2 2011 to US$ 0.2bn in Q2 2012. The US downward trajectory was evident in the 46.6% drop from US$ 4.5bn in H1 2011 to US$ 2.4bn in the first half of this year. Q2 2012 marked the second-lowest quarterly value in global insolvencies since Q4 2007 (US$ 0.8bn).
175 50 150 40
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Number of deals
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* Based on the target geography only and the advisor advising the buy-side only.
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European deals in the first half of 2012 were worth US$ 356.1bn, reflecting a 15.7% drop from the same period in 2011 (US$ 422.3bn).
Value of Deals (US$bn)
European deals in Q2 2012 totalled US$ 183.7bn, down 23.6% compared to the same period in 2011 (US$ 240.5bn) but up 6.6% from Q1 2012 (US$ 172.4bn). The second quarter of this year was the third-highest quarterly total since Q4 2009 (US$ 187.8bn), although 2012 is on course for a lower total as 2011 finished with US$ 721.9bn in deals. Energy, Mining & Utilities accounted for nearly a third of total deal value in H1 2012, with over US$ 110bn in first half M&A, no doubt in part to the Glencore-Xstrata mega-deal. Deals in the Construction sector also got a much-needed boost with total deal value in H1 2012 at US$ 18.1bn, up 218% on H1 2011 (US$ 5.7bn). Of all global M&A, European deals made up a hefty 38.3% of total deal value for the first half of 2012, driving the theory that Europe offers buyers value. Clifford Chance claimed top spot in the H1 2012 M&A legal advisers league table by deal value, while the honours went to Linklaters by deal volume.
European Private Equity Buyout Activity - Quarterly
140 Value (US$bn) 120 Volume 400 350 100 300 450
Volume of Deals
80
90 80 70 60 50 40 30
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40 100 20 50 0
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16
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Volume of Deals
Volume of Deals
H1 2011
Market share 20.8% 13.7% 17.8% 11.3% 12.2% 1.3% 4.0% 6.9% 1.5% 2.9% 3.5% 1.4% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% Deal Count 220 207 595 429 173 123 233 40 106 41 392 88 125 28 4 2,804 Value (%) 29.3% -25.1% -47.1% -29.5% -51.0% 218.0% -3.1% -47.1% 124.8% -2.1% -22.0% 1.4% -37.1% -25.6% -78.4% -15.6%
Change
Deal Count -83 -43 -69 -70 -45 -40 -23 -10 -28 6 -130 -6 -57 -3 1 -867
Iberia 5.9%
Benelux 9.1%
Germanic 17.8%
Germanic 29.8%
17
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21-May-12
Eaton Corporation
11,940
16-Apr-12
GDF Suez SA
Clifford Chance
10,867
06-May-12
Electricite de France SA
Clifford Chance; Jones Day; Paul Weiss Rifkind Wharton & Garrison A&L Goodbody; Milbank Tweed Hadley & McCloy; Nagashima Ohno & Tsunematsu Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer
7,582
17-Jan-12
Clifford Chance; McCann FitzGerald Allen & Overy; Clifford Chance (Advising Lazard); Stibbe; Sullivan & Cromwell (Advising Goldman Sachs) Clifford Chance; Darrois Villey Maillot Brochier; Simpson Thacher & Bartlett
7,300
19-Mar-12
TNT Express NV
6,843
19-Jun-12
Walgreen Company
Allen & Overy; Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton (Advising Goldman Sachs); Davis Polk & Wardwell (Advising Bank of America Merrill Lynch); Gibson Dunn & Crutcher (Advising Lazard); Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz Latham & Watkins; Loyens & Loeff Allen & Overy; Campos Ferreira, Sa Carneiro e Asociados; Linklaters; Morais Leitao
6,690
25-Apr-12
Actavis Group hf
Clifford Chance (Advising Deutsche Bank); Kinstellar; Linklaters; Shearman & Sterling; Servulo Correia & Associados
5,806
30-Mar-12
Tagus Holdings
5,599
27-Jun-12
5,559
18
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Industrials & Chemicals see most companies for sale in Germanic countries, a sign that European expertise and industrial know-how are still very much sought-after TMT the hottest sector in Russia, with online retailers aiming to emulate Amazon among a number of firms looking to receive greater funding Consumer proving popular in the UK as its reputation for creating reliable brands continues to attract Asian buyers
Warm 60 40 20
Cold 10 5 0
Note: The Intelligence Heat Chart are based on companies for sale tracked by mergermarket in the respective regions between 16 December 2011 and 15 June 2012. Opportunities are captured according to the dominant geography and sector of the potential target company. mergermarkets Heat Chart of predicted deal flow is based on the intelligence collected in our database relating to companies rumoured to be for sale, or officially up for sale in the respective regions. It is therefore indicative of areas that are likely to be active in the months to come. The intelligence comes from a range of sources, including press reports, company statements and our own team of journalists gathering proprietary intelligence from M&A across the regions. The data does not differentiate between small and large transactions, nor between deals that could happen in the short or long-term.
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* Based on the target geography only and the advisor advising the buy-side only.
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Company Name Clifford Chance Linklaters Jones Day De Pardieu Brocas Maffei Hogan Lovells Gide Loyrette Nouel SJ Berwin Weil Gotshal & Manges Latham & Watkins Baker & McKenzie CMS White & Case Paul Hastings Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton Fidal
H1 2012 Value Deal (US$m) Count 16,455 12,379 3,742 526 2,989 429 211 11,553 1,240 494 802 7,821 686 14 14 12 12 11 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7
Dechert Bredin Prat Hogan Lovells d'Urso Gatti e Bianchi - Studio Legale Associato Loyens & Loeff Simmons & Simmons Proskauer Rose Simpson Thacher & Bartlett Darrois Villey Maillot Brochier
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US M&A Overview
H1 2012 US M&A totals US$ 258.7bn, down 40.1% on H1 2011 Lowest half-year total since H1 2003 Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom tops H1 2012 US legal advisers tables
500 Value (US$bn) Volume 450 400 350
US M&A, although dire with a Q2 2012 total of US$ 145.2bn, was still up 27.9% on Q1 2012 (US$ 113.5bn). Combined, H1 2012s total of US$ 258.7bn was down sharply by 40.1% on H1 2011 (US$ 431.5bn), making it the worst half-year since 2003 (US$ 169.9bn). Q2 2012 was the second-lowest quarterly total since Q3 2009 (US$ 98bn). The US accounted for 27.8% of aggregate global deal activity in H1 2012, down from the 36.4% share it boasted of in H1 2011. Energy, Mining & Utilities was the most active sector with US$ 59.7bn in deals, accounting for 23.1% of US M&A in H1 2012. The Consumer sector saw a welcome 139.9% increase in deal value from H1 2011 to post a H1 2012 total of US$ 35.7bn. Not surprisingly, Financial Services, constricted by multiple PR disasters and the regulatory burden of the Dodd-Frank Act, saw its H1 2012 deal value drop 45.7%; from US$ 28.7bn in H1 2011 to US$ 15.6bn in the first half of this year. Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom finished top of the H1 2012 US legal advisory table by deal value while Kirkland & Ellis comes in second, up an impressive 16 spots from H1 2011.
Value of Deals (US$bn)
US Inbound/Outbound M&A
Inbound Value ($bn) Outbound Value ($bn) Inbound Volume Outbound Volume 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0
100 90 80 70 60 50 40
Volume of Deals
50
30
50
20 10
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Volume of Deals
800
TMT hottest sector in the US, nearly doubling Pharma, Medical & Biotech, as tech craze shows no signs of slowing Energy, Mining & Utilities dominate Canadian deal landscape with Albertas tar oil sands still attracting a raft of foreign interest Consumer places second in Brazil, still a bright spark as growth falters while the countrys Energy, Mining & Utilities sector shows renewed promise as the top sector
Warm 300 75 40
Cold 20 10 0
Note: The Intelligence Heat Chart are based on companies for sale tracked by mergermarket in the respective regions between 16 December 2011 and 15 June 2012. Opportunities are captured according to the dominant geography and sector of the potential target company. mergermarkets Heat Chart of predicted deal flow is based on the intelligence collected in our database relating to companies rumoured to be for sale, or officially up for sale in the respective regions. It is therefore indicative of areas that are likely to be active in the months to come. The intelligence comes from a range of sources, including press reports, company statements and our own team of journalists gathering proprietary intelligence from M&A across the regions. The data does not differentiate between small and large transactions, nor between deals that could happen in the short or long-term.
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H1 2011
Market share 30.6% 9.6% 3.5% 10.8% 18.3% 5.9% 6.6% 2.1% 7.8% 0.1% 2.26% 0.4% 0.8% 0.02% 1.2% Deal Count 145 238 185 291 317 260 196 65 17 14 55 36 53 9 11 1,892 Value (%) -54.9% -13.9% 139.9% -35.0% -63.9% -23.8% -45.7% 38.4% -74.5% 919.4% -61.1% 39.8% -69.2% 245.7% -96.1% -40.1%
Change
Deal Count -6 -71 -14 -15 -31 -97 -53 -7 0 -5 2 -4 -17 -3 0 -321
Canada 14.7%
Canada 10.3%
US (West) 17.1%
US (West) 20.5%
US (South) 22.8%
US (South) 24.1%
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24-Feb-12
Apollo Global Management, LLC; Riverstone Holdings LLC; Access Industries; and Korea National Oil Corporation Energy Transfer Partners LP
Debevoise & Plimpton; Kim & Chang; Paul Weiss Rifkind Wharton & Garrison; Vinson & Elkins; Willkie Farr & Gallagher Bingham McCutchen; Latham & Watkins; Vinson & Elkins; White & Case (Advising Wells Fargo Securities) Davis Polk & Wardwell; Gibson Dunn & Crutcher (Advising Citigroup); Shearman & Sterling (Advising Greenhill & Co) Kirkland & Ellis
EP Energy Corporation
El Paso Corporation
7,150
30-Apr-12
Sunoco Inc
6,959
25-Jan-12
Illumina Inc
6,846
29-Jun-12
6,349
29-May-12
Marubeni Corporation
Blake, Cassels & Graydon; Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer (Advising Goldman Sachs); Homburger; McDermott Will & Emery; Simpson Thacher & Bartlett Davis Polk & Wardwell (Advising Barclays; Citigroup); Jones Day
Gavilon LLC
5,300
28-Mar-12
Pentair Inc
5,230
27-Jan-12
Solutia Inc
4,600
20-May-12
DaVita Inc
Morrison & Foerster; Sheppard Mullin Richter & Hampton Allen & Overy ; Davis Polk & Wardwell (Advising JPMorgan); Hengeler Mueller (Advising Deutsche Bank AG;JPMorgan); Jones Day
4,418
22-May-12
SAP AG
Ariba Inc
Gibson Dunn & Crutcher (Advising Morgan Stanley); Gunderson Dettmer Stough Villeneuve Franklin & Hachigian; Hogan Lovells
4,311
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* Based on the target geography only and the advisor advising the buy-side only.
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Company Name Machado Meyer Sendacz e Opice Pinheiro Neto Advogados Souza, Cescon, Barrieu & Flesch Advogados Mattos Filho, Veiga Filho, Marrey Jr e Quiroga Advogados Barbosa, Mussnich & Aragao Gomez-Pinzon Zuleta
Tozzini Freire Teixeira e Silva Advogados
H1 2012 Value Deal (US$m) Count 5,285 7,510 3,357 12,730 2,680 1,055 859 1,099 7,463 2,792 378 23,471 3,546 1,222 861 27 23 17 14 14 11 11 10 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
469.6% -65.8%
49,653%
75.8% 294.0% -
Estudio Muniz, Ramirez, PerezTaiman & Olaya Abogados Jones Day Linklaters Veirano Advogados Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom Lefosse Advogados Azevedo Sette Advogados Lobo & de Rizzo Advogados
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100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
Fortunes varied across the region but most headed south. Australia, hit by falling commodity prices, recorded US$ 23.2bn in H1 2012 M&A, a 22.3% fall from H1 2011 (US$ 29.9bn). This was the biggest year-on-year decline of any country in the region. Asian investment (including Japan) into Europe, an oft-cited M&A trend recently, actually fell in Q2 2012; at US$ 13.3bn this was 9.1% down on Q1 2012 (US$ 14.6bn). Although H1 2012 M&A into Europe was at US$ 27.9bn, down 31% on H1 2011 (US$ 40.5bn), this was still the third-highest half-year total in eight years. Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom topped the Asia-Pacific legal advisers table by deal value, up from its H1 2011 finish of seventh.
Asia-Pacific Private Equity Buyout Activity - Quarterly (excluding Japan)
25 Value (US$bn) Volume 20 60 80
70
125
15
Volume of Deals
50
35 30 25 20
100
40 10
30
75
20 5 10
15 10 5
50
25
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Volume of Deals
Asia-Pacific M&A for the first half of 2012 saw total deal value come in at US$ 140.1bn, 15.1% off H1 2011s total (US$ 165bn). Asia-Pacifics Q2 2012 total deal value of US$ 71.1bn was up 3% on Q1 2012 (US$ 68.3bn), as it just about bucked a trend of two consecutive quarters of decline that started back in Q3 2011. But this didnt stop it from being the regions second-lowest quarterly total since Q2 2010 (US$ 71bn).
450
02-Apr-12
7,338
20-May-12
Yahoo! Inc
7,100
06-Mar-12
China Tobacco Corporation ; PICC Asset Management Company Limited; Beijing Infrastructure Investment Co. Ltd.; and Shanghai Zheng Yang International Trade Co Ltd Beijing Shougang Co Ltd Grandway Law Offices
Advising seller: Munger Tolles & Olson; O'Melveny & Myers (Advising UBS Investment Bank); Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom; Weil Gotshal & Manges; White & Case (Advising Allen & Company) Shougang Group Corporation
4,181
18-May-12
Hebei Shougang Qian'an Iron and Steel Co Ltd Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (Stainless Steel Business Unit) Advising seller:Jingtian & Gongcheng Advising seller: Latham & Watkins
4,180
29-Feb-12
Shanghai Baosteel Stainless Steel Co. Ltd. Marubeni Corporation; POSCO; and STX Corporation Co., Ltd MediaTek Inc Freehills; Jipyong Jisung
4,073
30-Mar-12
Roy Hill Holdings Pty Ltd. (30% Stake) MStar Semiconductor Inc (100% Stake) Tanjong Energy Holdings Sdn Bhd
3,655
22-Jun-12
Jones Day
2,950
07-Mar-12
1Malaysia Development
2,816
29-Feb-12
Baoyin Special Steel Pipe Co Ltd (58.5% Stake); Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (Special
2,697
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Industrials & Chemicals still the top sector in Greater China, over double that of TMT, and a sign that the worlds factory doesnt show any signs of giving up that moniker lightly Financial Services in Southeast Asia comes in second-most popular as overseas interest picks up; especially in providing wider services to the unbanked masses in countries such as Indonesia and the Philippines Japanese Consumer sector sees renewed life in companies for sale figure, as does Greater China where it comes in third evidence of the potential spending power of over one billion people
Warm 100 60 40
Cold 20 10 0
Note: The Intelligence Heat Chart are based on companies for sale tracked by mergermarket in the respective regions between 16 December 2011 and 15 June 2012. Opportunities are captured according to the dominant geography and sector of the potential target company. mergermarkets Heat Chart of predicted deal flow is based on the intelligence collected in our database relating to companies rumoured to be for sale, or officially up for sale in the respective regions. It is therefore indicative of areas that are likely to be active in the months to come. The intelligence comes from a range of sources, including press reports, company statements and our own team of journalists gathering proprietary intelligence from M&A across the regions. The data does not differentiate between small and large transactions, nor between deals that could happen in the short or long-term.
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H1 2011
Market share 13.8% 15.4% 20.9% 5.6% 3.8% 4.3% 11.2% 2.9% 5.5% 2.4% 3.4% 0.03% 6.7% 1.1% Deal Count 103 97 240 121 113 69 137 25 50 15 38 50 26 18 1,102 Value (%) 79.4% -7.4% -33.9% 88.2% 19.1% -22.6% -71.0% -3.0% -63.6% -15.6% -63.6% -15.6% -86.0% -77.5% -15.1%
Change
Deal Count -22 -55 -45 -20 -16 -65 8 -8 -4 -8 -3 -6 -243
Indonesia 5.8%
Other 6.9%
Malaysia 3.7%
India 11.5%
Japan 20.8%
Australia 13.2%
Australia 14.5%
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-9.4% 899.4% -
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* Based on the target geography only and the advisor advising the buy-side only.
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26.3% 876.6%
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While global M&A activity continued to drop, Africa & Middle East activity rose for the second consecutive quarter. However, Africa & ME figures in the first half of the year were slightly disappointing when compared to H1 2011. The region saw US$ 22.1bn-worth of deals announced in H1 2012, down 16% on H1 2011 (US$ 26.3bn). By quarter though, the picture is brighter. M&A activity continued to rise; Q2 2012 (US$ 13.5bn) was the second consecutive quarterly increase from Q4 2011 (US$ 6.8bn) and was also up 58.2% on Q1 2012 (US$ 8.6bn). Allen & Overy took the honours in the H1 2012 legal advisers table by deal value while Edward Nathan Sonnenbergs claimed top spot by volume.
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20
15
H1 2012
Sector Telecommunications Financial Services Energy, Mining & Utilities Consumer Technology Industrials & Chemicals Pharma, Medical & Biotech Business Services Construction Media Transport Agriculture Leisure Defence Real Estate Total
Press Release: mergermarket M&A Round-up for H1 2012
H1 2011
Deal count 7 26 19 20 9 13 6 17 6 7 5 3 4 0 0 142 Value (US$bn) 1.2 1.3 9.3 2.3 1.2 1.9 3.80 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.01 0.01 0.1 0.1 3.82 26.3
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Change
Deal count 4 19 25 25 17 21 18 15 9 1 6 1 3 3 7 174 Value (%) 428.6% 310.8% -67.7% 5.1% 8.4% -42.0% -80.9% -28.1% 179.2% 52.6% 1,657.1% 246.2% -85.6% -16.4% Deal Count 3 7 -6 -5 -8 -8 -12 2 -3 6 -1 2 1 -3 -7 -32
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Value (US$bn) 6.3 5.4 3.0 2.4 1.26 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.05 0.01 22.0
Market share 28.7% 24.3% 13.7% 11.0% 5.71% 4.9% 3.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% -
Market share 4.5% 5.0% 35.4% 8.7% 4.4% 7.1% 14.4% 3.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5%
Volume of Deals
25
19-Jun-12
2,071
05-Jun-12
Hutchison Whampoa Limited; and Li Ka Shing Foundation Limited Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Plc
Scailex Corporation Ltd (75% Stake) First Quantum Minerals (Kolwezi Tailings project, Frontier and Lonshi mines and related exploration interests) Migdal Insurance and Financial Holdings Ltd (69.1% Stake) Damas International Limited Fasken Martineau Dumoulin
1,392
05-Jan-12
Jones Day
1,250
07-Mar-12
1,098
28-Mar-12
991
05-Jun-12
Asia Cell Telecommunication Company Ltd (19% Stake) Clifford Chance HSBC Bank Middle East Limited (Oman based operations) (49% Stake) Centrale Laitiere (37.8% Stake) SNR Denton
931
18-Apr-12
733
27-Jun-12
Danone SA
Darrois Villey Maillot Brochier; Fidal Fischer Behar Chen & Co; Latham & Watkins; McLaughlin & Stern; Richards Layton & Finger
686
16-Apr-12
Stratasys Inc
Objet Limited
630
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Energy, Mining & Utilities secures most companies for sale title in Africa & Middle East M&A as shale gas discoveries and a wealth of minerals helps drive investor interest TMT the top sector in Middle East where the internet and social media are starting to flourish Financial Services comes in third overall, investors start to see potential of the regions vast potential in the sector
Hot 50 30 20
Warm 15 10 8
Cold 6 4 0
Note: The Intelligence Heat Chart are based on companies for sale tracked by mergermarket in the respective regions between 16 December 2011 and 15 June 2012. Opportunities are captured according to the dominant geography and sector of the potential target company. mergermarkets Heat Chart of predicted deal flow is based on the intelligence collected in our database relating to companies rumoured to be for sale, or officially up for sale in the respective regions. It is therefore indicative of areas that are likely to be active in the months to come. The intelligence comes from a range of sources, including press reports, company statements and our own team of journalists gathering proprietary intelligence from M&A across the regions. The data does not differentiate between small and large transactions, nor between deals that could happen in the short or long-term.
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League Table of Legal Advisers to Africa & Middle East M&A: Volume
Ranking H1 H1 2011 2012 6 12 7 5 8 4 11 9 43 37 55 2 53 24 31 3 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Company Name Edward Nathan Sonnenbergs Allen & Overy Herzog, Fox and Neeman Linklaters Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer Bowman Gilfillan Meitar Liquornik Geva & Leshem Brandwein Clifford Chance Shearman & Sterling Fasken Martineau Dumoulin Weil Gotshal & Manges Werksmans Mayer Brown Dechert Dewey & LeBoeuf Jones Day Ashurst Webber Wentzel Stikeman Elliott DLA Cliffe Dekker Hofmeyr H1 2012 Value Deal (US$m) Count 1,488 3,529 1,878 3,049 2,926 313 1,814 1,848 2,027 1,806 1,756 541 499 3,501 2,485 1,750 1,070 564 511 420 12 11 9 7 7 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 H1 2011 Deal Count Count Change 10 5 8 10 6 11 6 6 2 2 2 16 2 3 3 11 18 2 6 1 -3 1 -4 0 -1 2 2 2 -12 2 0 0 -8 -15
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Criteria
All data is based on transactions over US$5m announced between 1 January 2012 and 30 June 2012, unless stated otherwise. Deals with undisclosed deal values are included where the targets turnover exceeds US$10m. Deals where the stake acquired is less than 30% will only be included if their value is greater than US$100m. Activities excluded from the league tables include property transactions and restructurings where the ultimate shareholders interests are not changed. The M&A activity table and league tables are based on the dominant geography of any of the target, bidder or seller. The overall trend graph and pie charts are based on the dominant geography of the target only. The cross-border trend graph and pie charts are based on the dominant geography of the target and the bidder. All sector breakdowns are based on the dominant sector of the target only. The trend graphs are based on transactions announced in the given time periods. For this report, inbound refers to deals where the dominant geography of the target is X and the dominant geography of the bidder is outside X; outbound refers to deals where the dominant geography of the target is outside X and the dominant geography of the bidder is X. All data correct as of 2 July 2012. Criteria: http://www.mergermarket.com/pdf/deal_criteria.pdf About mergermarket mergermarket is a mergers & acquisitions (M&A) intelligence service. mergermarket is part of The Mergermarket Group which has over 450 employees worldwide and regional head offices in New York, London and Hong Kong. In any market, the life blood of advisors is deal flow. mergermarket is unique in the provision of origination intelligence to the investment banking, legal, private equity, acquisition finance, public relations (PR) and corporate markets. With an unrivalled network of analysts covering M&A in the Americas, Europe, Middle-East, Africa and Asia-Pacific, mergermarket generates proprietary intelligence and delivers it together with daily aggregated content, on its mergermarket. com platform and by real-time email alerts to subscribers. This wealth of intelligence, together with a series of deal databases, individual and house league tables, profiles and editorial have proven time and time again that this product can and does generate real revenues for clients. This is apparent when you see that mergermarket is used by over 1500 of the worlds foremost advisory firms to assist in their origination process.
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