Winter Weather Briefing Overview Updated 8 am March 6, 2013 Information Sources Used in this Overview

Event Overview Rain/Snow Forecasts Winds

Storm Surge/ Coastal Flooding Svr Tstms/Tornadoes Forecast Weather Maps NWS Wakefield Rain & Snow Forecsts Winter Briefing Page Snow Probabilities Forecast Wind Graphics NWS Wakefield Tides and Coastal Flooding Page NWS Wakefield Severe Thunderstorms Page Additional Rainfall
.25" or less .5" to 1" up to 1" up to 1" (then snow) .25" (S); up to 1" (N) .25" or less .5" or less <1" (I95-E) none none none

VA Locations
Southside Hampton Roads VA Peninsula Middle Peninsula Northern Neck VA Eastern Shore Western Tidewater Tri-Cities to Emporia/Brunswick Richmond Metro to Caroline Louisa/Fluvanna/Goochland Cumberland/Prince Edward Powhatan/Amelia/Nottoway Lunenburg/ Mecklenburg

Total Snowfall
none - Trace none - Trace none - Trace Trace -3" (highest NW) none - Trace <1" .5" to 2" 1"- 5" (most N & W) 3"- 8" isolated 10" 1" - 4" up to 3"

Temps
falling to mid 30s falling to mid 30s falling to mid 30s falling to low 30s falling to mid 30s

Wind Gusts

Storm Surge (abv normal)

Waves (ft)
Ocean: 7 - 10 Bay: 4 to 6 4 to 6 4 to 6 3 to 5 Ocean: 7 - 12 Bay: 4 to 6 3' (James River) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

40 -45+ mph; Wed 2' minor - mod night - Thu psbl 40 - 45 mph; Wed night - Thu 40 - 45 mph; Wed night - Thu 40 - 45 mph; Wed night - Thu 40 - 50 mph; Wed night - Thu 2' minor - mod psbl 2' minor (possible) 1" - 2" minor psbl 2' minor psbl 1 - 2' minor None N/A N/A N/A N/A

falling to low - 30 - 40 mph; Wed night/Thu AM mid 30s low - mid 30s low 30s around 30 around 30 low 30s 30 - 35 mph; Wed night/Thu AM 30 - 35 mph; Wed night/Thu AM 30 - 35 mph; Wed night/Thu AM 30 - 35 mph; Wed night/Thu AM 30 - 35 mph; Wed night/Thu AM

Rainfall - Heaviest rainfall I-95 and East, except SE VA and western Tidewater, where heaviest rain has ended. Snowfall - Snow heavy at times west and north of Richmond through midday. Snowfall rates tapering off this afternoon. Off and on snow through day southern Piedmont into southside VA as far east as Emporia. Temps - Falling to low to mid 30s, except west of I95, where temperatures will hold steady in the lo-mid 30s. Temps around 30 N/W of Richmond metro. Winds - Gusty winds of 30 to 35 mph could cause falling trees and power outages due to the heavy wet nature of the snow across the western piedmont. Gusts to 40 - 50 mph possible near the Bay/Coast. Storm Surge - 1 to 2 feet above normal. Minor flooding is currently anticipated, especially southern Bay/Hampton Roads. Water levels on the Potomac will subside later today. Potential for moderate flooding around Chincoteague. Beach erosion also likely. Coastal flood threat extends through Friday .

Winter Weather Briefing Overview Updated 8 am March 6, 2013 Information Sources Used in this Overview
Event Overview
Rain/Snow Forecasts Forecast Weather Maps NWS Wakefield Rain & Snow Forecsts Forecast Wind Graphics NWS Wakefield Tides and Coastal Flooding Page NWS Wakefield Severe Thunderstorms Page Winter Briefing Page Snow Probabilities

Winds Storm Surge/ Coastal Flooding Svr Tstms/Tornadoes Additional Rainfall

NC Locations

Total Snowfall

Temps

Winds (mph)

Storm Surge
(abv normal)

Waves (ft)

Currituck/Camden/ falling to Mid 40 - 50 mph; Wed Ocean: 10 - 15 2' minor .25" or less none- Trace pm - Thu Pasquotank 30s Sound: 2 - 3 Chowan/Gates/ falling to Mid 30 - 40 mph; Wed 1' No Flooding < .25" none- Trace 2 - 3 (Sound) pm - Thu Perquimans 30s Bertie/Hertford/ falling to Mid 30 - 40 mph; Wed 1' No Flooding <.25" none- Trace N/A pm - Thu Northampton 30s General Impacts: Event Timing - Wednesday through early morning Thursday. Rainfall - Heaviest rainfall has ended. Few showers rest of the day. Snowfall - Little to no snow expected. Could be a brief period of snow this afternoon/evening in "wrap around" on back side of storm. Temps - Mostly in the mid 30s, perhaps low 40s early in the event. Winds - Some gusts around 50 mph possible near the coast; 30-40 mph gusts elsewhere. Storm Surge - No issues on the Sounds. Coastal tides could be 2 feet above normal Thursday into Friday, with minor flooding possible. Beach erosion likely. Coastal flood threat extends into Friday.

MD Locations
Worcester/ Ocean City Wicomico/ Somerset Dorchester

Additional Rainfall
1"+ changing to snow 1" changing to snow 1" changing to snow

Total Snowfall
1"-2"
1"- 3" (highest W of Rt. 13)

Temps
falling to low mid 30s falling to low mid 30s

Winds (mph)
40 - 50 mph; Wed Thu 35 - 45 mph; Wed Thu

Storm Surge (abv normal)

3' - 4'; mod (psbl severe) 1''; minor possible 1'; minor possible

Waves (ft)
Ocean: 8 - 12 Bay: 3 -5 Bay: 3 - 5 Bay: 3 - 5

2"-4"

falling to low 35 - 45 mph; Wed Thu 30s

General Impacts: Event Timing - Wednesday through early morning Thursday.

Rainfall - Generally around an inch before precip changes to snow late this afternoon or evening. Snowfall - 1 to 3 inches anticipated at this time with up to 4 inches around Cambridge and western portions of Wicomico/Somerset counties, mainly from "wrap around" behind storm. Temps - Temps falling into the low/mid 30s this afternoon/evening. Winds - Some gusts 50+ mph possible near the coast; 30-45 mph gusts elsewhere. Storm Surge - 1 to 2 feet on the Bay. Minor flooding possible. 3-4 foot departures along the coast. Moderate to possibly severe flooding and beach erosion anticipated. Coastal flood threat extends into Friday.