Professional Documents
Culture Documents
April 2012
At a glance
Industry is radically reframing how it can increase productivity and improve the efficiency and stability of our vehicles, buildings, and electric grids. Cities, campuses, and corporations need to manage energy use more actively and in a more aggregated way. The first step in navigating the opportunitiesfor both buyers and sellers of products and servicesis to start from within.
New products, serviceseven business modelsare emerging from companies working to modernize our vehicles, buildings, and electric grids. These companies are envisioning new ways to create value for their customers by looking at problems in a more aggregated way. In this report, they tell how they need to work differently with their customers, suppliers, and others to shape their futures as market conditions evolve.
Nearly half of CEOs who participated in PwCs 15th Annual Global CEO Survey are concerned about rising energy costs.1 With good reason: Price forecasts for all commodities are heading up, and energy prices top the charts (see Figure A). Energywhether in the form of electricity, gas, oil, or fuelis connected to a broad spectrum of other business issues, too, including climate change, natural resource constraints, food prices, water availability, political risk, and transportation challenges.
Its no small task to save oil and energyfor the most part it requires making vehicles and buildings far more efficient than what we know today. Together, vehicles and buildings are among the most significant users of oil and energy in the United States: Transportation is responsible for 70% of petroleum consumption,2 and buildings account for 75% of electricity consumption.3 Growing concern about energy as a long-term business risk is why most companies want to take a more active role in managing their own energy use. Globally, about 70% of companies have sustainability initiatives of varying scopes in place, many with a conviction that managing energy use is necessary to remain competitive.4 For companies, the task of becoming more energy efficient is also tied to productivity and environmental benefitsbut the energy efficiency is the easiest to quantify. An income-producing office for an average company, for example, spends about 30% of its operating costs on energy, but a third of that cost could be trimmed with commercially available technologies and active management. If that same company delivers goods in an urban area, its wasting an average of 22 days a year in traffic congestion, part of a total of $2.3 billion a year in unwanted congestion costs for US trucks.5 Technologies that help avoid congestion, then, not only make employees more efficient but can have other economic benefits too.
1 2 3 4 5
PwC, PwCs 15th Annual Global CEO Survey, January 2012. US Department of Energy, Transportation Energy Data Book 2011, June 2011. US Department of Energy, Buildings Energy Data Book 2010, March 2011. MIT Sloan Management Review and Boston Consulting Group, Sustainability Nears a Tipping Point, January 2012. Texas Transportation Institute, Urban Mobility Report 2011, September 2011.
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Progressive companies are looking for gains by tackling their transportation and building energy use as one larger issue rather than separate ones. Theyre using technology in a broad range of activities to find the best ways to reduce cost, improve productivity, and minimize environmental impacts, including: Analyzing energy use for pricing and sourcing options with the lowest cost and the least environmental damage
Identifying which facilities should produce their own energy supply or manage their own water use Tailoring logistics and fleet management to match the needs of each type of route and geographic region Examining use of office space, fleets, and other assets to eliminate waste and maximize utilization
World commodity prices are forecast to ride Figure A. Key commodity prices are forecast to rise Index, 2005 = 100
450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 2028 2031 2034
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While innovation means new possibilities, it also means increased complexity for building and vehicle fleet owners and operators who will find themselves faced with successive waves of innovation. They will need to sort through products, services, and business models theyve never seen before.
Their providersthose who are modernizing the electric system and making cars, trucks, and buildings several times more efficient than they are todaysee the common goal. They see far greater potential for lower costs, greater productivity, and greater environmental benefits by completely redesigning solutions. Theyre reframing their partnership networks and extending the roles theyve traditionally played. When it makes sense, theyre partnering, mashing up technologies, and forming new business models. Whats emerging is an entirely new ecosystem where energy, information, building, and transportation technologies converge. Technological evolution is at the heart of this change. For example, to work optimally, smart grids need smart buildings, but the legacy systems in most buildings arent up for the task. They simply werent designed for it. Now, cheap sensors that are making these building systems smarter can also connect building systems to each other and to other buildings somewhat like nodes in a network. Tech-savvy providers are using these sensors to create things like
precision energy-management tools that analyze the energy use of each building system and notify a control center when HVAC, lighting, and data centers arent working optimally. And its not just the technologies that are changing; business models are, too. Some solar companies, for example, are challenging conventional business models by leasing arrays rather than selling them, as a way to help customers manage up-front capital requirements. Transportation providers are investing in technologies that promote car sharingtargeting the market segments that cant or wont buy cars or those who realize their fleets are sorely underutilized. Such innovations reframe choices for customers and, as a result, reframe the competition, leading companies to anticipate new types of threats. While innovation means new possibilities, it also means increased complexity for building and vehicle fleet owners and operators who will find themselves faced with successive waves of innovation. They will need to sort through products, services, and business models theyve never seen before.
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Theres an entire ecosystem coming together around the promise of lower costs, greater productivity, and greater environmental benefits
Whats changing?
Technological evolution Deployment and use Market conditions Technology and business model innovation 1. Cheap and ubiquitous computing and communications enable convergences across energy, IT, building, and transportation systems.
4. Innovations add greater benefitsbut also far greater complexityto building and fleet energy management.
2. Markets drive adoption, and combinations of solutions are tailored to unique settings.
3. Industry provides the tools t o manage complex systems and link them together. When synergies exist, companies partner for greater benefits, mash up technologies, and form new business models.
Building Certified green buildings Building energy management Demand response and real-time electricity pricing Space utilization and sharing Transportation Intelligent transportation systems Congestion and road-charging systems Smart and connected vehicles Alternative-fuel vehicles Car sharing
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I look at some of the innovations out there, and I just think its kind of mind-boggling whats going to happen. The possibilities are vast, and the combinations, exponential.
Carl Bass, Autodesk
Technological evolution is changing the very nature of how energy, information, buildings, and transportation are procured and managed. For example: Distributed energy generation is becoming cheaper and cleaner. Smart grids enable two-way conversations with companies and their utilities for real-time pricing. And energy will become easier to store, which may also change how its bought and sold. Vehicles and buildings are becoming part of a vast Internet of Things, in which any device can be addressed, monitored, controlled, and optimized. Data can be opened to third parties, allowing for aggregation, analysis, and reuse. Building operators are able to harness rich data streams that help them optimize energy and resource use, enhance comfort and productivity, and improve utilization rates. Smart and connected vehicles know where they can park, avoid traffic jams, or rent themselves out to other drivers or riders. Electric vehicles connect to the grid or to buildings either of which could be designed to draw on a vehicles battery in ways that improve distribution and management of power.
As a result, both the nature of the products and services companies offer and how they operate and interact with suppliers, customers, and others will need to evolve. How quickly will companies and their customers see real implications from these trends? If youre trying to replace the volume of coal-fired power plants and natural-gas-fired power plants, youre talking about long time frames, says Stephan Dolezalek, managing director of CleanTech at VantagePoint Capital Partners. But if youre talking about using existing systems to manage energy more efficiently, you may move much more rapidly than people would think. As with previous convergences enabled by technology, this one will require making organizational changes, bridging functional silos, and adopting different ways of thinking. We need to think about organizational structure if were really going to embrace transformation, says David Bartlett, vice president of industry solutions at IBM. Its never just about the technology; its about how we can step up to adopting it.
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Increasingly, the marketplace and the customers are looking for a new type of value creation, which is Id prefer not to deal with the complications of all those elements of the ecosystem. Help me string it together. Optimize it for me, and make it easier for me to access that value.
Mark Vachon, GE
3. 4. 5.
Widen the circle of innovation and speed up the cycles Look for opportunity in underutilized assets Harness the value of Big Data
Their goal is to build organizational capabilities that bring returns to the business no matter how (or how quickly) technologies evolve. We believe their insights should be of interest to any business leader who wants to reduce costs, mitigate risks, or contribute to overall profitability of the businessall while improving environmental outcomes. For those focused on mitigating risks or reducing costs in company operations, we hope youll see new ways of thinking about your business, assets, and partnerships. For those seeking to create new revenue opportunities, we hope youll be inspired as you envision your future and the capabilities youll need to achieve your objectives. The sections that follow summarize our panels insights.
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1.
Whether your company is building a new city, creating a transportation network, or changing your operations to reduce energy and waste, an integrative view can help you ensure youre actually solving a problem, not creating a new or bigger one. All of our panelists are working on innovative technologies, such as electric-vehicle charging systems, building analytics systems, or intelligent energy metering devices. But theyre also working on large crosssector issues like modernizing the electric grid, tackling traffic gridlock, or building sustainable megacities, thinking that is supported by a market demand for smarter infrastructures (see Figure C). Taking an integrative approach allows them to move beyond individual products and services and to examine how a systems parts influence one another and the whole. Cisco explains how this way of thinking led to a co-creation process in the development of a Korean greenfield city, New Songdo City. One of the projects requirements was that the city produce one-third less greenhouse gas emissions than a typical city its size. The idea
was to engage new actors in the city planning process from the get-go, says Gordon Feller, Internet Business Solutions Group at Cisco. This included national government, local government, citizen organizations, technology companies, private developers, and public agencies that were established in the economic free zone. So we expanded the circle of partners and, in the process, were able to identify some breakthrough innovations. Cisco has staked its role in this ecosystem on owning the urban operating system. This assumes the growing viability of a cities-as-aservice approach, which is maturing alongside mobility-as-a-service and other business models that monetize service delivery alongside product sales. It also depends on integrating the products and services and know-how of a wide range of partners. Its a radically new model for city managers and the companies (like Cisco) that sell to them. But it also forms the basis of Ciscos strategy; its this kind of repositioning that is helping Cisco understand its role and define it further.
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We see convergence as being literally the starting point and the end point, primarily because we think thats where our customers are headed, and we want to be as responsive as possible to their demands. And one of their demands is: Break down the silos; bust the barriers.
Gordon Feller, Cisco
Figure B. A market shift toward smart infrastructure development Smart city smart infrastructure investment by industry, world markets: 2010-2020, in $ Billions
Smart Cities
$18 $16 $14 $12 US $ Billions $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Smart utilities Smart transport Smart building Smart government Source: Pike Research
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In addition to thinking more systemically, companies are taking a longer-term view, creating one or more scenarios about where and how markets will change and about the opportunities. Without a long-term view of where things are going and where you want them to go, I think its going to be very hard to end up really playing a central role in any of this, says Bill Weihl, manager of energy efficiency and sustainability at Facebook. The social media company has been a leader in data center energy efficiency as well as in encouraging collaboration and transparency around solutions for data center energy use. Once companies have a vision in mind, the business case for taking innovations to scale or to maturity becomes clearer. Boeing, for example, sees an opportunity to play a role in the utility space by working with the US Department of Defense to address its growing energy concerns both in
fixed military bases and in the field. We crafted a strategy focused on leveraging things we do and things we ownparticularly approaches that provide command and control to lots of objects inside a large network, like a smart grid, says Tim Noonan of Phantom Works Ventures and Boeing Energy at Boeing. Through a series of grants from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA), as well as related projects and company investment, Boeing slowly began to develop an energy strategy that it is working to implement today. Weve explored a number of areas that we think have a lot of potential, Noonan says. Not all of them are going to pay off, but I think we placed some good bets across generation, transmission, distribution, storage, and carbon capture that have strong upside for us both strategically and financially.
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When you look at what Henry Ford did with the Model T, it opened up the highways for people. But our new model has to be a different model, and that different model has to address mobility challenges.
John Viera, Ford
Whats your companys role and the vision for your future?
Facilities and eets Institutional and commercial campuses Cities and public works Business customers, partners, and suppliers along the value chain
Whether its residential or commercial, theres a constellation of new technologies for energy efciency, generation, and demand response ready to connect systems like HVAC and lighting to the energy grid and communications network. The second piece is connecting grid appliances, like the electric vehicle to the facility.
Corporate campuses, colleges and military bases will gain more by taking a holistic view of possible technologies to connect and control critical systems. While a facilityby-facility approach could make sense, portfolio management can present more options for successive waves of innovation.
Cities and regions are forming public-private organizations to manage entire portfolios of projects, many of which tackle trafc congestion, reliable and affordable electricity, and a smarter, greener urban living experience.
Large corporations and their network of suppliers already manage eets and facilities in a range of operating environments. Whats new here is learning how data can accelerate innovation cycles.
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3.
As part of their growth strategies, companies are identifying new opportunities to take advantage of their existing assets and expertise for innovation; but theyre also looking to nontraditional and unexpected sources to enhance what they already have to offer. Youve got to make money at the end of the day, says Mark Vann of the Advanced Technology Government Business Development group at General Motors. You need to find partners where there are synergies, where a group of us together can cost-justify making a leap in an investment or a technology. Companies we spoke with identify three types of collaboration that are fostering their innovation. The collaborations could be to build or manage electric grids, construct or operate smart buildings, design or manage cities infrastructures, provide integrated and adaptive transportation services, manage distributed and diverse energy systems, or more. Customers. First, companies are working more closely than ever with their customers to identify new opportunities to address their needs over the short and medium terms. While customers are looking for ways to succeed in an increasingly dynamic marketplace, theyre wary of companies that bring a one-sizefits-all, plug-and-play solution to the table. Forming close partnerships to seek innovative, flexible, yet
tailored solutions can overcome such obstacles. I think theres nothing that our clients distrust more than someone coming to them with the solution, because we dont know what the solution is going to be, says David Pogue, national director of sustainability at CBRE. We need to work with them on the opportunities, and together we need to determine the best solutions. Internal. Second, theyre encouraging internal crossfunctional collaborations to find fresh perspectives. Sometimes it involves technological crosspollination. General Electric, for example, leveraged aerospace engineering from its aviation business, as well as materials science and mechanical engineering expertise from across the company to become the leading US wind turbine manufacturer. But technology solutions alone arent always sufficient, so companies are reaching into other parts of their businesses to find expertise on such things as customer service or marketing. What were doing, of course, is expanding the circle beyond the engineers to people who are trained in other fields and who are also great sources of innovation, says Ciscos Feller.
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External. Finally, theyre looking to other players in their industries or in adjacent industries to take a broader, multidisciplinary approach to specific customer issues. At Microsoft, for example, this is creating new opportunities to work with utility and energy industry partners. All of these folks are really deep energy experts who are now finding themselves in the software solution business at a level they never have been in before, says Rob Bernard, chief environmental strategist at Microsoft. And thats where the partnership and the synergy come inbecause were not a solutions company in the energy space. So it creates the opportunity and the conditions for a partnership.
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We see this process of opening the system as actually accelerating the path to innovation.
Gordon Feller, Cisco
Across the board, companies are seeing their need for partnerships swell. The larger the scale of these kinds of projects, the greater the number of players, says Clay Nesler, vice president of Global Energy & Sustainability at Johnson Controls. But a larger network of partners doesnt have to mean the process slows down. In fact, many companies say theyre able to accelerate the process of innovation through collaborations that leverage partners expertise efficiently. I would say the velocity of work has increased quite a bit, says Mary Beth Stanek, director of Federal Environmental & Energy Regulatory Affairs at General Motors. You
have more groups working faster on advanced-technology collaboration so we can get to the market quickly. If you look at the Chevy Volt timing from inception to launch, it was probably one of the fastest vehicle launches weve ever done. Conditions are driving companies to look for opportunities to join togetherto go to market with arms linked. Its about companies using their combined capabilities to provide greater benefits for their customers than if each went it alone. This is a broad trend seen across all industries and echoed in other research. Forty percent of global CEOs now expect the majority of innovation in the future will be co-developed in collaborative networks outside their organizations.6 Our panelists said that both internal and external stakeholders are important partners in designing new strategies and ensuring their success. You have to be flexible with regard to these types of partnership structures, says Mark Vachon, vice president of ecomagination at GE. Weve focused not only on expanding the sources of innovation and technology but also on how we scale and commercialize the ideas weve partnered on.
40%
of global CEOs now expect the majority of innovation in the future will be co-developed in collaborative networks outside their organizations.
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$71T
Around the world, government-supported drives are laying the groundwork for smart infrastructures, with investments in the modernization of electricity grids. Smart-grid investment in China will reach at least US$96 billion by 2020, as part of that countrys long-term stimulus plan.8 In the United States, US$4.5 billion was allocated to smart-grid initiatives under ARRA. Large stimulus efforts have been accompanied by an array of federal and subnational government programs providing incentives designed to promote market acceleration, including: Production tax credits Cash grants and loans in lieu of tax credits Renewable-energy standards Regional cap-and-trade programs Feed-in tariffs Fuel efficiency standards Commercial benchmarking laws for energy use Guidelines that allow interval data from utilities to be open source and available to third parties Guidelines for privacy and data security of interval data To accelerate change, industry working groups are working closely with government agencies on a wide range of industry standards that define the boundaries for collaboration and competition.
7 OECD, Infrastructure To 2030: Telecom, Land Transport, Water and Electricity, Volume 2, August 2007 and PwC, 10Minutes on Global Infrastructure, March 2010. 8 International Energy Agency, Technology Roadmap: Smart Grids, 2011.
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4.
Entrepreneurs in both incumbent and start-up companies are looking for opportunities to identify and manage underutilized assets or to create products and services that optimize others underutilized assets. Over the past few decades, information technology companies have turned to utilization to boost data center efficiency, create faster processors, and more. Todays innovators look for opportunities where utilization can either reduce cost, increase revenue or both. For example, in 2010, unused capacity on Amazons servers led the company to introduce its popular EC2 cloud offering, turning underutilized assets into a new revenue stream. Since EC2s release, revenue jumped from $240 million in the third quarter of 2010 to $470 million in the third quarter of 2011.9
In another example, the city of Amsterdam reduced the physical amount of office space it leases by 40% through a partnership with Cisco. The city now boasts modern and up-to-date work solutions, such as encouraging and enabling telecommuting, and creating flexible, shared workspaces. All told, the initiative is saving the city 10 million annually.10 Vehicle-sharing models take asset utilization to another level. Fleets of cars, bicycles, trucks, and other vehicles are available by the hour for individual use and are conveniently located throughout a community, campus, or city. While car sharing started with community memberbased services, the concept has broad potential to change how cities, colleges, and corporations manage and maintain fleets. Vehicle owners see radically higher utilization and potential revenue, and users have new choices for how they use transportation.
9 Andrew Hickey, Amazons Q3 Cloud Revenue Skyrockets, CNN, October 2011. 10 Cisco, European City Connects Citizens and Businesses for Economic Growth, October 2011.
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For example, US commercial buildings waste about a third of the energy they consume, but there are few incentives for building owners to improve them. Typically, leases are written so that tenants are responsible for utility costs, while landlords are responsible for capital costs related to energy systems, such as HVAC maintenance or on-site generation. Because, in effect, the landlord pays for the project but the tenants receive the benefits, the landlord has no financial incentive for making efficiency improvements. Thats one of the countertrends right now to buildings becoming smarter and more energy efficientthe investment realities in the marketplace arent supporting it, says Bob Best, executive vice president of Jones Lang LaSalle. The commercial building market isnt the only place these problems exist. In the utility business, existing policies
Existing public policies and market structures can act as disincentives for change.
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5.
One of the natural consequences of placing sensors throughout buildings, in vehicles, and within energy systems is the very large amounts of detailed data theses sensors generate. But were only beginning to see how this tsunami of data fosters new innovation. Saul Zambrano of Pacific Gas and Electric Companys Customer Energy Solutions group sees potential. The enhanced capability and the data sets that underlie it really are creating this new innovation cycle around smarter grids and smarter buildings, he says. This explosion of information, commonly referred to as Big Data, is ushering in a new type of analytics that enables management to make decisions with a precision comparable to scientific insight. The newest analytic methods use rigorous scientific techniques, including hypothesis formation and testing, statistical sampling, and visualization tools. Data analytics can turn the invisible into the visible when partners come together to make sense of the data. IBM talks about an early facilities management implementation, which made use of 10,000 data sources to provide a robust picture of a facilitys operations. The value, however, came from applying the customers knowledge about priorities and needs alongside IBMs analysis tools to provide actionable information about how to optimize the facilitys operations.
We provided the IT constructs, but the facilities team was key in providing the experience and what type of rules made sense, says IBMs Bartlett. I guess what they didnt realize was the capability of IT to give them a command view, to give them visibility and automation that they hadnt had before. So, theyre seeing the potential for new energy savings as a result. Data analytics can also provide insight into new products and services customers need. For CBRE, the opportunity lies in tapping into large data sets across its customers. If I have all of the data for one client who owns 30 buildings in a portfolio, maybe then I can do a commodity buy for the energy for those buildings, says Pogue of CBRE. Right now, owners think of individual buildings, but what we want to do is begin to view the management and benefits in a more aggregated way. The potential for companies to use data more effectively can transform not only the products and services companies provide, but also how those companies organize to respond to business goals and customer need. As Zambrano says, Historically, utilities were very silo structured. Analysis of the data thats coming in is effectively going to require a shift in capability around horizontal management, and so, its part of the business change.
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If I have all of the data for one client who owns 30 buildings in a portfolio, maybe then I can do a commodity buy for the energy for those buildings. Right now, owners think of individual buildings, but what we want to do is begin to view the management and benefits in a more aggregated way.
David Pogue, CBRE
Figure C. Radical ideas rely on a combination of technology change and business model innovation
Technology change
Close to existing
New
New
Source: Davila, Epstein, and Shelton, Making Innovation Work: How to Manage It, Measure It, and Profit from It, August 2005.
11 Marc Gunther, Why GM is working with car-sharing firm RelayRides, GreenBiz.com, March 2012.
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Taking action
We see very different opportunities for buyers and sellers of energy, building, transportation, and information technology solutions. Here are some things to think about, based on where you think your biggest opportunities are.
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Feller, puts it: Simply because you see the convergence doesnt mean youre equipped and capable to deal with it. Indeed, every companyno matter the motivation to actshould be looking beyond the technology changes and preparing itself organizationally to stay fit for the future, ready to adapt as conditions change.
12 Eric Bloom, In Smart Buildings, Co-opetition Is on the Rise, Pike Research Blog, February 2012.
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Acknowledgments
During the preparation of this publication, we benefited greatly from interviews and conversations with the following executives.
David Bartlett Vice President of Industry Solutions IBM Carl Bass President and CEO Autodesk Rob Bernard Chief Environmental Strategist Microsoft Corporation Bob Best Executive Vice President, Energy & Sustainability Services Jones Lang LaSalle Stephan Dolezalek Managing Director, CleanTech VantagePoint Capital Partners Gordon Feller Internet Business Solutions Group Public Sector Practice Cisco Systems Dave Gralnik Senior Vice President, Renewable Energy Services Jones Lang LaSalle Mitch Jackson Vice President Environmental Affairs & Sustainability FedEx Joe Mercurio Manager of Government & Military Fuel Cells & Electric Vehicle Programs General Motors
Clay Nesler Vice President, Global Energy & Sustainability Johnson Controls Tim Noonan Vice President, Phantom Works Ventures and Boeing Energy Boeing David Pogue National Director of Sustainability CBRE Mary Beth Stanek Director of Federal Environmental & Energy Regulatory Affairs General Motors Mark Vachon Vice President, ecomagination General Electric
Mark Vann Manager of Advanced Technology Government Business Development General Motors John Viera Global Director, Sustainability and Vehicle Environmental Matters Ford Motor Company Bill Weihl* Manager of Energy Efficiency and Sustainability Facebook Saul Zambrano Senior Director, Products, Customer Energy Solutions Pacific Gas and Electric Company
*This interview was conducted in December 2011, before Bill joined Facebook.
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www.pwc.com/us/sustainability
To have a conversation about how we can help your company increase revenue, reduce cost, or manage risk through effective sustainability strategies, contact:
Kathy Nieland Sustainable Business Solutions, Practice Leader (504) 558 8228 kathy.nieland@us.pwc.com Brian Carey US Advisory Cleantech Leader (408) 817 7807 brian.d.carey@us.pwc.com Clinton Moloney US Sustainable Business Solutions (415) 498 8442 clinton.a.moloney@us.pwc.com Don Reed US Sustainable Business Solutions (617) 530 4403 donald.j.reed@us.pwc.com Rob Shelton US Growth & Innovation (408) 817 4251 rob.shelton@us.pwc.com
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