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National Liberation Moements

peripheries they are bound to be compradore trans- Asia; Nationalism, Historical Aspects of: South Asia;
mission belts of domination of the first. Therefore, the Nation-states, Nationalism, and Gender; Social
national question remains on the agenda; it continues Movements, History of: General; Third World
to be a real challenge. What can be said in that respect
is that the change marks the end of an epoch which in
the case of Asia, Africa and, Latin America can be
Bibliography
called the century of the national bourgeoisie, in the
sense that it has precisively been marked by successive Albertini M 1978 L’Etat National. Fe! de! rop, Paris
national bourgeoisie edification attempts. The Third Amin S 1976 Unequal Deelopment. Monthly Review Press, New
World bourgeoisie now finally sees its own devel- York, Chap. 5
opment in terms of the comprador subordination Amin S 1994a L’Ethnie aZ l’Assaut des Nations. L’Harmattan,
Paris
imposed upon it by the expansion of transnational Amin S 1994b Re-reading the Post War Period. Monthly Review
capitalism. A new wave of NLMs should therefore be Press, New York, Chap. 5
expected, different in their social targets and methods Amin S 1997 Capitalism in the Age of Globalization. Zed Books,
from the previous ones. The crystallization of the London, Chap. 4
alternative new national popular (not bourgeois) Anderson B 1983 Imagined Communities. Verso, London
strategy involves a merging of three conditions. First, Bauer O 1907 Die NationalitaW ten frage und die Sozialde mobratis.
delinking in the sense of a strict submission of external Vienna
relations in all areas to the logic of internal choices Benot Y 1975 Les Independences Africaines Ideologie et Realites.
taken without consideration of criteria relating to Maspero, Paris
Blunt J M 1987 The National Question, 2nd edn. Zed Books,
world capitalist rationality. Second, a political ca- London
pacity to operate social progressive reforms through Bottomore T, Goode P 1978 Austro Marxism. Clarendon Press,
advances of democracy. This political capacity is a Oxford, UK
condition of delinking—since existing hegemonic clas- Cohen M 1994 Ethniciti Politique. L’Harmattan, Paris
ses have no interest in it. Delinking without that Davis H B 1967 Nationalism and Socialism. Monthly Review
transfer of political hegemony has little chance of Press, New York
emerging, and if it did emerge under such conditions, Davis H B 1978 Toward a Marxist Theory of Nationalism.
it would lead to an impasse. Third, a capacity for Monthly Review Press, New York
technological absorption and invention, without Gibson R 1972 African Liberation Moements. Oxford Uni-
versity Press, Oxford, UK
which the autonomy of decision making acquired Haupt G et al. (ed.) 1974 Les Marxistes et la Question
could not be realized. Nationale 1848–1914: Etudes et Textes. F. Maspero, Paris
Thus defined, the conditions for a positive response Hobsbawn E J 1990 Nations and Nationalism since 1780.
to the challenge of history appear severe, and any Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
merging of such conditions remote. That is not Lenin V I 1970 Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism.
surprising. The response to new challenges never Progress Publishers, Moscow
comes spontaneously. It takes time for the social Riazanov 1923 Le Komintern et l’Orient
structures to stabilize, for the new forms of social Strasser J, Pannekock A 1974 Nation et Lutte de Classe. Union
movements to produce efficient strategies, for them to Generale d’Editions, Paris
Wallerstein I 1974 The Modern World Systems. Academic Press,
formulate legitimate ideologies in keeping with the New York, 3 Vols.
real challenges. In the meantime, what we have is Wallerstein I 2000 The Essential Wallerstein. New Press, New
rather chaos, and therefore disarray and nostalgias of York
the past, in other words, false responses to real
problems. It is in this frame that we can observe S. Amin
revivals of movements which label themselves
‘national liberation,’ usually on the basis of ethnicity
and religion, denying importance to any other di-
mension of social reality, such as class. Often presented
by the dominant ambiguous ideologies as ‘primordial’ National Security Studies and War
in the sense of being the expression of a transhistorical
fundamental ‘difference’ and ‘specificity,’ these move- Potential of Nations
ments are in fact more of the nature of being a
symptom of the crisis rather than an answer to it. Klaus Knorr wrote The War Potential of Nations in
1956. This book marks a key transition between
See also: Capitalism: Global; Colonization and Colo- different approaches toward the study of national
nialism, History of; Environmental History; Imperi- security. Through much of the nineteenth and into the
alism, History of; Imperialism: Political Aspects; first half of the twentieth century, the security of a
Nationalism: General; Nationalism, Historical As- nation depended heavily on the balance between its
pects of: Africa; Nationalism, Historical Aspects of: own war potential and that of its adversaries and
Arab World; Nationalism, Historical Aspects of: East allies. In the second half of the twentieth century that

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National Security Studies and War Potential of Nations

relationship weakened in the context of cold war difficult today, is how to move the intellectual and
bipolarity and a massive nuclear standoff between policy debate forward. The consolidation of a bipolar
superpowers. The relationship is changing again in power distribution during the middle years of the Cold
fundamental ways at the start of the twenty-first War, along with the deployment of massive nuclear
century. The war potential of nations surely will arsenals that essentially overwhelmed any realistic
continue to affect national security, but it will not measures of ‘war potential,’ made that problem more
nearly determine it. More importantly, almost all the immediate.
terms in that statement are coming to mean very
different things than they did in 1956.
2. Twentieth-century Strategy
1. Historical Perspecties Thomas Schelling’s 1960 work The Strategy of Conflict
proposed one kind of solution. The new studies of
In the second half of the nineteenth century, ‘war
strategy focused much less on the war potential of
potential’ was a narrow conceptual proxy for
nations and much more on the war potential of situ-
‘measuring’ the military power of nations. The found-
ations. It did this by abstracting away from precise
ations of war potential were the economic and tech-
measures of capabilities and even more importantly
nological resources that could be mobilized for
from precise understandings of the intentions and
military purposes. This made good analytic sense in an
objectives of an adversary—a major analytic move
era of industrial warfare—when nations maintained in
during a period of time when American policy makers
peacetime a small fraction of the military capabilities
(at least) felt they had a poor understanding of the
that they could mobilize for war by simply redirecting
USSR.
production. World Wars I and II were won by
At a time when net assessment was becoming
nations with greater war potential, not by those with
intellectually stagnant (and arguably boring), the turn
the advantage of existing forces at the start of the war.
to ‘strategic studies’ opened up a new and extremely
Knorr understood well the promise—both analytic
interesting intellectual agenda for national security
and practical—of being able to measure this potential.
scholars to explore. It also pulled into the picture a
If national security were some function of objective
new set of tools that were developing rapidly in
measures of power, then parsing out the problem (at
mathematics and economics—in particular, mixed
least) would be made a much simpler task for scholars
motive game-theory models. The combination of
and policy makers. He distinguished among three
newly configured research questions and fast-improv-
critical components of war potential—economic and
ing tools led to an explosion of work that clarified
technological capacity, administrative skill, and the
powerfully the strategic logic of situations like nuclear
political foundations of military power. The idea was
deterrence, brinkmanship crises, and coercive dip-
to calculate war potential: if each component could be
lomacy.
measured with reasonable precision and some argu-
This knowledge came at a cost, of course. The
ments about their interactions could be built.
power of abstract-deductive theory to produce gener-
Knorr assessed this enterprise carefully enough to
alizable arguments rests in part on a set of assump-
see clearly its inherent limitations. Except in the very
tions about the characteristics of the actors or
few cases where nations use sheer force simply to seize
players in the ‘game.’ It has always been a central
something, the purpose of deploying military power
disagreement among scholars whether (more precisely,
was to influence the behavior of another actor. In all
when and under what conditions) the benefits of this
cases of influence there clearly were objective com-
approach are worth the cost.
ponents to power. But these were always and every-
The end of the Cold War sharpens both the in-
where put into play in the context of relationships or
tellectual and practical consequences of that disagree-
anticipated relationships that had many other com-
ment. Bipolarity was a significant clarifying force in
ponents of power. Without using formal models or
international politics—while the Cold War was never as
even ‘soft’ game-theory metaphors, Knorr wrote in
‘simple’ as some nostalgic views would have it, it did
rather precise analytic terms about the importance of
create a marked explicitness about the major lines of
information assymetries, domestic political con-
conflict that the twenty-first century so far lacks. The
straints, reputational effects, and the like in relation-
national security environment for many nations, and
ships of mutual coercion. He argued strongly that net
surely for the USA, is now much more fine-grained
assessment (the detailed counting and analysis of
than it was in 1965.
military forces) was by itself a very weak tool. Without
reference to particular objectives and contingencies, to
study and measure the war potential of nations would 3. Future Directions
be a fragile approach to thinking about and planning
for national security. The problem with flattening out the past is that it
These arguments today seem obvious, almost trivial. makes it harder to see the future in multiple dimensions
What was less obvious to Knorr, and remains more without becoming frightened and confused. It may be

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that the USA has enjoyed a post-Cold War honey- (although not insignificant) part in an analysis of US
moon since 1990 and that the future will be in- environmental security. Environmental interests are
creasingly challenging and unstable. Of course, there not necessarily any less important than security
are periods of modern history where linear extra- interests. But the clarity of focusing on security in a
polations of contemporary trends would have worked narrow sense as territorial integrity and political
tolerably well as a foundation for planning the autonomy is diluted by stretching the definition.
future—for example, between 1950 and 1975. There Realists argue that security is a prerequisite for almost
are other periods—for example 1925 to 1950, or 1975 anything else that nations want to achieve in world
to 2000—where discontinuous changes in world poli- politics. Nonrealists may disagree with the vehement
tics, technology, social forces, and the economy emphasis on security. But few doubt that military
radically displaced what were assumed to be core power is still a critical restraint on the freedom of
‘realities’ of security planning. The period around the nations to act internationally, and particularly to act
start of the twentieth century was such a period. in ways that threaten the vital interests of the possessor
Between 1895 and 1920, applications of the internal of military power.
combustion engine, electricity, and the airplane—
along with the rise of the German nation, social
Darwinist ideologies, and decolonization—recast fun-
4.2 Globalization and Mobility
damental features of the security environment for
nations. A second complicating factor comes from a set of
Such periods present two distinct kinds of chal- transformations that fall under the rough heading of
lenges: to master the technology, and to understand ‘globalization.’ More precisely, the ability of political
the social, economic, and military implications and units to produce and deploy organized violence for
possibilities that come with it. National security political ends (an updated notion of war potential) is
planners recognize the new uncertainties of threats being deeply affected by changes in the global econ-
that are smaller, more diffuse, and likely coming from omic environment.
many different directions. From a theoretical per- The simplest way to think about globalization is to
spective, the strategic approach (to build increasingly see it as a story about the causes and consequences of
sophisticated, generalized models of situations) will an increase in mobility. For most of human history,
need at a minimum to be supplemented with renewed neither goods, nor capital, nor most people, nor many
attention to the actors and players in the game. ideas moved very far from their place of origin. Over
the last several hundred years, mobility of many
(although not all) things has increased—unevenly
4. Questions of National Security across time and with some setbacks.
Political economists recognize that mobility makes
The historic literature on war potential of nations is a possible the expansion of markets beyond the physical
reasonable place to start. It forces certain questions: and other borders that previously contained them.
What is war going to be? What potentials are relevant? There is simply no serious theoretical framework in
And are nations still the appropriate central focus for which security is unaffected by this change. The war
the investigation? The answers to these questions were potential of nations effectively stretches beyond
never clean and simple, and they are becoming far national borders in a profound way. This is made
more complex in ways that matter deeply for thinking more conspicuous by the ‘spin-on’ phenomenon. The
about national security. commercial sector now leads the military sector in
most key technologies that underpin military power.
And the logic of the commercial sector is decidedly not
4.1 The Meaning of ‘Security’
national. The so-called revolution in military affairs
One important complicating factor is simply that (RMA), and particularly the increasing information
security has come to mean much more to many people intensity of military operations (which is part of that
than the core issues of territorial integrity and political revolution), cuts in the same direction. Information is
autonomy. The discourse of international politics inherently more mobile than tanks, airplanes, or
(both popular and scholarly) now embraces concepts almost any physical asset. Of course, it is also harder
like economic security and environmental security. to secure in most settings than an aircraft carrier or a
There may be instrumental political reasons to import nuclear missile buried deep underground.
metaphors from the security debate into these other The most significant exception to increased mobility
important areas of national interest, but there are is people. People do not move across borders as
intellectual costs as well. readily as other technological and economic resources.
The broadening of the realm of ‘security’ makes This may be a key national factor of power that
thinking and theorizing about it as a dependent nations still control or contain—although it is not
variable of anything a much more complicated task. clear for how long that will remain the case. In any
The war potential of other nations would play a small case, national security concerns about the increased

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mobility of people may complicate economic global- 4.3 Size of the War Machine
ization as well as vice versa. Technology can be
A third complicating factor, loosely connected to
anywhere, but people still have to be somewhere, and
globalization arguments, is the issue of size. The tools
where they are may matter a great deal for individual
of large-scale organized violence are getting smaller.
nation states. The current US lead in information
Nuclear weapons were the first modern step in this
technology owes a great deal to Indian, Taiwanese,
process, but they were hard to engineer and build, even
and Israeli engineers and entrepreneurs who have
for large nations. Biological weapons are different: a
immigrated to the USA (or come temporarily on H1B
biological agent can be microscopic. More import-
visas) and maintain strong network links to evolving
antly, the equipment to produce custom-designed
technology clusters in their home nations. At some
virulent biological agents will soon be available in
point nations will experience in a much more acute
suitcase size for US$10,000 or less. An effective
way the tension between the mobility of people who
computer virus may be even easier and cheaper to
carry key technological talent and the ‘national’
manufacture. In more than 50 years no subnational
security implications of allowing that talent to cross
group has yet gained possession of and ‘used’ a nuclear
borders freely.
weapon (including in a bargaining situation) for
In addition to mobility (which has increased mark-
political purposes. Almost certainly it will not be
edly in the past, most dramatically during an earlier
possible to say the same of the next generation of
period of ‘globalization’ at the end of the nineteenth
weapons of mass destruction or disruption 50 or far
century), the next phase of globalization is also about
fewer years hence.
a dramatic increase in speed. The digital revolution is
reducing the cost of moving a piece of information
around the world in real time to near zero. Big, heavy
things move much faster as well because they can be 5. Conclusions
moved more intelligently with the use of information.
This is unsettling to humans, who think and act Perhaps this kind of capability does not represent war
slowly. It is even more unsettling to political organiz- potential in a traditional sense. One conclusion to
ations, because aggregating a bunch of slow humans draw from this is that it makes sense fundamentally to
into a polity usually makes them even slower. An rethink the term itself, as well as the range of actors
increasing number of those polities now have some who can possess war potential. Changes in mobility,
form of democratic decision-making system which has speed, and size have dramatically increased the poro-
the effect (indeed, is designed explicitly in some ways) sity of national borders. Given that porosity, be-
to slow things down even more. havior that in the past might have been thought of as
This disconnect in speed will have profound impli- terrorism could increasingly become much more like
cations for national security. There is a straight- war, in the sense that the goals of the behavior might
forward and narrow version of the argument. If wars not simply be revenge or the placing of pressure on a
will be faster—that is, time limited by military tech- particular, discrete policy. The goal—realistically—
nology and by the constraints of democratic control— might be to undermine the foundations of a nation or
then existing forces may once again become a more bring down a government. In that scenario, each
important determinant of who wins than ‘war po- important term in the phrase ‘national security and the
tential’ in a deeper sense. Yet there are inherent war potential of nations’ will have taken on a very
strains—and not just fiscal ones—for democracies different meaning.
maintaining large existing forces during peacetime.
There is a broader version of the argument as well. See also: Cold War, The; Defense, Economics of;
Balances of power have been an important stabilizing Geopolitics; Globalization: Political Aspects; Inter-
factor in international politics because balancing national Relations:Theories; Military and Politics;
behavior has prevented the consolidation of hegemony Military Geography; Military History; Military Psy-
by an aggressor nation. But balances do not form chology: United States; Military Sociology; War:
quickly. Napoleon nearly conquered the European Causes and Patterns; Warfare in History
landmass before an effective balance formed against
him. The Grand Alliance did not fully come together
to oppose Hitler until 1942—quite late in an offensive
that actually began almost a decade before. When Bibliography
competing systems move at increasingly asymetric
Art R J, Waltz K N 1999 The Use of Force: Military Power and
speeds the results are likely to be unstable and International Politics, 5th edn. Rowman and Littlefield,
surprising. Balance of power both as theory and Lanham, MD
practice has been an important part of the relationship Bull H 1977 The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World
between national security and the war potential of Politics. Columbia University Press, New York
nations. Yet balances may become less stable and Katzenstein P J, Social Science Research Council (US) Com-
more volatile in the future than nations expect. mittee on International Peace and Security 1996 The Culture

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National Security Studies and War Potential of Nations

of National Security: Norms and Identity in World Politics, potential of quadrism and unleashing the march on
New Directions in World Politics. Columbia University Press, Rome on October 27, 1922, Mussolini became prime
New York minister in a right-liberal coalition cabinet, although
Kennedy P M 1987 The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers, 1st
the PNF controlled only a minority of seats in the
edn. Random House, New York
Knorr K 1956 The War Potential of Nations. Princeton Uni- parliament.
versity Press, Princeton, NJ
O’Rourke K H, Williamson J G 1999 Globalization and History: 1.2 Fascist Dictatorship
The Eolution of a Nineteenth-century Atlantic Economy. MIT
Press, Cambridge, MA Mussolini used his new position to establish his
Ruggie J G 1996 Winning the Peace: America and World Order in personal dictatorship by skilfully extending the prerog-
the New Era. Columbia University Press, New York atives of the prime minister through legal means. By
Schelling T C 1960 The Strategy of Conflict. Harvard University an ostensibly manipulative reform of the electoral
Press, Cambridge, MA
system he attained an overwhelming parliamentary
Walt S M 1999 Rigor or rigor mortis? Rational choice and
security studies. International Security 23(4): 49–80 majority for the governing coalition in the 1924
Waltz K N 1964 Man, the State, and War: A Theoretical elections. By a series of ‘fascist decrees’ the civil
Analysis. Columbia University Press, New York liberties, the freedom of the press, and the space of
Weber S 2001 Globalization and the European Political Economy. action for the parliamentary opposition which formed
Columbia University Press, New York the antifascist Aventin were severely curtailed. The
ensuing Matteotti crisis provided a pretext to dissolve
S. Weber the opposing parties and to promulgate a one-party
state relying on the extraparliamentary power of the
Copyright # 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. Fascist Great Council. Mussolini thus managed to
All rights reserved. maneuver both the cabinet and the parliament—which
in 1938 was reshaped on a corporatist basis—into the
National Socialism and Fascism background. The introduction of the fascist calendar
and the adoption of the fascist emblems as state
Italian fascism and National Socialism signify a new symbols completed the creeping process of shaping a
type of political mobilization which came into being fascist state. Mussolini achieved this by carefully
after the end of World War I. Both movements were evading open clashes with the constitution and achiev-
ideologically influenced by integral nationalism and ing a modus iendi with the conservative elite and big
racism, but drew their specific political impetus by business.
exploiting the widespread anticommunism and anti- Mussolini’s tactical flexibility climaxed in conclud-
socialism among the bourgeois strata of postwar ing the Lateran treaties which, by comprehensive
society. Italian fascism in particular was taken as a concessions in social and cultural matters, secured the
model by comparable movements all over Europe, support of the Catholic church. The combination of
but, with the exception of that in Spain, only Italian social propaganda and compulsion, as reflected in the
fascism and National Socialism were able to establish program of ‘dopo laoro,’ together with co-operation
a dictatorship. with big business, enabled him to neutralize the
syndicalistic trade unions. The PNF, which in 1943
comprised 4.75 million members combined hetero-
1. Italian Fascism geneous social and political groups and exhibited
strong inter-regional tensions. By isolating the party
radicals under Roberto Farinacci, who endorsed the
1.1 Origins
principle of forming a cadre party, the PFN became
The origins of Italian fascism are closely connected more or less bureaucratized and was controlled
with the extreme legitimacy crisis of the liberal regime through local and regional administration. Thus,
facing protest strikes and factory occupations by rural despite terrorist police and the abolition of civil rights
and industrial workers. Hence, Giovanni Giolitti by the lege fascissimi in 1925\26 the system was not
tolerated the use of violence against organized labour completely totalitarian, particularly in comparison to
by the fascist Squadre d’azione, which resulted in the the Nazi regime. The monarchy, the army and cer-
emergence of a dualistic power structure, reflected in tainly the Catholic church preserved a certain
Gabriele d’Annuncio’s expedition to Fiume in 1919 independence, and the fascistization of the adminis-
and the actionism of the Black Shirts who terrorized trative apparatus was only partially attained.
the countryside and socialist municipalities. Mussolini Mussolini’s rule relied primarily on a continuous
used the opportunity to create the veterans’ organi- organization of consensus—his domestic policy lacked
zation of the Fascio di Combattimento and to shape it any clear direction and ideological consistency. The
into a non-partisan mass movement which he reorgan- myth of the indispensable role of the Duce for Italian
ized in November 1921 as Partido Nazionale Fascista national survival kept everything together, but the
(PNF). By holding out the threat of the revolutionary disastrous consequences of Mussolini’s alliance with

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International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences ISBN: 0-08-043076-7

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