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Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Savings Over 45 Year Career


Mattress

All Stocks

Stocks + Bonds

700,000

600,000

Chart shows nominal final retirement savings with 10% invested per month, using
median US income 1913 to present. Assumes a 20 year old begins investing 10%
per month and retires at 65. Chart begins with a person that started work in 1913
and retired in 1958 (45 years) .
The line on top shows which method produced the best return.

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

- The Mattress line simply shows saving 10% per month and doing nothing.
- All stocks line shows retirement using S&P Composite performance .
- All bonds line shows retirement using 10 year bond performance.
- The stocks and bonds line combines a proportion of stocks to bonds using 100 less
age to allocate toward stocks (100 - 20 = 80% toward stocks in year 1).

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Stocks VS Bonds - Nominal


Stocks Above or Below

Mean

300,000

Blue line depicts how much Stocks were either above or below bonds at the end of the
45 year investment.
250,000

200,000

252,033

Any number above the "0 " line reflects total amount of dollars that stocks beat bonds.
Any number below 0 shows the total amount in dollars that bonds beat stocks.

Red Line indicates the mean beginning from 1958.


150,000

100,000

50,000

27,461

-50,000

When stocks beat bonds, they normally beat bonds by a mean of $51,374.
-100,000

-46,376

When bonds beat stocks, the normally beat stocks by a mean of $22,665.
-116,307

-150,000

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1913-1958
Mattress

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1914-1959
Mattress

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks + Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1915-1960
Mattress

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks + Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1916-1961
Mattress

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1917-1962
Mattress

45,000

40,000

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1918-1963
Mattress

40,000

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1919-1964
Mattress

45,000

40,000

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1920-1965
Mattress

50,000

45,000

40,000

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1921-1966
Mattress

50,000

45,000

40,000

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1922-1967
Mattress

50,000

45,000

40,000

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1923-1968
Mattress

50,000

45,000

40,000

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1924-1969
Mattress

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1925-1970
Mattress

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1926-1971
Mattress

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1927-1972
Mattress

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1928-1973
Mattress

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1929-1974
Mattress

50,000

45,000

40,000

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1930-1975
Mattress

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1931-1976
Mattress

50,000

45,000

40,000

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1932-1977
Mattress

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1933-1978
Mattress

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1934-1979
Mattress

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1935-1980
Mattress

70,000

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1936-1981
Mattress

80,000

70,000

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1937-1982
Mattress

90,000

80,000

70,000

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1938-1983
Mattress

100,000

90,000

80,000

70,000

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1939-1984
Mattress

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1940-1985
Mattress

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1941-1986
Mattress

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1942-1987
Mattress

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1943-1988
Mattress

180,000

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1944-1989
Mattress

200,000

180,000

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1945-1990
Mattress

200,000

180,000

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1946-1991
Mattress

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1947-1992
Mattress

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1948-1993
Mattress

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1949-1994
Mattress

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1950-1995
Mattress

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1951-1996
Mattress

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1952-1997
Mattress

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1953-1998
Mattress

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1954-1999
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1955-2000
Mattress

700,000

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1956-2001
Mattress

700,000

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1957-2002
Mattress

700,000

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1958-2003
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1959-2004
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1960-2005
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1961-2006
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1961-2006
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1962-2007
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1963-2008
Mattress

700,000

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1964-2009
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1965-2010
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1966-2011
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1967-2012
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1968-2012
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1969-2012
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1970-2012
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1971-2012
Mattress

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1972-2012
Mattress

500,000

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1973-2012
Mattress

500,000

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1974-2012
Mattress

500,000

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1975-2012
Mattress

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1976-2012
Mattress

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1977-2012
Mattress

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1978-2012
Mattress

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1979-2012
Mattress

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1980-2012
Mattress

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1981-2012
Mattress

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1982-2012
Mattress

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1983-2012
Mattress

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1984-2012
Mattress

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1985-2012
Mattress

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1986-2012
Mattress

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1987-2012
Mattress

200,000

180,000

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1988-2012
Mattress

180,000

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1989-2012
Mattress

180,000

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

Chris Turner, 2012

Nominal Performance
1990-2012
Mattress

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

All Stocks

Stocks and Bonds

All Bonds

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