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Value Investing in South Africa

Sean Riskowitz

Italian Value Investing Seminar July 2012

Introduction
Concentrated, long-term, long only value investments in South African equity market Midbrook Lane (Pty) Ltd
South Africa based Berkshire-modeled investment holding company (April 2007)

Riskowitz Value Fund LP


US onshore hedge fund (January 2011)

South Africa
One third of African GDP
GDP: $555m (PPP), 25th

Ranked first globally for auditing standards and financial market regulation (McKinsey 2011)
Zimbabwe

Excellent minority shareholder rights

51m people, 11 official languages 455 listed companies


~$900bn total market cap
Namibia

Zambia

Financial services, manufacturing, retail services, mining & government

Botswana

Lesotho

South Africa

Sources: IMF, World Bank, McKinsey Global Competitiveness Report 2011

Investment Approach
Two ways to make money investing: Buy a company trading at a discount to intrinsic value Buy a company where intrinsic value is increasing rapidly

Idea: Taste Holdings


Fast growing, vertically integrated franchise food service and jewelry system
$75m market cap ~400 franchised and company-owned stores in South Africa (Feb 2012)

Taste: A Royalty Franchise Business

High barriers to entry strong brands Very high returns on tangible capital (>70%)
Low capex requirements

Large, ongoing dividends Acquirer of choice Fish & Chip Co. Acquisition

Target Market

Extract from Taste Holdings 2012 Fiscal Year Results Presentation

Taste Holdings: Historical Review

41% CAGR

24% CAGR

We boldly aim to double our earnings by February 2014 [Feb 2012]


Extract from Taste Holdings 2012 Fiscal Year Results Presentation

Good Idea: Taste Holdings


Taste
R 4.00 R 3.50 R 3.00 R 2.50 R 2.00 R 1.50 R 1.00 R 0.50 R 0.00 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 PE: 5x Feb-11 Mar-11 Sep-10 Oct-10 Apr-11 May-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Feb-12 Mar-12 Jun-11 Jul-11 Apr-12 May-12 Jan-11 Jan-12 Aug-11 Nov-10 Dec-10 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Increased position Increased position Move to Main Board Declares maiden dividend (3c) Acquisition doubles store count PE: 24x (14x)

Taste

Established Long Position

Declares dividend (4c)

Lessons
Position sizing

Unimpaired quality businesses

Back the right people

Performance to June 30, 2012


Riskowitz Value Fund LP
2011 2012 + 68% + 24%

Midbrook Lane (Pty) Ltd


+ 35% annualized since April 1, 2007

Returns are subject to change. Past performance is no assurance of future result. Figures are after all fees and expenses.

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