AEI Special Poll Report: Health Care and the 2012 Election

(November 2012)
Karlyn Bowman and Andrew Rugg In commentary on its September 2012 poll, surveyors at the Kaiser Family Foundation wrote [the poll finds the public as divided as ever about the health reform law overall, with 45 percent saying they had a favorable opinion of it in September and 40 percent an unfavorable one. (Their October poll on the law was 38 percent favorable, 43 percent unfavorable.) In the CBS News/New York Times poll from September, 42 percent approved and 46 percent disapproved of it. We agree that the division of opinion in recent months has been a close one. Recent polls on the Presidents handling of health care show opinions tilt towards disapproval. When pollsters ask about whether Republicans or Democrats would better handle the issue, Democrats lead the Republicans, although there are not many recent questions on this. Recent polls of registered voters show the country divided on whether Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would do a better job handling the issue, although Obama appears to have a slight edge. The economy and jobs tend to be the top issues of concern to Americans, but health care often ranks third in terms of concern. In the latest National Journal poll from September 2012, people said the country would be better off under the Obama health care plan. They were less sure about themselves and their families: 43 percent said they would be better off and 40 percent worse off under the plan. As for what to do with the law now, the September 2012 CBS/New York Times survey shows that around 37 percent want to either expand the law or keep it, while 46 percent want to either repeal just the mandate or the law entirely. Full wording of the questions at the beginning of the document appear on pages 15 through 17.

1|Page

Views on the Legislation/Law

Jul. 2009 Aug. 2009 Sep. 2009 Oct. 2009 Nov. 2009 Dec. 2009 Jan. 2010 Feb. 2010 Mar. 2010 Apr. 2010 May 2010 Jun. 2010 Jul. 2010 Aug. 2010 Sep. 2010 Oct. 2010 Nov. 2010 Dec. 2010 Jan. 2011 Feb. 2011 Mar. 2011 May 2011 Jun. 2011 Aug. 2011 Sep. 2011 Nov. 2011 Dec. 2011 Jan. 2012 Feb. 2012 Mar. 2012 Apr. 2012 May 2012 --ABC/WP-Sup Opp 45% 50% 46 48 48 48 48 49 44 51 44 51 47 49 48 49 49 49 45 50 47 48 43 52 45 50 41 52 39 53 --Pew-Fav Opp 38% 44% 39 46 42 44 34 47 42 39 35 48 39 48 38 50 40 47 40 44 35 47 44 46 38 45 43 47 41 48 47 45 41 49 -CBS/NYTApp Dis - 40% 45% 37 48 - - 43 47 36 49 37 49 39 43 36 50 33 51 37 48 35 51 39 47 34 48 CNN/ORC Fav Opp 46% 49% 38 58 39 59 39 54 43 56 40 56 43 54 37 59 39 56 38 56 43 50 43 51 ---Fox--Fav Opp 36% 47% 34 49 33 53 35 54 35 51 34 57 39 51 35 55 39 50 40 53 AP/GfK Sup Opp 34% 49% 40 40 39 45 36 44 42 42 41 43 39 45 41 40 38 40 35 36 29 35 46 42 46 45 47 41 45 46 49 47 --Kaiser-Fav Unfav 46% 40% 41 44 48 41 50 35 43 45 49 40 42 44 42 40 42 41 41 50 43 48 42 46 42 44 42 46 39 44 41 43 37 44 41 43 37 44 42 43 41 40 42 43 37 44 NBC/WSJ Good Bad 36% 42% 36 42 39 41 38 42 32 47 31 48 36 48 38 44 38 46 36 46 39 39 34 41 36 45 2|Page

--ABC/WP-Sup Opp Jun. 2012 Jul. 2012 47 47 Aug. 2012 Sep. 2012 Oct. 2012 -

--Pew-Fav Opp -

-CBS/NYTApp Dis 36 50 42 46 -

CNN/ORC Fav Opp 39 49 -

---Fox--Fav Opp -

-AP/GfKSup Opp -

--Kaiser-Fav Unfav 41 41 38 44 38 43 45 40 38 43

NBC/WSJ Good Bad 35 41 -

How is President Obama Handling Health Care?

July 2009 Aug. 2009 Sep. 2009 Oct. 2009 Nov. 2009 Dec. 2009 Jan. 2010 Feb. 2010 Mar. 2010 Apr. 2010 May 2010 Jun. 2010 Jul. 2010 Aug. 2010 Sep. 2010 Oct. 2010 Nov. 2010 Dec. 2010 Jan. 2011 Feb. 2011 Mar. 2011 May 2011 ---Gallup--App Dis 44% 50% 43 49 43 52 40 53 37 58 36 60 42 54 40 57 40 56 40 56 --ABC/WP-App Dis 49% 44% 46 50 47 48 48 48 47 49 44 53 45 52 43 54 48 49 49 49 46 50 43 52 Quinnipiac App Dis 46% 42% 39 52 41 51 41 53 38 56 35 58 35 58 44 50** 40 55 44 51 44 51 40 56 -CBS/NYTApp Dis 46% 38% 40 47 47 45 47 42 44 48 42 50 40 54 35 55 47 48 41 51 42 52 46 37 ---Fox--App Dis 43% 45% 44 48 42 50 39 54 37 56 40 53 41 55 39 55 42 56 -CNN/ORCApp Dis 44% 53% 51 47 42 57 40 59 45 54 44 54 44 55 41 58 40 57 -AP/GfKApp Dis 50% 43% 42 52 48 47 49 46 49 46 48 48 49 46 44 52 45 51 49 46 45 53 50 50 47 53 48 51 51 49 52 48 54 46 Economist App Dis 37% 55% 40 52 44 48 43 50 41 51 40 52 41 50 39 53 39 55 40 54 39 55 40 53 47 39 38 54 37 54 38 55 3|Page

---Gallup--App June 2011 Aug. 2011 Oct. 2011 Nov. 2011 41 Dec. 2011 Jan. 2012 Feb. 2012 41 Mar. 2012 Apr. 2012 May 2012 Jun. 2012 Jul. 2012 Aug. 2012 Sep. 2012 Oct. 2012 -

--ABC/WP-- Quinnipiac Dis App Dis App 55 41 56 56 40 41 52 43 42 -

-CBS/NYT- ---Fox--Dis App Dis App 41 42 56 43 44 43 52 38 50 46 48 47

-CNN/ORC- -AP/GfKDis App Dis App 45 54 47 50 46 45 38 59 55 44 48 52 51 44 51 48 51 47 50 -

Economist Dis App 54 38 53 35 54 36 37 55 39 39 51 41 37 50 38 40 47 44

Dis 50 55 52 53 51 50 48 52 52 48 50 49

Democrats vs. Republicans on Health Care

AP-GfK/Roper ---Kaiser--Dem Rep Dem Rep Party Party Party Party Sep. 2007 Nov. 2007 Feb. 2008 Jul. 2009 Aug. 2009 Dec. 2009* Jan. 2010 48% 38% Feb. 2010 Mar. 2010 48 37 Apr. 2010 48 40 May 2010 47 39 Jun. 2010 51 38 -ABC/WP- -CNN/ORC- -NBC/WSJ- -CBS/NYTDem Rep Dem Rep Dem Rep Dem Rep Cong. Cong. Cong. Cong. Party Party Party Party 56% 26% 54 29 56 29 40% 23% 51% 42% 43 40 44% 27% 47 34 48 46 37 28 ---Fox--Dem Rep Party Party ---Pew--Dem Rep Party Party 46% 27% 45 32 4|Page

Jul. 2010

AP-GfK/Roper ---Kaiser--Dem Rep Dem Rep Party Party Party Party Aug. 2010 50 40 Sep. 2010 49 40 49% 32% Oct. 2010 48 43 46 31 Jan. 2011 49 37 Feb. 2011 44 31 Mar. 2011 53 36 Apr. 2011 May 2011 53 35 Jun. 2011 50 38 45 36 Jul. 2011 Aug. 2011 49 37 Sep. 2011 Dec. 2011 Jan. 2012 Mar. 2012 Jun. 2012 -

-ABC/WP- -CNN/ORC- -NBC/WSJ- -CBS/NYTDem Rep Dem Rep Dem Rep Dem Rep Cong. Cong. Cong. Cong. Party Party Party Party 40 30 44 39 46 45 46 38 42 32 46 28 42 25 39 26 41 28 -

42% 43% ---Fox--Dem Rep Party Party 44 40 -

---Pew--Dem Rep Party Party 46 36 39 32 42 40 49 38 47 31 -

Will You Be Better Off?

Q: Do you think you and your family will be better off or worse under the new health care reform law, or dont you think it will make much difference? (Kaiser Family Foundation) Better Worse No Diff Better Worse No Diff Better Worse No Diff Feb. 2009 38% 11% 43% Dec. 2009 35 27 32 Aug. 2010 29 30 36 Apr. 2009 43 14 36 Jan. 2010 32 33 29 Sep. 2010 32 28 33 Jun. 2009 39 16 36 Feb. 2010 34% 32% 26% Oct. 2010 31 29 32 Jul. 2009 39 21 32 Mar. 2010 35 32 28 Nov. 2010 25 31 34 Aug. 2009 36 31 27 Apr. 2010 31 32 30 Dec. 2010 32% 33% 28% Sep. 2009 42 23 28 May 2010 29 30 32 Jan. 2011 20 32 44 Oct. 2009 41 27 28 Jun. 2010 28 28 39 Feb. 2011 28 31 38 Nov. 2009 42 24 27 Jul. 2010 32 29 33 Mar. 2011 26 30 39 5|Page

Apr. 2011 May 2011 Jul. 2011 Aug. 2011 Sep. 2011 Oct. 2011

27 28 27 24 27 18 Better

28 37 28 38 29 39 33 37 32 34 31 44 Worse No Diff

Nov. 2011 Dec. 2011 Jan. 2012 Feb. 2012 Mar. 2012 Apr. 2012

23% 31% 41% 26 31 39 26 33 35 Better Worse No Diff 27% 25% 41% 26 33 34 26 32 34

May 2012 Jul. 2012 Aug. 2012 Sep. 2012 Oct. 2012

23 Better 25% 26 31 26

31 37 Worse No Diff 32% 37% 30 37 26 33 32 33

Q: In general, would you say that President Obama's health care reform plan will make things better or worse for each of the following groups? First, how about people like you and your family? Will Obama's health care reform plan make things better or worse for this group? ----------For you and your family-------Better Worse Same (vol.) Sep. 2012 National Journal 43% 40% 8%

Will the Country Be Better Off?

Q: Do you think the country as a whole will be better off or worse under the new health care reform law, or dont you think it will make much difference? (Kaiser Family Foundation) Better 59% 56 57 51 45 53 53 54 45 42 45 45 45 Worse 12% 15 16 23 34 26 28 27 31 37 34 34 35 No Diff 19% 21 19 16 14 14 12 11 17 12 12 14 11 Better Worse 43 35 42% 32% 43 35 39 37 42 34 39 34 38 36 40 37 34 38 37 39 38 35 39 35 37 38 No Diff 13 19% 15 18 15 18 16 15 22 19 19 18 19 Better Worse No Diff 35 39 20 39 35 20 33% 37% 21% 38 36 18 28 36 39 35 36 22 37 37 19 37 36 19 39 32 22 37 38 18 39 38 17 34 35 20 35 41 18 6|Page

Feb. 2009 Apr. 2009 Jun. 2009 Jul. 2009 Aug. 2009 Sep. 2009 Oct. 2009 Nov. 2009 Dec. 2009 Jan. 2010 Feb. 2010 Mar. 2010 Apr. 2010

May 2010 Jun. 2010 Jul. 2010 Aug. 2010 Sep. 2010 Oct. 2010 Nov. 2010 Dec. 2010 Jan. 2011 Feb. 2011 Mar. 2011 Apr. 2011 May 2011

Jun. 2011 Jul. 2011 Aug. 2011 Sep. 2011 Oct. 2011 Nov. 2011 Dec. 2011 Jan. 2012 Feb. 2012 Mar. 2012 Apr. 2012 May 2012 Jul. 2012

Aug. 2012 36 37 17 Sep. 2012 40 33 17 Oct. 2012 34 35 21 Q: In general, would you say that President Obama's health care reform plan will make things better or worse for each of the following groups? First, how about the country overall? Will Obama's health care reform plan make things better or worse for this group? --------For the country overall------Better Worse Same (vol.) 50% 39% 1%

Sep. 2012

National Journal

Obama vs. Romney

Apr. 2012 Jun. 2012 July 2012 Aug. 2012 Sep. 2012 Oct. 2012 ---PSRA/Pew--Obama/Romney 45% 44% 49 41 52 39 47 45* ---Fox News--Obama/Romney 43% 40% 49 42 50 41 48 46 --CNN/ORC-Obama/Romney 51 44 50 46 50 46 -ABC/Wash PostObama/Romney 49% 40% 48 44 47 45 48 44 49 43

Note: PSRA/Pew, Fox, CNN/ORC, CBS/NYT ABC/Wash Post asked of registered voters. *Results reflect the late October PSRA/Pew poll. The earlier October Pew poll had Obama at 47% and Romney at 44%. Q: Which 2012 presidential election candidate, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, do you trust to do a better job determining the future of the 2010 health care law? Obama Romney May 2012* Kaiser 50% 31% Jul. 2012* Kaiser 45 34 Sep. 2012 Kaiser 53 33 Oct. 2012 Kaiser 48 36 Note: * Question wording read dealing with the future of the 2010 health care law.

7|Page

The Individual Mandate

Q: Do you think the Federal Government should have the power to require all Americans to buy health insurance, and to pay a fine if they dont, or do you think the Federal Government should not have that power? The Federal government should have the power to require all Americans to buy health insurance AP-GfK/Roper 17% AP-GfK/Roper 16 AP-GfK/Roper 15 The Federal government should not have the power to require all Americans to buy health insurance 83% 82 84

Aug. 2010 Aug. 2011 Dec. 2011

Q: I'm going to read you several elements of the health reform law. For each, please tell me if you think lawmakers should keep it or repeal it. Should lawmakers keep or repeal this part of the law? The law will require nearly all Americans to have health insurance or else pay a fine. Keep it but make changes 2% 3 2

Nov. 2010 Feb. 2011 Mar. 2011

Kaiser Kaiser Kaiser

Keep 27% 28 27

Repeal 68% 67 67

Q: As you may know, the health reform law will require nearly all Americans to have health insurance by 2014 or else pay a fine. Would you say you feel very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable about that provision of the law? Very favorable 14% 14 11 16 Somewhat favorable 20% 13 12 19 Somewhat unfavorable 21% 18 17 20 Very unfavorable 44% 52 59 43 8|Page

Jun. 2010 Aug. 2010 Jan. 2011 Nov. 2011

Kaiser Kaiser Kaiser Kaiser

Dec. 2011 Jan. 2012 Mar. 2012 Apr. 2012

Kaiser Kaiser Kaiser Kaiser

17 14 15 15

16 16 17 15

18 15 12 17

47 52 54 53

Q: As you may know, the healthcare bill passed in 2010 includes a provision that will require all Americans who do not have health insurance to get it. Do you favor or oppose that provision? Favor 44% 52 47 48 Oppose 54% 47 51 51

Jun. 2011 Nov. 2011 Mar. 2012 Jul. 2012

CNN/ORC CNN/ORC CNN/ORC CNN/ORC

Q: Do you think all Americans should be required to have health insurance, or dont you think they should? Should 54% 50% Should not 42% 46%

Jan. 2011 Feb. 2011

CBS News CBS News

Q: Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose a law that would require every American to have health insurance, or pay money to the government as a penalty if they do not, unless the person is very poor? Favor 31% 34 Oppose 59% 58 Neither 7% 6

Jan. 2011 Feb. 2012

AP-GfK/Roper AP-GfK/Roper

Q: The new health care law requires all Americans who can afford it to have some form of health insurance or else pay a penalty. Can you think of any circumstance where they federal government should be able to require Americans to buy something whether they want it or not? Yes, I can 24% No, I cant 73% 9|Page

Dec. 2011

Fox

Q: As you may know, one of the parts of the law that the Supreme Court will rule on is the requirement that nearly all Americans have health insurance. In your own opinion, do you think the Supreme Court should rule that it is constitutional or unconstitutional for the federal government to require all Americans to have health insurance, or do you not know enough to say? Unsure/Refused /Dont know 29% 29 21 23

Dec. 2011 Jan. 2012 Mar. 2012 Apr. 2012

Kaiser Kaiser Kaiser Kaiser

Constitutional 17% 17 28 26

Unconstitutional 54% 54 51 51

Q: Now, if the Supreme Court rules that the part of the health care law called the individual mandate, that requires everyone to either have or buy health insurance is unconstitutional and will not be implemented, do you think this will help you and your family, hurt you and your family, or not make much difference either way? Help 18% Hurt 25% Not make difference 55%

Jun. 2012

NBC/WSJ

Note: Asked of a half sample.

Repeal, Replace?
Q: What would you like to see Congress do when it comes to the health care law? They should expand the law. They should keep the law as is. They should repeal the law and replace it with a Republican-sponsored alternative. They should repeal the law and not replace it. (Kaiser Family Foundation) Keep Replace w/ Repeal & as is GOP alt not replace Unsure 19% 23% 20% 10% 20 19 20 10 21 18 21 10 19 15 20 14 Keep Replace w/ Repeal & as is GOP alt not replace Unsure 21% 19% 19% 10% 20 19 19 12 20 16 21 10 19 16 21 12 10 | P a g e

Expand Jan. 2011 28% Feb. 2011 30 Mar. 2011 30 Apr. 2011 33

Expand May 2011 30% Jun. 2011 31 Jul. 2011 33 Sep. 2011 33

Nov. 2011 Dec. 2011 Jan. 2012 Feb. 2012 Mar. 2012

32 30 31 35 28

18 20 19 19 19

15 16 18 18 18

24 22 22 19 23

11 11 11 9 12

May 2012 Jun. 2012 Jul. 2012 Aug. 2012

27 28 24 26

20 25 21 23

18 18 23 20

21 20 23 20

13 10 10 11

Q: Do you think Congress should try to repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand? Repeal Let it stand 48% 43% 44 45 47 41 52 39 51 38 49 43

Jan. 2011 Apr. 2011 Nov. 2011 Feb. 2012 Apr. 2012 Jul. 2012

Quinnipiac Quinnipiac Quinnipiac Quinnipiac Quinnipiac Quinnipiac

Q: Which one of the following comes closest to what you would like to see lawmakers do with the new health care law? Would you like lawmakers to repeal the law entirely, repeal parts of the law, expand the law, or leave it as is? Leave as is 15% 16 14 16 14 22
22

Oct. 2010 Dec. 2010 Jan. 2011 Apr. 2011 Mar. 2012 Jul. 2012
Oct. 2012

Fox Fox Fox Fox Fox Fox

Fox

Expand it 20% 15 20 18 22 18
17

Repeal parts 29% 32 34 29 28 28

26

Repeal entirely 29% 27 27 31 31 29

28

Note: Asked of registered voters. Q: What, if anything, do you think Congress should do with the health care law? Expand it 30% Leave it as is 22% Repeal it 40% 11 | P a g e

Nov. 2010

PSRA/Pew

Jan. 2011 Oct. 2011 Mar. 2012

PSRA/Pew PSRA/Pew PSRA/Pew

35 31 33

20 22 20

37 38 38

Q: And, would you favor or oppose repealing and eliminating this health care law? Strongly favor repeal 35% 36 40 Not so strongly Not so strongly favor repeal oppose repeal 10% 12% 10 15 9 12 Strongly oppose oppose repeal 34% 25 30

Jan. 2011 Dec. 2011 Apr. 2012

NBC/WSJ NBC/WSJ NBC/WSJ

Note: Question wording for January and December 2011 read . . . this new health care law . . .. Q: Now that the Supreme Court has ruled the healthcare law constitutional, would you like Congress to do 1) keep the law in place and pass further legislation to expand the governments role in healthcare beyond what the law currently does, 2) keep the law in place and take no further action on healthcare, 3) keep the law in place but repeal parts of it, or 4) repeal the law entirely? Expand government 25% Keep law in place 13% Repeal parts of law 21% Repeal law entirely 31%

Jun. 2012

Gallup

Q: Which comes closer to your view? Now that the Supreme Court has ruled to uphold the health care law, opponents of law should stop their efforts to block the law and move on to other national problems or opponents of the law should continue trying to block the law from being implemented? Kaiser Stop their efforts to block the law and move on to other national problems Continue trying to block the law from being implemented Jun. 2012 56% 38 Jul. 2012 58% 37

12 | P a g e

Q: Turning to the health care law passed in 2010, what is your opinion of the law? It should be repealed. It may need small modifications, but we should see how it works. It should be left alone. Should be repealed 34% See how it works 40% Should be left alone 19%

Sep. 2012

Bloomberg

Q: What would you like to see Congress do when it comes to the 2010 health care law? Expand the health care law. Keep the entire health care law as it is. Repeal the part of the law that requires Americans to obtain health insurance if they don't have it, but keep the rest of the law intact. Repeal the entire health care law. Expand the law 22% Keep entire law in place 15% Repeal the mandate 26% Repeal the entire law 30%

Sep. 2012

CBS/NYT

The Supreme Court Ruling

Q: As you may know, the U.S. Supreme Court has upheld the entire 2010 healthcare law, declaring it constitutional. Do you agree or disagree with this decision? Agree 46% Disagree 46%

Jun. 28, 2012

Gallup/USA Today

Q: The Supreme Court recently decided to uphold the health care law. Do you approve or disapprove of the Courts decision in this case? Approve 47% 45 Disapprove 43% 47

Jun. 2012 Jul. 2012

Kaiser Kaiser

13 | P a g e

Q: Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the U.S. Supreme Courts ruling on the federal health care law? Jun. 28 Jul. 1, 2012 ABC/Wash Post Favorable 43% Unfavorable 42%

Q: Regardless of your feelings about the law itself, do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. Supreme Court ruling on the health care law last week? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? Approve 42% Disapprove 44%

Jul. 8, 2012

ABC/Wash Post

Q: From what youve read and heard about the Supreme Courts ruling on the 2010 health care law, would you say you strongly approve, approve, disapprove, or strongly disapprove of their decision? Strongly approve Approve 14% 22% Disapprove 21% Strongly disapprove 19%

Jun. 28Jul. 1, 2012 PSRA/Pew

Q: As you may know, on Thursday the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that provision of the health care law is constitutional, allowing nearly all of the proposals in the health care law to take effect. In general, do you agree or disagree with the U.S. Supreme Courts decision in that case? Jun. 28 Jul. 1, 2012 CNN/ORC Agree 50% Disagree 49%

Q: The Supreme Court has heard a challenge to the health care law and voted to uphold it. Do you agree or disagree with the Supreme Court decision to uphold the law? Agree 48% Disagree 45%

Jul. 18, 2012

Quinnipiac

Q: Regardless of how you feel about the 2010 health care law, do you agree or disagree with the U.S. Supreme Court decision on the law? Agree Disagree Jul. 1517, 2012 Fox News 46% 46% 14 | P a g e

Q: Now that the Supreme Court has ruled that the health care law is constitutional, meaning that it will be implemented, are you pleased, disappointed, or do you have mixed feelings about it? And, are you very or just somewhat pleased/disappointed that the Supreme Court has ruled the health care law is constitutional? Very pleased 21% Somewhat pleased 10% Somewhat Very disappointed disappointed 3% 32%

Jul. 1822, 2012

NBC/WSJ

Mixed feelings 31%

Q: As you may know, the Supreme Court upheld most of the 2010 health care law. Do you think the Supreme Courts decision to keep the health care law mostly in place was a good thing or a bad thing? Good thing 46% Bad thing 41% Both good/bad 2%

Jul. 1116, 2012

CBS/NYT

Views on the legislation/law Full question wordings Q: Overall, given what you know about them, would you say you support or oppose the proposed changes to the health care system being developed by Congress and the Obama administration? (ABC/Washington Post) Beginning in March 2010, ABC/WP question wording read Given what you know about them, would you say you support or oppose the changes to the health care system that have been enacted by Congress and the Obama administration? Beginning in March 2012, question wording read Overall, do you support or oppose the federal law making changes to the health care system?" Q: As of right now, do you generally favor or generally oppose the health care proposals being discussed in Congress? (Pew) Starting in April 2010, the question wording changed to ask Do you approve or disapprove of the health care legislation passed by Barack Obama and Congress last month? In September, August and July 2010 the question asked about legislation passed in March. In November, the question read earlier this year. In January 2011, the question asked about legislation passed last year. The March 2012 question asked people whether they approved or disapproved of the health care legislation passed in 2010. Q: From what you have read or heard, do you mostly approve or mostly disapprove of the proposed changes to the health care system under consideration in Congress? (CBS/NYT) In November 2009, question wording read mostly approve or mostly disapprove of the proposed changes to the health care system under consideration in Congress For March 2010, question asked about the current 15 | P a g e

health care reform bill. After March 2010, question read: From what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of the new health care reform bill? Q: As you may know, the U.S. House of Representatives recently passed a bill that would make major changes in the countrys health care system. Based on what you have read or heard about that legislation, do you generally favor it or generally oppose it? (CNN/ORC) Question wording for January 2010 asked about the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives recently passed bills. May 2010 question wording was Do you approve or disapprove of the passage of the health care bill which became law in April? Favor is equated with approve and oppose is equated with disapprove. The October, August, and March 2010 and June 2011 question read As you may know, a bill that makes major changes to the countrys health care system became law earlier this year. Based on what you have read or heard about that legislation, do you generally favor or generally oppose it? Q: Based on what you know about the health care reform legislation being considered right now, do you favor or oppose the plan? (Fox) Question wording for April 2010 read Based on what you know, do you favor or oppose the new health care law?. Question wording for April 2012 reads Do you favor or oppose the new national health care law that was passed by Congress and signed into law by President Obama in 2010. Q: In general, do you support, oppose or neither support nor oppose the health care reform plans being discussed in Congress? (APGfK/Roper) Question wording after April 2010 reads: In general, do you support, oppose or neither support nor oppose the health care reforms that were passed by Congress in March? Q: President Obama did sign a health reform bill into law last month given what you know about the new health reform law, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of it? (Kaiser) Question wording after April 2010 reads As you may know, a new health reform bill was signed into law earlier this year. Given what you know about the new health reform law, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of it? Q: From what you have heard about Barack Obama's health care plan that was passed by Congress and signed into law by the President in 2010, do you think his plan is a good idea or a bad idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. (NBC/WSJ) Question wording for May and June 2010 was "From what you have heard about Barack Obama's health care plan that was recently passed by Congress and signed into law by the President, do you think his plan is a good idea or a bad idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so." Question wording for March 2010 and earlier was "From what you have heard about Barack Obama's health care plan, do you think his plan is a good idea or a bad idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so." How is President Obama Handling Health Care? Full question wordings Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care policy? (Gallup, Pew, CNN/ORC) Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling health care? (ABC/Washington Post) Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care? (Quinnipiac, CBS/New York Times) Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing on the following issues . . . healthcare? (Fox) Q: If you had to choose, do you lean more toward approving or disapproving of the way Barack Obama is handling health care?(AP/GfK-Roper) Q: Below are some issues facing the country. For 16 | P a g e

each one, indicate whether you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling that issue health care. (Economist/YouGov). The Economist/Yougov poll is an internet poll. The February 2010 poll was asked immediately after the congressional health care vote. Democrats and Republicans on Health Care Full question wordings Q: Who do you trust to do a better job of handling health care, the Democrats or the Republicans? (AP-GfK/Roper) Q: Overall, which party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job handling health care reform going forward? (Kaiser) Q: Which political party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job handling health care? (ABC/Washington Post) Q: Do you think the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress would do a better job of dealing with each of the following issues and problems . . .Health care?( CNN/ORC) Q: Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican Party or the Democratic Party is more likely to improve the health care system? (CBS/New York Times) Q: Which political partythe Democrats or the Republicansdo you think would do a better job on each of the following issues Health Care? (Fox) Q: Please tell me if you think the Republican Party or the Democratic Party could do a better job in each of the following areas . . . Which party could do a better job of dealing with health care? (Pew Research Center) Q: When it comes to dealing with health care which party do you think would do a better job the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, or both about the same?(NBC/Wall Street Journal) . Note: * Question wording Who do you trust more to handle major changes in the countrys health care systemthe Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress? **Question wording Which party could do a better job of reforming the US health care system? Will you/the country be better off? Full question wordings February 2009 through March 2010, Kaiser Family Foundation wording was Do you think (you/the country) would be better off or worse off if the president and Congress passed health care reform, or dont you think it would make much difference? Obama vs. Romney Full question wordings Q: Regardless of who you support, which of the 2012 presidential election candidates Mitt Romney or Barack Obama do you think would do the better job of dealing with health care? (PSRA/Pew) Q: Regardless of how you might vote, which presidential candidate do you trust to do a better job on each of the following issues -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? (Fox News) Q: Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President in 2012. Health care. (CNN/ORC) Q: Regardless of who you support for president in 2012, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling health care policy-- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? (ABC/Washington Post).

17 | P a g e