IOOS & Hurricanes & Fish Oh My!

Scott Glenn Rutgers University

Regions

The Rise of the Regional Scale!

Hurricane Forecasting

Demand for Fish

U.S. IOOS Mid-Atlantic Region - MARACOOS

Mid-Atlantic Regional Association Coastal Ocean Observing System Cape 1000 km Cod Cape to Cape

Critical Habitat

People Ports

Cape Hatteras

Offshore Energy

MARACOOS Satellite Data Network

Coldest Dark Pixel SST

River Plumes

Plankton Blooms

MARACOOS HF Radar Network

Mid-Atlantic HF Radar Network 16 Long-Range CODARs 7 Medium-Range CODARs 17 Short-Range CODARs 41 Total Triple Nested, Multistatic, Dual-Use

MARACOOS Glider Network

Satellite Ocean Color

Satellite SST

MARACOOS
MURI
Intl. Missions
EPA & NJDEP
Cblast
Endurance
OSSE
SW06

Subsurface Glider Data

Many Missions,
Many Agencies

MARACOOS Operations Center

Rutgers University - Coastal Ocean Observation Lab

Satellite Data Acquisi9on Sta9ons

CODAR Network

Glider Fleet

3-D Forecasts

Hurricane Irene approaches MARACOOS Network

Track accurately forecast days in advance. Intensity overpredicted. After

Before

August 27, 2011

Post-Hurricane Irene Sea Surface Temperatures

Global SST

Regional SST

SST Difference

But when did the Cooling occur?

Hurricane Irene Glider Tracks & Temperature

Mixing & Cooling Occurs Rapidly as the Eye Approaches

Hurricane Irene SST Sensitivity Hindcast

Global Warm SST

Maximum Wind Speed Skill Score RMS Error Official Forecast 9.43

Regional Cold SST

Cold SST Hindcast 3.61

Warm SST Warm SST + Hindcast OML Model Hindcast 7.13 7.09

But What About the Fish?

Large Summer-Winter SST Differences

Produce Migratory Fish Species

NOAA Fisheries + MARACOOS = Fish Habitat Models

Favorable

1998

Unfavorable

Butterfish Fall modeled as metabolic thermal response

2006

Gliders with integrated Fish-Tag Receivers

Satellite Salinity

Glider Salinity

Tagged-Fish found
in the freshwater river plume

Thermal Structure of the Regional Scale Ocean:

1) Feedback on Weather Forecasts 2) Structure Large Marine Ecosystems

64 Large Marine Ecosystems  produce 80%

of the
Worlds Annual Fisheries Yields

Current Global Population: 7 Billion

But: 800 Million without Clean Water 1.0 Billion without Adequate Food 1.4 Billion without Electricity

2050 Global Population: 9 Billion

Growth is Concentrated in Developing Countries

Migration is towards Coastal Megacites

Future Water Scarcity

Climate Change Only

Population Growth + Climate Change

What do we need most?

Educated Young People

How do we take these students to sea?

How do we reduce the barriers to participation?
How do we build a diverse global community?

The Ocean is our Classroom - Telepresence

Interactive Science
& Education through Cyber-Telepresence

The Ocean is our Classroom - Omnipresence

Global Challenger Glider Mission 16 Legs with 16 GlobalClass Gliders

Creating the Next Generation of Ocean Explorers