Crosstabs Wisconsin VOTERS 092812

JZ Analytics Interactive Poll of Wisconsin Likely Voters 9/28/12 to 9/29/12 MOE +/- 4.
9 percentage points
201. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's job as president?
Party
Total
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
23.3
87
56.1
109
26.3
54
34.9
15
54
13.1
5.4
130
31.4
24
5.9
Not sure
Total
Republican
96
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Democratic
Ideology Recoded
414 100.0
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Not sure
Total
Total
%
Moderate
18-49
50+
%
<$50K
$50-100K
$100K+
8.3
40
54.3
44
24.6
3.9
55
24.0
37
22.3
63
30.0
23
17.5
22.2
10.2
40
34.5
22
29.4
69
38.4
6.7
62
26.8
45
26.6
59
28.6
34
26.1
25.5
29
20.7
16
14.1
6.4
27
15.0
18
14.5
31
13.5
20
12.0
25
12.2
18
13.8
12.7
.9
97
67.9
32
27.4
9.9
31
17.1
89
73.3
71
30.5
54
32.2
47
22.5
50
38.2
12
35.8
2.8
1.2
18
15.8
4.8
1.7
12
5.2
12
6.9
14
6.7
4.5
3.8
155 100.0
143 100.0
117 100.0
Gender
N
Liberal
Income
10
Total
Independent
Age
Conservativ
e
Male
%
74 100.0
180 100.0
121 100.0
Education
Female
No College
Degree
231 100.0
168 100.0
208 100.0
Race
College
Degree+
White
%
132 100.0
34 100.0
Wal-Mart Shop
Not White
Weekly
Few/Month
1-2/year
Never
Other
%
96
23.3
96
23.3
45
23.1
49
23.0
65
26.3
32
19.0
75
21.2
21
36.3
23
27.4
40
24.6
25
19.3
24.3
15.3
109
26.3
109
26.3
52
26.2
56
26.3
62
24.9
47
28.6
96
27.1
13
21.7
15
17.2
46
28.2
39
30.6
20.4
6.9
54
13.1
54
13.1
14
7.4
40
18.5
26
10.7
27
16.4
52
14.7
2.9
6.9
19
12.1
25
19.1
13.7
130
31.4
130
31.4
70
35.6
60
27.9
82
33.1
49
29.3
114
32.0
16
27.8
33
38.6
50
30.8
31
23.9
12
41.6
77.8
24
5.9
24
5.9
15
7.8
4.3
12
5.0
11
6.6
18
5.0
11.4
9.8
4.3
7.1
414 100.0
414 100.0
197 100.0
214 100.0
247 100.0
165 100.0
356 100.0
58 100.0
85 100.0
162 100.0
129 100.0
30 100.0
5 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative.
JZ Analytics LLC
Page 1
9/29/2012
JZ Analytics Interactive Poll of Wisconsin Likely Voters 9/28/12 to 9/29/12 MOE +/- 4.9 percentage points
201. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's job as president?
Total
Total
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Not sure
Total
Catholic
%
Religion
Protestan
Jewish
t
96
23.3
96
23.3
30
22.1
48
24.1
109
26.3
109
26.3
40
29.1
35
17.8
Strongly disapprove
Not sure
Total
1 100.0
Yes
No
%
Weekly+
Weekly
1-2/Month
Holidays
Rarely
Never
18
23.7
10
14.6
38
28.9
14.0
28
26.3
14.2
14
29.1
34
26.9
12
18.9
33
42.4
11
16.0
25
18.7
4.4
16
15.7
15
41.7
15
29.9
34
27.1
26
40.0
13.1
54
13.1
13
9.7
33
16.7
10.0
14.1
24
18.0
8.2
11
10.4
12.9
13.2
21
16.5
8.8
31.4
130
31.4
41
30.0
72
36.5
17
21.3
36
54.1
36
27.6
16
68.4
42
40.0
11
29.6
13
26.7
26
20.7
20
30.1
24
5.9
24
5.9
12
9.1
10
5.0
2.7
1.3
6.9
5.0
7.7
1.7
1.1
11
8.8
2.2
414 100.0
414 100.0
137 100.0
199 100.0
1 100.0
78 100.0
67 100.0
Marital status
Total
Somewhat disapprove
54
Somewhat approve
Attend services
130
Total
Strongly approve
Born again
Other/
None
Married
Single
24 100.0
Civil
union
Yes
No
%
105 100.0
36 100.0
Union Member in
Household
Child under 17
Div/Sep/
Wdw
132 100.0
Yes
%
125 100.0
NASCAR Fan
No
%
49 100.0
Yes
%
Investor Class
No
%
65 100.0
Yes
%
No
%
96
23.3
96
23.3
38
18.5
29
25.1
23
31.5
34.2
16
14.2
81
26.7
16
23.4
81
23.3
22
22.5
74
23.5
16
17.3
81
25.0
109
26.3
109
26.3
51
24.5
32
28.2
22
30.6
16.7
35
31.4
74
24.4
18
26.3
91
26.3
28
28.2
81
25.7
31
33.6
78
24.2
54
13.1
54
13.1
34
16.4
8.2
10
14.0
2.3
17
15.5
37
12.2
12
18.3
42
12.1
11
10.7
44
13.8
13
13.8
41
12.9
130
31.4
130
31.4
73
35.0
33
28.8
16
21.6
46.8
40
35.5
90
29.9
12
18.4
118
33.9
35
35.8
95
30.1
28
31.0
102
31.5
24
5.9
24
5.9
12
5.6
11
9.6
2.3
3.4
21
6.8
13.6
15
4.4
2.8
22
6.9
4.3
21
6.4
414 100.0
414 100.0
208 100.0
115 100.0
73 100.0
18 100.0
112 100.0
302 100.0
67 100.0
347 100.0
98 100.0
316 100.0
92 100.0
322 100.0
JZ Analytics LLC
Page 2
9/29/2012
203. Do you think President Obama deserves to be re-elected or do you think it is time for someone new?
Party
Total
Democratic
Ideology Recoded
Republican
Independent
Liberal
Moderate
Age
Conservativ
e
Income
18-49
50+
%
<$50K
%
$50-100K
$100K+
Deserves to be reelected
200
48.2
142
91.8
12
8.6
45
38.9
60
81.2
113
63.0
10
8.4
114
49.5
81
48.4
119
57.3
57
43.0
14
40.2
Time for someone new
179
43.3
1.9
127
89.0
49
42.4
10.7
51
28.4
107
88.1
101
43.8
68
40.7
73
34.8
62
47.3
17
50.6
35
8.5
10
6.4
2.4
22
18.7
8.1
15
8.6
3.5
15
6.7
18
10.9
16
7.9
13
9.6
9.2
Not sure
Total
414 100.0
155 100.0
143 100.0
Total
117 100.0
Gender
Education
No College
College
Degree
Degree+
231 100.0
168 100.0
208 100.0
Race
34 100.0
Wal-Mart Shop
200
48.2
200
48.2
95
48.5
101
47.4
119
48.3
80
48.6
165
46.2
35
60.6
35
41.0
84
51.9
61
47.5
16
52.1
16.8
179
43.3
179
43.3
88
44.4
92
42.8
110
44.6
69
41.4
158
44.2
22
37.4
44
51.7
68
42.0
49
38.0
14
47.9
77.8
35
8.5
35
8.5
14
7.1
21
9.9
17
7.1
16
9.9
34
9.5
2.0
7.3
10
6.1
19
14.5
5.4
414 100.0
414 100.0
197 100.0
214 100.0
Total
Catholic
%
Protestan
t
200
48.2
200
48.2
68
49.9
82
41.3
179
43.3
179
43.3
55
40.1
102
51.3
35
8.5
35
8.5
14
10.0
15
7.5
Not sure
Total
414 100.0
165 100.0
Religion
Total
247 100.0
White
132 100.0
Female
121 100.0
Total
Male
180 100.0
Total
Not sure
74 100.0
414 100.0
137 100.0
199 100.0
Not White
356 100.0
Weekly
58 100.0
Few/Month
85 100.0
162 100.0
Born again
Jewish
Other/
None
29.1
70.9
1 100.0
Yes
Never
129 100.0
Other
30 100.0
5 100.0
Attend services
No
%
1-2/year
Weekly+
Weekly
1-2/Month
Holidays
Rarely
Never
49
63.3
21
30.9
61
46.5
18.4
42
40.0
20
55.0
27
54.5
68
53.9
37
57.4
23
29.1
43
64.8
59
44.5
17
71.9
52
49.8
14
39.7
20
41.0
46
36.9
23
34.8
7.6
4.3
12
9.0
9.8
11
10.2
5.4
4.6
11
9.2
7.7
78 100.0
67 100.0
132 100.0
24 100.0
105 100.0
36 100.0
49 100.0
125 100.0
65 100.0
JZ Analytics LLC
Page 3
9/29/2012
203. Do you think President Obama deserves to be re-elected or do you think it is time for someone new?
Total
Marital status
48.2
200
48.2
90
43.3
58
50.9
44
60.5
37.1
49
43.9
151
49.8
34
50.1
166
47.9
51
52.1
149
47.0
43
46.7
157
48.7
179
43.3
179
43.3
99
47.4
47
41.5
23
30.9
11
58.2
54
47.8
126
41.6
18
27.4
161
46.4
42
43.0
137
43.4
38
41.7
141
43.8
35
8.5
35
8.5
19
9.2
7.6
8.6
4.7
8.3
26
8.5
15
22.5
20
5.8
4.9
30
9.6
11
11.7
24
7.6
414 100.0
208 100.0
115 100.0
73 100.0
18 100.0
No
%
112 100.0
Yes
%
302 100.0
No
%
67 100.0
Yes
Investor Class
200
414 100.0
Yes
NASCAR Fan
Total
Single
Civil
union
Married
Div/Sep/
Wdw
Total
Not sure
Union Member in
Household
Child under 17
347 100.0
No
%
98 100.0
Yes
%
316 100.0
No
%
92 100.0
322 100.0
JZ Analytics LLC
Page 4
9/29/2012
204. In the Congressional race in 2012, for which party's candidate do you intend to vote - Democrat or Republican?
Party
Total
Democrat
171
41.4
Republican
158
38.1
85
20.5
Not sure
Total
Democratic
135
87.1
20
414 100.0
Republican
<$50K
$50-100K
$100K+
29
24.8
62
83.3
86
47.9
10
8.4
90
39.1
76
45.2
98
47.0
56
42.5
11
31.4
29
25.2
8.7
47
26.4
100
82.6
91
39.2
58
34.5
61
29.2
55
41.8
18
53.4
4.7
58
50.1
7.9
46
25.8
11
9.0
50
21.7
34
20.4
50
23.8
21
15.8
15.2
Male
50+
%
5.3
143 100.0
18-49
90.0
117 100.0
Gender
Total
Income
Total
Age
128
12.9
155 100.0
Independent
Ideology Recoded
Conservativ
Liberal
Moderate
e
180 100.0
121 100.0
Education
No College
Degree
Female
%
74 100.0
168 100.0
208 100.0
Race
College
Degree+
231 100.0
White
34 100.0
Wal-Mart Shop
Not White
132 100.0
Weekly
Few/Month
1-2/year
Never
Other
Democrat
171
41.4
171
41.4
76
38.5
93
43.3
100
40.7
71
42.9
143
40.2
28
48.8
32
37.8
74
46.0
47
36.2
16
52.1
15.3
Republican
158
38.1
158
38.1
73
37.0
85
39.6
90
36.5
67
40.4
143
40.1
15
25.5
32
37.3
65
40.5
45
34.9
12
40.6
64.6
85
20.5
85
20.5
48
24.5
37
17.1
56
22.8
28
16.7
70
19.7
15
25.7
21
24.9
22
13.5
37
29.0
7.3
20.1
Not sure
Total
414 100.0
414 100.0
197 100.0
214 100.0
Total
Democrat
171
41.4
171
41.4
63
46.1
68
34.3
Republican
158
38.1
158
38.1
44
32.4
94
85
20.5
85
20.5
29
21.5
37
Total
414 100.0
165 100.0
Religion
N
%
414 100.0
Catholic
Protestan
t
Total
Not sure
247 100.0
137 100.0
Jewish
58 100.0
85 100.0
162 100.0
Born again
Other/
None
Yes
30 100.0
5 100.0
Attend services
No
%
129 100.0
Weekly+
Weekly
1-2/Month
Holidays
Rarely
Never
39
50.5
20
30.3
48
36.3
21.4
32
30.6
20
55.0
25
50.8
65
51.7
24
36.3
47.2
20
25.4
40
59.7
54
40.9
16
68.5
48
45.8
11
30.1
19
38.8
36
29.0
22
34.4
18.5
19
24.2
9.9
30
22.8
10.1
25
23.6
14.9
10.4
24
19.3
19
29.3
199 100.0
1 100.0
356 100.0
1 100.0
78 100.0
67 100.0
132 100.0
24 100.0
105 100.0
36 100.0
49 100.0
125 100.0
65 100.0
JZ Analytics LLC
Page 5
9/29/2012
204. In the Congressional race in 2012, for which party's candidate do you intend to vote - Democrat or Republican?
Total
Total
Married
Marital status
Div/Sep/
Wdw
Single
Union Member in
Household
Child under 17
Civil
union
Yes
No
%
Yes
%
NASCAR Fan
No
%
Yes
%
Investor Class
No
%
Yes
%
No
%
Democrat
171
41.4
171
41.4
83
39.8
41
35.8
39
54.1
42.6
42
37.1
130
43.0
32
47.9
139
40.1
42
43.1
129
40.9
37
39.8
135
41.8
Republican
158
38.1
158
38.1
92
44.4
42
36.6
14
19.6
50.4
49
44.0
108
35.9
16
23.3
142
40.9
41
41.8
117
37.0
36
39.5
121
37.7
85
20.5
85
20.5
33
15.8
32
27.6
19
26.3
7.1
21
18.9
64
21.1
19
28.8
66
18.9
15
15.1
70
22.2
19
20.7
66
20.5
Not sure
Total
414 100.0
414 100.0
208 100.0
115 100.0
73 100.0
18 100.0
112 100.0
302 100.0
67 100.0
347 100.0
98 100.0
316 100.0
92 100.0
322 100.0
JZ Analytics LLC
Page 6
9/29/2012
206. If the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote?
Party
Total
Democratic
Republican
Ideology Recoded
Conservativ
Liberal
Moderate
e
Independent
Age
Income
18-49
50+
%
<$50K
%
$50-100K
$100K+
Democrat Barack Obama
202
48.9
146
94.5
13
9.0
43
37.1
62
84.2
115
64.2
11
9.1
116
50.1
81
48.4
121
58.3
60
45.1
14
40.2
Republican Mitt Romney
161
38.8
.1
127
88.9
34
28.9
9.3
46
25.5
103
84.8
89
38.3
63
37.3
60
28.9
58
43.8
18
53.4
.9
.9
2.0
1.5
.6
1.3
1.5
.2
1.0
1.3
.1
.1
4.5
4.9
18
9.8
4.8
23
10.1
23
14.0
25
11.8
13
9.6
6.3
Libertarian Party Gary Johnson

Green Party Jill Stein
Constitution Party Virgil Goode
Not Sure
Total
.0
47
11.3
414 100.0
155 100.0
143 100.0
Total
N
%
.2
37
31.8
117 100.0
74 100.0
Gender
Total
2.0
Male
%
121 100.0
Education
No College
Degree
Female
%
180 100.0
168 100.0
208 100.0
Race
College
Degree+
231 100.0
White
34 100.0
Wal-Mart Shop
Not White
132 100.0
Weekly
Few/Month
1-2/year
Never
Other
202
48.9
202
48.9
95
48.2
106
49.4
120
48.8
82
49.6
168
47.1
35
60.1
37
43.0
82
50.6
65
50.6
16
52.1
16.8
161
38.8
161
38.8
74
37.6
87
40.5
95
38.3
65
39.5
145
40.6
16
27.8
33
39.1
64
39.7
46
35.5
13
44.6
77.8
.9
.9
1.1
.7
1.2
.5
1.1
.9
1.4
2.1
.0
.0
.1
.1
47
11.3
47
11.3
29
11.6
40
11.2
14
8.8
16
12.6
1.3
5.4

Not Sure
Total
414 100.0
414 100.0
26
13.1
197 100.0
20
9.4
214 100.0
247 100.0
17
10.4
165 100.0
356 100.0
12.2
58 100.0
.2
15
17.7
85 100.0
162 100.0
129 100.0
30 100.0
5 100.0
JZ Analytics LLC
Page 7
9/29/2012
206. If the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote?
Total
Religion
Catholic
Born again
202
48.9
202
48.9
70
51.5
82
41.1
50
63.6
21
31.5
61
45.9
18.4
42
40.1
20
55.0
27
55.6
67
53.2
40
61.4
161
38.8
161
38.8
48
34.8
95
47.8
18
23.5
41
61.7
54
40.7
17
71.9
51
48.4
12
32.5
19
38.8
37
29.8
19
29.3
.9
.9
1.2
1.7
1.9
1.4
1.0
1.6
.0
.0
.2
.1
47
11.3
47
11.3
10.9
20
15.8
7.7
1 100.0
Yes
Attend services
Jewish
Other/
None
Total
Protestan
t
No
%
Weekly+
Weekly
1-2/Month
Holidays
Rarely
Never

Not Sure
Total
414 100.0
414 100.0
19
13.7
137 100.0
Total
Total
20
9.9
199 100.0
1 100.0
Married
Marital status
Div/Sep/
Wdw
Single
78 100.0
6.8
67 100.0
15
11.5
132 100.0
Yes
No
%
11
10.1
105 100.0
Yes
%
5.6
49 100.0
125 100.0
NASCAR Fan
No
%
12.5
36 100.0
Union Member in
Household
Child under 17
Civil
union
9.8
24 100.0
Yes
%
Investor Class
No
%
65 100.0
Yes
%
No
%
202
48.9
202
48.9
90
43.5
59
51.6
46
62.7
37.1
49
44.0
153
50.7
39
58.1
163
47.1
49
50.0
154
48.6
46
49.8
157
48.6
161
38.8
161
38.8
93
44.9
41
35.5
17
23.8
50.4
47
42.2
113
37.5
16
24.3
144
41.6
41
41.7
120
37.9
35
38.5
125
38.9
.9
.9
1.3
.1
5.5
1.8
.6
2.4
.6
.2
1.2
1.2
.1
.3
.1
15
12.8
7.1
13
11.9
34
11.1
10
14.9
37
10.7
8.2
39
12.3

Not Sure
Total
.0
.0
.1
47
11.3
47
11.3
21
10.2
414 100.0
414 100.0
208 100.0
115 100.0
10
13.5
73 100.0
18 100.0
112 100.0
302 100.0
67 100.0
347 100.0
98 100.0
316 100.0
11
11.7
92 100.0
.1
36
11.3
322 100.0
JZ Analytics LLC
Page 8
9/29/2012

Crosstabs Wisconsin VOTERS 092812

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Crosstabs Wisconsin VOTERS 092812

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JZ Analytics Interactive Poll of Wisconsin Likely Voters 9/28/12 to 9/29/12 MOE +/- 4.

Time for someone new

Time for someone new

Time for someone new

Time for someone new

Democrat Barack Obama

Republican Mitt Romney

Libertarian Party Gary Johnson

Democrat Barack Obama

Republican Mitt Romney

Libertarian Party Gary Johnson

Democrat Barack Obama

Republican Mitt Romney

Libertarian Party Gary Johnson

Green Party Jill Stein

Democrat Barack Obama

Republican Mitt Romney

Libertarian Party Gary Johnson

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