The Results of Home Interview and Road Side Survey for Public Transport Demand Modeling In Tasikmalaya Regency

West Java Indonesia

Dr. R Didin Kusdian Lecturer of Universitas Sangga Buana-YPKP Jl. PH. Mustopa 68 Bandung-Indonesia e-mail : kusdian@yahoo.com

Abstract This paper resumed the project result of Communication Bureau of Tasikmalaya Regency Local Government, which executed by Bias Reka Engineering Consultant, where the author is tasked as a team leader. In this paper described the prediction of public transport movement in the unit of passengers and vehicles, which first predicted with four step model based. The data is given from home interview survey, road side survey, and traffic count. It was 1418 households picked up as samples and interviewed spread among Tasikmalaya Regency as a study area in home interview survey. To complete the data for analysis road side and traffic count was done in 7 locations points above Tasikmalaya Regencys road network. The data was analyzed and calculated with using gravity model in order to determine recent O-D Matrix. Keywords: home interview survey, road side and traffic count survey, O-D matrix

1. INTRODUCTION Tasikmalaya City is growth city in West Java Povince, Indonesia. It has administrative local government boundary with Ciamis Regency in eastern, Garut Regency in western and northern, Majalengka Regency in northern. Tasikmalaya administrative government area is devided in to two sub area, there are City administrative area and Regency administrative area. The area of regency is more large than the city, city is in the center inside, and regency around it. City area is higher intensity activity than regency, it has urban area nature. This study take a place outside urban are, that is Kabupaten Tasikmalaya, which mean regency that has land area around city, but also has it own CBD. In southern this area has boundary line with Indonesia Ocean. The capital of Tasikmalaya Regency is Singaparna District. The expanding of mobility that take place in Tasikmalaya Regency, influence in vise viersa with the socio-economy growth and dynamics inside its area. It can be predicted that the mobility of people will be growth in the next years in future. The growth of people mobility will drive the demand rising for transportation infrastructure network, transportation service and facility network, and

transportation operational management. Then as the consequence all component of transport system need a continuous attention, this mean that planning, modelling, and data collection about it must be always programmed and implementing in continuous way. The goal is transportation system service level of Tasikmalaya regency, and in this case is specially for public transport service, which managing by local regency goverment. The recently object of this case is to manage the equilibrium between demand and supply of local public transport service. This is important because not all of the residences have their own private vehicle. 2. METHODOLOGY The structure of quetioner form of home interview (HI) and Road Side Inverview Survey (RSI) was designed and directed to be used as the input for public transport planning process. HI and RSI was adapted to an approach that use in transportation planning and modeling, that is there are system connectivities between land use system, transportation system and traffic system. HI and RSI was designed and take place in simultaneously in order to get correct and enough data. In survey tools designing it was used spatial data formed as some maps inside Land Use Planning Document, existing roads network map and also numerical datas inside Central of Statistics Beurau Document, especially demography data tables. Cordon lines, screen line, and zones border lines are determined with consider the format of statistic numerical data agregation and the policy of development area unit separation. To approach the zones population behaviour, some samples are interviewed in each zones. The amount of samples are depend of the amount of house hold of each zones, and minimum sample amount is 3% of zone house hold amount which got from regulary recorded demography data. The questions asked as target data are included variables: number of peoples in house hold, number of working people in house hold, amount of car and motor cycle owning, and house hold income, origin-destination information of house hold people daily traveling. In order to get more clear O-D Matrix which got from HI survey, it is take a place road side interview (RSI) and traffic counting (TC). From this it drawn the travel pattern between internal zones-external zones, external zones-external zones, and external zones-internal zones (see Ortuzar, 1994). Samples is chosen with considering variation among time, spatial or space, and mode or kind of vehicle. The location of where interview and traffic counting

done are chosen with analyzing existing road network map and traffic motion trend, in order to get the representative data that can draw O-D matrix. Sample data that given from survey than expanded to draw again the population with expansion factor E.

E=

A A /(C + D ) B (C + D )

(1)

Where : A = amount of all house hold inside zone B = amount of house hold which chosen as the samples C = amount of empty house hold D = amount of not allowed to interview house hold E = expansion factor Basic model used in data analysis is the four steps of transportation planning, and to get O-D matrix of public transportation as the objective of this study three steps of model is used , that are trip generation, modal split, and trip distribution. The outline of method used in this study is shown in picture 1. 3. DATA and ANALYSIS This study devided Tasikmalaya Regency area to seven internal zones, following development direction issue that stated in the document of land use planning, there are CBD, SWP I, SWP II, SWP III, SWP IV, SWP V, SWP VI. CBD is central bussiness district, and SWP is satuan wilayah pengembangan which is mean development area unit. From central of statistical data it known that total households in Tasikmalaya Regency (A) is 470,984, this study choosed and than 13,836 households interviewed (B), dus households that was not choosen (C= A-B) is 457,148. Households that not respon (D) are 4 % of C, 18,286. From these expansion factor (E) is determined by subsitute to formula (1), E = 34. The distribution of house hold for each zones among Tasikmalaya Regency studi area, and the samples taken for home interview are shown in Table 1, this is the basic for home interview survey and internal zones moving analysis. Interaction with 5 external zones investigated at 7 points of RSI and TC survey locations. Total of zones are 12 there is 7 internal zones and 5 external zones.

SURVEY HI DATA Expansion Factor RSI DATA

Data

Internal Zone Person Travel Generation

External Zone Vehicle Travel Generation

Average of Passenger for Each Unit of Vehicle Internal Zone Vehicle Travel Generation

Road Network Map

CORDONLINE & SCREENLINE

Internal + External People Movement Generation

Friction Matrix

Prior O-D Matrix

Linear Regression Calibration for Gravity Model Distribution

Friction Function Matrix of Gravity Model Distribution

Calculation and Analysis of GRAVITY MODEL DISTRIBUTION

People/Person O-D Matrix

HI DATA 1

RSI DATA

Choice Proportion of Vehicle Used for Traveling

MODAL SPLIT

Investigated Proportion of Vehicle License Plate

Attraction and Production of Public Vehicle Passenger

Friction Function Matrix

Unconstrain Gravity (UCGR) Model

Public Vehicle Passenger O-D Matrix

Figure 1. Methodology Flow Diagram

Tabel 1. Distribution of Samples For Each Zones Num. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 TOTAL Zone CBD SWP I SWP II SWP III SWP IV SWP V SWP VI Number of Village Population Household 10 61,163 16,247 79 373,276 102,294 75 384,827 107,164 39 171,348 48,712 53 228,966 69,760 62 280,903 81,313 33 145,488 45,494 351 1,645,971 470,984 Number of Respondent Male Female Total 164 88 252 1,930 1,038 2,968 2,466 1,329 3,795 983 530 1,513 1,057 570 1,627 1,555 839 2,394 836 451 1,287 8,991 4,845 13,836 Percentage % 1.82% 21.45% 27.43% 10.94% 11.76% 17.30% 9.30% 100.00%

The results from survey analysis give the resume of car and motorcycle owning which describe by Table 2. Most car owner is stay in SWP II zone, it is Mangunreja District, with 4,190 car owner or 50.47 % of all car owner in Tasikmalaya Regency. Also for motorcycle owning, this district has 14,728 motor cycle owner or 25.89 % of all motor cycle owner inside the regency. Table 2 Car and Motorcycle Owning at Tasikmalaya Regency in 2007
Vehicle Owning Car Motor Cycle 174 2120 1131 13761 4190 14728 555 6811 865 10572 929 3273 458 5611 8302 56876 Percentage Car Motor Cycle 2.10% 3.73% 13.62% 24.19% 50.47% 25.89% 6.69% 11.98% 10.42% 18.59% 11.19% 5.75% 5.52% 9.87% 100.00% 100.00%

Number Zone 1 CBD 2 SWP I 3 SWP II 4 SWP III 5 SWP IV 6 SWP V 7 SWP VI Total

In fact from interview survey it investigated that some of village people inside Tasikmalaya Regency area whose are leave in rural area and which profession are farmers or farming product trader do their person work traveling by truck following their commodity. Mode choice traveling characteristic of Tasikmalaya Regency is resumed in Table 3. From analysis of origin-destination survey variable that asked and answered in interview, and after operating the expansion factor, its determined the resume data of person moving production (Oi) dan attraction (Dd) in zone based, as shown in Table 4. While from RSI an TC survey results analysis and time expansion to the unit of day (24 hours), its

determined production and attraction vehicle moving data for internal and external zones as shown in Table 5.

Table 3 Mode Choice Characteristic at Tasikmalaya Regency in 2007

Number Zone Number of Household Bus samples 47 303 381 152 165 240 130 Expansion Results of Mode Choise Truck Motorcycle Total 2118 23.88% 27346 25.16% 34866 24.95% 14433 25.11% 16642 25.05% 23131 25.13% 13703 25.51% 115597 21.94% 353 3.98% 5174 4.76% 7438 5.32% 3354 5.84% 5032 7.57% 5840 6.34% 2494 4.64% 24653 4.68% 6353 71.62% 75855 69.80% 97066 69.46% 39530 68.78% 44605 67.13% 62834 68.26% 37392 69.61% 319030 60.54% 8871 108678 139751 57469 66444 92045 53719 526977

1 CBD 2 SWP I 3 SWP II 4 SWP III 5 SWP IV 6 SWP V 7 SWP VI Total Percentage

1418

Table 4 People Production and Atraction Movement Tasikmalaya Regency in 2007

People Production Movement Movement [person] 9176 109440 141105 57317 67135 92220 53992 3296 2120 1198 1184 3772 2874 People Atraction Movement Movement [person] 8823 107984 139370 57317 66279 91804 53589 615 196 906 11216 1070 88

Zone Internal CBD SWP I SWP II SWP III SWP IV SWP V SWP VI External Garut I SPA Garut II SPA Ciamis I RJP Kota Tasik Ciamis II MNJ Ciamis III CJL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Table 5 Vehicle Production and Atraction Movement Tasikmalaya Regency in 2007

Vehicle Production Movement Movement [vehicle units] 1147 13680 17638 7165 8392 11527 6749 459 283 160 167 520 378 Vehicle Atraction Movement Movement [vehicle units] 1103 13498 17421 7165 8285 11475 6699 82 24 121 1528 142 12

Zone CBD SWP I SWP II SWP III SWP IV SWP V SWP VI External Garut I SPA Garut II SPA Ciamis I RJP Kota Tasik Ciamis II MNJ Ciamis III CJL Internal

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

To determine the distribution matrix of movement this study use gravity model, with following unconstrain gravity model (UCGR) procedure (Tamin, 2008). The formula is follows: Tid = Oi .Ai .Bd .Dd . f (C id ) Where: Tid = movement from origin zone i to destination zone d Oi = amount of movement from origin zone i Dd = amount of movement to destination zone d Value of Ai and Bd for UCGR procedure is taken Ai=1 for all i ,and Bd=1 for all d. Friction function is taken as negative exponential function f (C id ) = exp( C id ) , in this study C id is adopted from the distance beetwen zones. Value of determined which linear regression technic. From regression analysis that using distance matrix and prior O-D matrix, its determined that = 0.013838045. Table 6 represent the friction function matrix. (2)

Table 6. Friction Function Matrix [ exp(- Cid) ]

Parameter = -0.013838045 (Linear Regression Analysis Results)

INTERNAL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

ZONA 1.28 1.28 1.10 1.44 1.37 1.61 1.88 1.36 1.52 1.39 1.45 1.43 1.90 2.28 1.96 1.47 1.48 1.35 1.24 1.57 1.85 1.85 1.06 1.34 1.88 1.61 1.20 1.22 1.41 1.16 1.40 1.94 1.86 1.50 1.25 1.34 1.76 1.75 2.30 2.10 1.59 1.76 1.40 2.33 1.96 1.77 1.46 1.33 2.22 2.66 2.33 1.73 1.75 1.09 1.53 1.58 1.54 1.84 2.26 1.19 1.55 1.69 2.61 1.35 1.42 2.27 2.06 1.65 1.35 1.45 1.33 1.62 1.45 1.62 1.45 1.46 1.81 1.42 1.62 1.35 1.77 1.34 1.76 1.75 2.22 1.28 1.42 1.45 1.65 1.96 1.25 1.40 1.94 1.86 2.30 2.66 1.53 1.28 1.81 1.62 2.06 2.33 1.50 1.16 1.10 1.44 1.37 1.61 1.88 1.36 1.52 1.39 1.06 1.34 1.88 1.61 2.10 2.33 1.58 1.19

EKSTERNAL
11 12 13

CBD

1.45 1.35 1.24 1.57 1.20 1.59 1.73 1.54 1.55 1.35

1.43 1.47 1.48 1.85 1.22 1.76 1.75 1.84 1.69 1.42 1.20 1.20 1.69 1.67

1.90 2.28 1.96 1.85 1.41 1.40 1.09 2.26 2.61 2.27 1.69 1.67

SWP I

SWP II

SWP III

SWP IV

I N T E R N A L

SWP V

SWP VI

GARUT I SPA

GARUT II KDPT

10

CIAMIS I RJP

11

KOTA

E K S T E R N A L

12

CIAMIS II MNJ

13

CIAMIS III CJL

4. RESULTS and CONCLUSIONS Production and atraction of people movements as a results from survey and it analysis as shown in Table 4 than distributed with UCGR procedure which using formula (2) and friction function matrix in Table 6. The final results of this study is the O-D Matrix for people movement as shown in Table 7. To determine the OD matrix of public vehicle prediction, two scalor is used there are average public vehicle mode choice proportion, and average occupation of public vehicle unit. The results of these is shown in Table 8. The conclusion of these study can be resumed as follows: 1. Trip generation can be predicted by derive from interview survey, but it realible for take a place only with choose the sample of population. 2. The sample of population can be chosen following the agregation terminology of household, that was used as a variable in regular recorded statistic data. From household population inside study area that bordered by cordon line, must be choosen some household as a sample for each zone. There are intenal zone inside cordon area and external zone for represent moving characteristic to any place outside study area. Paralelly with home interview survey inside cordon line or study area, road side interview and traffic account take a place in some choosen point or location inside road network map, that would be give the represent movement characteristic of people who leave inside study area to another city or regency, whicth devided in some external zones. 3. Trip distribution can be derived from trip generation results by calibration of gravity model 4. Public transport distribution can be calculated from person or people trip generation, modal split analysis, and calibration of gravity model. REREFENCES

Ortuzar, J.D. and Willumsen, L.G. (1994): Modeling Transport, John Wiley & Sons Ltd., England. Tamin, O.Z.(2008) : Perencanaan, Pemodelan, & Rekayasa Transportasi : Teori, Contoh Soal, dan Aplikasi, Penerbit ITB, Bandung. (In Bahasa Indonesia)

Tabel 7 People Movement O-D Matrix at Tasikmalaya Regency (2007)

INTERNAL 1 GRI 11 139 154 81 125 86 100 12 14 30 21 7 35 1,092 13,333 17,352 7,055 366 449 139 160 8,163 86 113 58 44 239 286 147 131 239 88 173 11,329 279 456 262 258 468 131 207 116 129 222 150 304 152 51 210 6,625 166 181 79 120 165 122 5 12 8 3 15 396 33 29 11 45 1,407 34 12 45 1,917 114 504 21,580 0 4,544 682 1519 1665 610 583 734 43 1342 1400 465 580 429 34 1799 2090 951 1372 806 58 218 158 183 18 1246 1272 682 788 605 27 141 2189 1289 1520 2406 1674 64 254 329 186 256 196 218 25 19 1682 3107 1131 1663 2612 981 45 148 117 199 77 105 170 72 5 16 22 255 3445 1746 2161 1677 1824 277 284 572 GRII CSI KT 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 CSII 246 3132 863 435 461 391 389 70 65 127 72 EKSTERNAL 13 CSIII 69 1024 172 65 80 47 36 13 15 30 15 5 1,109 15,920 14,358 7,277 10,377 6,804 7,904 1,248 1,358 2,832 1,374 593 2,140 73,294 Oi

ZONE

CBD

SWP I

SWP II

SWP III

I N T E R N A L

SWP IV

SWP V

SWP VI

GARUT I SPA

GARUT II KDPT

10

CIAMIS I RJP

11

KOTA

E K S T E R N A L

12

CIAMIS II MNJ

13

CIAMIS III CJL Dd

Table 8 Public Transport Passenger Movement O-D Matrix at Tasikmalaya Regency (2007)
2 2 482 439 232 321 268 340 116 76 135 84 35 123 4,024 5,270 2,212 2,615 3,659 202 56 95 133 43 23 21 38 23 76 1,995 138 82 83 151 91 7 2 7 210 215 125 142 245 155 9 83 37 58 80 56 3 22 17 8 22 746 20 9 25 1,016 75 237 11,437 83 2,409 361 128 48 47 60 25 24 357 122 156 150 15 70 87 29 20 313 147 107 120 15 57 67 330 97 217 155 12 64 84 789 565 747 244 221 516 238 171 273 177 12 47 61 641 437 462 822 507 34 94 118 1,680 385 160 196 120 174 52 56 119 67 265 299 490 312 24 95 117 1,379 287 28 47 19 26 43 17 2 6 9 102 29 57 90 32 29 21 21 5 10 28 16 4 3 INTERNAL 4 5 6 7 8 9 12 13 Oi 306 4,079 5,340 2,212 2,156 2,011 2,011 603 615 1,426 963 320 1,014 23,055 EKSTERNAL 10 11

ZONA

CBD

SWP I

25

SWP II

43

SWP III

15

SWP IV

19

I N T E R N A L

SWP V

17

SWP VI

20

GARUT I SPA

GARUT II KDPT

10

CIAMIS I RJP

14

11

KOTA

E K S T E R N A L

12

CIAMIS II MNJ

13

CIAMIS III CJL Dd

306