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8/7/12
_____________________________________ Author: Daniel Brill, GIS Analyst Franklin County Board of Elections William Anthony, Director Dana Walch, Deputy Director
8/7/12
Summary: This report was conducted to identify when EIP voting was most utilized, to identify spatial
patterns/trends of EIP voters, and to study the racial and ethnic make-up of EIP voters. A file of all 2008 EIP voters in Franklin County along with 2010 Census data were used as the basis of this report. This report finds that EIP voting accounted for 9% (51,785) of all ballots cast in 2008. The report suggests that 31% of all EIP voters in Franklin County were African American while 65% were white. This figure indicates that a disproportionately higher amount of African Americans utilized EIP voting as African Americans represented only 21% of all ballots cast in 2008. In relation to this finding, the report finds that a disproportionately lower number of white voters utilized EIP voting as white voters were projected to have constituted 65% of all EIP voters while accounting for 74% of all ballots cast.1 Overall it was concluded that 8% of all white ballots cast were EIP while 13.3% of all African American ballots cast were EIP. This report also indicates that 82% (42,367) of EIP ballots cast were during either afterhours on weekdays, on weekends, or the Monday before the election; all of which time periods are scheduled to be discontinued in 2012.2 The study also shows that 67% of all weekday EIP voting took place after 5pm.3 Analysis of EIP voting from Friday through Monday before the 2008 election shows that an even higher amount of African Americans (34%) utilized this period to cast their votes. Furthermore, this report finds that amongst EIP voters, registered Democrats outnumbered registered Republicans by a ratio of 3.8:1 whereas all 2008 voters represented a ratio of 2.3:1.4 Figures for the Hispanic population were relatively consistent as both EIP and overall voting figures show a number representing about 2% of the whole. In addition to the statistical analysis, maps comparing African American population density and EIP voter density show an apparent spatial correlation.5
Method: A list of all Franklin County early in-person voters and their addresses was used to place each
individual voter as a point on a map. A 2010 Census map at the block-group level was used to place each voter into one of the 886 block-groups in Franklin County. (A census block-group is a geographical unit used by the US Census Bureau. It is the smallest geographical unit for which the bureau publishes sample data, i.e. data which is only collected from a fraction of all households.) 2010 Census demographic data was used to determine the percentage of specific races and ethnicities within each block-group. The number of voters in each block-group was summed and then multiplied by the percentage of African American, White, and Hispanic population within each block group. For example: A block group with 100 voters and a 75% white population would yield 75 white voters. To find a baseline summary for racial and ethnic proportions of all 2008 voters 60,000 ballots cast from 2008 were chosen at random and then joined to Census block-group data in the same manner as the EIP ballots described above.
1 2
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A line of voters curves around outside and continues deep inside building.
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Population 886,962 172,002 650,872 35,288 Voters 564,971 51,785 Voters 60,000 44,475 12,697 1,214 Voters 51,785 33,556 15,932 1,084 Voters 51,785 34,121 15,829 22,974 9,069 Voters 9,057 5,592 3,052 201 Voters 15,829 10,010 5,099 345
Percentage 100.00% 19.39% 73.38% 3.98% Percentage 100.00% 9.17% Percentage 100.00% 74.13% 21.16% 2.02% Percentage 100.00% 64.80% 30.77% 2.09% Percentage 100.00% 65.89% 30.57% 44.36% 17.51% Percentage 100.00% 61.74% 33.70% 2.22% Percentage 100.00% 63.24% 32.21% 2.18%
General Voting
EIP Groups
All EIP: All Weekdays (Excluding Monday before Election): All Weekends: Weekdays After 5pm: Weekend Before Election (Including Monday)
Table 6:
Table 8:
Table 9:
Voters 22,974 15,121 6,875 471 Voters 34,121 11,147 22,974 Voters 3,564 2,180 1,220 79 Voters 564,971 265,224 209,827 89,916 Voters 51,785 37,457 11,195 3,006
Percentage 100.00% 65.82% 29.93% 2.05% Percentage 100.00% 32.67% 67.33% Percentage 100.00% 61.17% 34.23% 2.22% Percentage 100.00% 46.94% 37.14% 15.92% Percentage 100.00% 72.33% 21.62% 5.80%
Table 10: Total: 8am - 5pm: After 5pm: Table 11: Total: White: African American: Hispanic: Table 12:
Weekdays Split
UNION
Westerville Worthington
Riverlea Northland Minerva Park
US Hwy 33
Dublin
Sawmill Rd
E Dublin Granville Rd
Bethel Rd
W Henderson Rd
Clintonville
Morse Rd
y ur nb Su
Easton
d Ave
Jo hn st ow n
Rd
New Albany
h St N Hig
Clevela n
Hilliard
Linden
Roberts Rd
University District
E 17th Ave
rt be Ro
d sR
W 5th Ave
Victorian Village Short North King-Lincoln
E 5th Ave
E B road St
N Hamilton Rd
Stelzer Rd
Gallo way R d
Avery Rd
n Rd Dubli
Upper Arlington
t Northwes
LICKING
Gahanna
Hilliard Rome Rd
Blvd
nR d
esvil le R d
Parsons Ave
MADISON
Hilltop
ve ant A Sulliv
Franklinton
Bexley
E Main St
Berwick
Whitehall Reynoldsburg
E Livingston Ave
Geo rg
Alkire Rd
Briggsdale
Frank
Rd
Refugee Rd
Eastland
Refugee Rd
Alum Creek Dr
S Hamilton Rd
Urbancrest
Groveport
S High St
Groveport Rd
Pik e
Gender Rd
Grove City
Brice Rd
Rd ort ep ov Gr
13.19% - 23.03%
Ha rr is bu rg
London Gr oveport Rd
Canal Winchester
FAIRFIELD
Harrisburg
Lockbourne
PICKAWAY
1.5
12 Miles
US Hwy 33
Dublin
Sawmill Rd
Westerville
E Dublin Granville Rd
Bethel Rd
W Henderson Rd
Morse Rd
y ur nb Su
d Ave
Clevela n
h St N Hig
Hilliard
Roberts Rd
E 17th Ave
W 5th Ave
rt s be Ro
Rd
E 5th Ave
E B road St
N Hamilton Rd
Stelzer Rd
Gallo way R d
Avery Rd
n Rd Dubli
Upper Arlington
t Northwes
LICKING
Gahanna
Hilliard Rome Rd
Blvd
Bexley
Whitehall
E Main St
esvil le R d
Parsons Ave
MADISON
ve ant A Sulliv
0% - 10.81%
E Livingston Ave
10.82% - 27.11%
Geo rg
Alkire Rd
Frank
Rd
Refugee Rd
Refugee Rd
Alum Creek Dr
S Hamilton Rd
Groveport
S High St
Groveport Rd
Pik e
Gender Rd
Grove City
Brice Rd
Rd ort ep ov Gr
Ha rr is bu rg
London Gr oveport Rd
Canal Winchester
FAIRFIELD
PICKAWAY
1.5
12 Miles
13.19% - 23.03%
0 1.5 3
12 Miles
0 1.5 3
12 Miles