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ELABORADO POR:
I. INTRODUCCIN.
Desde un punto de vista hidrolgico, se entiende por generacin a la
estimacin del valor numrico de una variable meteorolgica a partir de
otras mediante un procedimiento pre establecido; as mismo se
denomina descarga a las aguas que discurren por el cauce de un ro y
que pueden ser medidos y cuantificados en el tiempo, generalmente en
meses. Entre las principales variables meteorolgicas se puede
mencionar: La temperatura, la velocidad del viento, precipitacin,
caudal y la humedad atmosfrica; los procedimientos son las formas
como estas variables se asocian.
Cuando una cuenca no dispone de informacin de caudales se utiliza
diversos mtodos y procedimientos que a partir de los elementos o
variables meteorolgicas (ejemplo: la velocidad del viento, temperatura,
etc), y los elementos geogrficos (ejemplo: la forma de la cuenca,
fisiografa, vegetacin, etc), todos ellos permitan generar las descargas
a nivel mensual.
Los procedimientos para la generacin de descargas mensuales se
denominan modelos hidrolgicos, los mismos que pueden ser
Determinsticos si representa una realidad a escala (todo lo que entra,
sale) o Estocstica si se incluye una variable aleatoria (todo lo que
entra no necesariamente sale).
En nuestro pas, en la dcada de los 80, el experto Lutz Scholz
desarroll el modelo matemtico Transformacin de Precipitacin en
Descarga para el Proyecto Nacional de Pequeas y Medianas
Irrigaciones (PNPMI-II) del Ministerio de Agricultura, en el marco de
Cooperacin Tcnica de la Repblica Alemana a travs del Plan Meris
II. ste modelo adems de ofrecer una metodologa para la calibracin
de los parmetros hidrolgicos, presenta una serie de expresiones
empricas regionalizadas que en teora permitirn estimar los valores
de los caudales a escala mensual en cuencas sin informacin.
El presente Estudio contiene la estimacin de la disponibilidad hdrica
de la quebrada de aporte (cerros Ventana, Cuncush, conformando
inicialmente la quebrada Huayronga).
DOM. LEGAL: JR AYLLUS NRO 192 BARRIO DE LLACSHAHUANCA TELEFONO: 943224717
II. OBJETIVO
El presente Estudio tiene el objetivo determinar las descargas
mensuales en la quebrada de aporte a la laguna contunga, aplicando el
mtodo de Lutz Scholz.
3.1 UBICACIN.
La quebrada de aporte a la laguna Cuntunga, tiene su origen desde
las cumbres ms altas, como son los cerros Ventana, Cuncush,
conformando inicialmente la quebrada Huayronga, que es afluente
al ro Mosna.
Polticamente, se encuentra en el distrito de San Marcos y provincia
de Huari, en el departamento de Ancash.
3.2 RECOPILACIN DE INFORMACIN HIDROMETEREOLOGICA
La informacin hidrometeorolgica disponible para el estudio se ha
recopilado de las estaciones Chavn, Cahuish y Querococha, que se
ubican en altitudes similares tanto a las quebradas de aporte, como
a la zona baja, respectivamente. Se ha recopilado informacin en lo
que respecta a registros de precipitacin, temperatura, evaporacin
y humedad relativa.
La ubicacin de las estaciones, se indica en el Cuadro N 01.
CUADRO N 01
UBICACIN DE LAS ESTACIONES HIDROMETEOROLOGICAS
CONSIDERADAS EN EL ESTUDIO
UBICACIN POLITICA
UBICACIN GEOGRAFICA
LATITUD
LONGITUD
ALTITUD
ESTACION
DISTRITO
PROVINCIA
SUR
OESTE
m.s.n..
CHAVIN
Chavin
Huari
09 35'
77 10'
3210
CAHUISH
Chapn
Huari
09 41' 50
71 15' 20
4550
Ctac
Recuay
09 43 46
77 19 57
3955
QUEROCOCHA
FUENTE: SENAMHI
PROPUESTA DE ASIGNACION DE AGUA SUPERFICIAL EN BLOQUES (VOLMENES
ANUALES Y MENSUALES) PARA LA FORMALIZACION DE LOS DERECHOS DE USO DE
AGUA CUENCA ALTA DEL RIO SANTA MICROCUENCAS CASCA Y MONTERREY (2006)
a) Temperatura:
La temperatura mensual para la zona de cultivos, ha sido calculada
tomando como referencia los datos de temperatura mensual de la
estacin Chavn, que se ubica en la misma vertiente que la zona en
estudio, con un perodo de registro de 18 aos (1987-2004).
CUADRO N 02
TEMPERATURA MEDIA MENSUAL (C) PARA LA ZONA DE CULTIVO
Estacin de Referencia Estacin Chavn
ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
ESTACION CHAVIN
14.4 13.9
13.6
13.7
14.1
14.8 14.7
14.9 14.7
14.29
La
humedad
relativa
es
una
variable
meteorolgica
de
CUADRO N 03
HUMEDAD RELATIVA MEDIA MENSUAL ZONA DE CULTIVOS
ESTACION CHAVIN
ENE
73.5
74.4
77.4
75.3
JUL
NOV
DIC TOTAL
62.6
70.8
71.5 70.2
65.3 69.5
se
ha
tomado
como
referencia
los
datos
CUADRO N 04
EVAPORACIN MENSUAL (mm)
ESTACIN QUEROCOCHA
AO
ENE
FEB
MAR
ABR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AGO
SET
OCT
NOV
DIC
TOTAL
Prom. 110.64 95.24 101.78 101.57 112.31 121.07 137.29 137.27 126.17 119.24 108.34 108.22 1370.56
FUENTE: SENAMHI
encontrar
el
modelo
representativo,
que
explique
el
CUADRO N 05
UBICACIN DE LAS ESTACIONES PLUVIOMETRICAS CONSIDERADAS EN EL ESTUDIO
UBICACIN POLITICA
ESTACION
DISTRITO
CHAVIN
QUEROCOCHA
CAHUISH
PROVINCIA
UBICACIN GEOGRAFICA
LATITUD
LONGITUD ALTITUD
SUR
OESTE
m.s.n.m
PP MEDIA
ANUAL
mm
Chavin
Huari
09 35'
77 10'
3210
733.8
Ticapampa
Chavin
Recuay
Huari
09 43'
09 41' 50"
77 20'
71 15' 20"
3955
4550
1014.8
1058.3
FUENTE: SENAMHI
PROPUESTA DE ASIGNACION DE AGUA SUPERFICIAL EN BLOQUES (VOLMENES
ANUALES Y MENSUALES) PARA LA FORMALIZACION DE LOS DERECHOS DE USO DE
AGUA CUENCA ALTA DEL RIO SANTA MICROCUENCAS CASCA Y MONTERREY (2006).
a b H
Donde:
= - 31.80+0.247H
r = 0.943
CUADRO N 06
PRECIPITACION TOTAL MENSUAL GENERADA (mm.) QUEBRADA APORTE LAGUNA CUNTUNGA
DEPARTAMENTO : Ancash
Pp Anual:
1089.3 mm
PROVINCIA
: Huari
DISTRITO
: San Marcos
Factor 1.029 msnm
ALTITUD: 4538.9 msnm
AO
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
ENE
56.1
109.6
150.1
148.2
TOTA
L
1328.5
0.0
0.0
78.5
86.7
174.7
1137.9
0.0
32.7
94.8
32.7
135.4
929.7
0.0
11.3
16.4
9.1
10.5
0.0
628.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
111.1
122.9
2.5
115.5
890.9
41.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
28.9
148.8
15.7
91.2
840.2
200.6
19.3
0.0
0.0
62.3
126.5
60.1
250.1
1319.9
100.8
0.0
0.0
9.1
37.9
130.3
97.8
71.1
1010.3
213.2
75.5
0.9
0.0
0.0
45.3
20.9
190.2
165.8
1347.4
156.9
48.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
17.9
79.4
67.4
0.0
989.3
247.8
264.6
14.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
140.7
113.9
187.2
1346.4
137.7
220.5
148.2
56.3
97.1
4.5
28.3
4.7
108.1
127.5
40.0
1129.0
150.3
162.0
225.7
50.3
56.3
0.0
17.9
0.0
70.4
154.1
98.5
215.2
1200.7
89.6
198.3
100.8
106.6
106.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
51.2
156.9
88.9
88.1
986.6
126.7
258.1
262.6
113.3
23.9
6.1
15.7
16.4
35.7
189.3
87.3
74.9
1210.0
139.9
94.8
213.2
61.5
21.6
0.0
0.0
26.1
77.9
145.8
60.8
74.9
916.5
102.2
115.6
111.9
140.7
3.7
0.0
0.0
20.2
19.6
67.3
138.8
226.2
946.2
198.0
127.2
207.0
178.0
94.2
26.2
0.0
18.9
77.0
89.9
107.7
120.2
1244.3
37.4
194.4
256.8
79.5
35.5
18.3
0.0
34.2
16.5
114.4
34.3
186.3
1007.6
125.4
79.5
333.3
117.3
56.2
0.0
12.9
3.1
38.5
79.5
64.8
104.6
1015.1
155.3
169.4
167.5
160.3
55.7
34.3
0.0
29.3
66.1
140.8
146.1
186.5
1311.3
165.1
101.6
140.6
119.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
44.1
75.2
36.1
105.8
787.7
222.5
177.3
315.5
81.9
62.9
0.0
0.0
44.7
36.1
128.5
65.4
117.6
1252.4
251.2
149.8
92.9
96.2
0.0
75.9
18.3
0.0
26.2
20.8
0.0
0.0
731.3
91.7
415.2
158.9
110.2
75.8
40.9
0.0
14.1
52.6
75.2
138.0
155.3
1327.9
146.1
204.2
45.9
60.1
51.4
0.3
12.2
4.3
306.2
82.5
123.8
127.8
1164.8
854.3
152.7
FEB
MAR
ABR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AGO
218.8
169.8
190.6
104.4
24.0
2.2
2.0
259.7
51.3
82.2
233.8
171.0
0.0
0.0
156.1
233.6
94.8
149.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
148.8
219.0
85.9
0.0
127.7
0.0
94.8
82.2
170.9
122.9
68.1
71.1
174.7
100.8
167.4
84.5
226.4
193.8
96.3
152.4
106.6
111.9
192.4
263.4
140.6
231.6
189.5
207.2
222.7
190.8
187.2
156.1
SET
OCT
NOV
DIC
53.8
172.4
248.7
75.9
34.3
0.0
12.9
0.0
63.6
32.4
56.3
104.0
155.8
105.7
204.8
55.1
36.6
3.1
0.0
27.0
7.9
149.8
90.0
74.5
910.3
203.0
249.5
156.9
43.6
0.0
4.9
0.0
66.0
44.6
94.2
160.9
176.6
1200.2
69.1
235.4
180.3
122.2
56.9
6.8
12.9
4.3
0.0
59.9
248.9
131.4
1128.1
48.3
121.0
220.1
107.6
42.8
0.0
0.0
6.7
77.6
26.2
56.3
251.2
957.8
119.9
242.9
183.6
147.9
83.4
35.1
37.9
0.0
53.8
85.4
90.0
106.3
1186.2
119.4
171.4
180.9
58.7
122.6
0.0
0.0
21.4
144.3
30.6
107.2
118.7
1075.2
109.4
200.0
159.5
70.0
89.9
0.0
0.0
1.9
31.8
121.0
0.0
122.3
905.8
198.7
251.2
166.3
34.9
83.8
5.6
11.0
2.5
0.0
113.7
113.1
30.0
1010.8
183.2
313.8
132.7
168.7
132.7
29.3
0.0
5.6
6.2
86.3
50.7
72.2
1181.4
71.5
225.6
233.5
137.6
124.7
1.2
3.1
17.1
14.7
97.8
92.3
0.0
1019.1
180.3
87.4
122.9
59.9
12.2
96.0
0.0
0.0
61.8
162.6
95.4
152.8
1031.3
95.4
0.0
316.1
0.0
167.6
28.1
17.7
1.2
31.2
73.4
0.0
67.3
798.0
79.5
89.9
67.9
78.8
3.7
68.5
4.9
23.9
36.1
83.8
80.1
28.2
645.3
163.4
112.1
364.5
263.5
86.3
15.9
12.9
33.0
80.7
203.0
204.2
287.5
1827.0
213.1
197.4
237.7
282.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
930.6
ENE
FEB
MAR
135.1
168.3
154.0
217.1
206.6
219.0
145.1
148.0
148.7
158.2
172.9
154.5
240.0
218.7
157.3
214.7
181.3
ABR
160.7
MAY
JUN
JUL
AGO
25.7
4.0
0.3
1.1
88.2
60.3
0.9
0.2
139.4
185.6
1.1
0.1
111.9
31.3
14.5
315.0
175.3
108.9
179.8
149.0
45.4
177.1
189.1
176.3
142.8
218.8
187.1
162.7
188.7
129.2
88.4
214.0
178.6
AOS
128.1
54
MEDI
A
D.EST
MAX.
MIN.
146.7
53.90
263.4
37.4
SET
OCT
NOV
DICTOTAL
130.5
25.9
64.5
74.8
944.9
1.1
1.6
147.1
24.3
260.4
1226.8
0.7
26.9
111.5
58.3
155.4
1120.8
0.3
40.2
45.1
97.5
68.2
37.9
932.5
9.4
0.2
0.2
78.4
75.1
73.3
37.7
1332.2
1.2
1.0
1.3
138.4
82.6
67.8
292.2
1330.7
113.4
9.5
5.5
15.9
76.5
104.3
62.0
349.1
1460.0
120.2
10.7
0.7
0.4
0.8
141.1
120.3
127.9
228.7
1299.5
83.3
11.5
9.1
0.2
3.9
54.4
114.2
30.9
6.0
794.1
132.9
103.1
46.2
1.2
0.0
0.3
157.9
113.6
45.3
266.9
1169.8
199.5
228.5
146.1
48.8
0.1
0.1
3.4
77.2
127.3
16.2
405.3
1431.1
204.3
54
160.2
54
26.0
54
5.2
54
1.4
54
0.1
54
6.7
54
228.9
54
74.5
54
64.5
54
213.5
54
1113.4
176.7
67.53
415.2
0.0
184.1
69.20
364.5
45.9
3.8
7.32
37.9
0.0
10.2
14.25
66.0
0.0
58.2
57.27
306.2
0.0
Del cuadro N 06, se tiene que la precipitacin mensual mxima es igual a 184.2 mm
que corresponde al mes de marzo; mientras que la precipitacin media mensual
mnima es igual a 3.8 mm que corresponde al mes de julio.
CUADRO N 7
CURVA HIPSOMETRICA DE LA QUEBRADA DE APORTE
LAGUNA CUNTUNGA
Cotas
Inicial
Final
Area parcial
2
Km
Area Bajo
Area Sobre
% Area por
% Area por
la Curva
la Curva
Debajo
Encima
Confluencia
4422.00
0.04
0.04
1.877
2.14
97.86
4422.00
4425.00
0.06
0.10
1.814
5.43
94.57
4425.00
4450.00
0.14
0.25
1.670
12.93
87.07
4450.00
4475.00
0.19
0.44
1.481
22.79
77.21
4475.00
4500.00
0.22
0.66
1.259
34.36
65.64
4500.00
4525.00
0.23
0.89
1.028
46.41
53.59
4525.00
4550.00
0.23
1.12
0.799
58.37
41.63
4550.00
4575.00
0.21
1.33
0.590
69.27
30.73
4575.00
4600.00
0.15
1.48
0.436
77.25
22.75
4600.00
4625.00
0.16
1.64
0.274
85.74
14.26
4625.00
4650.00
0.11
1.76
0.163
91.52
8.48
4650.00
4675.00
0.09
1.85
0.073
96.19
3.81
4675.00
4700.00
0.04
1.89
0.033
98.26
1.74
4700.00
4725.00
0.02
1.90
0.016
99.19
0.81
4725.00
4750.00
0.01
1.91
0.008
99.56
0.44
4750.00
4775.00
0.01
1.92
0.001
99.94
0.06
4795.00
TOTAL
0.00
1.92
0.000
100.00
0.00
1.92
b) Elevacin Media
CUADRO N 11
ELEVACION MEDIA DE LA QUEBRADA DE APORTELAGUNA CUNTUNGA
CUADRO N 12
COTAS, LONGITUD Y PENDIENTE PARCIAL
DE LA QUEBRADA DE APORTE A LA LAGUNA CUNTUNGA
Cotas
Desnivel
longitud
Pendiente
Inicial
Final
4421.00
4425.00
5.00
82.89
0.06
337.496
4425.00
4450.00
25.00
173.94
0.14
458.806
4450.00
4475.00
25.00
274.28
0.09
908.492
4475.00
4500.00
25.00
258.95
0.10
833.401
4500.00
4525.00
25.00
62.78
0.40
99.486
4525.00
4550.00
25.00
40.22
0.62
51.014
4550.00
4575.00
25.00
34.55
0.72
40.616
4575.00
4600.00
25.00
35.93
0.70
43.074
4600.00
4625.00
25.00
175.18
0.14
463.721
4625.00
4650.00
25.00
48.79
0.51
68.159
4650.00
4675.00
25.00
18.86
1.33
16.381
4675.00
4700.00
25.00
50.25
0.50
71.242
4700.00
4725.00
25.00
44.35
0.56
59.070
4725.00
4750.00
25.00
18.72
1.34
16.199
4750.00
4775.00
25.00
23.05
1.08
22.133
4775.00
4795.00
20.00
22.51
0.89
23.881
(S)
1365.25
3513.17
Donde:
PE
: Precipitacin efectiva
P
: Precipitacin total mensual
ai
: Coeficiente del polinomio
(mm/mes)
(mm/mes)
(mm/mes)
CUADRO N 20
COEFICIENTES DEL POLINOMIO PARA EL CALCULO DE PE
Valores para el Clculo Segn:
Coeficientes
del polinomio
Curva I
Curva II
Curva III
Curva IV
CurvaV
Curva VI
Curva VII
a0
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
a1
4.300E-03
-5.400E-03
1.341E-01
4.178E-01
6.093E-01
6.886E-01
7.832E-01
a2
-7.000E-05
2.100E-03
3.100E-03
2.300E-03
1.600E-03
1.300E-03
9.000E-04
a3
7.000E-06
5.000E-06
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
a4
2.000E-08
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
0.000E+00
" C"
0.15
0.30
0.45
0.60
0.75
0.90
1.00
CUADRO N 21
PERIODOS DE AVENIDAS Y ESTIAJE
Perodo
Hidrolgico
AVENIDAS
ESTIAJE
MESES DEL AO
ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
CUADRO N 22
COEFICIENTES DE APORTE Y RETENCION QUEBRADAS DE APORTE HACIA LAS
LAGUNA CUNTUNGA.
Coeficiente
Meses del ao
de aporte
Ene
Feb
Mar Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Gi
ai
0.25
0.20
0.22
0.21
0.12
Sep Oct
-
Nov Dic
-
Ai
bi
0.20
0.20
0.25
0.04
0.08
0.08
0.15
Gi = * ai R
Ai = * bi R
Donde:
Ri
: Retencin de la Cuenca
Gi
: Gasto de la retencin
Ai
: Abastecimiento de la retencin
ai
: Coeficientes de agotamiento
bi
: Coeficientes de almacenamiento
(mm/mes)
(mm/mes)
(mm/mes)
CUADRO N 23
GASTO DE RETENCION Y ABASTECIMIENTO DE LA RETENCIN
QUEBRADA DE APORTE A LA LAGUNA CUNTUNGA
GASTO
Meses del ao
RETENCION Ene
Gi
Ai
18.00
Feb
-
Mar
Abr May
18.00
22.50
3.60
22.50
-
Jun
18.00
-
Jul
19.80
-
Ago
18.90
-
Sep
10.80
-
Oct
-
Nov
7.20
7.20
Dic
13.50
V. RESULTADOS
La aplicacin del modelo Precipitacin Descarga de Lutz Scholz
comprende tres etapas bien definidas y se presenta en el siguiente
organigrama:
GENERACIN Y VALIDACIN DE CAUDALES MENSUALES PARA
PERIODOS EXTENDIDOS
A fin de generar una serie sinttica de caudales para perodos
extendidos, se ha implementado un modelo estocstico que
consiste en una combinacin de un proceso markoviano de
primer orden, segun la ecuacin (1) con una variable de impulso,
que en este caso es la precipitacin efectiva en la ecuacin (2):
Qt f Qt 1
(1)
Q g PEt
(2)
Z zS 1 r 2
(3)
(4)
donde:
Qt = Caudal del mes t
Q t-1 = Caudal del mes anterior
PE t = Precipitacin efectiva del mes
B1 = Factor constante o caudal bsico.
Cuadro N 24
CAUDALES GENERADOS PARA EL Ao PROMEDIO - QUEBRADA APORTE A LA LAGUNA CUNTUNGA
Mtodo de L - Turc
1089.2
mm
1370.6
mm
0.16
Area de la cuenca: A
Altitud Media de la Microcuenca:
H
Pendiente Media de la
Microcuenca
Precipitacin Media Anual: P
Evaporacin Total Anual: ETP
Temperatura Media Anual: T
Dficit de Escurrimiento:
D
Coeficiente de Escorrenta: C
Coeficiente de Agotamiento: a
Relacin de Caudales (30 das):
bo
Area de lagunas y acuferos
Gasto Mensual de Retencin: R
5.4
413.2
mm/ao
0.75
1.9200
Km2
4538.7
msnm
Coef.
0.0185
1089.2
1370.6
5.4
m/m
mm
mm
C
a0
a1
a2
a3
a4
a5
90.0
0.75
0.0284
mm/ao
0.427
0.2125
90.0
442.9
Curva IV
Curva V
0.00E+00
0.00E+00
0.417800
0.002300
0.000000
0.693000
0.001600
0.000000
0.00E+00
0.00E+00
0.00E+00
0.00E+00
Curva III
-0.417700
0.379500
-0.010100
0.000200
-9.00E-07
1.00E-09
MES
N
das del
mes
PRECIPITACION MENSUAL
P
Efectiva
Total
PE IV
PE V
PE
mm/mes
mm/mes
mm/mes
mm/mes
CONTRIBUCION DE LA RETENCION
Gasto
bi
Gi
ai
Ai
mm/mes
CAUDALES
GENERADOS
Abastecimiento
mm/mes
mm/mes
m3/s
10
11
12
Enero
30
146.7
110.75
136.05
114.9
0.200
18.0
96.92
0.07
Febrero
Marzo
Abril
Mayo
Junio
Julio
Agosto
Setiem.
Octubre
Noviem.
Diciem.
28
31
30
31
30
31
31
30
31
30
31
176.7
184.1
122.2
63.4
12.8
3.8
10.2
58.2
98.2
79.5
133.6
145.60
154.83
85.37
35.72
5.72
1.62
4.48
32.10
63.22
47.77
96.85
172.37
181.77
108.55
50.35
9.13
2.66
7.20
45.75
83.50
65.23
121.12
150.0
159.3
89.2
38.1
6.3
1.8
4.9
34.4
66.6
50.6
100.9
0.200
0.250
0.040
18.0
22.5
3.6
0.250
0.200
0.220
0.210
0.120
0.080
0.080
0.150
7.2
7.2
13.5
132.01
136.77
85.59
60.63
24.28
21.59
23.83
45.15
59.36
43.44
87.35
0.10
0.10
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.06
1089.2
784.04
983.67
816.9
1.000
1.000
90.0
816.9
0.05
0.835
0.165
1.000
c1
c2
AO
Coeficientes
0.75
22.5
18.0
19.8
18.9
10.8
90.0
Qt-1
PE
96.9
132.0
136.8
85.6
60.6
24.3
21.6
23.8
87.4
96.9
132.0
136.8
85.6
60.6
24.3
21.6
114.9
150.0
159.3
89.2
38.1
6.3
1.8
4.9
45.2
59.4
43.4
87.4
23.8
45.2
59.4
43.4
34.4
66.6
50.6
100.9
Qt
150.00
120.00
90.00
60.00
30.00
0.00
0
10
15
Meses
Caudales Generados
Fuente: Elaboracin
propia
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
0.988688849
Coeficiente de determinacin R^20.977505641
R^2 ajustado
0.972506894
Error tpico
6.635335524
Observaciones
12
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertadSuma de cuadradosPromedio de los cuadrados
F
Valor crtico de F
2 17219.23797
8609.618986 195.550151
3.84E-08
9 396.2490977
44.02767752
11 17615.48707
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Intercepcin
Qt-1
PE
Coeficientes
15.83548277
0.103540214
0.663845558
Error tpico
3.906296287
0.070992365
0.051647985
Estadstico t
Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%
4.053835553 0.002868361 6.998826642 24.6721389
1.458469714 0.17870809 -0.057055673 0.2641361
12.85327108 4.28025E-07 0.547009698 0.78068142
Cuadro N 22
GENERACION DE DESCARGAS MENSUALES PARA UN PERIODO EXTENDIDO
DE LA QUEBRADA APORTE
Periodo de anlisis
1953 - 2006
Ene
152.7
Feb
218.8
Mar
169.8
Abr
190.6
May
104.4
Jun
24.0
Jul
2.2
Ago
2.0
Sep
56.1
Oct
109.6
Nov
150.1
Dic
Pp Anual
148.2
1328.50
174.7
1137.90
1954
259.7
51.3
82.2
233.8
171.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
78.5
86.7
1955
156.1
233.6
94.8
149.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
32.7
94.8
32.7
135.4
929.70
1956
148.8
219.0
85.9
0.0
127.7
0.0
0.0
11.3
16.4
9.1
10.5
0.0
628.70
1957
94.8
82.2
170.9
122.9
68.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
111.1
122.9
2.5
115.5
890.90
1958
71.1
174.7
100.8
167.4
41.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
28.9
148.8
15.7
91.2
840.20
1959
84.5
226.4
193.8
96.3
200.6
19.3
0.0
0.0
62.3
126.5
60.1
250.1
1319.90
1960
152.4
106.6
111.9
192.4
100.8
0.0
0.0
9.1
37.9
130.3
97.8
71.1
1010.30
1961
263.4
140.6
231.6
213.2
75.5
0.9
0.0
0.0
45.3
20.9
190.2
165.8
1347.40
1962
189.5
207.2
222.7
156.9
48.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
17.9
79.4
67.4
0.0
989.30
1963
190.8
187.2
247.8
264.6
14.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
140.7
113.9
187.2
1346.40
1964
156.1
137.7
220.5
148.2
56.3
97.1
4.5
28.3
4.7
108.1
127.5
40.0
1129.00
1965
150.3
162.0
225.7
50.3
56.3
0.0
17.9
0.0
70.4
154.1
98.5
215.2
1200.70
1966
89.6
198.3
100.8
106.6
106.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
51.2
156.9
88.9
88.1
986.60
1967
126.7
258.1
262.6
113.3
23.9
6.1
15.7
16.4
35.7
189.3
87.3
74.9
1210.00
1968
139.9
94.8
213.2
61.5
21.6
0.0
0.0
26.1
77.9
145.8
60.8
74.9
916.50
1969
102.2
115.6
111.9
140.7
3.7
0.0
0.0
20.2
19.6
67.3
138.8
226.2
946.20
1970
198.0
127.2
207.0
178.0
94.2
26.2
0.0
18.9
77.0
89.9
107.7
120.2
1244.30
1971
37.4
194.4
256.8
79.5
35.5
18.3
0.0
34.2
16.5
114.4
34.3
186.3
1007.60
1972
125.4
79.5
333.3
117.3
56.2
0.0
12.9
3.1
38.5
79.5
64.8
104.6
1015.10
1973
155.3
169.4
167.5
160.3
55.7
34.3
0.0
29.3
66.1
140.8
146.1
186.5
1311.30
1974
165.1
101.6
140.6
119.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
44.1
75.2
36.1
105.8
787.70
1975
222.5
177.3
315.5
81.9
62.9
0.0
0.0
44.7
36.1
128.5
65.4
117.6
1252.40
1976
251.2
149.8
92.9
96.2
0.0
75.9
18.3
0.0
26.2
20.8
0.0
0.0
731.30
1977
91.7
415.2
158.9
110.2
75.8
40.9
0.0
14.1
52.6
75.2
138.0
155.3
1327.90
1978
146.1
204.2
45.9
60.1
51.4
0.3
12.2
4.3
306.2
82.5
123.8
127.8
1164.80
1979
53.8
172.4
248.7
75.9
34.3
0.0
12.9
0.0
63.6
32.4
56.3
104.0
854.30
1980
155.8
105.7
204.8
55.1
36.6
3.1
0.0
27.0
7.9
149.8
90.0
74.5
910.30
1981
203.0
249.5
156.9
43.6
0.0
4.9
0.0
66.0
44.6
94.2
160.9
176.6
1200.20
1982
69.1
235.4
180.3
122.2
56.9
6.8
12.9
4.3
0.0
59.9
248.9
131.4
1128.10
1983
48.3
121.0
220.1
107.6
42.8
0.0
0.0
6.7
77.6
26.2
56.3
251.2
957.80
1984
119.9
242.9
183.6
147.9
83.4
35.1
37.9
0.0
53.8
85.4
90.0
106.3
1186.20
1985
119.4
171.4
180.9
58.7
122.6
0.0
0.0
21.4
144.3
30.6
107.2
118.7
1075.20
1986
109.4
200.0
159.5
70.0
89.9
0.0
0.0
1.9
31.8
121.0
0.0
122.3
905.80
1987
198.7
251.2
166.3
34.9
83.8
5.6
11.0
2.5
0.0
113.7
113.1
30.0
1010.80
1988
183.2
313.8
132.7
168.7
132.7
29.3
0.0
5.6
6.2
86.3
50.7
72.2
1181.40
1989
71.5
225.6
233.5
137.6
124.7
1.2
3.1
17.1
14.7
97.8
92.3
0.0
1019.10
1990
180.3
87.4
122.9
59.9
12.2
96.0
0.0
0.0
61.8
162.6
95.4
152.8
1031.30
1991
95.4
0.0
316.1
0.0
167.6
28.1
17.7
1.2
31.2
73.4
0.0
67.3
798.00
1992
79.5
89.9
67.9
78.8
3.7
68.5
4.9
23.9
36.1
83.8
80.1
28.2
645.30
1993
163.4
112.1
364.5
263.5
86.3
15.9
12.9
33.0
80.7
203.0
204.2
287.5
1827.00
1994
213.1
197.4
237.7
282.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
930.60
1995
135.1
168.3
154.0
160.7
25.7
4.0
0.3
1.1
130.5
25.9
64.5
74.8
944.90
1996
217.1
206.6
219.0
88.2
60.3
0.9
0.2
1.1
1.6
147.1
24.3
260.4
1226.80
1997
145.1
148.0
148.7
139.4
185.6
1.1
0.1
0.7
26.9
111.5
58.3
155.4
1120.80
1998
158.2
172.9
154.5
111.9
31.3
14.5
0.3
40.2
45.1
97.5
68.2
37.9
932.50
1999
240.0
218.7
315.0
175.3
108.9
9.4
0.2
0.2
78.4
75.1
73.3
37.7
1332.20
2000
157.3
214.7
179.8
149.0
45.4
1.2
1.0
1.3
138.4
82.6
67.8
292.2
1330.70
2001
181.3
177.1
189.1
176.3
113.4
9.5
5.5
15.9
76.5
104.3
62.0
349.1
1460.00
2002
142.8
218.8
187.1
120.2
10.7
0.7
0.4
0.8
141.1
120.3
127.9
228.7
1299.50
2003
162.7
188.7
129.2
83.3
11.5
9.1
0.2
3.9
54.4
114.2
30.9
6.0
794.10
2004
88.4
214.0
132.9
103.1
46.2
1.2
0.0
0.3
157.9
113.6
45.3
266.9
1169.80
2005
178.6
199.5
228.5
146.1
48.8
0.1
0.1
3.4
77.2
127.3
16.2
405.3
1431.10
2006
128.1
204.3
160.2
26.0
5.2
1.4
0.1
6.7
228.9
74.5
64.5
213.5
1113.40
MEDIA
146.7
176.7
184.1
122.2
63.4
12.8
3.8
10.2
58.2
98.2
79.5
133.6
1089.22
Precipitacin Efectiva en mm
Curva
a0
a4
Coeficientes
Curva
IV
0.0000
0.4178
0.0023
0.0000
0.0000
0.8353
Curva
0.0000
0.6930
0.0016
0.0000
0.0000
0.1647
AO/MES
May
a1
Jun
a2
Jul
a3
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
1953
121.66
163.47
141.63
135.27
72.16
12.37
1.03
Ago
0.93
1954
204.37
29.51
52.83
178.47
143.08
0.00
0.00
1955
125.53
178.27
63.54
118.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
1956
117.28
163.67
55.90
0.00
94.77
0.00
1957
63.54
52.83
142.96
89.92
41.67
1958
43.97
147.58
68.88
138.75
1959
54.73
171.07
138.47
64.86
1960
121.32
74.19
79.18
137.07
1961
208.07
108.30
176.27
157.87
1962
134.17
151.87
167.37
1963
135.47
131.87
192.47
1964
125.53
105.20
1965
118.96
132.36
1966
59.03
1967
93.75
1968
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
32.86
77.00
118.74
116.62
0.00
0.00
49.82
56.57
147.58
0.00
17.48
63.54
17.48
102.76
0.00
5.51
8.18
4.40
5.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
78.42
89.92
1.17
82.63
23.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
15.21
117.28
7.81
60.41
145.27
9.75
0.00
0.00
37.33
93.54
35.72
194.77
68.88
0.00
0.00
4.40
20.69
97.44
66.19
43.97
47.42
0.42
0.00
0.00
25.46
10.63
134.87
136.84
126.45
27.47
0.00
0.00
0.00
8.99
50.54
41.14
0.00
209.27
7.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
108.41
81.09
131.87
165.17
116.62
33.00
65.57
2.13
14.86
2.22
75.59
94.56
22.02
170.37
28.82
33.00
0.00
8.99
0.00
43.43
123.25
66.81
159.87
142.97
68.88
74.19
73.82
0.00
0.00
0.00
29.44
126.45
58.44
57.76
202.77
207.27
80.52
12.32
2.91
7.81
8.18
19.32
133.97
57.08
46.94
107.55
63.54
157.87
36.74
11.02
0.00
0.00
13.58
49.33
113.96
36.23
46.94
1969
70.15
82.73
79.18
108.41
1.74
0.00
0.00
10.25
9.92
41.06
106.37
170.87
1970
142.67
94.26
151.67
151.66
63.01
13.63
0.00
9.53
48.61
59.29
75.22
87.23
1971
20.38
139.07
201.47
50.63
19.19
9.21
0.00
18.39
8.24
81.57
18.46
130.97
1972
92.43
50.63
277.97
84.38
32.93
0.00
6.34
1.46
21.07
50.63
39.18
72.35
1973
124.61
141.15
138.87
130.38
32.57
18.46
0.00
15.44
40.16
108.52
114.29
131.17
1974
136.01
69.60
108.30
86.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
24.67
47.18
19.57
73.45
1975
167.17
150.79
260.17
52.58
37.77
0.00
0.00
25.07
19.57
95.59
39.63
84.68
1976
195.87
118.40
61.88
64.77
0.00
47.74
9.21
0.00
13.63
10.58
0.00
0.00
1977
60.84
359.87
128.75
77.57
47.66
22.60
0.00
6.96
30.40
47.18
105.52
124.61
1978
114.29
148.87
25.86
35.72
29.58
0.14
5.98
2.03
250.87
53.08
90.82
94.87
1979
31.24
144.78
193.37
47.74
18.46
0.00
6.34
0.00
38.29
17.30
33.00
71.79
1980
125.18
73.36
149.47
32.15
19.88
1.46
0.00
14.10
3.79
118.40
59.38
46.63
1981
147.67
194.17
126.45
24.34
0.00
2.32
0.00
40.08
25.00
63.01
131.08
149.92
1982
42.43
180.07
124.97
89.22
33.42
3.25
6.34
2.03
0.00
35.58
193.57
98.58
1983
27.47
88.02
164.77
75.13
23.82
0.00
0.00
3.20
49.09
13.63
33.00
195.87
1984
86.94
187.57
128.27
116.28
53.82
18.95
20.69
0.00
31.24
55.48
59.38
73.92
1985
86.44
143.56
125.57
34.71
89.62
0.00
0.00
10.91
112.32
16.22
74.75
85.75
1986
76.81
144.67
129.45
43.12
59.29
0.00
0.00
0.89
16.94
88.02
0.00
89.32
1987
143.37
195.87
137.44
18.82
54.15
2.66
5.36
1.17
0.00
80.90
80.32
15.86
1988
127.87
258.47
99.93
140.30
99.93
15.44
0.00
2.66
2.96
56.24
29.10
44.83
1989
44.28
170.27
178.17
105.09
91.72
0.56
1.46
8.56
7.28
66.19
61.36
0.00
1990
124.97
57.17
89.92
35.58
5.98
64.59
0.00
0.00
36.96
133.06
64.06
121.77
1991
64.06
0.00
260.77
0.00
138.99
14.74
8.88
0.56
16.58
45.76
0.00
41.06
1992
50.63
59.29
41.52
50.06
1.74
41.97
2.32
12.32
19.57
54.15
51.11
14.80
1993
134.00
79.37
309.17
208.17
56.24
7.92
6.34
17.66
51.60
147.67
148.87
232.17
1994
157.77
142.07
182.37
227.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1995
102.44
139.82
123.13
130.84
13.35
1.89
0.14
0.51
97.64
13.46
38.96
46.86
1996
161.77
151.27
163.67
57.84
35.87
0.42
0.09
0.51
0.75
115.40
12.54
205.07
1997
113.20
116.40
117.17
107.01
130.27
0.51
0.05
0.33
14.04
78.80
34.43
124.73
1998
127.94
145.38
123.70
79.18
16.64
7.17
0.14
22.15
25.33
65.92
41.75
20.69
1999
184.67
163.37
259.67
148.32
76.34
4.55
0.09
0.09
49.74
47.10
45.68
20.56
2000
126.91
159.37
153.90
117.51
25.53
0.56
0.47
0.61
105.94
53.16
41.44
236.87
2001
125.97
150.54
133.77
149.55
80.61
4.60
2.61
7.92
48.21
72.07
37.11
293.77
2002
110.68
163.47
131.77
87.23
5.21
0.33
0.19
0.37
108.84
87.33
94.97
173.37
2003
133.18
133.37
96.30
53.74
5.61
4.40
0.09
1.84
31.66
81.38
16.40
2.86
2004
58.01
158.67
100.14
70.97
26.06
0.56
0.00
0.14
127.60
80.80
25.46
211.57
2005
152.40
144.17
173.17
114.29
27.80
0.05
0.05
1.60
48.77
94.36
8.08
349.97
2006
95.18
148.97
130.26
13.52
2.47
0.65
0.05
3.20
173.57
46.63
38.96
158.17
CUADRO N 24
GENERACION DE DESCARGAS MENSUALES (mm) PARA UN PERIODO EXTENDIDO
DE LA QUEBRADA APORTE
Descargas medias mensuales generadas mm
b0 =
15.835 b2 =
0.6638 Se =
6.6353
b1 =
0.1035 R2 =
0.9725 Qo =
AO/MES
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
136.51
125.52
119.01
74.93
33.57
19.14
19.44
38.55
72.54
101.59
103.76
161.57
53.10
56.32
140.09
125.21
29.29
19.18
18.07
18.03
50.00
58.22
119.77
111.47
143.83
72.96
100.45
26.98
21.28
16.22
19.51
27.96
61.00
35.39
87.43
1956
103.07
137.41
69.86
21.65
80.78
26.83
18.21
20.87
23.22
20.54
23.11
20.13
1957
59.30
56.19
114.87
88.75
52.28
20.49
18.45
18.89
69.65
82.65
25.50
71.87
1958
52.30
119.59
74.99
114.38
45.14
21.68
17.97
17.10
27.79
96.67
30.43
58.80
1959
57.44
133.97
122.17
72.76
120.56
32.55
19.04
17.06
43.01
83.65
47.72
150.36
1960
112.50
78.19
75.67
116.29
74.09
22.31
17.96
21.61
32.24
84.19
67.45
52.17
1961
159.20
105.07
144.06
134.10
60.74
22.11
18.93
17.70
34.28
25.43
107.71
117.93
1962
116.30
128.18
139.58
114.61
47.12
19.64
17.27
16.23
22.70
52.68
50.08
21.85
1963
107.86
114.44
154.38
171.59
38.22
20.11
18.52
17.54
17.23
88.51
80.03
112.61
1964
110.25
97.09
135.73
105.14
48.11
64.06
23.78
29.23
19.99
67.40
86.19
39.26
1965
99.84
113.35
138.06
49.13
43.20
20.54
22.74
17.97
46.14
102.66
71.58
127.38
1966
69.06
116.61
74.25
72.51
72.98
24.91
21.19
18.25
36.21
102.78
63.93
59.96
1967
85.41
158.54
170.42
88.02
30.69
20.22
23.74
24.12
30.47
106.19
63.58
54.68
1968
91.96
68.38
127.44
51.67
29.46
18.51
16.52
26.56
50.20
96.23
50.90
53.08
1969
66.53
76.96
76.28
96.66
26.11
18.46
18.17
23.62
25.04
46.07
90.55
135.98
1970
124.78
91.49
126.95
132.73
70.69
31.61
19.83
26.18
49.74
60.21
70.09
80.38
1971
38.59
113.59
161.69
66.16
33.56
26.51
19.82
30.02
25.24
72.49
36.73
105.98
1953
98.30
1954
1955
May
Oct
Nov
Dic
1972
89.17
59.82
206.60
92.93
49.58
19.74
23.13
20.31
32.73
56.23
48.05
67.74
1973
103.85
120.14
119.64
115.82
49.08
34.14
19.35
28.10
45.81
93.67
102.05
112.99
1974
116.04
74.93
97.15
82.06
23.64
18.37
16.47
14.92
34.44
50.23
35.70
66.63
1975
133.85
131.08
204.07
70.65
50.17
20.63
16.60
36.09
34.89
82.15
49.61
76.02
1976
154.43
110.02
68.83
67.23
23.28
48.70
26.68
18.13
29.07
27.49
18.47
19.19
1977
58.93
258.99
126.27
81.14
57.22
36.56
20.75
24.71
39.44
52.71
94.04
108.44
1978
102.11
125.53
46.72
44.70
40.58
20.57
22.83
21.03
183.08
69.71
83.14
87.63
1979
45.88
118.16
156.91
63.43
35.89
17.82
21.83
18.59
43.48
33.37
40.37
67.03
1980
106.67
76.22
122.92
48.57
34.71
19.70
18.21
25.30
21.30
97.25
66.34
53.80
1981
120.17
155.91
115.21
43.94
19.88
17.99
17.76
43.55
36.50
59.31
108.58
126.25
1982
55.39
139.94
113.37
86.99
45.62
23.45
22.98
19.33
18.13
41.62
148.05
95.81
1983
43.52
77.79
134.28
79.37
38.74
20.28
16.47
19.97
49.02
27.41
40.45
148.62
1984
89.33
148.03
116.57
105.19
62.07
32.91
33.14
20.74
39.49
56.90
60.59
70.82
1985
78.77
119.84
109.51
49.99
80.28
23.07
17.35
22.97
92.94
37.13
68.90
78.66
1986
74.19
119.58
113.46
57.34
61.97
22.30
18.98
19.60
29.26
75.18
23.51
77.85
1987
120.35
156.52
122.64
40.20
55.83
23.84
23.40
18.03
19.07
72.54
77.13
34.60
1988
105.95
198.75
102.31
117.58
95.49
36.62
19.37
19.64
19.28
55.40
39.18
49.40
1989
50.36
136.45
147.70
100.88
86.82
27.12
21.48
22.62
22.99
62.22
63.45
23.73
1990
99.82
64.55
82.55
46.69
23.47
60.41
21.36
17.79
39.26
108.22
68.63
104.03
1991
72.14
23.84
189.86
34.50
113.45
37.51
26.12
17.80
28.35
49.89
22.22
48.23
1992
53.17
59.69
50.03
54.51
20.72
45.55
20.77
26.51
32.92
54.66
56.04
31.78
1993
106.37
80.15
227.60
178.75
72.19
29.92
22.37
30.31
53.28
120.50
128.02
183.82
1994
139.56
124.15
151.38
181.51
35.94
20.59
16.55
16.75
17.13
15.72
16.90
15.88
1995
87.80
119.48
109.46
114.01
36.97
21.71
16.04
19.23
83.44
32.24
44.43
51.89
1996
129.05
128.54
137.84
70.57
46.28
19.88
20.16
16.72
17.70
94.46
31.25
154.95
1997
106.46
103.67
104.46
97.46
112.48
29.16
20.34
17.50
26.94
70.02
48.14
103.75
1998
112.29
122.62
110.25
80.64
33.64
23.29
17.62
30.59
38.29
62.42
49.93
35.02
1999
141.99
138.21
202.76
135.98
80.22
27.95
19.28
18.20
52.84
52.75
50.60
36.16
2000
102.99
132.53
129.10
107.04
44.05
20.50
17.46
16.98
87.69
60.11
49.13
179.38
2001
116.60
127.58
118.01
127.51
79.57
26.55
20.45
23.09
51.04
68.23
46.79
215.76
2002
112.83
137.21
119.34
86.36
28.10
17.11
18.30
17.67
91.24
84.59
86.33
142.76
2003
119.91
115.21
92.45
59.79
26.11
20.86
17.95
18.54
37.62
74.48
34.06
22.23
2004
55.67
126.79
95.78
74.79
40.59
20.52
18.72
17.10
100.03
79.71
40.39
158.82
2005
133.16
125.25
143.54
106.34
45.59
20.89
18.73
18.89
48.65
83.64
29.78
251.56
2006
105.06
125.61
115.31
36.75
21.28
18.47
17.78
19.80
133.11
60.57
47.97
125.80
MEDIA
97.58
115.28
121.58
88.83
53.19
26.29
19.88
21.43
43.85
66.57
58.87
88.90
D.S.
30.88
37.94
39.62
36.67
26.72
9.96
3.1
5.44
30.7
24.36
28.41
52.55
Cuadro N 33
DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERADAS - QUEBRADA APORTE
Unidades m3/s
ao/mes
km2
1.92
Area colectora:
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
1953
0.070
0.108
0.090
0.088
0.054
0.025
0.014
0.014
0.029
0.052
0.075
0.074
1954
0.116
0.042
0.040
0.104
0.090
0.022
0.014
0.013
0.013
0.036
0.043
0.086
1955
0.080
0.114
0.052
0.074
0.019
0.016
0.012
0.014
0.021
0.044
0.026
0.063
1956
0.074
0.109
0.050
0.016
0.058
0.020
0.013
0.015
0.017
0.015
0.017
0.014
1957
0.043
0.045
0.082
0.066
0.037
0.015
0.013
0.014
0.052
0.059
0.019
0.052
1958
0.037
0.095
0.054
0.085
0.032
0.016
0.013
0.012
0.021
0.069
0.023
0.042
1959
0.041
0.106
0.088
0.054
0.086
0.024
0.014
0.012
0.032
0.060
0.035
0.108
1960
0.081
0.062
0.054
0.086
0.053
0.017
0.013
0.015
0.024
0.060
0.050
0.037
1961
0.114
0.083
0.103
0.099
0.044
0.016
0.014
0.013
0.025
0.018
0.080
0.085
1962
0.083
0.102
0.100
0.085
0.034
0.015
0.012
0.012
0.017
0.038
0.037
0.016
1963
0.077
0.091
0.111
0.127
0.027
0.015
0.013
0.013
0.013
0.063
0.059
0.081
1964
0.079
0.077
0.097
0.078
0.034
0.047
0.017
0.021
0.015
0.048
0.064
0.028
1965
0.072
0.090
0.099
0.036
0.031
0.015
0.016
0.013
0.034
0.074
0.053
0.091
1966
0.050
0.093
0.053
0.054
0.052
0.018
0.015
0.013
0.027
0.074
0.047
0.043
1967
0.061
0.126
0.122
0.065
0.022
0.015
0.017
0.017
0.023
0.076
0.047
0.039
1968
0.066
0.054
0.091
0.038
0.021
0.014
0.012
0.019
0.037
0.069
0.038
0.038
1969
0.048
0.061
0.055
0.072
0.019
0.014
0.013
0.017
0.019
0.033
0.067
0.097
1970
0.089
0.073
0.091
0.098
0.051
0.023
0.014
0.019
0.037
0.043
0.052
0.058
1971
0.028
0.090
0.116
0.049
0.024
0.020
0.014
0.022
0.019
0.052
0.027
0.076
1972
0.064
0.047
0.148
0.069
0.036
0.015
0.017
0.015
0.024
0.040
0.036
0.049
1973
0.074
0.095
0.086
0.086
0.035
0.025
0.014
0.020
0.034
0.067
0.076
0.081
1974
0.083
0.059
0.070
0.061
0.017
0.014
0.012
0.011
0.026
0.036
0.026
0.048
1975
0.096
0.104
0.146
0.052
0.036
0.015
0.012
0.026
0.026
0.059
0.037
0.054
1976
0.111
0.087
0.049
0.050
0.017
0.036
0.019
0.013
0.022
0.020
0.014
0.014
1977
0.042
0.206
0.091
0.060
0.041
0.027
0.015
0.018
0.029
0.038
0.070
0.078
1978
0.073
0.100
0.033
0.033
0.029
0.015
0.016
0.015
0.136
0.050
0.062
0.063
1979
0.033
0.094
0.112
0.047
0.026
0.013
0.016
0.013
0.032
0.024
0.030
0.048
1980
0.076
0.060
0.088
0.036
0.025
0.015
0.013
0.018
0.016
0.070
0.049
0.039
1981
0.086
0.124
0.083
0.033
0.014
0.013
0.013
0.031
0.027
0.043
0.080
0.091
1982
0.040
0.111
0.081
0.064
0.033
0.017
0.016
0.014
0.013
0.030
0.110
0.069
1983
0.031
0.062
0.096
0.059
0.028
0.015
0.012
0.014
0.036
0.020
0.030
0.107
1984
0.064
0.117
0.084
0.078
0.044
0.024
0.024
0.015
0.029
0.041
0.045
0.051
1985
0.056
0.095
0.079
0.037
0.058
0.017
0.012
0.016
0.069
0.027
0.051
0.056
1986
0.053
0.095
0.081
0.042
0.044
0.017
0.014
0.014
0.022
0.054
0.017
0.056
1987
0.086
0.124
0.088
0.030
0.040
0.018
0.017
0.013
0.014
0.052
0.057
0.025
1988
0.076
0.158
0.073
0.087
0.068
0.027
0.014
0.014
0.014
0.040
0.029
0.035
1989
0.036
0.108
0.106
0.075
0.062
0.020
0.015
0.016
0.017
0.045
0.047
0.017
1990
0.072
0.051
0.059
0.035
0.017
0.045
0.015
0.013
0.029
0.078
0.051
0.075
1991
0.052
0.019
0.136
0.026
0.081
0.028
0.019
0.013
0.021
0.036
0.016
0.035
1992
0.038
0.047
0.036
0.040
0.015
0.034
0.015
0.019
0.024
0.039
0.042
0.023
1993
0.076
0.064
0.163
0.132
0.052
0.022
0.016
0.022
0.039
0.086
0.095
0.132
1994
0.100
0.099
0.109
0.134
0.026
0.015
0.012
0.012
0.013
0.011
0.013
0.011
1995
0.063
0.095
0.078
0.084
0.027
0.016
0.011
0.014
0.062
0.023
0.033
0.037
1996
0.093
0.102
0.099
0.052
0.033
0.015
0.014
0.012
0.013
0.068
0.023
0.111
1997
0.076
0.082
0.075
0.072
0.081
0.022
0.015
0.013
0.020
0.050
0.036
0.074
1998
0.080
0.097
0.079
0.060
0.024
0.017
0.013
0.022
0.028
0.045
0.037
0.025
1999
0.102
0.110
0.145
0.101
0.058
0.021
0.014
0.013
0.039
0.038
0.037
0.026
2000
0.074
0.105
0.093
0.079
0.032
0.015
0.013
0.012
0.065
0.043
0.036
0.129
2001
0.084
0.101
0.085
0.094
0.057
0.020
0.015
0.017
0.038
0.049
0.035
0.155
2002
0.081
0.109
0.086
0.064
0.020
0.013
0.013
0.013
0.068
0.061
0.064
0.102
2003
0.086
0.091
0.066
0.044
0.019
0.015
0.013
0.013
0.028
0.053
0.025
0.016
2004
0.040
0.101
0.069
0.055
0.029
0.015
0.013
0.012
0.074
0.057
0.030
0.114
2005
0.095
0.099
0.103
0.079
0.033
0.015
0.013
0.014
0.036
0.060
0.022
0.180
2006
0.075
0.100
0.083
0.027
0.015
0.014
0.013
0.014
0.099
0.043
0.036
0.090
Media
0.070
0.091
0.087
0.066
0.038
0.019
0.014
0.015
0.033
0.048
0.044
0.064
Desv.LEGAL:
0.022
0.030 NRO
0.0281920.027
0.019
DOM.
JR AYLLUS
BARRIO
DE
0.007
0.002
0.004
0.023
0.017
0.021
0.038
LLACSHAHUANCA
TELEFONO:
943224717
CUADRO N 34
DESCARGAS MENSUALES CON 75% DE PERSISTENCIA
QUEBRADA APORTE LAGUNA CUNTUNGA
ENE
0.057
FEB
0.056
DIC
0.078
CAUDAL (m3/s)
0.100
0.080
0.060
0.040
0.020
0.000
ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
75% PERSISTENCIA 0.057 0.056 0.100 0.086 0.034 0.028 0.016 0.021 0.032 0.063 0.069 0.078
VI. CONCLUSIONES
- Del cuadro N33, se tiene que el mximo caudal mensual generado
para la quebrada de aporte hacia la laguna cuntunga es igual a
0.091m3/s y 0.086m3/s correspondientes a los meses de febrero y
marzo; mientras que el mnimo caudal mensual generado es igual a
0.01 m3/s correspondiente a los meses de julio y agosto.
- Del cuadro N34, se tiene que el mayor caudal para la quebrada de
aporte hacia la laguna cuntunga es igual a 0.10 m3/s que corresponde
al mes de marzo; mientras que al menor caudal es igual a 0.016 m3/s
correspondientes a los meses de julio agosto y setiembre.
- La disponibilidad al 75% de probabilidad de agua de la quebrada de
aporte hacia la represa Cuntunga en el ao medio es 0.05 m3/s, siendo
la mayor descarga en el mes de Marzo (0.10 m3/s) y la descarga
mnima en los meses de Junio, Julio y Agosto (0.016 m3/s).
- Los caudales generados (m3/s) para el ao promedio en Quebrada de
aporte a la laguna cuntunga, son los siguientes:
Qt
Qt-1
PE
96.9
132.0
136.8
85.6
60.6
24.3
21.6
23.8
87.4
96.9
132.0
136.8
85.6
60.6
24.3
21.6
114.9
150.0
159.3
89.2
38.1
6.3
1.8
4.9
45.2
59.4
43.4
87.4
23.8
45.2
59.4
43.4
34.4
66.6
50.6
100.9