Polynomials: Extrapolation and Curve-Fitting Project

Niger

Aracely Ochoa Stephanie Padilla Algebra II, Period 2 December 5, 2011

PART I: DATA QUESTIONS

1.) Write down the equation to the line. y = -35.185x3+403.17x2+184.39x+1312.7 2.) What curve did you choose as best fit (quadratic, cubic, quartic, quintic)? The function that best fit our data was cubic 3.) How many new HIV cases have you predicted in the next 5 years? Does this number make sense? Why or why not? We predict that there will be 8288.6 new HIV cases in 2000. This number makes sense because with education the number of new cases should decrease.

4.) How many new HIV cases have you predicted in the next 20 years? Does this number make sense? Why or why not? We predict that there will be 25741.67 new HIV cases in 2013. This number could make sense because the number of new cases could increase if

treatment and education decreases.

PART II: ARTICLE QUESTIONS

1. What are the major factors for the spread of HIV in your selected country? The major factor for the spread of HIV in Niger is that people in Niger were having heterosexual sex which was the primary for of transmission in the spread of HIV in Niger. 2. What has been done to decrease the number of new cases? People estimated that just 10 percent of HIV-infected women and men. And the women and men were receiving antiretroviral therapy and only 7 percent of pregnant women were receiving treatment to reduce the risk of mother-tochild

3. What are some of the barriers that contribute to the spread of HIV? A barrier to the decrease of HIV is the stigma of talking about sex and getting tested. In addition, people were stopping having sex. 4. What are your suggestions for this country that could effectively help reduce the number of new cases?

We suggested that Niger people should care more about their health and less what they do. I also think that the people should try to stop spreading HIV to the people that are clean.

PART III: WHITE PAPER

1. Overview- Summarize findings from articles. Use Article Questions as a Guide

2. Contributing factors- summarize factors SPECIFIC to your country that have contributed to the increase or decline. 3. Data analysis- Copy and paste your table. Explain in words what trends are present. 4. Predictions- Copy and paste graph for 20 years in the future. Explain in words what the graph illustrates. 5. Recommendations- Suggest possible future actions that can be taken or continued based on their effectiveness.

HIV in Niger
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AIDS in Niger (Overview) Two decades ago, AIDS first came to the worlds attention as a mysterious infection among gay males. Today, AIDS has the face of a woman. The disease now infects and affects more women than ever before, accounting for nearly half the 40 million people living with HIV worldwide.
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Contributing factors While a variety of economic, legal, cultural, religious, political, biological and sexual factors make women more vulnerable to HIV/AIDS than men, pervasive gender inequality is at the root of the spread of the pandemic, especially in developing countries. The many and varied links between this inequity and increased vulnerability to HIV infection among women and girls has been well documented. Furthermore, cultural and/or social norms often restrict womens access to basic information about sexual and reproductive health.
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Even if women have access to information, these gender norms prescribe an unequal and more passive role for women in sexual decision-making; make women vulnerable to sexual coercion; and prevent them from insisting on abstinence or condom use by their male partners. In addition, women bear the triple jeopardy of the disease: As infected-persons; as mothers of infected children; and as caregivers of partners, parents or orphans with AIDS.
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Data Analysis The number of women and girls living with HIV continues to steadily increase worldwide. In 2008, 15.7 million women were living with HIV/AIDS compared to 15.4 million in 2007 and with 13.8 million in 2001. the prevalence of HIV infection in women is most marked in sub-Saharan Africa where 60 percent of the people living with HIV are female.5
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HIV is the leading cause of death and disease among women of reproductive age (15-49 years) worldwide.
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In Southern Africa, prevalence among young women aged 15-24 years living with HIV is on average about three times higher than among men of the same age. Children under 15 years of age and women of reproduction age, approximately 675

million people out of 75% of Niger population.

Predictions Unless the global and national communities respond immediately to the pandemic, women face a bleak future: more and more women infected and dying; more women exhausted from caring for the ill and dying; boys and girls continuing to be orphaned with the girl-child especially vulnerable to sexual exploitation; more women caring for orphans; widows driven from their homes, deprived of land and inheritance rights; and families, especially women, with little hope of escaping poverty. The people living with HIV in Niger Recommendations
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Some recommendations that I have is that people should start caring about their health and less about having sex. Another thing that I think they should do is that if they are having sex at least they should use protection. Another thing that could help them is that they could get the treatment that they could give them for example they could some treatment for pain. Another thing that they could do is thing for the thing they could do for example they should care about their health because how about someday they want to have a kin they could pass it to their kids.

PART IV: GPS Reflection

Team Member A Reflection (Stephanie P.) 1. Please provide a detailed summary describing the artifact and its purpose? In my Algebra class, I and my partner had to do a Polynomial project based on HIV in Niger. We had to predict if it increase or decrease the number of people that had HIV. We also had to find out how the people go helped with their health. 2. Identify and list the GLPO(s) that were satisfied in completing this artifact. In addition, please explain how these GPLO(s) were met by specifically referring to the example or evidence from the artifact. (Please specifically refer to the indicators within each domain, and do not simply state that you Took Action or Communicated Ideas.) I communicated ideas in this project because I shared ideas with my partner. For example I and my partner would share our information that we had both gathered and that had to do with our project. 3. What skills and concepts were learned in completing this artifact how will they affect your future? Some skills that I learned were how to use more futures that Excel it has. I learned how to have numbers and make then into a graph. I also learned how to create polynomials by using Excel 4. What might you do differently if you were able to recreate or revise the final product? If I could recreate this project again I would like to put more interesting facts about how the spread of HIV in Niger. I would also like to put how the men, women, and children got helped with their health. Another thing that I would like to point out is how the people got tricked about how they could get rid of HIV.

Team Member B Reflection (Aracely) 1. Please provide a detailed summary describing the artifact and its purpose. In my Algebra II I had to find out how the spread of HIV affected Niger. I and my partner had to find as much information as we could about how HIV affects Niger. In our first graph we had to figure out the predictions in five years and it decreased so that is a very good sign. I decorated that graph by the outline of it being red and the graph purple. In the second graph we predicted how will HIV be in twenty years and it will increase. I decorated that outer graph purple and the graph blue. The purpose of this project was to know how much HIV affects people and how it gets around. People get HIV by having unsafe sex. There are a lot of ways to stop this disease, for example you could use a condom or get tested right away and get treatment.

2. Identify and list the GLPO(s) that were satisfied in completing this artifact. In addition,

please explain how these GLPO(s) were met by specifically referring to the examples or evidence from the artifact. (Please specifically refer to the indicators within each domain, and do not simply state that you Took Action or Communicated Ideas.) I communicated ideas in this project because I shared ideas with my partner. For example I and my partner would share our information that we had both gathered and that had to do with our project.

3. What skills and concepts were learned throughout the process of completing this artifact? The skill that I learned from this project was that I learned how to use Excel even more when it comes to working on it with math. I now know how to calculate stuff in Excel than rather doing all of the hard work right there it saves you a lot of time.

4. Looking back on the process of completing this artifact, what might you do differently if

you were able to recreate or revise the final product? How has process of completing this artifact positively affected your future? Looking back at this project I might work harder and look deeper in the reading for that I can have more information about this. This will affect me in my future because I will already know how to use it when I need it in a bigger project.