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  • Nota: Introduzca Los Alphas: SES Alpha 1

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    Paulo Pereira Monge
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    This document contains data on demand for 24 periods and the results of using two different smoothing exponential methods (SES and SED) to forecast that demand. It provides the alpha values used for each method, tables showing the actual demand, forecasts and errors for each period, and totals for error metrics. A line graph compares the actual demand values to those forecast by the SED method.

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    SED 1.0

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    This document contains data on demand for 24 periods and the results of using two different smoothing exponential methods (SES and SED) to forecast that demand. It provides the alpha values used for each method, tables showing the actual demand, forecasts and errors for each period, and totals for error metrics. A line graph compares the actual demand values to those forecast by the SED method.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    43 views4 pages

    Nota: Introduzca Los Alphas: SES Alpha 1

    Uploaded by

    Paulo Pereira Monge
    This document contains data on demand for 24 periods and the results of using two different smoothing exponential methods (SES and SED) to forecast that demand. It provides the alpha values used for each method, tables showing the actual demand, forecasts and errors for each period, and totals for error metrics. A line graph compares the actual demand values to those forecast by the SED method.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 4

    periodo 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.

    00
    demanda 557.00 436.00 278.00 275.00 352.00 281.00

    nota: introduzca los alphas


    SES Alpha 1= 0.60
    SED Alpha 2= 0.50

    Tabla de errores

    BIAS MAD MSE


    15.55 80.41 10931.91
    ,

    SES 557.00 484.40 360.56 309.22 334.89


    SED 557.00 520.70 440.63 374.93 354.91
    ft-Dt 121.00 242.70 165.63 22.93 73.91
    │ft-Dt│ 121.00 242.70 165.63 22.93 73.91
    │ft-Dt│*│ft-Dt│ 14641.00 58903.29 27433.30 525.65 5462.44
    7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00
    291.00 336.00 365.00 368.00 273.00 435.00 556.00 523.00

    700.00

    600.00

    500.00

    400.00
    demanda
    300.00 SED

    200.00

    100.00

    0.00
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324

    302.56 295.62 319.85 346.94 359.58 307.63 384.05 487.22


    328.73 312.18 316.01 331.48 345.53 326.58 355.32 421.27
    37.73 -23.82 -48.99 -36.52 72.53 -108.42 -200.68 -101.73
    37.73 23.82 48.99 36.52 72.53 108.42 200.68 101.73
    1423.71 567.53 2399.72 1333.98 5260.03 11755.29 40274.40 10349.40
    15.00 16.00 17.00 18.00 19.00 20.00 21.00 22.00
    611.00 386.00 489.00 523.00 518.00 506.00 437.00 498.00

    508.69 570.08 459.63 477.25 504.70 512.68 508.67 465.67


    464.98 517.53 488.58 482.92 493.81 503.24 505.96 485.81
    -146.02 131.53 -0.42 -40.08 -24.19 -2.76 68.96 -12.19
    146.02 131.53 0.42 40.08 24.19 2.76 68.96 12.19
    21322.37 17299.29 0.18 1606.79 585.25 7.59 4755.23 148.51
    23.00 24.00
    478.00 324.00

    Sumatorias
    485.07 480.83
    485.44 483.13
    7.44 159.13 357.65
    7.44 159.13 1849.32
    55.36 25323.56 251433.85

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