Professional Documents
Culture Documents
(b) Find an interval that contains the middle 95% of completion times for all people taking the
11. In a normally distributed population, what percent of the population observations lie within test. Sketch required.
2.576 standard deviations of the mean? Include a sketch to illustrate your answer.
14. The Graduate Record Examinations are widely used to help predict the performance of
12. Use Table A to find the proportions of observations from a standard normal distribution that applicants to graduate schools. The range of possible scores on a GRE is 200 to 900. The
satisfies each of these statements. In both cases, sketch a standard normal curve and shade the psychology department finds that the scores of its applicants on the quantitative GRE are
area under the curve that answers the question. approximately normal with mean 544 and standard deviation 103. What minimum score would
a student need in order to score in the top 10% of those taking the test?
(a) Z > –1.68
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test. ________________________
12. Use your calculator to determine the least-squares regression line (LSRL). Write the equation, and
17. Based on your residual plot, would you describe Joey's growth pattern from 18 to 30 months as being
plot this line on your graph. (Be sure to show what information you’re using to plot the line.)
linear? Explain.
14. Show how the residual for the first data point in the table is calculated.
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test. _________________________________
4. Suppose that the scatterplot of log Y on X produces a correlation close to 1. Which of the
following is true?
I. The correlation between the variables X and Y will also be close to 1.
II. The residual plot of Y on X will show a clearly curved pattern of points.
III. The difference between consecutive values of y for equal x-intervals is approximately constant.
(a) I and II only 11. The statement prior to #10 represents (circle the correct answer):
(b) I and III only
(c) II and III only causation common response confounding
(d) I, II, and III
(e) None of the above. The answer is .
20. Now transform your linear equation back to obtain a model for the original data. (It should be in
the form y = c•10 ^kx) Write the equation for this model.
15. How do these distributions differ from the marginal distribution of age group?
21. The Strategis Group predicts 70.8 million subscribers in 1998, and 99.2 million in the year 2000.
How many cellular subscribers does your model predict for these years?
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test. _____________________________
A chemical engineer is designing the production process for a new product. The chemical reaction Vitamin E may have special health benefits
Large doses of vitamin E apparently can reduce harmful side effects of bypass surgery in heart
that produces the product may have a higher or lower yield depending on the temperature and the
patients. A study involving 28 bypass patients found that the 14 patients who took vitamin E for
stirring rate in the vessel in which the reaction takes place. The engineer decides to investigate the two weeks before their operations had significantly better heart function after the procedure than
effects of combinations of two temperatures (50˚C and 60˚C) and three stirring rates (60 rpm, 90 the 14 patients who took placebos.
rpm, and 120 rpm) on the yield of the process. Ten batches of feedstock will be processed at each The vitamins apparently prevent damage to the heart muscle by destroying the toxic chemicals,
combination of temperature and stirring rate. called free radicals, that form when blood is cut off during the surgery, said Dr. Terrance Yau of
the University of Toronto.
1. What are the experimental units?
(a) The two temperatures (50˚C and 60˚C) 6. Describe the experimental units/subjects in the experiment. How many were there?
(b) The three stirring rates (60 rpm, 90 rpm, and 120 rpm)
(c) The two temperatures and the three stirring rates
(d) The batches of feedstock 7. Identify the explanatory variable(s).
(e) None of the above. The answer is
3. What is the response variable? 9. How many subjects were in each treatment group?
(a) The two temperatures (50˚C and 60˚C)
(b) The three stirring rates (60 rpm, 90 rpm, and 120 rpm) 10. What was the response variable?
(c) The two temperatures and the three stirring rates
(d) The batches of feedstock
(e) None of the above. The answer is Suppose there are 500 students in your school.
4. How many treatments are there? 11. Using Line 125 of the attached Random Numbers Table(RNT), select the first 5 students in a
(a) 2 (b) 3 (c) 5 (d) 6 simple random sample (SRS) of 20 students.
(e) None of the above. The answer is _______________________________.
Bias is present in each of the following sample designs. In each case, identify the type of bias
involved and state whether you think the sample proportion obtained is higher or lower than the true
population proportion.
17. A political pollster is seeking information on public attitudes toward funding of pornographic
art by the National Endowment for the Arts (NEA). He asks a SRS of 2000 U. S. adults,
“Rather than support government censorship of artistic expression, are you in favor of
continuing federal funding of artists whose work may be controversial?” 85% of those surveyed
answer “yes”.
14. Use the random-digit table starting at line 128 to select the turkeys that will be assigned to the
first treatment group. Be sure to indicate how you labeled the turkeys.
18. A church group interested in promoting volunteerism in a community chooses a SRS of 200
community addresses and sends members to visit these addresses during weekday working
15. What kind of bias is Calvin introducing into the survey he’s taking? hours and inquire about the residents' attitude toward volunteer work. 60% of all respondents
say that they would be willing to donate at least an hour a week to some volunteer organization.
19. What would be the effect on the results of the survey of increasing the sample size in the
opinion poll in the previous problem to a SRS of 500?
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test. ____________________________
Chapter 5 3 Test 5C Chapter 5 4 Test 5C
Test 6B AP Statistics Name: 5. If A∪B = S (sample space), P(A and Bc) = 0.25, and P(Ac) = 0.35, then P(B) =
(a) 0.35
Directions: Work on these sheets.
(b) 0.4
(c) 0.65
Part 1: Multiple Choice. Circle the letter corresponding to the best answer.
(d) 0.75
(e) None of the above. The answer is ________________.
1. Which of the following pairs of events are disjoint (mutually exclusive)?
(a) A: the odd numbers; B: the number 5
Part 2: Free Response
(b) A: the even numbers; B: the numbers greater than 10
Answer completely, but be concise. Write sequentially and show all steps.
(c) A: the numbers less than 5; B: all negative numbers
(d) A: the numbers above 100; B: the numbers less than –200
A box contains six red tags numbered 1 through 6, and four white tags numbered 1 through 4. One tag
(e) A: negative numbers; B: odd numbers
is drawn at random.
2. Which of the following are true?
6. Write the sample space for this experiment.
I. The sum of the probabilities in a probability distribution can be any number between 0 and 1.
II. The probability of the union of two events is the sum of the probabilities of those events.
III. The probability that an event happens is equal to 1 – (the probability that the event does not
happen).
(a) I and II only
(b) I and III only
(c) II and III only
Calculate the following probabilities:
(d) I, II, and III
(e) None of the above gives the complete set of true responses
7. P(red) 8. P(even number)
3. Government data show that 26% of the civilian labor force has at least 4 years of college and that
15% of the labor force works as laborers or operators of machines or vehicles. Can you conclude
9. P(red and even) 10. P(red or even)
that because (0.26)(0.15) = .039 about 4% of the labor force are college-educated laborers or
operators?
(a) Yes, by the multiplication rule
11. P(neither red nor even) 12. P(even | red)
(b) Yes, by conditional probabilities
(c) Yes, by the law of large numbers
(d) No, because the events are not independent
13. P(red | even) 14. P( <4 | odd)
(e) No, because the events are not mutually exclusive
4. If a peanut M&M is chosen at random, the chances of it being of a particular color are shown in the
15. Suppose that for a group of consumers, the probability of eating pretzels is .75 and that the
table below.
probability of drinking Coke is .65. Further suppose that the probability of eating pretzels and
Color Brown Red Yellow Green Orange Blue drinking Coke is .55. Determine if these two events are independent.
Probability .3 .2 .2 .2 .1
Outcomes_______________________________________________ 21. What is the conditional probability that the student is a female given that the student is at least 35
P(X) years old?
18. Consider the following events:
V={ P(V) =
F={ P(F) =
23. If four cards are drawn from a standard deck of 52 playing cards and not replaced, find the
V or F = { P(V or F) = probability of getting at least one heart.
complement of F = { P(Fc) =
24. If three dice are rolled, find the probability of getting triples – i.e., 1,1,1 or 2,2,2 or 3,3,3 etc.
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test: ______________________________
X 1 2 3 4
Part 2: Free Response
Probability 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 Answer completely, but be concise. Write sequentially and show all steps.
1. Using the above data, what is the probability that a randomly chosen subject completes at least 3 The probability that 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 people will seek treatment for the flu during any given hour at an
puzzles in the five-minute period while listening to soothing music? emergency room is shown in the distribution.
(a) 0.3
(b) 0.4 X 0 1 2 3 4
P(X) 0.12 0.25 0.32 0.24 0.06
(c) 0.6
(d) 0.9 6. What does the random variable count or measure?
(e) The answer cannot be computed from the information given.
4. Which of the following random variables should be considered continuous? 9. If a player rolls two dice and gets a sum of 2 or 12, he wins $20. If the person gets a 7, he wins $5.
(a) The time it takes for a randomly chosen woman to run 100 meters The cost to play the game is $3. Find the expectation of the game.
(b) The number of brothers a randomly chosen person has
(c) The number of cars owned by a randomly chosen adult male
(d) The number of orders received by a mail order company in a randomly chosen week
(e) None of the above
12. If you reach into the box and randomly select one coin, what is the probability you will get
something between 5 cents and 35 cents? 19. Find the variance (sX)2 of X.
20. Define the new random variable Y = 3X + 1. Use the properties of the mean of linear functions of
random variables and your results in the previous problems to find the mean of Y.
13. P(0 ≤ X ≤ 3) =
14. P(2 ≤ X ≤ 3) = 21. Use the properties of the variance of linear functions of random variables to calculate the variance
and standard deviation of the new random variable Y.
15. P(X = 2) =
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test. ________________
2. In a certain large population, 40% of households have a total annual income of over $70,000. A 6. Define the random variable being measured. X =
simple random sample is taken of 4 of these households. Let X be the number of households in the
sample with an annual income of over $70,000 and assume that the binomial assumptions are
reasonable. What is the mean of X? What kind of distribution does X have?
(a) 1.6
(b) 28,000 7. Calculate the mean and standard deviation of X.
(c) 0.96
(d) 2, since the mean must be an integer
(e) The answer cannot be computed from the information given.
3. The probability that a three-year-old battery still works is 0.8. A cassette recorder requires four
working batteries to operate. The state of batteries can be regarded as independent, and four three-
year-old batteries are selected for the cassette recorder. What is the probability that the cassette
recorder operates?
(a) 0.9984 8. Determine the probability that exactly 80 subjects experience headache relief with this remedy.
(b) 0.8000
(c) 0.5904
(d) 0.4096
(e) The answer cannot be computed from the information given.
9. What is the probability that between 75 and 90 (inclusive) of the patients will obtain relief? Justify
4. Twenty percent of all trucks undergoing a certain inspection will fail the inspection. Assume that your method of solution.
trucks are independently undergoing this inspection, one at a time. The expected number of trucks
inspected before a truck fails inspection is
(a) 2
(b) 4
(c) 5
(d) 20
(e) The answer cannot be computed from the information given.
16. How many Americans would you expect to weigh before you encounter the first overweight
11. Construct a pdf histogram for X. individual?
17. What is the probability that it takes more than 5 attempts before an overweight person is found?
12. Construct a cdf (cumulative distribution function) table for X.
18. Construct the cumulative distribution table (stop at n = 6) for the number of Americans weighed
before an overweight person was found.
13. Construct a cdf histogram for X.
14. What is the probability that a family like the Ferrells would have three children who are all 19. Sketch a cumulative distribution histogram (stop at
girls? n = 6) for the table you constructed in the previous
problem. Don’t forget to label the axes.
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test. ________________________________
13. Explain why you can use the formula for the standard deviation of p̂ in this setting.
17. Describe the shape of the sampling distribution of the mean x of a sample of 55 randomly selected
freshmen.
14. Check that you can use the normal approximation for the distribution of p̂ .
18. What are the mean and standard deviation for the average number of hours x spent studying by an
SRS of 55 freshmen?
15. What is the probability that more than half of the sample is in favor? (Sketch required.)
19. What is the probability that the average number of hours spent studying of an SRS of 55 students is
greater than 14.2 hours?
20. Would your answers to 16–19 be affected if the distribution of number of hours freshmen study
were distinctly nonnormal? Explain briefly.
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test. _________________________
(d) Describe a Type I error in the context of this problem. What is the probability of a Type I error?
(c) Describe a Type II error in the context of this problem. How could the manufacturer decrease
the probability of a Type II error.
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test.________________________
4. To use the two-sample t procedure to perform a significance test on the difference between two
means, we assume
(a) The populations’ standard deviations are known
(b) The samples from each population are independent
(c) The distributions are exactly normal in each population
(d) The sample sizes are large
(e) All of the above
11. Is there significant evidence that the mean hemoglobin level is higher among breast-fed babies? Give
appropriate statistical evidence to support your conclusion.
In a study of the effectiveness of weight-loss programs, 47 subjects who were at least 20% overweight
took part in a group support program for 10 weeks. Private weighings determined each subject’s weight
at the beginning of the program and 6 months after the program’s end. The matched pairs t test was used
to assess the significance of the average weight loss. The paper reporting the study said, “The subjects
lost a significant amount of weight over time, t(46) = 4.68, P < 0.01.”
12. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean difference in hemoglobin level between the two
8. Why was the matched-pairs t statistic appropriate? populations of infants. Interpret your interval in the context of this problem.
9. Explain to someone who knows no statistics but is interested in weight-loss programs what the
practical conclusion is.
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test. ____________________________
2. A random sample of 900 individuals has been selected from a large population. It was found that What conclusion should we draw?
180 are regular users of vitamins. Thus, the proportion of the regular users of vitamins in the (a) We are 95% confident that the admissions standards have been tightened.
population is estimated to be 0.20. The standard error of this estimate is approximately: (b) Reject H0 at the α = 0.01 significance level.
(a) 0.1600 (c) Fail to reject H0 at the α = 0.05 significance level.
(b) 0.0002 (d) There is significant evidence of a decrease in the proportion of freshmen who graduated in the
(c) 0.4000 bottom third of their high school class that were admitted by the university.
(d) 0.0133 (e) If we reject H0 at the α = .05 significance level based on these results, we have a 5% chance of
(e) 0.0267 being wrong.
3. The college newspaper of a large Midwestern university periodically conducts a survey of students 7. In a test of H0: p = 0.4 against Ha: p ≠ 0.4, a sample of size 100 produces z = 1.28 for the value of
on campus to determine the attitude on campus concerning issues of interest. Pictures of the the test statistic. Thus the P-value (or observed level of significance) of the test is approximately
students interviewed along with quotes of their responses are printed in the paper. Students are equal to:
interviewed by a reporter “roaming” the campus selecting students to interview “haphazardly.” On (a) 0.90
a particular day the reporter interviews five students and asks them if they feel there is adequate (b) 0.40
student parking on campus. Four of the students say no. (c) 0.05
(d) 0.20
Which of the following conditions for inference about a proportion using a confidence interval are (e) 0.10
violated in this example?
(a) The data are an SRS from the population of interest.
(b) The population is at least ten times as large as the sample.
(c) nˆp ≥ 10 and n(1 − pˆ ) ≥ 10 .
(d) We are interested in inference about a proportion.
(e) More than one condition is violated.
4. A 95% confidence interval for p, the proportion of Canadian beer drinkers who prefer Lion Red
was found to be (0.236,0.282). Which of the following is correct?
(a) About 95% of beer drinkers have between a 23.6% and a 28.2% chance of drinking Lion Red.
(b) There is a 95% probability that the sample proportion lies between 0.236 and 0.282.
(c) If a second sample was taken, there is a 95% chance that its confidence interval would contain
0.25.
(d) This confidence interval indicates that we would likely reject the hypothesis H0: p = 0.25.
(e) We are reasonably certain that the true proportion of beer drinkers who prefer Lion Red is
between 24% and 28%.
8. Construct and interpret a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of all visitors to Yellowstone Adverse Event Seldane (N = 781) Placebo (N = 665)
who favor the restrictions. Drowsiness 9.0 8.1
10. If we let p1 = the proportion of all people experiencing drowsiness who take Seldane, and let
p 2 = the proportion of all people experiencing drowsiness who take the placebo, then determine
p̂1 and p̂ 2 . (Caution: p̂1 is not 0.0115!)
11. State appropriate hypotheses in symbols and words for carrying out a significance test.
12. Verify the necessary conditions for performing inference in this setting.
9. Based on the survey results, can the U.S. Park Service conclude that more than half of all
Yellowstone visitors are in favor of the added restrictions? Carry out an appropriate test.
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test. ___________________________
1. Using the above data, what are the appropriate degrees of freedom for the chi-square statistic?
2. Using the above data, what is the P-value for the chi-square statistic?
(a) Larger than 0.10
(b) Between 0.05 and 0.10
(c) Between 0.01 and 0.05
(d) Less than 0.01
(e) It is impossible to tell from the information presented.
We want to know whether there is good evidence that the source of the quotation influences
6. Enter the marginal values in the table and the expected counts next to the observed counts. whether students agree with it. Use a chi-square test to assess the significance of the effect.
7. Write null and alternative hypotheses for a chi-square analysis of these data.
8. State and verify conditions for carrying out the inference procedure.
9. Determine the test statistic, the degrees of freedom, and the P-value.
I pledge that I have neither given nor received aid on this test._____________________