Professional Documents
Culture Documents
e-mail: kssmith@battlecreekmi.gov
OVERALL SUMMARY
In summary, NGF finds that BPGC is performing well in light of the fact that the market area has
many golf courses that reportedly are struggling to attract golfers. BPGC appears to be among
the better properties in the market area in terms of overall quality. Customer ratings by popular
travel and business websites for BPGC (TripAdvisor, Google, Golfnow) indicate that the
courses management team and staff are doing a good job in meeting or exceeding customer
expectations, and in many cases customers are giving BPGC their highest possible rating.
Management appears to have reduced labor and other costs effectively over the last few years
as oversupply, lingering effects from the recession, and other factors lowered the number of
rounds played at BPGC and other facilities in the market. Essentially, BPGC has been able to
cover its operating costs, which has become increasingly difficult in todays operating
environment, where one third of municipal golf facilities fail to fund on-site expenses(NGF
survey research). However, BPGC management and NGF understand that the City desires the
property to cover not only its operating costs, but bond payments as well. In order to improve
the success of the BPGC operation, the City and course management should examine several
of the best practices outlined by the NGF in this report and adopt or modify these and other
programs to help promote additional golf play at the facility.
The most salient high-level findings from NGF are noted below, with more detail and
documentation provided in the body of this attached report:
Though golf continued its macro trend toward stabilization in 2014 and 2015, sociodemographic, financial and cultural headwinds persist for golf, and the last recession
has had lingering effects on discretionary spending habits.
Strong golf demand and participation in the Battle Creek / Calhoun County area is
greatly mitigated by an oversupply of affordable, public golf courses. The 15-mile
market around the Binder Park GC has 61% fewer golfing households per 18
holes of public golf than does the nation overall, and 72% fewer golfing
households per 18 holes of Value price point public golf, where BPGC is
positioned.
With a stabilized population bases, no new golf courses on the horizon, and potential
further closures of existing courses, the local may become more favorable for
existing operators in the coming years.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 3
unlikely for the City to find a buyer that would be willing to pay off the debt, unless the property
could be rezoned for a more profitable use. (The recent listing of the nearby Oakland Hills
course of less than $1.0 million is an indication that an expected price would likely not repay the
bond debt). If the City were to seriously consider the sale option, a detailed real estate analysis
and appraisal for the highest and best use should be conducted.
Closing BPGC: NGF has noted that BPGC even after a downturn in rounds played has
been contributing a positive net income, and funding minor capital items, before debt service.
When the debt service is considered in the context of being a sunk or fixed cost, it is hard to
justify closing a facility that is meeting all of its operating obligations and contributing some
funds toward debt service, unless there were a more profitable (and permissible) use of the
land. Closing the course would remove the cost recovery (revenue) element, while incurring
new one-time costs related to securing the site and demolishing unused structures, and
retaining other expenses (e.g., maintenance, employee legacy costs). Another consideration is
that a golf course also provides other indirect economic benefits (e.g, wages earned and spent
within Battle Creek, etc.), as well as non-economic benefits, to a community (see Appendix A).
In light of this discussion, NGF recommends that the City keep BPGC open and
concentrate on making the golf course a more economically viable operation, even if as
we are projecting it continues to fall short of paying all of the debt service.
Operational Recommendations
In the body of the report, NGF provides recommendations that should help grow rounds and
revenue at BPGC. These recommendations are based on the NGF consultants experience and
expertise, but stem from a limited review of the operation and facilities. We also recognize that
many of these items are already being enacted, but that some may simply require more focus,
resources and attention. Our recommendations include improvements to marketing,
enhancement of electronic capabilities (website, email, etc.), direct selling to grow tournament,
league, hotel, and meeting/banquet business, improved signage, player development, and an
increased emphasis on growing female and young adult (millennial) golf participation. These
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 4
recommendations require limited investment and focus on best practices that NGF has
observed in the golf industry that can help improve service, increase revenue, and control costs.
New Building
$
750,000
$
300,000
$
100,000
9.0
Extending the
Pavilion
$
385,000
$
225,000
$
75,000
6.5
Freestanding Tent
Structure
$
225,000
$
225,000
$
75,000
4.4
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 5
The permanent building offers the chance of the greatest return, but also carries the
longest payback on investment, the highest upfront investment, and greatest risk if
revenues are less than expected.
The pavilion extension with adjoining event-wedding ceremony lawn - offers a
facility that has functional capabilities, an attractive site location with ample parking,
and potential for full enclosure. A more permanent structure (roof and floor)
somewhat mitigates weather issues, although the functionality will remain seasonal.
We project the tented structure to produce a similar net income to the extended
outdoor pavilion and at a lower upfront cost but without providing the flexibility of
the pavilion extension if demand is stronger than expected.
Ultimately, the decision to invest in some type of wedding/banquet capabilities becomes a public
policy decision. While NGF projects all three options to improve the net operating income of
BPGC, they also will add new capital costs that must be paid off before any incremental net
income could be applied to the existing debt.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 6
SUMMARY STATEMENT
In Binder Park GC, the City of Battle Creek owns a good quality, popular and well-managed golf
course asset that has - like many municipal facilities across the U.S. - suffered significant
declines in activity levels over the last 5 to 10 years. Despite a difficult market environment,
most notably an oversupply of affordable public golf, City staff and golf course management has
been able to keep BPGC above water operationally, while contributing some funds toward
annual bond payments.
The NGF review revealed the following summary high-level takeaways for the City to consider
as it plans for the future of Binder Park GC:
Though there are signs of improvement in the local economy, and its possible that
further golf course closures could make the supply/demand dynamic more favorable
in the coming years, the trade areas stagnant population base will preclude
meaningful organic growth in activity. Management should focus on operational,
marketing and programming enhancements to drive growth in rounds and revenues.
NGF has concluded that selling (portions) or closing the golf course is not a viable
solution to the debt shortfall. The City should view the existing debt as a sunk cost
and focus on improving the operation to maximize cost recovery from the golf
course.
Alternative operating structures such as a full-service management contract,
operating lease or hybrid agreement will likely not put the BPGC operation in a better
economic position. NGF recommends that the City continue to self-operate, while
implementing key best practice recommendations from this report and considering
new investment.
The City has several options for new capital investment in the property that should
increase net operating income at BPGC, including lighting the driving range and
adding wedding/banquet capabilities. NGF analyzed several options for the latter
improvement and concluded that each option would return positive incremental net
income to the City. The City must decide whether it is willing to take on additional
investment that we project will have a payback of about 4 to 9 years, depending on
the option chosen.
At least over the immediate five-year horizon, incremental net revenues resulting
from enhanced operations and new revenue sources are likely to still leave BPGC far
short of entirely covering annual Bond payments.
Kevin, we appreciate your confidence in the National Golf Foundation and its consulting
services, and we have enjoyed the opportunity to be a part of your planning for Binder Park Golf
Course. We are hopeful that the information and recommendations NGF has provided will assist
you and City officials in your upcoming decisions on these golf properties. Richard, Jerry and I
look forward to your questions and hope you enjoy reading the consulting report.
Sincerely,
Ed Getherall
Director of Consulting Services
egetherall@ngf.org
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 7
Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................... 1
Purpose .............................................................................................................................. 1
Background......................................................................................................................... 1
NGF Review 2016............................................................................................................ 2
BINDER GOLF COURSE OVERVIEW ...................................................................................... 3
Location and Access ........................................................................................................... 3
History................................................................................................................................. 4
Current Operation ............................................................................................................... 5
Facilities......................................................................................................................................... 5
Operating Structure and Staffing................................................................................................... 9
SUMMARY STATEMENT.........................................................................................................46
APPENDIX ...............................................................................................................................47
Appendix A Non-Economic Value of Public Golf..............................................................47
Indirect Benefits to City of Battle Creek....................................................................................... 47
Specific Benefits of Retaining City Golf Course .......................................................................... 47
Other Benefits of Municipal Golf.................................................................................................. 48
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 9
Introduction
PURPOSE
NGF Consulting was retained by the City of Battle Creek (City) to assist in evaluating the
current condition and future market potential of the City-owned Binder Park Golf Course
(BPGC). The City is considering options for the future of this facility and seeking to better
understand the realistic economic potential of the golf course given market and site realities.
The results of this market and facility analysis will be used to help determine the appropriate
course of action.
This review includes a strategic look at the Citys municipal golf offering, with a specific focus on
the recent performance of BPGC in light of concerns related to future profitability and ability to
cover scheduled bond debt payments. A key focus area for the NGF in this review is to help the
City establish the use of best industry practices in operating and marketing its golf facility, and
explore options to position the golf course to capture new sources of business. Other issues
addressed by NGF include the physical condition of BPGC, the market environment in which the
facility operates, and the operational structure in place, concluding with NGF recommendations
for maximizing the economic potential of BPGC going forward.
BACKGROUND
The subject (BPGC) is a 27-hole municipal golf course with driving range, small clubhouse and
maintenance facility located at 7255 B, Drive South in Battle Creek. The facility has three
regulation length 9-hole layouts that can be mixed/matched for an 18-hole round or nine holes
of play, plus three practice holes and driving range. Since being developed by the City
beginning in 1963, BPGC has been operated directly by the City and its golf staff. Non-golf
activities are provided by the facility and in 2016 BPGC plans to offer cross country skiing and
outdoor meetings. Concerts/festivals are also being considered at the property since it has
ample parking and well-maintained open-space areas.
NGFs review of Binder Park Golf Course makes it clear that the golf course is an important
element of the Citys overall Parks & Recreation system. In addition to serving community
golfers, BPGC provides a higher public purpose through special programming. For example,
The First Tee organization funded the development of a learning center building that was
donated to the City and is leased by the First Tee to promote learning and life skills through golf.
The regional program serves approximately 4,800 students.
The golf course generates approximately $1 million in total on-site revenue from golf operations
in recent years, sufficient to cover on-site expenses and contribute a portion towards its annual
debt service, which resulted from the 1999-2000 $3.5 million renovation that included 9 new
holes, a new clubhouse, three practice holes and a driving range. BPGC is self-sustaining
despite a significant downturn in rounds played and revenues over the last five years. This basic
financial condition is common in municipal golf across the U.S., as NGF surveys indicate that
only about 33% of public agency golf courses are currently covering all expenses (including
debt and overhead) and capital obligations, while one in three are unable to cover operating
expenses.
BPGC has declined in performance for a number of reasons, some of which are not controllable
by the City or golf course management. Factors such as weather, lingering effects from the
most recent recession, the declining interest in golf among some segments, and the general
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 1
oversupply of affordable public golf in this market have all contributed to the recent decline. The
review and recommendations contained in this report are designed to help the City understand
the actions it can take to help maximize the performance of BPGC, but also that the economics
of all golf courses will continue be subject to the uncontrollable factors noted above.
Status of the broader Battle Creek market area, with focus on external issues that
can affect public golf operations (e.g., balance between demand and supply).
This NGF review was managed by Richard Singer, MBA, NGFs Senior Director of Consulting
Services, and Ed Getherall, MBA, Director of Consulting, with field work and other analysis
provided by Jerry Hinckley, Senior Associate Consultant. In addition to meetings with City of
Battle Creek officials and golf course personnel, the NGF consultants collected materials to aid
in understanding the local market area, including economic, demographic, climatological, and
operating data (to extent available) from other regional municipal golf operations. NGF also
collects considerable information and data on the golf industry on an ongoing basis as a regular
part of our organizations work, and relevant parts of this information and data are presented
throughout this report.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 2
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 3
HISTORY
Located along the southern border of the 433-acre Binder Park Zoo, BPGCs original 18-hole
golf course was built in 1963 at the height of the Arnold Palmer inspired golf boom on property
donated by local businessman Charles Binder to the City of Battle Creek to be used for
recreation and open space. The original BPGC layout enjoyed a good reputation for quality and
demand for golf was strong in the 1960s 1990s. In 1999, the City purchased an additional
150+/- acres and constructed an additional 9 holes, a new clubhouse, three practice holes and
a driving range. The original clubhouse structure and maintenance facility are still located at the
southeastern corner of the property.
The First Tee organization funded the development of a learning center building which was
donated to the City and is leased by the First Tee to promote learning and life skills through golf.
The development of the new 9 holes (designed by local golf architect Jerry Mathews) and new
clubhouse and practice facilities helped to modernize the overall design of the property and
improve the courses regional reputation. The budget for the improvements made in 1999-2000
was reportedly $3.5 million +/. The purpose of the golf expansion was to modernize the facility
to better compete against newer properties that were developed in the region in the 1990s and
to provide better golf services to residents of Battle Creek and regional visitors. In addition to
golf, BPGC offers services to non-golfers including cross country skiing, foot golf, and outdoor
meetings and events.
Golf play at BPGC and in the market remained strong in the early 2000s but the impact of the
recession in 2007-2009 was severe to regional golf courses and many courses have not
recovered lost play and are reportedly struggling to attract customers. BPGC has also
experienced the negative impact of the over-supply of courses and declining rounds in the
market but the facility has achieved good customer ratings and is known for offering a good
course at a good value.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 4
Google Earth image showing the BPGC and immediate surrounding elements. The course shows great natural
features and has limited development in immediately proximity. The view shows potential for the site to be altered
to allow for an expanded (or even new) clubhouse facility.
CURRENT OPERATION
Facilities
BPGC offers three championship length 9-hole regulation courses: Preserve 9 3,276 yards,
Marsh 9 3,346 yards, Natural 9 3,257 yards. By having 27 holes, the facility can offer golf
events and daily fee customers a flexible opportunity to golf on a variety of terrains with mature
trees, wetlands, and rolling topography. The 27-hole layout also offers the flexibility of hosting
tournaments and daily fee play concurrently. The facility is open year-round (weather permitting)
and in December 2015, golf play occurred through the Christmas holiday. In peak season, golf
operations commence each day at 6:30 and close after dark unless an event is utilizing the
clubhouse or 100+/- person banquet pavilion.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 5
BPGC offers a large practice range that features a double sided grass teeing area as well as
mats for inclement weather. The range has room for approximately 30 golfers on the grass tee
or mats at one time. The practice range has target poles but does not offer specific target
greens. There is a full-service golf shop that is well stocked with top-of-the-line merchandise as
well as discounted items. The golf shop serves as the business operations center of the golf
facility and is the location where golfers call or walk-in to make reservations and/or pay green
and cart fees. The General Manager / PGA professionals office is located in the golf shop area
and contains most of the operations business files and other information.
The clubhouse building includes a bar and grill area, which serves sandwiches, pizza, hotdogs,
soups, chips, water, soda, and beer/wine, etc. The kitchen area in the clubhouse is small and
does not provide for oven or grilling operations. The lack of cooking facilities limits the offerings
for food service at the course but management has worked to provide a variety of snack style
foods to give golfers/events the ability to have a reasonable menu to choose from. Next to the
snack bar is a meeting/banquet pavilion room that can seat approximately 100+ guests.
Google Earth image showing the BPGC clubhouse, range and First Tee center.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 6
Pavilion View
For the last couple of years BPGC has offered golfers the use (for a fee) of a simulator for
winter activity. The simulator is located in the indoor seating area for the snack bar/restaurant
and is removed for the main golfing season.
NGF reviewed various travel/golf websites that provide ratings and reviews for BPGC. These
include Google, Trip Advisor, Facebook, and GolfNow. Customer ratings over a broad spectrum
of websites can provide a sense of customer satisfaction and operational effectiveness. In
reviewing these ratings and summaries, the BPGC operation scores very well in terms of value,
customer service and overall satisfaction. In fact, with GolfNow, the leading tee time reservation
system, BPGC and an upscale competitor, the Medalist GC, are the highest rated properties in
the Battle Creek market area. Another important fact in the reviews is to see how many times
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 7
customers provided feedback. In the case of BPGC, each of the major course rating websites
provided several consistent ratings to give a clear indication of customer satisfaction.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 8
GOLF FEES
BPGC offers a number of pricing options for golfers including daily fee public rates as well as
memberships which essentially function as annual passes. NGF has summarized several key
rates below for 2015 and 2016.
2015
2016
18-Hole Weekday
$23.00
$23.50
18-Hole Weekend
$25.00
$25.50
$14.00
$14.50
$550
$565
$895
$920
The rate summary presented highlights that modest price increases are being targeted for 2016.
This is significant since past years have seen little or no fee increases as the poor economy and
high level of competition in the market have worked to keep prices low. NGF has seen a similar
pricing dynamic in many markets. BPGC staff indicated that factors such as the improving
overall economy in the market, BPGCs strong reputation for quality, and the closing of the
Yarrow Resort facility, provides support for these modest increases. In 2015, management
reports that 220 golf and 24 range memberships were sold. This number has remained fairly
stable in recent years. With the improving economy and the recent modest reduction in supply
from Yarrows sale, NGF anticipates that BPGC will pick up some additional golf memberships
in 2016. While the improvement in memberships is expected, the number will remain lower than
the 350+/- membership levels that existed in 2007.
$30,000 used to $60,000+ new. Golf carts at the property are approximately 8 years old but are
in good working order. Given the age, a new fleet (owned or leased) will likely be budgeted after
the next 2-3 years. Within the historical operating expenses provided to NGF, BPGC expensed
$40,021 each year for cart costs and this amount could be allocated to a new fleet when
necessary. Currently the facility owns 92 electric Club Car vehicles.
Marketing
BPGC utilizes many common industry best practices to help drive business to the golf course.
These include: periodic e-blasts to the courses 5,000+/- customer database, use of Golfnow
tee time reservation/marketing system, and placing advertisements in City and Chamber
publications, as well as regional golf guides. In addition, to these activities, course management
is active in:
Promoting BPGC through the Southern Swing golf package cooperative that markets
10+ courses to regional golfers and tourists for stay and play packages with
participating hotels. In 2015, this effort generated nearly 200 rounds of additional
golf. NGF interviewed managers at the Quality Inn hotel, which is owned by the
Firekeepers Casino. Hotel owners indicated that they had an excellent relationship
with BPGC and customers have reported positive experiences, BPGC will continue
to be one of the top courses they recommend.
Marketing to area businesses directly for golf outings. With the existing outdoor
pavilion, the facility can provide a causal meeting/dinning event associated with golf
play. With 27 holes, BPGC is known to have the capabilities to host larger events.
Only Gull Lake Resort can host larger golf events than BPGC in this market.
Coordinating with the First Tee facility to provide additional exposure to BPGC,
bringing lessons and junior golfers in the region to the facility.
Promoting BPGCs well-developed league program (currently 26 leagues) that
provides loyal and repeat business for the golf facility. The three nine-hole layouts
are popular with leagues and the outdoor pavilion and updated craft beer, snacks,
and pizza offerings are popular with players.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 10
46,325
Annual % Change
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
40,020
40,935
38,320
36,430
38,000
2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013
2013-2014
2014-2015
-13.6%
2.3%
-6.4%
-4.9%
+4.3%
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
$23.75
$25.09
$25.65
$26.09
$26.76
$26.66
$9.15
$9.72
$9.45
$9.65
$9.71
$9.29
$5.79
$5.49
$5.80
$5.56
$5.80
$5.78
$0.52
$0.42
$0.50
$0.54
$0.56
$0.60
Merchandise Rev/Rd
$4.22
$4.78
$4.90
$5.19
$5.17
$5.68
$3.31
$3.74
$4.01
$4.21
$4.43
$4.35
Average Rev/Round*
Source: City and NGF. * Excludes annual transfer in from General Fund
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
46,325
40,020
40,935
38,320
36,430
38,000
$126,493
$113,480
$96,852
$87,752
$79,680
70,061
Revenue
Membership Fees
Greens Fees
297,468
275,509
290,154
281,854
273,910
282,983
268,034
219,720
237,294
213,166
211,247
219,561
Practice Range
23,876
16,855
20,547
20,698
20,277
22,681
35,602
37,712
40,306
36,159
40,107
59,554
Merchandise Sales
195,602
191,351
200,768
198,881
188,196
215,904
153,112
149,624
164,266
161,402
161,526
165,161
$1,100,187
$1,004,251
$1,050,187
$999,912
$974,943
$1,035,905
$154,290
$170,338
$162,033
$163,600
$167,982
$186,998
$77,094
$76,622
$80,915
$79,644
$82,298
$73,813
$231,384
$246,960
$242,948
$243,244
$250,280
$260,811
$213,185
$193,749
$216,231
$184,817
$217,100
$274,023
40,021
40,021
40,021
40,021
40,021
42,244
Total
Cost Of Sales
Merchandise
Food & Beverage
Total Cost of Sales
Expenses*
Salaries & Wages/benefits
Cart Expense
Food & Beverage
1,778
1,548
1,843
1,400
2,003
2,278
330,443
332,317
320,725
311,684
274,323
249,485
Utilities
41,218
43,239
48,005
41,180
42,852
41,532
General Operating
61,865
70,011
74,446
68,170
76,340
76,241
Maintenance
Insurance
10,820
10,820
10,820
10,820
10,626
10,820
Total Departmental
$699,330
$691,705
$712,091
$658,092
$663,265
$696,623
$930,714
$938,665
$955,039
$901,336
$913,545
$957,434
$169,473
$65,586
$95,148
$98,576
$61,398
$78,471
Transfer In
$66,708
$66,842
$66,833
$75,015
$67,935
$66,667
*Net Income
$236,181
$132,428
$161,981
$173,591
$129,333
$145,138
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 12
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 13
NATIONAL TRENDS
Golf continued its macro trend toward stabilization in the 2014-2015 period, in contrast to
sensational negative perceptions of the game as portrayed by mainstream media. Sociodemographic, financial and cultural headwinds certainly persist for golf, and it remains highly
competitive for golf-related businesses. Considering the severity of the recession and its
lingering effects on discretionary income and time, golf has held up rather well. (Historically,
participation has closely tracked Real Adjusted Household Income, suggesting that if income
increases, theres a likelihood that the golfer trajectory would increase with it).
Multiple NGF studies of golfers since 2008 would attribute the gradual decline in golfers and
rounds primarily to the impact of lower job security and concern over personal finances, not
waning appeal for the game. Golfs pay-for-play green fee revenues and other spending on the
sport will always be vulnerable to outside forces including weather and the economy, but the
game remains popular and fortunate to have a deep well of interested prospects. Positive
economic indicators, stabilization in participation and rounds played, an increase in weatheradjusted utilization, and the return of private equity funding to the industry are just a few of the
under-reported developments in golf that tell the current story of the industry. Other findings:
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 14
LOCAL MARKET
Battle Creek Area Demographics
In the table below, NGF Consulting summarizes the population, median age, and median
household income trends for BPGCs 5-, 10- and 15-mile markets and Calhoun County, for
comparison to national benchmarks. NGF has made the following observations regarding the
demographics of Battle Creek and surrounding areas
Summary Demographics
OHGC Site
Population 1990 Census
Population 2000 Census
CAGR 1990-2000
Population 2010 Census
CAGR 2000-2010
Population Estimate 2015
Population 2020 Projected
CAGR 2010-2019
Median HH Income (2015 Estimate)
Median Age (2015 Estimate)
Caucasian
Asian
5 miles
22,932
25,131
0.92%
26,806
0.65%
26,586
26,675
-0.06%
$60,067
43.5
88.1%
4.3%
10 miles
93,198
94,740
0.16%
94,316
-0.04%
95,997
97,123
0.37%
$41,946
39.3
78.9%
2.5%
15 miles
133,085
137,383
0.32%
136,502
-0.06%
137,794
139,028
0.23%
$45,746
40.6
83.5%
2.0%
Calhoun
County
135,981
137,986
0.15%
136,146
-0.13%
137,962
139,354
0.29%
$42,777
39.9
81.4%
2.0%
U.S.
248,584,652
281,399,034
1.25%
308,745,538
0.93%
319,998,423
332,811,226
0.94%
$52,747
37.8
71.0%
5.4%
CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate. Source: NGF Consulting, Tactician Corporation, Applied Geographic Solutions
Population growth rates in the subject markets and Calhoun County were slightly
negative between 2000 and 2010, though there was modest growth within 5 miles of
the facility. Growth over the next five years is projected to be only about one-fourth to
one-third that of the national rate of growth, so increase in rounds activity is not likely
to come simply from organic growth.
The Median Household Income of Binder Park GCs immediate 5-mile trade area is
about 14% higher than the national figure of $52,747. However, the larger local trade
areas, and Calhoun County as a whole, exhibit incomes that range from 13% to 20%
lower than the national median. In general, higher income residents are more likely
to participate in golf, and they play more frequently than lower income golfers.
The Median Ages in the local trade area are considerably higher than the national
median of 37.8 years. This is especially true in the 5-mile market, which shows a
median age of 43.5 years. In general, golf participation rates and frequency of play
increase with age (though both decline among the elderly), making relatively older
markets more attractive to golf facility operators, all other factors being equal.
Economic Factors
It is clear that the recession of 2007-2009 had some direct and lingering effects on the demand
for golf both nationally and locally, as decreased discretionary income and other economic
factors resulted in reductions in recreational / leisure spending. Below is a brief summary of
other factors specific to the local Battle Creek area economy that have the potential to affect
demand for golf in 2016 and beyond.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 15
The Upjohn Institute reported that the area lost 3,850 jobs in the Great Recession of
2007-09, but since has gained 5,150 jobs in the recovery. Manufacturing, along with
health and education jobs, are significant drivers of the local Battle Creek economy.
With the exception of the food manufacturing industry, which suffered Kellogg Co.
job cuts, the area's core industries printing, fabricated metal manufacturing, and
transportation equipment manufacturing had a positive job change between 2004
and 2014.
Battle Creek's employment forecast is for 1.6% and 1.3% employment growth in
2016 and 2017, respectively.
Weather/Climate - Golf is an outdoor activity and thus weather will impact activity
and revenue. NGF estimates that over 90% of golf rounds are played when the
temperature is between 55 and 90 degrees. Rain, snow, and wind are mitigating
factors that will reduce the number of playable days. Golf activity can be hosted
approximately 6 to 7 months in a normal weather year. Average July high
temperatures are 83 degrees and January highs typically reach 32 degrees. Rainfall
averages approximately 33 inches and snowfall 58.1 inches.
Climatological Data
Battle Creek, MI Area
Temperatures
Month
Precipitation
Inches
Average
High
Low
January
24
32
16
1.7
February
26
35
17
1.3
March
36
46
25
1.9
April
48
60
36
2.8
May
58
71
46
3.8
June
67
79
55
3.2
July
71
83
60
3.4
August
69
81
58
3.5
September
62
73
50
3.7
October
50
61
39
3.1
November
39
48
30
2.8
December
28
35
20
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 16
Golf Demand
The following are summary NGF observations regarding key golf demand measures for the
local golf market, derived from the NGF Golf Demand Model. Supporting tables are found in
Appendix F.
The golf demand indices for the local markets around Binder Park GC indicate golf
participation and rounds demanded rates that are about 40% to 80% (5-mile market)
higher than the U.S. benchmarks. This high demand is reflective of the high regional
golf participation of the upper Midwest, as well as the relatively favorable age profile,
high Caucasian population (who exhibit highest golf participation rates) and, in the 5mile market, high median incomes.
There are an estimated 8,050 golfing households within ten miles of BPGC, with the
potential to demand as many as 211,000 annual rounds of golf. In Calhoun County,
there are about 11,100 golfing households (expected to grow by about 600 over the
next five years), demanding just fewer than 300,000 rounds of golf each year. Actual
rounds played at area golf courses exceed this demand significantly, indicating that
players and rounds from outside the market area are being imported due to the
strong supply of golf courses.
Latent Demand This measure represents non-golfers who express an interest in
playing golf but are currently not active, including former golfers (gave it up), and
those who never tried. The demographic profile of these interested non-golfers tends
to be more female and younger than the population as a whole. NGF estimates
9,700+ latent golfers residing within 10-miles of BPGC.
Golf Supply
The following are summary NGF observations regarding key golf supply measures for the local
golf market. All measures are derived from the NGF U.S. Golf Facilities Database and the NGF
Golf Demand Model. Supporting tables are found in Appendix F.
There are 18 total golf facilities (subject included), totaling 351 holes, within fifteen
miles of Binder Park Golf Course, including 16 that are public (315 holes). Eleven of
the 16 public access facilities are at NGF-defined Value price points, with peak
season riding rates of less than $40.
Unlike most markets weve observed nationally, there has been no net reduction in
golf holes in Battle Creek/Calhoun County over the last decade, though the closure
of Yarrow will change that. (The U.S. has seen the net closure of about 4.6% of
supply over the previous decade).
Golfing Household/Supply ratios are derived by dividing the number of golfing
households by the number of 18-hole equivalent golf courses in a given market. This
measure is used as a benchmark to establish the level of support that is available for
each 18 holes of golf in the market. A Golfing Household/Supply index is derived
from these ratios (base national figure = 100). The 15-mile market around the Binder
Park GC has 61% fewer golfing households per 18 holes of public golf than
does the nation overall, and 72% fewer golfing households per 18 holes of
Value price point public golf, where BPGC is positioned.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 17
Market
BPGC
Total U.S. Threshold for Successful Public Golf
Aggregate Calhoun County
Est. No. of
Golfers
11,192
Total 18-H
Equivalent
9.0
Golfers per 18
holes
1,244
4,000
15,705
16.0
982
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 18
The Medalist
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 19
Management indicated that pricing will be $90$125 and layout will be a links-style property (no
trees).
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 20
Sold in 2015.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 21
Overall, Battle Creek is a highly competitive golf market and has been for the last
10+/- years. Not all of the courses in the market can sustain their operations and
some may close which will benefit the remaining courses.
Each regional operator interviewed, when asked for their view of BPGC, indicated
that the BPGC served public golfers well and that the facility has a good reputation
with local golfers, business, leagues, and hotels.
With the improving regional economy, especially in the auto industry, operators are
cautiously optimistic that demand/spending could be on the rise, which should
benefit golf and other recreational activities.
The closing of the Yarrow golf facility is providing a new opportunity for better quality
courses to capture golf and event business.
Posted rates are being moved up (modestly) in the market for 2016, compared to the
recent past where there were almost no observed increases and the high prevalence
of discounting.
Resort oriented golf facilities that have stay and play packages (hotel/rental units)
have been successful in attracting a loyal customer base.
Private clubs in Battle Creek are having challenges attracting new members since
public golf is so inexpensive and plentiful.
Gull Lake View Resort (5 courses) appears to be the most successful golf operation
in the region in terms of overall demand and consistency of play. Management
reports that much of the Resorts business comes from tourist golfers who rent villas,
though local players generally support leagues, as well as spring and fall golf play.
Stoatin Brae is a new golf course being developed as part of the five-course Gull
Lake View Resort. This facility, located near Augusta, will be the Resorts most
upscale golf property, charging up to $100 or more for peak green fees. The goal of
this course will be to retain some south-central Michigan golfers who want top-quality
golf courses found in northern Michigan, such as Treetops and Arcadia Bluffs.
Management indicated this property is not designed to compete against local
courses and will be used mostly by tourists/resort guests. A partial opening (9 holes)
is scheduled for July 2016 with a full opening in 2017.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 22
Golf continued its macro trend toward stabilization in the 2014-2015 period, and
rounds played were up in 2015. While socio-demographic, financial and cultural
headwinds persist for golf, the game as a participation sport has held up rather well
considering the severity of the recession and its lingering effects on discretionary
income and time.
The review of data for the Battle Creek / Calhoun County area shows relatively
strong golf participation and demand from resident households, which is greatly
mitigated by an oversupply of affordable, public golf supply. The 15-mile market
around the Binder Park GC has 61% fewer golfing households per 18 holes of
public golf than does the nation overall, and 72% fewer golfing households per
18 holes of Value price point public golf, where BPGC is positioned. With a
stabilized population bases, no new golf courses on the horizon, and potential further
closures of existing courses, the local may become more favorable for existing
operators in the coming years.
BPGC is not unique in having seen play levels drop since 2008. Slumping demand
has helped prompt a recent sale of Yarrow Golf Resort and Conference Center and
two other courses (Oakland Hills and Cedar Farms) are reportedly for sale for under
$1.0 million. The closing of Yarrow is expected to yield increased public golf and golf
events for BPGC in 2016.
The regional economy and employment data shows improvement over recent years
and should provide increased wages/demand for recreational activities, including
golf. However, the population base is stable, so the golf operation will have to rely on
increased market share and more effective activation of latent demand in the market
to grow rounds activity.
NGF noted demand for weddings and banquets at golf course venue in the Battle
Creek/Calhoun County market. The facilities observed that have the best ability to
host events have large clubhouses that offer full food and beverage service. BPGC
effectively competes for golf outings and non-wedding events that can be catered or
that request outdoor barbeque/grilled foods, since it has a covered outdoor pavilion.
NGF did not observe any regional golf course having a lighted golf practice range.
BPGCs PGA Professional indicated that no facility is currently providing a lighted
practice center for golfers, lessons, or general recreation in the Battle Creek market.
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National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 24
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 25
than a lease and should include a broader program of revenue sharing (also risk
sharing). Hybrid contracts typically do not include large-scale capital improvement on
the part of the vendor, but some management companies may be willing to include
some of the capital improvement recommendations contained in this report in
exchange for a longer-term contract and higher management fees. The advantages
and disadvantages to the hybrid contract are basically the same as the management
contract, except that the arrangement is generally more flexible and provides for a
greater sharing of revenues and assumption of risk by the operator.
Overall, NGFs analysis of BPGCs operating structure shows that current management is
successfully delivering good service (see ratings) and holding operating expenses low to enable
the facility to cover all operating costs and provide capital for projects and equipment. By adding
an annual management fee to the expense structure, it may be difficult to generate additional
revenue to cover these new costs to benefit the goal of increasing profit.
A lease to a private operator that would provide payment to the City of $250,000 - $300,000
would be a solution allowing BPGC cover all obligations, including bond payments. However,
based on the operating results of the last several years at BPGC, as well as the fact that some
golf courses in the market are for sale at modest prices, NGF believes it is very unlikely that
an operator could be found to lease the facility under terms acceptable to the City.
BPGC should work with City, County, and Chamber officials to promote the facility as
a regional golf and sports center. A more collective effort can help to deploy
resources, cross-promote activities and services, and highlight that BPGC is a
highly-rated recreational amenity that has served golfers and non-golfers alike.
Working with key stakeholders, BPGC management can help to promote regional
activities such as cross-country runs, BBQ challenges, speed golf events, long drive
championships, live music festivals/concerts, and off-site team building meetings.
These types of activities would need to be scheduled at times that dont cause
disruption of general golf play.
NGF observed road signage to Binder Park Zoo and BPGC in the area immediately
surrounding the property. If signage at nearby exits on I-94 and along Highway 66
could be added this would help to inform golfers, tourists, and residents that a golf
facility is nearby and easy to find. NGF is not suggesting billboards be used to
market the course, but rather smaller informational signs that are often used for
attractions and other services.
NGF reviewed the golf course website and found that it is functional and provides
necessary information. The use of GolfNow as the hosting company works well with
the GolfNow reservation system currently in use. NGF recommends the website be
populated with attractive high-resolution photos showing clear and vibrant pictures of
golf holes, the clubhouse, food service area, practice range and First Tee facility. In
addition, ratings reported by TripAdvisor, Google, and GolfNow should be clearly
posted in the website to highlight the quality and value offered at BPGC.
Increase promotions with Firekeepers/Quality Inn and other area hotels. Working
with hotel staff and hotel sales departments, BPGC can help to give sales teams the
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 27
ability to attract events and tourist golfers. Continued promotion through the
Southern Swing marketing cooperative is also recommended.
Player Development this is one of the critical elements to the long-term viability of
municipal golf courses, and should continue to be a point of emphasis at BPGC.
While direct selling, advertising, and public relations are key to building market
share, the future success of public golf is highly contingent on player development,
especially a strong Junior Program (which BPGC has). Also, because of todays
difficult climate for golf operations, tapping latent demand among groups that
traditionally have shown relatively low golf participation such as women and
minorities is more important than ever. PGA data shows every new golfer
developed could be worth as much as $250 per year (10 rounds at $25), and the
common successful player development program produces at least 200 new golfers
per facility. Key best practice recommendations for player development
programming include:
Continue to work PGA programs such as Get Golf Ready, Drive Chip &
Putt, and PGA Junior League, as well as LPGAs Teaching Her and
LPGA/USGA Girls Golf programs. Several of these programs
emphasize transitioning new players from learning to playing golf.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 28
Allowing for social media tools to be integrated into email marketing. This
can be done automatically through delivery tools that automatically
integrate to the leading social media forums, i.e. Facebook, Twitter,
Instagram, etc.
Review tee sheet pricing daily and determine on-line specials in slow periods,
including times when poor weather is present. As demand builds in certain periods,
pricing can be shown at peak or full price. When demand is soft, dynamic pricing
strategies can help produce incremental play.
Assign responsibility for action plans and promotional events, and track
implementation and results (financial impact). As ideas and processes are
implemented, changes and modifications (counter measures) will need to be
deployed to find solutions. By effectively tracking progress in projects, the business
model at BPGC can be maximized to better achieve desired results.
Host VIP days for key customer groups free snacks or golf training.
Be creative in finding new ways to engage Millennials / young adults (see separate
attachment for on-the-ground examples from other operators).
Conduct yearly customer surveys.
Create strong referral programs for events and season passes get existing
customers to be ambassadors for BPGC.
Review revenue data bi-monthly and compare to prorated budget (15th and 30/31st),
or to prior year results.
Provide brief analysis of revenue trends and ideas to capitalize on opportunities /
provide countermeasures for budget misses.
The recommendations shown above could be implemented within the next 60-90 days and
impact the 2016 golf season. Non-golf events would take some time to implement, but crossmarketing efforts with various City/County entities could begin to show results later this year if
started soon.
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National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 30
NGF concludes that a facility created at the existing clubhouse area would be more profitable
and less costly to construct, based on the expected added costs involved with repairing and
improving the former clubhouse site to be equal or better than the current clubhouse. Hence,
our analysis will review options/alternatives associated with wedding and banquet operations
located at the current clubhouse site only.
Wedding and Banquet Alternatives
In reviewing site options near the existing clubhouse, as well as the physical structure of the
clubhouse building and its amenities, NGF has identified three options:
1. Construct a freestanding permanent building
2. Construct a freestanding tented facility with foundation
3. Extend the size of the existing outdoor pavilion by extending the roofline and installing
tented siding
Freestanding Permanent Building
City officials and NGF have reviewed potential costs associated with adding a permanent
freestanding structure next to the existing clubhouse. A permanent building would better
accommodate events throughout the year and likely have a nicer overall appearance for
attracting future business. Costs associated with building a permanent structure are
preliminary estimates but reflect likely costs.
$600,000
$20,000
$10,000
Pathways/landscaping
$10,000
Electrical/lighting/AC-Heat
$50,000
Tables/chairs/service utensils
$10,000
$50,000
TBD
$750,000
The costs estimated above do not reflect upgrades to the existing clubhouse for kitchen
equipment or improvements to restrooms, if necessary. The existing clubhouse does not have a
grill, ovens, fryer, or warming stations. If these items are not installed, the future wedding/
banquet options will likely need to rely on local catering companies to cook, deliver, set up, and
serve food to banquet guests. BPGC does have the ability to host BBQ and outdoor grilling
events, and serve beer and wine. Costs to install cooking equipment and ventilation system are
estimated at $50,000 - $75,000+/-.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 31
NGF and BPGC management toured the clubhouse area and determined that the area
highlighted above was the most feasible based on location to kitchen entrances, access to
restrooms and existing bar. With ample windows installed in the structure, the facility would
have attractive views of the golf course and would be visible for golfers and other guests coming
to BPGC throughout the year.
The location of the event lawn is a key aspect for the new facility. Many weddings request
outdoor ceremonies. With spring and summer being the most popular time for weddings,
outdoor facilities are often in demand. This location would provide excellent views of the golf
course and an attractive natural setting. Having the outdoor wedding option would allow
caterers or BPGC staff to set up the banquet building for meals before the service. When not
used for weddings, the event lawn be easily maintained as an open area or used for non-related
activities. A sample picture of what an event lawn area set up can look like is shown below.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 32
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 33
Preliminary NGF estimates for implementing a low-cost option to add a tented wedding/event
business at either location:
Concrete pad/floor 40x120
$35,000
$50,000
$20,000
$10,000
Pathways/landscaping
$10,000
Electrical/lighting/portable heating-air
$40,000
Tables/chairs/service utensils
$10,000
$50,000
Update kitchen/restrooms
*Subtotal (excludes site work/ existing building renovations)
TBD
$225,000+/-
*Preliminary estimates NGF did not conduct engineering/site specific pricing for proposed projects; estimates
reflect local information provided and NGF experience.
This estimate would be for an attractive three-season tented structure that could hold 150-200
guests, depending on seating requirements. These types of facilities are often used for
weddings and events, and heating and cooling units can be installed to control indoor
temperatures. Overall project costs with a tented facility will be substantially lower than a
permanent structure and the foundation of the tented structure could be designed to potentially
hold a permanent structure in the future if funding becomes available for a new structure and
demand for events is shown to be strong enough to cover all operating and debt costs.
Extending Existing Outdoor Pavilion
A third option exists where the current event pavilion, located in the west side of the clubhouse,
could be extended further to cover a portion of the practice putting green, which would then
need to be relocated. Considering all of NGF proposed plans include relocating the practice
green to accommodate an outdoor seating/wedding lawn, this proposed option is not more
disruptive to golfers.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 34
Preliminary NGF estimates for implementing a low-cost option to extend the existing pavilion:
Extend Pavilion 2,500 square feet+/- @ $90 per foot
$225,000
$20,000
$20,000
$10,000
Pathways/landscaping
$10,000
Electrical/lighting/portable heating-air
$40,000
Tables/chairs/service utensils
$10,000
$50,000
Update kitchen/restrooms
*Subtotal (excludes site work/ existing building renovations)
TBD
$385,000+/-
*Preliminary estimates NGF did not conduct engineering/site specific pricing for proposed projects; estimates
reflect local information provided and NGF experience.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 35
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 36
The three options have separate strengths and weaknesses. These include cost, functionality,
longevity, and how they impact existing operations. In each of these options, the fact that the
clubhouse does not have a working kitchen that is capable of providing plated dinners or cook a
wide variety of food options makes event and wedding business more challenging. To counter
this, the region has a number of catering companies that can provide drop-off, pick-up, or guest
serving that can be hired. As mentioned above, NGFs preliminary estimates indicate that
$50,000 to $75,000 could be necessary to add cooking equipment and storage to the existing
facility. These costs would allow the golf course to serve a larger menu for breakfast, lunch and
dinner, which could increase overall revenues, separate and apart from revenue generated from
banquets and weddings. If the kitchen is expanded, seasonal or full-time cooks/chef would need
to be hired to staff and operate this new business operation. Currently, the limited menu at the
course allows for part-time and golf related staff to heat and serve items to customers. With a
larger menu, this would not be feasible.
The following chart highlights attributes and challenges with each option.
Freestanding Permanent Building
Strengths:
Strengths:
Strengths:
Higher-quality facility to
compete with full-service
venues in market
Lower cost
Lower cost
Attached to clubhouse to
access restrooms
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 37
Required putting
green/cart path relocation
Open seasonally
It is unclear if adding kitchen equipment is feasible at this time at the clubhouse given the limited
size of the room. If the City proceeds with adding the banquet operation to BPGC, a study
should be conducted to see what equipment could be added that would serve the golf course as
well as banquets. At this time a viable alternative to adding a full-time kitchen staff and new
equipment is to use local catering companies. Using catering companies can help to eliminate
the need for extra staff, space, and on-site food and beverage expertise.
Projected Financial Impact
Each of the summary projections on the following page assumes the use of catering services.
Revenue streams for BPGC will include upcharges on catered food, room rental, wedding
ceremony site use/setup, beer-wine-champagne sales, and incidental services. Estimates do
not include added potential for golf event revenue due to larger facilities. NGF anticipates that
any option selected will offer a quality experience. Therefore, the duration of the season has
more of an impact on potential revenue than if a permanent or tented/pavilion structure is
offered (each option can be made attractive to customers).
In the summary tables below, we present the three options in order of most required capital
investment to least. The estimated net operating income (exclusive of potential increased golfrelated revenue) resulting from these respective investments would be incremental to additional
income that will result from implementing other operational recommendations.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 38
Events
Year 1 start up
Year 2
Year 3
15 @$5,000
25 @ $6,500
30 @7,500
Revenue
$75,000
$163,000
$225,000
Additional Expense
$50,000
$109,000
$150,000
$25,000
$54,000
$75,000
3.33%
7.2%
10%
Estimated years to capital payback assuming annual net profit stabilizes at $100,000 = 9.0.
Wedding/Banquet Revenue Projections Extending Outdoor Pavilion
Year 1 start up
Year 2
Year 3
10 @$5,000
20 @ $6,500
25 @7,500
Revenue
$50,000
$130,000
$188,000
Additional Expense
$33,500
$87,000
$126,000
$16,500
$43,000
$62,000
4.3%
11%
16%
Events
Estimated years to capital payback assuming annual net profit stabilizes at $75,000 = 6.5.
Wedding/Banquet Revenue Projections Freestanding Tent w/ Foundation
Year 1 start up
Year 2
Year 3
10 @$5,000
20 @ $6,500
25 @7,500
Revenue
$50,000
$130,000
$188,000
Additional Expense
$33,500
$87,000
$126,000
$16,500
$43,000
$62,000
7.3%
19%
28%
Events
Estimated years to capital payback assuming annual net profit stabilizes at $75,000 = 4.4.
NGF Summary
The three options discussed essentially offer small, medium, and larger up front investments to
meet the goal of serving the wedding and banquet market. NGF projects that all three will return
positive incremental net income to the City, though to differing degrees; also, it will take a
varying number of years to pay off the respective investments. Finally, none will add sufficient
net income to pay off the existing annual debt service after.
The permanent building offers the chance of the greatest return (in terms of annual net
incremental revenue), but also carries the highest up front cost and greatest risk if revenues are
less than expected. We project the tented structure to produce a similar net income to the
extended outdoor pavilion and at a lower upfront cost but the tent does not provide the
flexibility that the pavilion extension offers in terms of potential full enclosure if demand is
stronger than expected. The tent remains a good alternative if the pavilion extension and
permanent building options are not feasible due to locational issues with the selected sites.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 39
Also, a tented structure has the ability to work with a variety of sites, provided power and
parking are nearby.
The extension of the pavilion with adjoining event-wedding ceremony lawn - at the existing
clubhouse has the potential to offer a facility that has functional capabilities and offers an
attractive site location with ample parking. By having a more permanent structure (roof and
floor), weather/wind issues are somewhat mitigated, although the functionality will remain
seasonal. Though we expect it to produce net revenues similar to that of the freestanding tent,
the pavilion could be enclosed for year-round activities if demand exceeds expectations. The
immediate access to restrooms and the existing bar area can help make operating events more
efficient and enjoyable for guests.
Ultimately, the decision to invest in some type of wedding/banquet capabilities becomes a public
policy decision. While NGF projects all three options to improve the net operating income of
BPGC, they also will add new capital costs that must be paid off before any incremental net
income could be applied to the existing debt.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 40
NGF experience in working with lighted range operations indicates that two primary factors will
impact activity levels: 1) the perception that golf is a fun evening activity, and 2) having lights will
encourage golfers to remain at the course longer after work since daylight hours no longer limit
golf activity. The seasonality of the range will not be impacted by adding light, but daily seasonal
revenues are expected to be increased.
Lighted Practice Center Incremental Revenue Potential
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
$11,850
$12,000
$12,150
59%
60%
61%
The projections above assume that golf course management will be able to increase range
revenues from the current $0.55 per round to $0.85 per round, based on some incremental
hours and some creative new programming at the range (examples of what other operators
have done below). At these per round numbers, payback on a $20,000 investment in lights and
new ball machine should occur within 2 years, even without potential additional food and
beverage revenues that can be achieved as a result of a lighted operation.
A lighted practice range can be a regional attraction for evening sports activities and
entertainment, also offering an opportunity to sell food & beverage at times when the facility
would typically have been closed (after dark). Management could relocate the ball dispensing
machine closer to the tee area to minimize staff needs and the First Tee could schedule
function/sponsorships that revolve around evening activities. If the lighted range becomes very
popular, BPGC could consider adding heated covered stations to make the facility an all-year
operation.
Creative events centered on the driving range are becoming more and more popular with
operators looking to make golf more fun for less committed players, including many young
adults who want their recreation to be experiential. Recent examples NGF has come across
during our studies include Eagle Harbor Golf Club in Jacksonville, Florida, where management
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 41
has started Balls & Beers at the driving range. Participants pay a small fee for this event, which
features a keg and unlimited range balls for an hour. An Eagle Harbor golf professional walks
the range giving quick lessons and tips to seasoned golfers and beginners alike.
Morton Golf has turned the City of Sacramentos Haggin Oaks GC driving range into Topgolf
without the computer chips. Helped along by a social media initiative, the range now has
enough young customers to justify being open 24/7 from May through October. Haggin Oaks
invested in a Power Tee system, which is very popular with the younger crowd. They also
installed retail radio sound system; management changes music as the night moves on, and by
late evening the music is exclusively geared to young adults and families. The driving range
also features a putting course, which is utilized for contests and tournaments. Various other
events are held at the venue, which has dedicated food & beverage, including craft beers.
These events are attracting a diverse array of young adults and, as with Topgolf, golfers are
recruiting some of their non-golfing buddies to come along.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 42
The overall economic condition remains stable, without any significant changes to
the Battle Creek area economy and employment.
Modest rounds increases begin in 2016, with rounds achieving stabilized play of
41,000 by 2020 (with some years falling below and some years rising above this
expected average). These increases are expected to result from enhanced
marketing efforts and increased market share due to the closing of Yarrow Golf
Resort.
Baseline 2016 revenue per round and expense estimates are derived from year-end
2014 results.
Revenue per round adjustments for 2017 through 2020 reflect 1.5%
annual increases.
Cost of goods sold for both merchandise and food & beverage are based on recent
historical experience.
CapEx set aside for both maintenance equipment and other course/clubhouse needs
is equivalent to 2% of total gross revenue, excluding transfer in.
As the NGF projections are estimates of future results, all figures have been rounded
to the nearest $100 for simplicity.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 43
2017
2018
2019
2020
39,500
40,000
40,500
41,000
41,000
$86,900
$89,300
$91,800
$94,300
$95,700
Revenue
Membership Fees
Greens Fees
296,300
304,500
312,900
321,500
326,400
229,100
235,500
242,000
248,700
252,400
Practice Range
23,700
24,400
25,000
25,700
26,100
39,500
40,600
41,700
42,900
43,500
Merchandise Sales
207,400
213,200
219,100
225,100
228,500
173,800
178,600
183,600
188,600
191,500
$1,056,700
$1,086,100
$1,116,100
$1,146,800
$1,164,100
$176,300
$181,200
$186,200
$191,300
$194,200
$86,900
$89,300
$91,800
$94,300
$95,800
$263,200
$270,500
$278,000
$285,600
$290,000
$273,200
$281,400
$289,800
$298,500
$307,500
40,800
41,600
42,400
43,200
44,100
2,300
2,300
2,300
2,300
2,300
Total
Cost of Sales
Merchandise
Food & Beverage
Total Cost of Sales
Expenses*
Salaries & Wages/benefits
Cart Expense
Food & Beverage
Maintenance
255,800
260,900
266,100
271,400
276,800
Utilities
42,000
42,800
43,700
44,600
45,500
General Operating
77,300
78,800
80,400
82,000
83,600
Insurance
11,000
11,200
11,400
11,600
11,800
Total Departmental
$702,400
$719,000
$736,100
$753,600
$771,600
Operating Income
$91,100
$96,600
$102,000
$107,600
$102,500
$21,100
$21,700
$22,300
$22,900
$23,300
$21,100
$21,700
$22,300
$22,900
$23,300
$42,200
$43,400
$44,600
$45,800
$46,600
$1,007,800
$1,032,900
$1,058,700
$1,085,000
$1,108,200
$48,900
$53,200
$57,400
$61,800
$55,900
$91,100
$96,600
$102,000
$107,600
$102,500
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 44
RESULTS
The NGF forecast, based on rounds played recovering to the 40,000 range, shows BPGC net
operating income increasing moderately over what was achieved in the 2011 through 2015
period. Net operating income (excluding Transfer In, and before CapEx Reserve) is projected to
stabilize in the $100,000 range. The property will continue to fall short of generating cash flow
sufficient to meet debt needs under the present bond structure. Based on the estimated 2016
through 2025 annual Bond payments ( $240,000), the operation, after set aside for CapEx, will
fall short of covering the total debt service by an estimated $180,000 to $190,000 each year.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 45
Summary Statement
NGFs review revealed that the City of Battle Creek owns a high quality, well managed and
popular golf course asset that is one of the most successful public facilities in a market
oversupplied with affordable public golf. It is clear that the community values the golf course, as
evidenced by its still-high activity levels, the variety of its user groups including a highly
successful and impactful First Tee Program - and the overwhelmingly positive customer reviews
detailed in the report. Binder Park Golf Course also contributes to the community with indirect
economic benefits, as well as non-economic benefits (see Appendix A).
Binder Park Golf Course benefits from strong oversight by City staff, excellent on-site
management by the seasoned and engaged PGA Golf Professional, and a yeomans effort by a
Superintendent and maintenance staff working with a very lean budget. Thanks to this strong
base of operations, the course remains among the most active in the market and expenses
have been expertly managed in the face of declining market conditions. As a result, BPGC
continues to fund its own operations and pay for most capital needs.
Though the City is rightly concerned about the inability of the golf course operation to fund the
Bond payments tied to the 1999 renovation and expansion, NGF believes that the golf course is
a worthwhile endeavor for the City, even beyond its value as a key component of the Citys
open space and recreational offering. The facility contributes some money to the debt service
obligation each year, and should continue to do so in the coming years. We have detailed in this
report that improving market conditions, including the closure of one competitor and potential repurposing of other golf courses down the line, may result in some increased market share for
BPGC. An improving external environment, combined with the successful implementation of
some operational and marketing enhancements recommended by NGF, should result in
enhanced overall cost recovery in the coming years.
NGF realizes that this may be a difficult time for City officials to consider investing more money
into the golf course, given the inability of the Golf Fund to meet its current debt obligations. This
potential reticence would be especially understandable given our analysis that shows the facility
is unlikely, under any reasonable scenario, to be able to pay off the annual debt service under
the current Bond structure. However, we believe that potential new revenue streams for BPGC
that are less associated with demand for rounds of golf (e.g., lighting the driving range and
adding wedding/banquet capabilities) will be sufficient to pay back the additional investment in a
reasonable number of years and, more important, position BPGC to be a more adaptable and
dynamic competitor in this market. Once the new investment is paid off, the golf course should
be able to contribute more to the Bond payments, and perhaps could become completely selfsustaining if the debt can be creatively restructured when restrictions lift in 2019.
Golf will always be at the mercy of variable weather conditions, as well as other uncontrollable
market and economic factors. However, NGF believes that the near term future holds promise
for improved economic performance at Binder Park Golf Course, especially if the supply
/demand balance becomes more favorable and minor recommended tweaks to the operation
prove successful. Even more certain to NGF is that BPGC is a valuable community asset that
the City of Battle Creek can be proud of.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 46
Appendix
APPENDIX A NON-ECONOMIC VALUE OF PUBLIC GOLF
In addition to the direct economic benefit derived from green, cart and other fees, a publicaccess golf business brings other value that cannot be measured directly in economics. Golf
courses provide:
Open spaces
A healthy recreational outlet for residents
A venue to attract visitors
Enhancement to the overall quality of life
Good reflection on the image/brand of a community
Enhancement to local property values
Golf-related jobs and income to the community through purchases, wages, and taxes
Additionally, a golf facility can elevate the quality of life, improve the health and well-being of
citizens and provide an outlet for youth activities and programming.
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 47
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 48
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 49
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 50
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 51
Season Pass
Weekday
Weekend
Cart Fee
Single
Couple
Binder Park GC
$23.50
$25.50
$14.50
$565
$920
Riverside GC
$20.00
$22.00
$15.00
$675
$800
$57.00
$62.00
Included
$1,640
$2,060
Bedford Valley GC
Stonehedge N. & S.
Gull View Lake E. & W.
Stoatin Brae GC
The Medalist
$55.00
$62.00
Included
$1,310
$2,096
Cedar Creek GC
$31.00
$35.00
Included
$750
$860
Oakland Hills GC
$27.00
$29.00
Included
$555
$715
Alywn Downs GC
$29.00
$31.00
Included
$550
$695
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 52
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 53
5 miles
10 miles
15 miles
Calhoun
County
U.S.
22,932
25,131
0.92%
26,806
0.65%
26,586
26,675
-0.06%
$60,067
43.5
93,198
94,740
0.16%
94,316
-0.04%
95,997
97,123
0.37%
$41,946
39.3
133,085
137,383
0.32%
136,502
-0.06%
137,794
139,028
0.23%
$45,746
40.6
135,981
137,986
0.15%
136,146
-0.13%
137,962
139,354
0.29%
$42,777
39.9
248,584,652
281,399,034
1.25%
308,745,538
0.93%
319,998,423
332,811,226
0.94%
$52,747
37.8
88.1%
3.7%
4.3%
3.9%
78.9%
12.4%
2.5%
6.3%
83.5%
9.1%
2.0%
5.4%
81.4%
11.1%
2.0%
5.5%
71.0%
13.2%
5.4%
10.3%
3.7%
96.3%
5.2%
94.8%
4.4%
95.6%
4.7%
95.3%
17.0%
83.0%
5 miles
10 miles
15 miles
Calhoun
County
U.S.
11,296
2,770
2,911
1.00%
42
2,744
24.50%
3,757
76,285
74,353
40,480
8,050
8,547
1.20%
70
9,718
19.90%
11,192
210,869
263,115
56,834
11,577
12,192
1.00%
183
12,997
20.40%
16,293
309,034
547,867
56,111
11,105
11,720
1.10%
149
12,717
19.80%
15,705
295,599
436,728
123,276,069
17,484,200
18,934,910
1.60%
750,752
32,352,430
14.20%
24,726,660
457,593,900
457,584,400
173
61
104
182
140
28
98
140
144
53
93
146
140
44
91
142
100
100
100
100
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 54
Golf Supply
Binder Park Golf Course
Golf Supply
Golf Facilities
Total
Public
Public: Daily Fee
Public: Municipal
Private
Public Golf Facilities by Price Point
Premium (>$70)
Standard ($40-$70)
Value (<$40)
Golf Holes
Total
Public
Public: Daily Fee
Public: Municipal
Private
Non-Regulation (Executive & Par-3)
Net Change
Net Change in Holes past 5 years
Percentage Total Holes Past 5 years
Net Change in Holes past 10 years
Percentage Total Holes Past 10 years
5 miles
10 miles
15 miles
Calhoun
County
U.S.
2
1
0
1
1
9
8
7
1
1
18
16
15
1
2
16
13
12
1
3
15,242
11,402
8,927
2,475
3,840
0
0
1
0
0
8
0
5
11
0
2
11
1,354
4,016
6,032
45
27
0
27
18
0
162
144
117
27
18
27
351
315
288
27
36
27
288
234
207
27
54
27
257,697
187,884
146,556
41,328
69,813
21,555
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
-10,611
-4.00%
-12,429
-4.60%
5 miles
10 miles
15 miles
Calhoun
County
U.S.
4,518
7,531
0
7,531
11,296
0
0
7,531
4,498
5,060
6,228
26,987
40,480
0
0
5,060
2,915
3,248
3,552
37,889
28,417
0
8,119
5,413
3,507
4,316
4,879
37,407
18,704
0
28,056
5,101
8,611
11,810
15,141
53,692
31,784
75,145
28,806
27,286
1,108
1,847
0
1,847
2,770
0
0
1,847
894
1,006
1,238
5,367
8,050
0
0
1,006
594
662
724
7,718
5,789
0
1,654
1,103
694
854
966
7,403
3,702
0
5,553
1,010
1,221
1,675
2,147
7,615
4,508
10,658
4,086
3,870
Supply-Demand Ratios
Binder Park Golf Course
Supply-Demand Ratios
Households per 18 Holes
Total
Public
Public: Daily Fee
Public: Municipal
Private
Premium (>$70)
Standard ($40-$70)
Value (<$40)
Golfing Households per 18 Holes
Total
Public
Public: Daily Fee
Public: Municipal
Private
Premium (>$70)
Standard ($40-$70)
Value (<$40)
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 55
Indices
Binder Park Golf Course
Household Indices
Total
Public
Private
Premium (>$70)
Standard ($40-$70)
Value (<$40)
Golfing Household Indices
Total
Public
Private
Premium (>$70)
Standard ($40-$70)
Value (<$40)
Rounds per 18 Holes
Rounds Potential (resident golfers)
Estimated Course Rounds (in-market supply)
5 miles
10 miles
15 miles
Calhoun
County
U.S.
52
64
36
0
0
28
52
43
127
0
0
19
34
27
89
0
28
20
41
37
59
0
97
19
100
100
100
100
100
100
91
110
61
0
0
48
73
60
179
0
0
26
49
39
128
0
40
28
57
51
82
0
136
26
100
100
100
100
100
100
30,514
29,741
23,430
29,235
15,848
28,096
18,475
27,296
31,963
31,962
National Golf Foundation Consulting, Inc. City of Battle Creek, MI - BPGC 2016 Review 56