Reg. No, : Question Paper Code : 80102 M.B.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION, AUGUST 2015. First Semester DBA 7102 — STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT, (Common to all branches) (Regulations 2013) ‘Time : Three hours Maximum : 100 marks (Statistical table may be provided) Answer ALL questions. PART A — (10 x 2= 20 marks) 1. The number of motor accidents in a city follows poisson distribution with mean 4. What is the probability that in a particular day there will be 6 or 7 accidents? 2. Mention the characteristics of normal distribution. 3. List the different sampling techniques. 4, What are the qualities of a good estimate? 5. Define Hypothesis. 6. What are type I and type Il errors? 7. What are parametric tests? 8. How is Mann - Whitney U test different from Kruskal-Wallis test? 9. _ Differentiate correlation and regression. 10. What is seasonal variation?1 12, (@) ) (a) ) PART B— (6 x 16 = 80 marks) Four technicians regularly make repairs when breakdowns occur on an automated production line. Ravi, who services 20% of the breakdowns, makes an incomplete repair 1 time in 20; Tarun, who services 60% of the breakdowns, makes an incomplete repair 1 time in 10; Gautam, who services 15% of the breakdowns, makes an incomplete repair 1 time in 10 and Prasad, who services 5 % of the breakdowns, makes an incomplete repair 1 time in 20. For the next problem with the production line diagnosed as due to an initial repair that was incomplete, what is the probability that the initial repair was made by Ravi? Also find the probability that the initial repair was made by Tarun, Gautam as well as Prasad. Or Sensurex company Itd. has a training programme designed to upgrade the supervisory skills of production - line supervisors. Because the programme is self-administered, supervisors require different number of hours to complete the programme. A study of past participants indicates that the mean length of time spent on the programme is 500 hours and that this normally distributed random variable has a standard deviation of 100 hours. (What is the probability that a participant selected at random will require more than 600 hours to complete the programme? (i) What is the probability that a candidate selected at random will take more than 700 hours to complete the programme? (ii) What is the probability that a participant chosen at random will require between 550 and 650 hours to complete the required training? (iv) What is the probability that a candidate selected at random will require fewer than 580 hours to complete the programme? ‘The quality control manager of a tyre company has sample of 100 tyres and has found the mean life time to be 30214 Km. The population S.D is 860. Construct a 95% confidence interval for mean life time for this particular brand of tyres. Or Mr. Rathinakumar wants to determine on the basis of sample study the mean time required to complete a certain job so that he may be 95% confident that the mean may remain within + 2 days of the true mean. As per the available records, population variance is 64 days. How large the sample should be for his study? 2 8010213. (a) ) 14. (a) (b) ‘The average numbers of vehicles serviced by two service stations per day are 200 and 250 with S.D 20 and 25 respectively on the basis of records of 25 days of servicing. Can you regard both the service stations equally efficient at 0.01 level of significance? Or A random sample is selected from each of the 3 makes of ropes and their breaking strength (in lbs) are measured with following results. Conduct a F-test at 5% level of significance to determine whether the breaking strength of the ropes differs significantly. Rope I: 70, 72, 75,80,83 Rope Il: 100,110,108,112,113,120, 107 Rope III: 60, 65, 57, 84, 87, 73 ‘A teacher wishes to test three different teaching methods I, II and III. To do this, the teacher chooses at random three groups of five students each and teaches each group by a different method. ‘The same examination is then given to all the students and the marks obtained are given below. Determine using Kruskal - Wallis Test at a = 0.05 significance level whether there is a difference between the teaching methods. Methodl 78 62 71 58 73 Method IT 76 «85 «77 90 87 Method III 74 79 60 75 80 Or ‘The following is the summary of a survey on the colour of pens purchased by persons belonging to different age groups. Use chi-square test at 5 % level of significance to find whether the age of the person has any association with the choice of colour. Colour Blue Black Red Age Group Lessthan20 8 12-20 20-50 10 15. 10 Above 50 10 10 5 3 “8010215. (a) ) Cost accountants often estimate overhead based on the level of production. At the Standard Knitting Co.,they have collected information of the overhead expenses and units produced at different plants, and want to estimate a regression equation to predict future overhead. X: 191 170 272 155 280 173 234 116 158 178 Y: 40 42 53,35 56 39 48 30 37 40 (@ Develop the regression equation for the cost accountants. (ii) Predict overhead when 50 units are produced, Or Find the coefficient of correlation between industrial production and export using the following data: Production, X 55 56 58 59 60 60 62 Export, ¥ 35-38-37 39 44 43 44 4 80102neg. No:[ |] O Question Paper Code : 22104 M.B.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION, FEBRUARY/MARCH 2015. First Semester DBA 7102 — STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT (Regulation 2013) (Common to all Branches) Time : Three hours Maximum : 100 marks 2 2 oN 2 @re i. (Statistical table may be provided) Answer ALL questions. PART A — (10 x 2= 20 marks) What are mutually exclusive events? Distinguish between discrete and continuous probability distributions, Give two uses for sampling distributions. How does sample size affect parameter estimation accuracy? What is the significance level that decides the result of a hypothesis test? Distinguish between null and alternate hypothesis, Distinguish between parametric and non parametric tests. Give two disadvantages of non parametric tests. Distinguish between a causal regression and time series analysis, What are irregular variations in a time series? How is their effect minimized in forecasts? PART B — (5 x 16 = 80 marks) (@)_ Im a certain town XYZ 60% of the cars are Maruti cars and the balance are Tata cars. In another town ABC 20% of the cars are Maruti and the balance are Tata cars. A car chosen in random from one of the towns happens to be a Tata car. What is the probability that it is from Town XYZ? Two cars are selected, one from each town. What is the probability that at least one is a tata car? Or12, 13. (b) (@) ) (a) (b) (a) 20 cars are tested for their mileage. The mileages follow a normal distribution with an average of 12 km/hr and a standard deviation of 3km/hr. What is the probability of a car having a mileage more than 15 km/hr. What is the probability of a car having a mileage of not more than 14 km/hr? What are the chances that the mileage lies between 8km/hr and 18km/lir? ‘Two towns are studied for tall buildings. In town A, out of 300 buildings considered, the average works out to 350m with a standard deviation of 35m. In town B, out of 450 buildings considered, the average height works out to 39m with a standard deviation of dem. Estimate the average building height for each town at a confidence level of 95? If the accuracy level is to be less than +3cm, what is the confidence level for each of the towns? Or A certain town is studied for population height. If a study is done to estimate the population height with an accuracy of #0.3m, what should be the sample size if the confidence level is 95%? What will the accuracy be if this confidence level is then reduced to 90%? If the sample average works out to 1.8m, what is the range within which the population mean height will lie? ‘Two groups of students are studied. Group A considers 50 students, who exhibit a mean weight of 70kg with a standard deviation of Tkg. 30 of these students are girls. Group B considered 70 students who showed an average weight of GOkg with a standard deviation of 9kg. 25 of these students are girls. Test whether both groups have same average weight and whether both groups have the same proportion of girls. Or ‘Two classes are studied for marks in a certain subject. In Class A the marks secured are 35,37,42,44,55,66,33,27,35. In class B the marks secured by a few students are 66,77,88,77,55,66,77,88,99,66,55,44,55,66. Test whether both classes have similar average marks in the subject. ‘The effectiveness of a certain coaching class is being studied and the marks of 7 students. before and after the coaching effort is recorded below. Student 12°98 4 5 6 7 Before 33 44 47 26 30 50 60 After 55 60 46 65 55 53 35 Use sign test to check out the effectiveness of the coaching class. Or 2 22104(b) b) ‘Three samples of students are weighed. The results are as follows Group A: 67, 66, 75, 85, 55, 79, 95, 93 Group B: 55, 58, 67, 63, 62, 69, 72 Group C: 48, 53, 55, 61, 49, 58, 57, 64, 66 Use Kruskal Walis test to check whether all three groups have similar weights, ‘The consumption of two products A and B by students in kgs per year are studied. Student 2 Be ee Bt ProductA 50 70 90 25 30 150 85 15 Product B 70 90 95 30 26 130 95 40 Find the correlation level of the consumption of these two products. Or Explain the various components of time series analysis with suitable examples. 3 22104Bee Nes |. [| bela) Te) Question Paper Code : 46102 M.B.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION, AUGUST 2014. First Semester DBA 7102 — STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT (Common to All Branches) (Regulations 2013) Time : Three hours Maximum : 100 marks (Use statistical table to be permitted) Answer ALL questions. PART A — (10 x 2= 20 marks) 1. What is conditional probability? Explain with an example. 2. Define exclusive events and independent events. 3. State the central limit theorem 4. Why are samples taken? 5. Why are hypothesis proposed? . 6. — What is significance level in a hypothesis test? Distinguish between a parametric and a non parametric test. 8. Name four non parametric tests used in research. 9. How is the accuracy of a regression equation measured? 10. Explain the difference between cyclical variations and seasonal variations in a time series,1. 12, (a) (b) fa) PART B— @ x 16 = 80 marks) ‘Assume you have applied to two different universities (let's refer to them as Universities A and B for your graduate work. In the past, 25% of students (with similar credentials as yours) who applied to University A were accepted, while University B accepted 35% of the applicants. Assume events are independent of each other. () What is the probability that you will be accepted in both universities? (ii) What is the probability that you will be accepted to at least one graduate program? (ii) What is the probability that one and only one of the universities will accept you? (iv) What is the probability that neither university will accept you? Or ‘The salaries of the employees of a corporation are normally distributed with a mean of Rs. 25,000 and a standard deviation of Rs. 5,000. (i) What is the probability that a randomly selected employee will have a starting salary of at least Rs. 31,000? (i) What percentage of employees has salaries of less than Rs. 12,200? (ii) What are the minimum and the maximum salaries of the middle 95% of the employees? (iv) If sixty-eight of the employees have incomes of at least Rs. 35,600, how many individuals are employed in the corporation? MNM Corporation gives each of its employees an aptitude test. The scores on the test are normally distributed with a mean of 75 and a standard deviation of 15. A simple random sample of 25 is taken from a population of 500. (i) What are the expected value, the standard deviation, and the shape of the sampling distribution of ? (ii) What is the probability that the average aptitude test in the sample will be between.70.14 and 82.14? (ii) What is the probability that the average aptitude test in the sample will be greater than 82.68? (iv) What is the probability that the average aptitude test in the sample will be less than 78.69? Or 2 4610213: () (a) (b) A random sample of nine telephone calls in an office provided the following information. Call Number | Duration | Type of call (in minutes) 1 3 local 2 8 long distance 3 4 local, 4 a local 5 5 long distance 6 6 Tocal 7 3 local, 8 5 local 9 8 local, (@ Determine the point estimate for the average duration of all calls. (i) What is the point estimate for the standard deviation of the population? (iii) Determine the standard error of the mean. (iy) What is the point estimate for the proportion of all calls that were long distance? A new soft drink is being market tested. A sample of 400 individuals Participated in the taste test and 100 indicated that they like the taste We are interested in determining if more than 21% of the population will like the new soft drink. (i) Set up the null and the alternative hypotheses. (ii) Determine the test statistic. Gi) Determine the p-value. (iv) At 95% confidence, test to determine if more than 21% of the population will like the new soft drink. Or ‘The daily production rates for a sample of factory workers before and after a training program are shown below. Let d = After ~ Before. Worker | Before | After 1 6 9 2 tor] a2 3 9 10 4 8 i 5 zi 9 ‘We want to determine if the training program was effective. (i) Give the hypotheses for this problem. (i) Compute the test statistic. (iii) At 95% confidence, test the hypotheses. That is, did the training program actually increase the production rates? ae ree14. (a) Ina sample of 200 racquetball players, 120 indicated they prefer Penn racquetballs, 75 favored Ektelon, and 5 were indifferent. We want to use the sign test to determine if there is evidence of a significant difference in the preferences for the two types of racquetballs. () Provide the hypotheses to be tested. Gi) Compute the mean. (iii) Compute the standard deviation. (iv) At 95% confidence, test to determine if there is evidence of a- significant difference in the preferences for the two types of racquetball, Or () The manager of a company believes that differences in sales performance depends upon the salesperson's age. Independent samples of salespeople were taken and their weekly sales record is reported below. Below 30 Years Between 30 and 45 Years Over 45 years No.of sales No. of Sales No. of Sales 24 23 30 16 17 20 21 22 23 1b 25 25 19 18, a4 26 29 36 (State the null and alternative hypotheses. (ii) At 95% confidence, test the hypotheses. 15. (a) Given below are five observations collected in a regression study on two variables, x (independent variable) and y (dependent variable). xy 24 a4 43 2 61 (Develop the least squares estimated regression equation, (ii) Compute the coefficient of determination. (iii) Compute the coefficient of correlation. Or (e) Explain the various components in a time series with suitable examples.