Adapun hasil perhitungan dari program Hymos seperti dibawah ini :

a. Distribusi Gumbel
Series code = 0001
First year = 1992
Last year
= 2003

PN

Actual values are used

Fitting the Extreme Type 1 or Gumbel distribution function

Series code 0001

PN

Method of moments is used

Number of data
Scale par. beta
Location par. x0
Nr of parameters

=
=
=
=

144
11.535
25.562
2

Nr./year observation obs.freq. theor.freq.p

68
3.500
.0048
.0011
0014
20
6.400
.0118
.0052
0045
53
8.500
.0187
.0124
0082
130
11.400
.0256
.0329
0151
32
11.500
.0325
.0339
0153
91
12.100
.0395
.0403
0168
90
12.500
.0464
.0449
0178
7
12.500
.0533
.0449
0178
78
12.600
.0602
.0461
0181
103
12.700
.0672
.0474
0183
45
12.800
.0741
.0486
0186
112
13.800
.0810
.0625
0210
73
14.200
.0880
.0687
0219
127
14.300
.0949
.0703
0222
71
15.100
.1018
.0840
0239
21
15.100
.1087
.0840
0239
89
15.400
.1157
.0895
0245
19
16.300
.1226
.1073
0262

return-per.
1.00

st.dev.xp st.dev.p
2.1114
.

1.01

1.8946

1.01

1.7438

1.03

1.5471

1.04

1.5406

1.04

1.5022

1.05

1.4770

1.05

1.4770

1.05

1.4708

1.05

1.4646

1.05

1.4585

1.07

1.3983

1.07

1.3750

1.08

1.3693

1.09

1.3245

1.09

1.3245

1.10

1.3083

1.12

1.2618

129
0270
66
0270
56
0275
43
0277
122
0278
95
0280
102
0285
50
0290
35
0293
10
0294
67
0295
107
0301
8
0302
99
0303
88
0305
44
0305
77
0308
117
0311
47
0313
75
0314
38
0315
17
0317
33
0319
31
0320
119
0322
140
0322
9
0323
101
0324
76
0325
111
0325
6
0326
96
0326
80
0327
135
0328
138
0330
98

16.800

.1295

.1180

1.13

1.2373

16.800

.1364

.1180

1.13

1.2373

17.100

.1434

.1246

1.14

1.2231

17.200

.1503

.1269

1.15

1.2185

17.300

.1572

.1292

1.15

1.2139

17.400

.1641

.1315

1.15

1.2093

17.800

.1711

.1409

1.16

1.1916

18.200

.1780

.1506

1.18

1.1747

18.400

.1849

.1556

1.18

1.1665

18.500

.1918

.1581

1.19

1.1625

18.600

.1988

.1606

1.19

1.1586

19.200

.2057

.1762

1.21

1.1360

19.300

.2126

.1789

1.22

1.1324

19.400

.2195

.1816

1.22

1.1289

19.600

.2265

.1870

1.23

1.1220

19.600

.2334

.1870

1.23

1.1220

20.000

.2403

.1980

1.25

1.1090

20.300

.2472

.2064

1.26

1.0999

20.700

.2542

.2178

1.28

1.0885

20.800

.2611

.2207

1.28

1.0859

21.000

.2680

.2265

1.29

1.0807

21.400

.2749

.2382

1.31

1.0712

21.700

.2819

.2472

1.33

1.0647

21.900

.2888

.2532

1.34

1.0608

22.500

.2957

.2714

1.37

1.0505

22.500

.3026

.2714

1.37

1.0505

22.800

.3096

.2807

1.39

1.0464

23.000

.3165

.2869

1.40

1.0439

23.200

.3234

.2931

1.41

1.0418

23.300

.3303

.2962

1.42

1.0409

23.500

.3373

.3025

1.43

1.0392

23.600

.3442

.3056

1.44

1.0384

24.000

.3511

.3182

1.47

1.0362

24.400

.3580

.3309

1.49

1.0351

24.900

.3650

.3468

1.53

1.0355

24.900

.3719

.3468

1.53

1.0355

0330
121
0330
41
0330
92
0331
30
0331
65
0332
128
0332
59
0334
81
0334
137
0334
87
0334
62
0336
105
0337
36
0337
131
0338
39
0340
115
0340
132
0341
40
0341
104
0341
69
0342
70
0342
114
0342
139
0342
55
0342
25
0342
110
0342
123
0341
136
0340
63
0340
126
0340
124
0340
28
0339
14
0339
29
0338
82
0338

25.100

.3788

.3532

1.55

1.0361

25.100

.3857

.3532

1.55

1.0361

25.300

.3927

.3595

1.56

1.0371

25.600

.3996

.3691

1.59

1.0391

25.900

.4065

.3787

1.61

1.0417

26.000

.4134

.3818

1.62

1.0427

26.600

.4204

.4009

1.67

1.0504

26.600

.4273

.4009

1.67

1.0504

26.700

.4342

.4041

1.68

1.0519

26.700

.4411

.4041

1.68

1.0519

27.800

.4481

.4388

1.78

1.0732

28.300

.4550

.4544

1.83

1.0856

28.400

.4619

.4575

1.84

1.0882

28.600

.4688

.4637

1.86

1.0937

29.600

.4758

.4943

1.98

1.1250

30.000

.4827

.5063

2.03

1.1392

30.300

.4896

.5152

2.06

1.1504

30.800

.4965

.5299

2.13

1.1701

30.800

.5035

.5299

2.13

1.1701

31.500

.5104

.5501

2.22

1.1999

31.800

.5173

.5586

2.27

1.2134

32.000

.5242

.5642

2.29

1.2226

32.500

.5312

.5781

2.37

1.2464

32.600

.5381

.5808

2.39

1.2513

33.500

.5450

.6050

2.53

1.2971

33.600

.5519

.6076

2.55

1.3024

34.100

.5589

.6206

2.64

1.3294

34.600

.5658

.6333

2.73

1.3572

34.600

.5727

.6333

2.73

1.3572

34.900

.5796

.6408

2.78

1.3743

34.900

.5866

.6408

2.78

1.3743

35.300

.5935

.6506

2.86

1.3976

35.400

.6004

.6530

2.88

1.4034

35.500

.6073

.6554

2.90

1.4094

35.600

.6143

.6578

2.92

1.4153

57

35.900

.6212

.6649

2.98

1.4333

72

36.400

.6281

.6765

3.09

1.4639

94

36.800

.6350

.6856

3.18

1.4888

83

37.000

.6420

.6901

3.23

1.5014

58

37.100

.6489

.6923

3.25

1.5078

27
0331
106
0331
37
0327
97
0324
100
0324
61
0324
11
0323
64
0319
60
0318
141
0318
18
0313
54
0310
84
0310
16
0309
74
0307
93
0303
116
0302
15
0300
26
0296
42
0289
113
0285
34
0284
13
0274
49
0267
1
0266
108
0266
134
0259
133
0257
12
0256
46
0254
118

37.400

.6558

.6988

3.32

1.5270

37.500

.6627

.7010

3.34

1.5334

38.400

.6697

.7199

3.57

1.5923

38.800

.6766

.7280

3.68

1.6190

38.900

.6835

.7300

3.70

1.6258

38.900

.6904

.7300

3.70

1.6258

39.100

.6974

.7340

3.76

1.6393

39.700

.7043

.7456

3.93

1.6803

39.800

.7112

.7475

3.96

1.6872

39.800

.7181

.7475

3.96

1.6872

40.600

.7251

.7622

4.21

1.7429

41.000

.7320

.7693

4.33

1.7712

41.000

.7389

.7693

4.33

1.7712

41.100

.7458

.7710

4.37

1.7783

41.400

.7528

.7762

4.47

1.7997

41.900

.7597

.7846

4.64

1.8356

42.000

.7666

.7862

4.68

1.8428

42.200

.7735

.7895

4.75

1.8573

42.700

.7805

.7974

4.94

1.8937

43.500

.7874

.8096

5.25

1.9527

44.000

.7943

.8169

5.46

1.9899

44.100

.8012

.8183

5.50

1.9973

45.200

.8082

.8334

6.00

2.0801

45.900

.8151

.8424

6.35

2.1334

46.000

.8220

.8436

6.40

2.1411

46.000

.8289

.8436

6.40

2.1411

46.700

.8359

.8521

6.76

2.1948

46.900

.8428

.8545

6.87

2.2103

47.100

.8497

.8568

6.98

2.2257

47.300

.8566

.8591

7.10

2.2412

48.800

.8636

.8751

8.01

2.3583

0337
0336
0334
0333
0333

0239
120
0237
4
0237
79
0232
86
0232
48
0226
51
0221
3
0212
125
0192
52
0171
144
0165
143
0156
109
0149
22
0108
2
0098
23
0098
85
0081
24
0068
142
0058
5
0055

49.000

.8705

.8771

8.14

2.3740

49.000

.8774

.8771

8.14

2.3740

49.500

.8843

.8820

8.48

2.4134

49.500

.8913

.8820

8.48

2.4134

50.100

.8982

.8877

8.90

2.4609

50.600

.9051

.8922

9.27

2.5006

51.500

.9120

.8998

9.98

2.5724

53.500

.9190

.9151

11.78

2.7333

55.800

.9259

.9299

14.26

2.9204

56.500

.9328

.9339

15.12

2.9777

57.500

.9398

.9392

16.44

3.0598

58.400

.9467

.9436

17.74

3.1339

64.000

.9536

.9649

28.50

3.5995

65.500

.9605

.9691

32.39

3.7253

65.500

.9675

.9691

32.39

3.7253

68.500

.9744

.9761

41.86

3.9779

71.200

.9813

.9811

52.77

4.2062

73.800

.9882

.9848

65.99

4.4268

74.500

.9952

.9857

70.08

4.4863

Results of Binomial goodness of fit test

variate dn = max(|Fobs-Fest|)/sd=
1.6814 at Fest= .6333
prob. of exceedance P(DN>dn)
=
.0927
number of observations
=
144
Results of Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
variate dn = max(|Fobs-Fest|)
=
prob. of exceedance P(DN>dn)
=
Results of Chi-Square test
variate = chi-square
prob. of exceedance of variate
number of classes
number of observations
degrees of freedom

=
=
=
=
=

.0708
.4657

Values for distinct return periods

9.1250
.6922
15
144
12

Return per.
2
5
10
25
50
100
250
500
1000
1250
2500
5000
10000

prob(xi<x) p
.50000
.80000
.90000
.96000
.98000
.99000
.99600
.99800
.99900
.99920
.99960
.99980
.99990

value x
29.790
42.864
51.520
62.457
70.571
78.625
89.230
97.237
105.238
107.813
115.811
123.809
131.802

st. dev. x
1.132
1.906
2.574
3.471
4.153
4.838
5.747
6.436
7.127
7.350
8.043
8.737
9.431

GRAFIK SEBARAN GUMBEL

confidence intervals
lower
upper
27.571
39.128
46.474
55.654
62.430
69.141
77.964
84.619
91.266
93.404
100.044
106.682
113.314

32.008
46.600
56.566
69.261
78.713
88.109
100.495
109.854
119.211
122.222
131.578
140.936
150.289

b. Distribusi Pearson Type 3 :

Series code = 0001

First year = 1992
Last year
= 2003

PN

Actual values are used

Fitting the Pearson-3 or gamma distribution function

Series code 0001

PN

Method of moments is used

Number of data
Scale par. beta
Shape par. gamma
Location par. x0
Nr of parameters

=
=
=
=
=

144
6.793
4.743
.000
2

Nr./year observation obs.freq. theor.freq.p

68
3.500
.0048
.0004
0004
20
6.400
.0118
.0045
0027
53
8.500
.0187
.0135
0062
130
11.400
.0256
.0387
0126
32
11.500
.0325
.0398
0128
91
12.100
.0395
.0473
0143
90
12.500
.0464
.0527
0152
7
12.500
.0533
.0527
0152
78
12.600
.0602
.0541
0155
103
12.700
.0672
.0556
0157
45
12.800
.0741
.0570
0159
112
13.800
.0810
.0727
0183
73
14.200
.0880
.0795
0192
127
14.300
.0949
.0813
0194
71
15.100
.1018
.0961
0212
21
15.100
.1087
.0961
0212
89
15.400
.1157
.1020
0218
19
16.300
.1226
.1206
0236
129
16.800
.1295
.1316

return-per.
1.00

st.dev.xp st.dev.p
.7909
.

1.00

.9701

1.01

1.0373

1.04

1.0829

1.04

1.0838

1.05

1.0885

1.06

1.0909

1.06

1.0909

1.06

1.0914

1.06

1.0919

1.06

1.0924

1.08

1.0958

1.09

1.0966

1.09

1.0967

1.11

1.0972

1.11

1.0972

1.11

1.0972

1.14

1.0964

1.15

1.0957

0246
66

16.800

.1364

.1316

1.15

1.0957

56

17.100

.1434

.1384

1.16

1.0953

43
0253
122
0254
95
0256
102
0263
50
0269
35
0272
10
0274
67
0275
107
0283
8
0285
99
0286
88
0288
44
0288
77
0293
117
0296
47
0301
75
0302
38
0304
17
0307
33
0310
31
0311
119
0316
140
0316
9
0318
101
0319
76
0320
111
0321
6
0322
96
0322
80
0324
135
0326
138
0328
98
0328

17.200

.1503

.1407

1.16

1.0951

17.300

.1572

.1430

1.17

1.0949

17.400

.1641

.1453

1.17

1.0947

17.800

.1711

.1548

1.18

1.0940

18.200

.1780

.1645

1.20

1.0933

18.400

.1849

.1695

1.20

1.0929

18.500

.1918

.1720

1.21

1.0928

18.600

.1988

.1745

1.21

1.0926

19.200

.2057

.1898

1.23

1.0916

19.300

.2126

.1924

1.24

1.0915

19.400

.2195

.1951

1.24

1.0913

19.600

.2265

.2003

1.25

1.0911

19.600

.2334

.2003

1.25

1.0911

20.000

.2403

.2110

1.27

1.0906

20.300

.2472

.2191

1.28

1.0904

20.700

.2542

.2300

1.30

1.0903

20.800

.2611

.2328

1.30

1.0902

21.000

.2680

.2383

1.31

1.0903

21.400

.2749

.2495

1.33

1.0904

21.700

.2819

.2580

1.35

1.0907

21.900

.2888

.2637

1.36

1.0910

22.500

.2957

.2810

1.39

1.0922

22.500

.3026

.2810

1.39

1.0922

22.800

.3096

.2897

1.41

1.0930

23.000

.3165

.2955

1.42

1.0937

23.200

.3234

.3013

1.43

1.0944

23.300

.3303

.3042

1.44

1.0948

23.500

.3373

.3101

1.45

1.0957

23.600

.3442

.3130

1.46

1.0961

24.000

.3511

.3248

1.48

1.0982

24.400

.3580

.3366

1.51

1.1006

24.900

.3650

.3515

1.54

1.1042

24.900

.3719

.3515

1.54

1.1042

0246
0251

121
0328
41
0328
92
0329
30
0330
65
0330
128
0331
59
0332
81
0332
137
0332
87
0332
62
0333
105
0333
36
0333
131
0333
39
0333
115
0332
132
0332
40
0331
104
0331
69
0330
70
0330
114
0329
139
0328
55
0328
25
0326
110
0326
123
0324
136
0323
63
0323
126
0322
124
0322
28
0320
14
0320
29
0320
82
0319
57

25.100

.3788

.3574

1.56

1.1058

25.100

.3857

.3574

1.56

1.1058

25.300

.3927

.3633

1.57

1.1075

25.600

.3996

.3722

1.59

1.1103

25.900

.4065

.3811

1.62

1.1133

26.000

.4134

.3841

1.62

1.1144

26.600

.4204

.4019

1.67

1.1213

26.600

.4273

.4019

1.67

1.1213

26.700

.4342

.4048

1.68

1.1226

26.700

.4411

.4048

1.68

1.1226

27.800

.4481

.4372

1.78

1.1385

28.300

.4550

.4518

1.82

1.1469

28.400

.4619

.4547

1.83

1.1487

28.600

.4688

.4604

1.85

1.1524

29.600

.4758

.4891

1.96

1.1726

30.000

.4827

.5004

2.00

1.1817

30.300

.4896

.5088

2.04

1.1888

30.800

.4965

.5227

2.10

1.2014

30.800

.5035

.5227

2.10

1.2014

31.500

.5104

.5418

2.18

1.2203

31.800

.5173

.5499

2.22

1.2290

32.000

.5242

.5552

2.25

1.2349

32.500

.5312

.5685

2.32

1.2503

32.600

.5381

.5711

2.33

1.2535

33.500

.5450

.5943

2.46

1.2836

33.600

.5519

.5968

2.48

1.2871

34.100

.5589

.6094

2.56

1.3051

34.600

.5658

.6217

2.64

1.3239

34.600

.5727

.6217

2.64

1.3239

34.900

.5796

.6290

2.70

1.3356

34.900

.5866

.6290

2.70

1.3356

35.300

.5935

.6385

2.77

1.3516

35.400

.6004

.6409

2.78

1.3557

35.500

.6073

.6432

2.80

1.3598

35.600

.6143

.6456

2.82

1.3640

35.900

.6212

.6526

2.88

1.3766

0318
72

36.400

.6281

.6640

2.98

1.3982

94

36.800

.6350

.6729

3.06

1.4161

83

37.000

.6420

.6774

3.10

1.4252

58

37.100

.6489

.6796

3.12

1.4297

27
0312
106
0311
37
0307
97
0305
100
0304
61
0304
11
0303
64
0300
60
0299
141
0299
18
0295
54
0292
84
0292
16
0292
74
0290
93
0287
116
0286
15
0285
26
0281
42
0275
113
0272
34
0271
13
0263
49
0257
1
0256
108
0256
134
0251
133
0249
12
0247
46
0246
118
0233

37.400

.6558

.6861

3.19

1.4437

37.500

.6627

.6882

3.21

1.4484

38.400

.6697

.7072

3.41

1.4920

38.800

.6766

.7153

3.51

1.5122

38.900

.6835

.7173

3.54

1.5173

38.900

.6904

.7173

3.54

1.5173

39.100

.6974

.7213

3.59

1.5275

39.700

.7043

.7331

3.75

1.5590

39.800

.7112

.7350

3.77

1.5643

39.800

.7181

.7350

3.77

1.5643

40.600

.7251

.7500

4.00

1.6078

41.000

.7320

.7572

4.12

1.6302

41.000

.7389

.7572

4.12

1.6302

41.100

.7458

.7590

4.15

1.6359

41.400

.7528

.7643

4.24

1.6530

41.900

.7597

.7730

4.40

1.6819

42.000

.7666

.7747

4.44

1.6878

42.200

.7735

.7780

4.50

1.6996

42.700

.7805

.7863

4.68

1.7295

43.500

.7874

.7990

4.97

1.7784

44.000

.7943

.8066

5.17

1.8097

44.100

.8012

.8081

5.21

1.8160

45.200

.8082

.8240

5.68

1.8868

45.900

.8151

.8335

6.01

1.9331

46.000

.8220

.8348

6.05

1.9398

46.000

.8289

.8348

6.05

1.9398

46.700

.8359

.8438

6.40

1.9871

46.900

.8428

.8463

6.51

2.0008

47.100

.8497

.8488

6.61

2.0145

47.300

.8566

.8513

6.72

2.0283

48.800

.8636

.8685

7.61

2.1341

0316
0314
0314
0313

120
0231
4
0231
79
0227
86
0227
48
0222
51
0217
3
0209
125
0192
52
0172
144
0166
143
0157
109
0150
22
0108
2
0098
23
0098
85
0081
24
0067
142
0055
5
0053

49.000

.8705

.8707

7.73

2.1484

49.000

.8774

.8707

7.73

2.1484

49.500

.8843

.8760

8.06

2.1846

49.500

.8913

.8760

8.06

2.1846

50.100

.8982

.8821

8.48

2.2286

50.600

.9051

.8870

8.85

2.2655

51.500

.9120

.8953

9.55

2.3331

53.500

.9190

.9120

11.36

2.4872

55.800

.9259

.9282

13.93

2.6705

56.500

.9328

.9326

14.83

2.7274

57.500

.9398

.9384

16.24

2.8098

58.400

.9467

.9433

17.63

2.8849

64.000

.9536

.9665

29.82

3.3689

65.500

.9605

.9710

34.45

3.5032

65.500

.9675

.9710

34.45

3.5032

68.500

.9744

.9784

46.20

3.7768

71.200

.9813

.9835

60.45

4.0285

73.800

.9882

.9873

78.61

4.2753

74.500

.9952

.9882

84.43

4.3424

Results of Binomial goodness of fit test

variate dn = max(|Fobs-Fest|)/sd=
1.3832 at Fest= .6217
prob. of exceedance P(DN>dn)
=
.1666
number of observations
=
144
Results of Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
variate dn = max(|Fobs-Fest|)
=
prob. of exceedance P(DN>dn)
=
Results of Chi-Square test
variate = chi-square
prob. of exceedance of variate
number of classes
number of observations
degrees of freedom

=
=
=
=
=

.0592
.6941

Values for distinct return periods

5.3750
.9443
15
144
12

Return per.
2
5
10
25
50
100
250
500
1000
1250
2500
5000
10000

prob(xi<x) p
.50000
.80000
.90000
.96000
.98000
.99000
.99600
.99800
.99900
.99920
.99960
.99980
.99990

value x
29.986
43.567
52.033
62.150
69.298
76.151
84.870
91.266
97.526
99.518
105.632
111.652
117.592

st. dev. x
1.181
1.783
2.374
3.206
3.851
4.502
5.369
6.027
6.687
6.900
7.563
8.227
8.892

confidence intervals
lower
upper
27.670
40.073
47.379
55.865
61.749
67.325
74.345
79.451
84.417
85.991
90.806
95.525
100.161

GRAFIK SEBARAN PEARSON TYPE-3

32.302
47.062
56.686
68.435
76.847
84.977
95.394
103.081
110.636
113.045
120.458
127.779
135.023

c. Distribusi Normal

Series code = 0001

First year = 1992
Last year
= 2003

PN

Actual values are used

Fitting the normal distribution function

Series code 0001

Number of data
Mean
Standard deviation
Skewness
Kurtosis

PN

=
=
=
=
=

144
32.220
14.794
.639
3.115

Nr./year observation obs.freq. theor.freq.p

68
3.500
.0048
.0261
0086
20
6.400
.0118
.0405
0115
53
8.500
.0187
.0544
0139
130
11.400
.0256
.0797
0174
32
11.500
.0325
.0807
0175
91
12.100
.0395
.0869
0183
90
12.500
.0464
.0913
0188
7
12.500
.0533
.0913
0188
78
12.600
.0602
.0924
0189
103
12.700
.0672
.0935
0190
45
12.800
.0741
.0946
0192
112
13.800
.0810
.1066
0204
73
14.200
.0880
.1116
0209
127
14.300
.0949
.1129
0210
71
15.100
.1018
.1236
0220
21
15.100
.1087
.1236
0220
89
15.400
.1157
.1278
0223
19
16.300
.1226
.1409
0234
129
16.800
.1295
.1486
0240
66
16.800
.1364
.1486

return-per.
1.03

st.dev.xp st.dev.p
2.0941
.

1.04

1.9585

1.06

1.8640

1.09

1.7394

1.09

1.7353

1.10

1.7106

1.10

1.6943

1.10

1.6943

1.10

1.6903

1.10

1.6862

1.10

1.6822

1.12

1.6427

1.13

1.6272

1.13

1.6233

1.14

1.5930

1.14

1.5930

1.15

1.5819

1.16

1.5492

1.17

1.5315

1.17

1.5315

0240
56

17.100

.1434

.1534

1.18

1.5211

43
0244
122
0246
95
0247
102
0251
50
0255
35
0258
10
0259
67
0260
107
0266
8
0267
99
0268
88
0270
44
0270
77
0274
117
0277
47
0280
75
0281
38
0283
17
0286
33
0289
31
0291
119
0295
140
0295
9
0298
101
0299
76
0301
111
0301
6
0303
96
0303
80
0306
135
0309
138
0312
98
0312
121
0313

17.200

.1503

.1550

1.18

1.5176

17.300

.1572

.1566

1.19

1.5142

17.400

.1641

.1582

1.19

1.5108

17.800

.1711

.1649

1.20

1.4973

18.200

.1780

.1716

1.21

1.4840

18.400

.1849

.1751

1.21

1.4775

18.500

.1918

.1769

1.21

1.4743

18.600

.1988

.1786

1.22

1.4710

19.200

.2057

.1894

1.23

1.4520

19.300

.2126

.1912

1.24

1.4489

19.400

.2195

.1931

1.24

1.4458

19.600

.2265

.1968

1.25

1.4397

19.600

.2334

.1968

1.25

1.4397

20.000

.2403

.2044

1.26

1.4277

20.300

.2472

.2102

1.27

1.4188

20.700

.2542

.2181

1.28

1.4073

20.800

.2611

.2201

1.28

1.4045

21.000

.2680

.2241

1.29

1.3989

21.400

.2749

.2323

1.30

1.3879

21.700

.2819

.2385

1.31

1.3798

21.900

.2888

.2427

1.32

1.3746

22.500

.2957

.2556

1.34

1.3593

22.500

.3026

.2556

1.34

1.3593

22.800

.3096

.2621

1.36

1.3519

23.000

.3165

.2666

1.36

1.3471

23.200

.3234

.2710

1.37

1.3424

23.300

.3303

.2733

1.38

1.3401

23.500

.3373

.2778

1.38

1.3355

23.600

.3442

.2801

1.39

1.3333

24.000

.3511

.2892

1.41

1.3245

24.400

.3580

.2985

1.43

1.3160

24.900

.3650

.3104

1.45

1.3060

24.900

.3719

.3104

1.45

1.3060

25.100

.3788

.3152

1.46

1.3022

0243

41

25.100

.3857

.3152

1.46

1.3022

92

25.300

.3927

.3200

1.47

1.2984

30

25.600

.3996

.3273

1.49

1.2930

65
0317
128
0318
59
0320
81
0320
137
0321
87
0321
62
0325
105
0327
36
0327
131
0327
39
0330
115
0331
132
0331
40
0332
104
0332
69
0332
70
0332
114
0332
139
0332
55
0332
25
0332
110
0332
123
0331
136
0330
63
0330
126
0330
124
0330
28
0329
14
0329
29
0328
82
0328
57
0327
72

25.900

.4065

.3346

1.50

1.2878

26.000

.4134

.3371

1.51

1.2861

26.600

.4204

.3520

1.54

1.2765

26.600

.4273

.3520

1.54

1.2765

26.700

.4342

.3545

1.55

1.2749

26.700

.4411

.3545

1.55

1.2749

27.800

.4481

.3826

1.62

1.2600

28.300

.4550

.3955

1.65

1.2542

28.400

.4619

.3981

1.66

1.2532

28.600

.4688

.4033

1.68

1.2511

29.600

.4758

.4297

1.75

1.2425

30.000

.4827

.4404

1.79

1.2398

30.300

.4896

.4484

1.81

1.2380

30.800

.4965

.4618

1.86

1.2357

30.800

.5035

.4618

1.86

1.2357

31.500

.5104

.4806

1.93

1.2336

31.800

.5173

.4887

1.96

1.2331

32.000

.5242

.4941

1.98

1.2329

32.500

.5312

.5075

2.03

1.2330

32.600

.5381

.5102

2.04

1.2331

33.500

.5450

.5345

2.15

1.2352

33.600

.5519

.5372

2.16

1.2355

34.100

.5589

.5506

2.22

1.2378

34.600

.5658

.5639

2.29

1.2408

34.600

.5727

.5639

2.29

1.2408

34.900

.5796

.5719

2.34

1.2429

34.900

.5866

.5719

2.34

1.2429

35.300

.5935

.5825

2.39

1.2461

35.400

.6004

.5851

2.41

1.2470

35.500

.6073

.5877

2.43

1.2479

35.600

.6143

.5904

2.44

1.2488

35.900

.6212

.5982

2.49

1.2517

36.400

.6281

.6112

2.57

1.2571

0313
0314
0316

0326
94

36.800

.6350

.6216

2.64

1.2620

83

37.000

.6420

.6267

2.68

1.2645

58

37.100

.6489

.6292

2.70

1.2659

27
0322
106
0322
37
0318
97
0316
100
0315
61
0315
11
0314
64
0311
60
0310
141
0310
18
0305
54
0302
84
0302
16
0302
74
0300
93
0296
116
0295
15
0293
26
0289
42
0282
113
0278
34
0277
13
0266
49
0259
1
0258
108
0258
134
0250
133
0248
12
0246
46
0244
118
0226
120
0224

37.400

.6558

.6369

2.75

1.2700

37.500

.6627

.6394

2.77

1.2714

38.400

.6697

.6619

2.96

1.2854

38.800

.6766

.6718

3.05

1.2923

38.900

.6835

.6742

3.07

1.2941

38.900

.6904

.6742

3.07

1.2941

39.100

.6974

.6790

3.12

1.2977

39.700

.7043

.6934

3.26

1.3092

39.800

.7112

.6958

3.29

1.3112

39.800

.7181

.6958

3.29

1.3112

40.600

.7251

.7144

3.50

1.3279

41.000

.7320

.7236

3.62

1.3369

41.000

.7389

.7236

3.62

1.3369

41.100

.7458

.7258

3.65

1.3392

41.400

.7528

.7325

3.74

1.3462

41.900

.7597

.7435

3.90

1.3583

42.000

.7666

.7457

3.93

1.3608

42.200

.7735

.7500

4.00

1.3658

42.700

.7805

.7606

4.18

1.3788

43.500

.7874

.7771

4.49

1.4005

44.000

.7943

.7871

4.70

1.4147

44.100

.8012

.7890

4.74

1.4177

45.200

.8082

.8099

5.26

1.4508

45.900

.8151

.8224

5.63

1.4730

46.000

.8220

.8242

5.69

1.4762

46.000

.8289

.8242

5.69

1.4762

46.700

.8359

.8361

6.10

1.4993

46.900

.8428

.8395

6.23

1.5060

47.100

.8497

.8427

6.36

1.5128

47.300

.8566

.8460

6.49

1.5197

48.800

.8636

.8688

7.62

1.5731

49.000

.8705

.8716

7.79

1.5804

0324
0324
0323

49.000

.8774

.8716

7.79

1.5804

79

49.500

.8843

.8786

8.24

1.5990

86

49.500

.8913

.8786

8.24

1.5990

48

50.100

.8982

.8866

8.82

1.6218

51

50.600

.9051

.8929

9.34

1.6411

3
0193
125
0168
52
0141
144
0132
143
0121
109
0111
22
0060
2
0050
23
0050
85
0033
24
0022
142
0014
5
0013

51.500

.9120

.9037

10.39

1.6766

53.500

.9190

.9248

13.30

1.7587

55.800

.9259

.9445

18.02

1.8578

56.500

.9328

.9496

19.85

1.8888

57.500

.9398

.9563

22.86

1.9339

58.400

.9467

.9616

26.04

1.9750

64.000

.9536

.9841

63.08

2.2424

65.500

.9605

.9878

81.70

2.3167

65.500

.9675

.9878

81.70

2.3167

68.500

.9744

.9929

140.89

2.4681

71.200

.9813

.9958

237.56

2.6072

73.800

.9882

.9975

404.36

2.7431

74.500

.9952

.9979

468.90

2.7800

0224
0218
0218
0211
0205

Results of Binomial goodness of fit test

variate dn = max(|Fobs-Fest|)/sd=
2.9721 at Fest= .9878
prob. of exceedance P(DN>dn)
=
.0030
number of observations
=
144
Results of Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
variate dn = max(|Fobs-Fest|)
=
prob. of exceedance P(DN>dn)
=
Results of Chi-Square test
variate = chi-square
prob. of exceedance of variate
number of classes
number of observations
degrees of freedom

=
=
=
=
=

.0899
.1947

Values for distinct return periods

20.1667
.0640
15
144
12

Return per.
2
5
10
25
50
100
250
500
1000
1250
2500
5000
10000

prob(xi<x) p
.50000
.80000
.90000
.96000
.98000
.99000
.99600
.99800
.99900
.99920
.99960
.99980
.99990

value x
32.220
44.669
51.182
58.126
62.610
66.643
71.461
74.806
77.942
78.914
81.826
84.596
87.241

st. dev. x
1.233
1.435
1.664
1.962
2.174
2.374
2.620
2.796
2.963
3.015
3.172
3.323
3.469

GRAFIK SEBARAN NORMAL

confidence intervals
lower
upper
29.803
41.857
47.921
54.279
58.348
61.990
66.324
69.325
72.134
73.003
75.606
78.081
80.441

34.637
47.481
54.444
61.973
66.873
71.297
76.599
80.287
83.751
84.824
88.045
91.111
94.041