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Illinois HD 95 Survey Results

Q1 How would you rate Governor Bruce Rauners


job performance: good, bad, or are you
neutral?
Good............................................................ 30%
Bad .............................................................. 46%
Neutral ......................................................... 21%
Not sure ....................................................... 2%

Q2 If the election for State Representative were


held today, would you vote to re-elect
Republican Representative Avery Bourne, or
do you think its time for someone new?
Vote to re-elect Representative Avery
Bourne ......................................................... 42%
Its time for someone new ............................. 47%
Not sure ....................................................... 11%

Q3 Would you be more or less likely to vote for


Representative Avery Bourne if you knew she
was supported by Governor Bruce Rauner, or
would it not make a difference?
More likely .................................................... 15%
Less likely..................................................... 44%
Wouldn't make a difference........................... 37%
Not sure ....................................................... 4%
Q4 Would you be more or less likely to vote for
Representative Avery Bourne if you knew she
was supported by Donald Trump, or would it
not make a difference?
More likely .................................................... 20%
Less likely..................................................... 38%
Wouldn't make a difference........................... 38%
Not sure ....................................................... 4%

Q5 Would you be more or less likely to vote for


Representative Avery Bourne if you knew she
voted to cut $200 million in funding for
services that help frail senior citizens stay
independent and prevent them from going to
nursing homes that cost taxpayers more, or
would it not make a difference?
More likely .................................................... 18%
Less likely..................................................... 53%
Wouldn't make a difference........................... 23%
Not sure ....................................................... 6%

Q6 Would you be more or less likely to vote for


Representative Avery Bourne if you knew she
supported cuts to a childcare program that
keeps children safe and enables parents to
work and pay taxes, rather than rely on
government assistance, or would it not make a
difference?
More likely .................................................... 24%
Less likely..................................................... 48%
Wouldn't make a difference........................... 23%
Not sure ....................................................... 6%

Q7 Would you be more or less likely to vote for


Representative Avery Bourne if you knew she
opposed small wage increases for working
poor Illinoisans who care for children, the
elderly and persons with disabilities, or would it
not make a difference?
More likely .................................................... 17%
Less likely..................................................... 54%
Wouldn't make a difference........................... 24%
Not sure ....................................................... 5%

Q8 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2


.
Woman ........................................................ 53%
Man.............................................................. 47%

May 9-10, 2016


Survey of 1,169 HD 95 voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Q9 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a


Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3
.
Democrat ..................................................... 33%
Republican ................................................... 36%
Independent ................................................. 31%

Q10 (Asked of Democrats and Republicans) Even


though you think of yourself as a Democrat or
a Republican, do you sometimes vote for
candidates who are members of the other
Party, or not?
Do sometimes vote for candidates who are
members of the other Party .......................... 78%
Do not vote for candidates who are
members of the other Party .......................... 22%

May 9-10, 2016


Survey of 1,169 HD 95 voters

Q11 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If


other, press 3.
Hispanic ....................................................... 4%
White ........................................................... 91%
Other............................................................ 5%

Q12 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,


press 2. If older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45........................................................ 28%
46 to 65........................................................ 45%
Older than 65 ............................................... 27%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Rauner Job Rating


Good 30%

25%

35%

Bad 46%

46%

47%

Neutral 21%

26%

16%

3%

2%

Not sure

2%

Base Woman

Vote to re-elect 42%


Representative Avery
Bourne

38%

47%

Its time for someone 47%


new

49%

45%

Not sure 11%

13%

8%

Gender
Base Woman

Man

Bourne / Someone
New

Gender
Man

Bourne Supported By
Rauner More/Less
Likely

Base Woman

Man

Bourne Supported By
Trump More/Less
Likely

More likely 15%

14%

17%

More likely 20%

16%

25%

Less likely 44%

42%

47%

Less likely 38%

42%

33%

Wouldn't make a 37%


difference

40%

34%

Wouldn't make a 38%


difference

38%

38%

4%

3%

4%

3%

Not sure

4%

Not sure

4%

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Bourne Cut Senior


Funding More/Less
Likely

Base Woman

Man

Bourne Cut Childcare


Program More/Less
Likely

More likely 18%

16%

21%

More likely 24%

18%

30%

Less likely 53%

56%

49%

Less likely 48%

55%

40%

Wouldn't make a 23%


difference

21%

25%

Wouldn't make a 23%


difference

20%

26%

7%

5%

7%

4%

Not sure

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 1,169 HD 95 voters

6%

Not sure

6%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Party

Gender
Base Woman

Base Democrat Republican Independent

Man
Rauner Job Rating

Bourne Oppose Wage


Increases More/Less
Likely
More likely 17%

13%

22%

Less likely 54%

60%

48%

Wouldn't make a 24%


difference

21%

27%

6%

4%

Not sure

5%

Good 30%

11%

48%

28%

Bad 46%

71%

23%

47%

Neutral 21%

15%

28%

21%

2%

1%

4%

Not sure

2%

Party

Party

Base Democrat Republican Independent

Base Democrat Republican Independent


Bourne / Someone
New
Vote to re-elect 42%
Representative Avery
Bourne

24%

63%

38%

Its time for someone 47%


new

67%

27%

48%

Not sure 11%

9%

9%

14%

Bourne Supported By
Rauner More/Less
Likely
More likely 15%

8%

25%

11%

Less likely 44%

65%

29%

38%

Wouldn't make a 37%


difference

24%

45%

43%

3%

1%

7%

Not sure

4%

Party

Party

Base Democrat Republican Independent


Bourne Supported By
Trump More/Less
Likely

Base Democrat Republican Independent


Bourne Cut Senior
Funding More/Less
Likely

More likely 20%

12%

31%

18%

More likely 18%

14%

21%

20%

Less likely 38%

63%

20%

31%

Less likely 53%

68%

41%

49%

Wouldn't make a 38%


difference

22%

47%

45%

Wouldn't make a 23%


difference

14%

30%

25%

2%

2%

6%

4%

8%

7%

Not sure

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 1,169 HD 95 voters

4%

Not sure

6%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Party

Party

Base Democrat Republican Independent


Bourne Cut Childcare
Program More/Less
Likely

Bourne Oppose Wage


Increases More/Less
Likely

More likely 24%

17%

32%

23%

Less likely 48%

66%

32%

Wouldn't make a 23%


difference

13%

30%

4%

7%

6%

Not sure

Base Democrat Republican Independent

6%

More likely 17%

11%

25%

16%

44%

Less likely 54%

74%

36%

50%

27%

Wouldn't make a 24%


difference

12%

33%

27%

2%

6%

7%

Not sure

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Rauner Job Rating
Good 30%

30%

31%

Bad 46%

46%

47%

Neutral 22%

22%

21%

2%

1%

Not sure

2%

5%

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bourne / Someone
New
Vote to re-elect 44%
Representative Avery
Bourne

45%

42%

Its time for someone 47%


new

46%

50%

9%

7%

Not sure

9%

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bourne Supported By
Rauner More/Less
Likely

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bourne Supported By
Trump More/Less
Likely

More likely 16%

15%

21%

More likely 22%

22%

20%

Less likely 47%

47%

48%

Less likely 41%

39%

49%

Wouldn't make a 35%


difference

36%

29%

Wouldn't make a 35%


difference

37%

28%

2%

2%

2%

3%

Not sure

2%

Not sure

2%

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bourne Cut Senior
Funding More/Less
Likely

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bourne Cut Childcare
Program More/Less
Likely

More likely 18%

18%

18%

More likely 24%

25%

20%

Less likely 54%

56%

47%

Less likely 50%

49%

53%

Wouldn't make a 22%


difference

21%

28%

Wouldn't make a 21%


difference

21%

21%

6%

7%

5%

6%

Not sure

6%

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 1,169 HD 95 voters

Not sure

5%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Race

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bourne Oppose Wage
Increases More/Less
Likely
More likely 18%

18%

17%

Less likely 55%

55%

55%

Wouldn't make a 22%


difference

23%

21%

3%

7%

Not sure

Base Hispanic White Other


Rauner Job Rating

4%

Good 30%

35%

29%

31%

Bad 46%

42%

47%

41%

Neutral 21%

21%

21%

24%

2%

2%

4%

Not sure

2%

Race

Race

Base Hispanic White Other


Bourne / Someone
New
Vote to re-elect 42%
Representative Avery
Bourne

51%

43%

30%

Its time for someone 47%


new

41%

47%

52%

Not sure 11%

8%

10%

18%

Base Hispanic White Other


Bourne Supported By
Rauner More/Less
Likely
More likely 15%

47%

13%

19%

Less likely 44%

33%

45%

38%

Wouldn't make a 37%


difference

20%

38%

34%

3%

9%

Not sure

4%

Race

Race

Base Hispanic White Other


Bourne Supported By
Trump More/Less
Likely

Base Hispanic White Other


Bourne Cut Senior
Funding More/Less
Likely

More likely 20%

32%

20%

13%

More likely 18%

30%

18%

11%

Less likely 38%

54%

37%

46%

Less likely 53%

55%

53%

52%

Wouldn't make a 38%


difference

12%

39%

33%

Wouldn't make a 23%


difference

14%

24%

22%

1%

3%

7%

2%

6%

15%

Not sure

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 1,169 HD 95 voters

4%

Not sure

6%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Race

Race

Base Hispanic White Other


Bourne Cut Childcare
Program More/Less
Likely

Base Hispanic White Other


Bourne Oppose Wage
Increases More/Less
Likely

More likely 24%

48%

23%

16%

More likely 17%

42%

17%

9%

Less likely 48%

44%

47%

60%

Less likely 54%

48%

53%

66%

Wouldn't make a 23%


difference

6%

24%

21%

Wouldn't make a 24%


difference

11%

24%

24%

2%

6%

3%

5%

1%

Not sure

6%

Not sure

5%

Age
Base

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Rauner Job Rating


Good 30%

30%

30%

29%

Bad 46%

47%

48%

43%

Neutral 21%

20%

21%

24%

3%

2%

3%

Not sure

2%

Base
Bourne / Someone
New
Vote to re-elect 42%
Representative Avery
Bourne

42%

41%

45%

Its time for someone 47%


new

51%

47%

44%

Not sure 11%

7%

13%

11%

Age
Base

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Bourne Supported By
Rauner More/Less
Likely

Base

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Bourne Supported By
Trump More/Less
Likely

More likely 15%

14%

14%

18%

More likely 20%

22%

18%

22%

Less likely 44%

46%

46%

38%

Less likely 38%

36%

39%

39%

Wouldn't make a 37%


difference

35%

38%

39%

Wouldn't make a 38%


difference

37%

41%

34%

4%

2%

5%

5%

2%

5%

Not sure

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 1,169 HD 95 voters

4%

Not sure

4%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Age
Base

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Bourne Cut Senior


Funding More/Less
Likely
19%

16%

21%

Less likely 53%

55%

53%

Wouldn't make a 23%


difference

20%

25%

6%

6%

7%

6%

More likely 24%

23%

22%

28%

49%

Less likely 48%

49%

50%

43%

23%

Wouldn't make a 23%


difference

22%

23%

24%

6%

5%

5%

Not sure

6%

Age
Base

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Bourne Oppose Wage


Increases More/Less
Likely
More likely 17%

16%

17%

19%

Less likely 54%

53%

55%

53%

Wouldn't make a 24%


difference

25%

24%

22%

6%

4%

6%

Not sure

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 1,169 HD 95 voters

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Bourne Cut Childcare


Program More/Less
Likely

More likely 18%

Not sure

Base

5%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

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