CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: California, April 17, 2016

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
California
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
2403 Registered Voters

April 13-15, 2016
2.7%
1. How would you rate the condition of the economy in California today?
Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in California?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .85%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

California
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the California Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%

John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the California Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .52%

Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
7. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
8. Overall, do you feel the Republicans process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally
been fair or not fair so far?
It has been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%

It has NOT been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%

California
9. As you may know, the Republican party requires a nominee to get 1,237 delegates in
the primaries for the nomination. If Donald Trump does not get 1,237 but Trump still has more
delegates than Ted Cruz, and more delegates than John Kasich, what do you feel Republicans
should do at the convention this summer?
Select Trump, because hell still have more delegates than any other candidate
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Let Trump, Cruz and Kasich fight for delegate support at the convention to
decide the winner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Turn to someone new who isnt running right now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6%
10. Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if
they became the Republican nominee?
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Enthusiastic
37%
20%
12%
Satisfied
26%
37%
38%
Dissatisfied
16%
25%
33%
Upset
20%
18%
17%
11. Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...

Electable in
november
Understanding of
people like you
Effective at getting
things done
Authentic
Conservative
Optimistic
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
49%
30%
20%
46%
30%
24%
57%
50%
19%
47%
18%
27%
66%
25%
25%
23%
15%
28%

California
12. If you had to pick one, which of these is most important in your vote right now:
Terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Jobs and the economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
Immigration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Faith and values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
13. Do you agree or disagree with the following: We need a President who will do whatever it
takes to stop terrorism, including things that might restrict some peoples civil liberties
Agree . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .67%
Disagree . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33%
14. Do you think the Republican partys platform on same-sex marriage should:
Oppose same-sex marriages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%

Accept same-sex marriages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Not comment on same-sex marriage either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
15. The next Republican President needs to:

Stand up to Democrats more effectively . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%

Negotiate with Democrats more effectively . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
16. If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee, how do you think he will approach the
General election campaign this fall?
He will continue to be as outspoken as he is now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66%

He will be less outspoken than he is now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
He will become more outspoken than he is now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

California
17. For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Your own financial

outlook
Your ability to
practice your faith as
you wish
Your freedom to say
and do what you
want
Your feeling of safety
from terrorism
More secure
Staying the
same
Less secure
11%
43%
46%
8%
45%
47%
7%
29%
64%
8%
26%
66%
18. Do you think of your vote as mainly supporting...

An individual candidate for President that you like . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%

A larger movement that youre a part of . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Both . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
19. Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally
been fair or not fair so far?
It has been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70%

It has NOT been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
20. As you may know, the Democratic party uses delegates that are chosen in primaries and
caucuses, and also "superdelegates" who are party leaders and Democratic elected officials.
How much say do you feel these superdelegates should have in choosing the nominee?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
None at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

California
21. Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Electable in
november
Understanding of
people like you
Effective at getting
things done
Authentic
Specific about their
policy ideas
Honest and
trustworthy
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
66%
34%
44%
56%
68%
37%
32%
63%
62%
38%
38%
62%
22. Do you think Bernie Sanders has been too critical of Hillary Clinton, not critical enough, or
has his approach been about right?
Too critical . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%

Not critical enough . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
About right . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .50%
23. Do you think Hillary Clinton has been too critical of Bernie Sanders, not critical enough, or
has her approach been about right?
Too critical . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%

Not critical enough . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
About right . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .59%

California
24. If you had to pick one, which of these is most important in your vote right now:
Terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Jobs and the economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Wall street reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Rights and equality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Criminal justice and sentencing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
25. For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Your own financial

outlook
Your ability to
practice your faith as
you wish
Your freedom to say
and do what you
want
Your feeling of safety
from terrorism
More secure
Staying the
same
Less secure
22%
52%
26%
20%
68%
11%
17%
56%
27%
16%
63%
21%
26. Does Bill Clintons involvement in Hillary Clintons Presidential campaign make you...
More likely to support Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

Less likely to support Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
It doesnt make a difference to you . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%

California
27. Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Improving race
relations in America
Health care
Fixing income
inequality
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
56%
57%
44%
43%
45%
55%
28. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the US?
They should be allowed to stay in the US and eventually apply for citizenship.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
They should be allowed to stay in the US legally, but not be allowed to apply for
citizenship. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
They should be required to leave the US. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
29. Which comes closest to your position?

Legal in all cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Legal in most cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36%
Illegal in most cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Illegal in all cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
30. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
31. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

California
32. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
33. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?

Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
34. Are you registered as a ...

Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Not affiliated with any party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
35. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%

California
36. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
37. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
38. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
10

California
1. Economy in State
How would you rate the condition of the economy in California today?
Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
8%
45%
29%
12%
5%
11%
45%
27%
14%
4%
6%
45%
31%
11%
6%
6%
46%
30%
7%
10%
9%
43%
28%
15%
5%
8%
48%
27%
13%
4%
10%
41%
33%
12%
3%
8%
44%
32%
14%
3%
17%
53%
18%
7%
6%
10%
45%
29%
10%
7%
3%
48%
26%
13%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(2,403)
(1,138)
(1,265)
(419)
(470)
(961)
(553)
(1,449)
(171)
(476)
(307)

California
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in California?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
85%
8%
3%
2%
1%
0%
1%
86%
7%
3%
1%
1%
0%
0%
84%
9%
3%
2%
1%
0%
1%
74%
15%
6%
2%
1%
0%
1%
81%
12%
3%
2%
1%
0%
1%
87%
6%
2%
2%
2%
0%
1%
93%
4%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
86%
7%
2%
3%
2%
0%
1%
89%
8%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
87%
9%
4%
0%
0%
0%
1%
76%
14%
5%
1%
2%
0%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(2,402)
(1,138)
(1,264)
(419)
(470)
(961)
(553)
(1,448)
(171)
(476)
(307)

California
3. 2016 Primary Turnout

In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
53%
36%
7%
4%
47%
42%
8%
3%
60%
30%
6%
4%
68%
24%
6%
2%
55%
32%
8%
5%
51%
37%
7%
4%
45%
45%
5%
5%
48%
42%
8%
3%
82%
10%
2%
5%
64%
27%
4%
5%
50%
35%
11%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(2,403)
(1,138)
(1,265)
(419)
(470)
(961)
(553)
(1,449)
(171)
(476)
(307)

California
4. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the California Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference
31%
16%
49%
4%
32%
13%
51%
4%
29%
18%
47%
6%
34%
23%
39%
4%
28%
14%
50%
7%
34%
11%
50%
5%
27%
19%
50%
4%
30%
17%
48%
6%
39%
7%
52%
2%
32%
19%
47%
2%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(519)
(492)
(111)
(199)
(413)
(289)
(793)
100%
(1,012)
(123)
(79)
(17)

California
5. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the California Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
52%
40%
8%
53%
39%
8%
51%
41%
8%
41%
55%
4%
47%
45%
7%
56%
35%
9%
60%
30%
10%
49%
44%
7%
65%
25%
11%
57%
34%
9%
46%
46%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,123)
(515)
(607)
(181)
(283)
(448)
(210)
(592)
(80)
(322)
(129)

California
6. Republican Candidate Support

Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
31%
13%
4%
52%
31%
14%
3%
51%
31%
13%
5%
47%
36%
14%
4%
55%
23%
18%
4%
52%
30%
13%
6%
50%
37%
11%
2%
51%
32%
13%
4%
50%
26%
19%
4%
56%
25%
10%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(500)
(459)
(107)
(184)
(391)
(277)
(748)
100%
(959)
(117)
(78)
(17)

California
7. Democratic Candidate Support

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
60%
25%
64%
21%
56%
28%
65%
17%
60%
31%
61%
23%
53%
28%
54%
27%
69%
19%
67%
22%
62%
28%
12%
11%
13%
15%
8%
12%
17%
15%
10%
9%
8%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
4%
2%
3%
2%
3%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,034)
(475)
(559)
(174)
(262)
(408)
(190)
(551)
(71)
(293)
(119)

California
8. Republican Selection of Nominees

Overall, do you feel the Republicans process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Gender
It has been fair
It has NOT been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
49%
52%
48%
50%
50%
57%
43%
41%
59%
49%
51%
57%
43%
55%
45%
29%
71%
48%
52%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(519)
(486)
(107)
(199)
(411)
(288)
(786)
100%
(1,005)
(123)
(79)
(17)

California
9. Republican Convention
As you may know, the Republican party requires a nominee to get 1,237 delegates in the primaries for the nomination. If Donald Trump does not get 1,237 but
Trump still has more delegates than Ted Cruz, and more delegates than John Kasich, what do you feel Republicans should do at the convention this summer?
Gender
Select Trump, because hell still have
more delegates than any other
candidate
Let Trump, Cruz and Kasich fight for
delegate support at the convention to
decide the winner
Turn to someone new who isnt
running right now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
44%
42%
46%
20%
48%
49%
44%
44%
45%
45%
50%
54%
47%
77%
41%
46%
52%
51%
49%
48%
6%
4%
7%
3%
11%
5%
4%
5%
6%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(519)
(490)
(111)
(198)
(411)
(289)
(793)
100%
(1,009)
(121)
(78)
(17)

California
10. Republican Nominee Feeling Donald Trump

Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
37%
26%
16%
20%
40%
29%
14%
17%
34%
24%
19%
23%
30%
23%
2%
45%
40%
20%
15%
25%
36%
29%
21%
14%
41%
28%
16%
15%
37%
26%
16%
21%
42%
22%
24%
12%
38%
25%
9%
27%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(517)
(489)
(111)
(196)
(411)
(288)
(788)
100%
(1,006)
(123)
(79)
(17)
10

California
11. Republican Nominee Feeling Ted Cruz

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
20%
37%
25%
18%
24%
41%
21%
14%
17%
33%
28%
22%
24%
35%
29%
12%
19%
35%
26%
19%
19%
36%
24%
21%
21%
41%
24%
15%
21%
36%
25%
18%
19%
45%
29%
7%
19%
30%
16%
35%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(516)
(489)
(111)
(199)
(410)
(287)
(789)
100%
(1,006)
(121)
(78)
(17)
11

California
12. Republican Nominee Feeling John Kasich

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
12%
38%
33%
17%
13%
37%
31%
19%
12%
39%
34%
15%
25%
43%
20%
12%
11%
39%
36%
14%
8%
35%
37%
20%
15%
40%
28%
16%
14%
40%
30%
17%
9%
29%
53%
10%
6%
36%
36%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(515)
(488)
(111)
(199)
(405)
(288)
(785)
100%
(1,003)
(123)
(78)
(17)
12

California
13. Republican Candidate Traits Electable in november

Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
49%
30%
20%
47%
30%
23%
52%
31%
17%
38%
28%
34%
43%
32%
25%
54%
32%
14%
51%
28%
21%
49%
29%
22%
49%
43%
9%
43%
30%
27%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(501)
(475)
(103)
(195)
(404)
(274)
(760)
100%
(975)
(123)
(76)
(17)
13

California
14. Republican Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
46%
30%
24%
46%
32%
22%
45%
29%
26%
30%
33%
36%
51%
32%
17%
46%
34%
20%
47%
23%
30%
44%
30%
26%
50%
37%
13%
47%
29%
23%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(495)
(471)
(107)
(191)
(387)
(281)
(751)
100%
(966)
(121)
(78)
(17)
14

California
15. Republican Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
57%
18%
25%
55%
17%
28%
58%
20%
22%
33%
20%
47%
54%
22%
23%
63%
18%
19%
58%
16%
27%
55%
18%
27%
63%
21%
15%
60%
19%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(499)
(478)
(100)
(198)
(395)
(284)
(759)
100%
(976)
(123)
(78)
(17)
15

California
16. Republican Candidate Traits Authentic

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
50%
27%
23%
51%
29%
21%
49%
24%
27%
43%
27%
30%
57%
23%
20%
49%
29%
22%
49%
25%
26%
48%
25%
27%
59%
32%
9%
52%
29%
19%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(500)
(469)
(107)
(195)
(386)
(280)
(755)
100%
(969)
(123)
(74)
(17)
16

California
17. Republican Candidate Traits Conservative

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
19%
66%
15%
17%
74%
9%
22%
58%
21%
15%
73%
12%
21%
69%
10%
19%
67%
15%
21%
60%
19%
17%
66%
17%
30%
61%
9%
21%
74%
5%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(501)
(480)
(103)
(198)
(395)
(285)
(765)
100%
(981)
(123)
(76)
(17)
17

California
18. Republican Candidate Traits Optimistic

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
47%
25%
28%
46%
27%
27%
48%
23%
30%
33%
13%
53%
47%
32%
20%
51%
25%
24%
46%
23%
31%
45%
24%
31%
53%
35%
12%
56%
18%
26%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(508)
(470)
(107)
(191)
(399)
(281)
(762)
100%
(978)
(123)
(77)
(17)
18

California
19. Republican Vote Reasons

If you had to pick one, which of these is most important in your vote right now:
Gender
Terrorism
Jobs and the economy
Immigration
Faith and values
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
46%
24%
12%
15%
51%
24%
10%
20%
41%
24%
15%
10%
60%
14%
16%
13%
52%
19%
16%
18%
46%
24%
12%
22%
38%
31%
9%
18%
46%
27%
9%
18%
47%
6%
29%
11%
46%
24%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(519)
(492)
(111)
(199)
(412)
(289)
(792)
100%
(1,011)
(123)
(79)
(17)
19

California
20. Republican Stop Terrorism

Do you agree or disagree with the following: We need a President who will do whatever it takes to stop terrorism, including things that might restrict some peoples
civil liberties
Gender
Agree
Disagree
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
67%
33%
63%
37%
71%
29%
47%
53%
56%
44%
67%
33%
82%
18%
68%
32%
65%
35%
58%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(516)
(486)
(110)
(199)
(409)
(285)
(785)
100%
(1,002)
(123)
(79)
(15)
20

California
21. Republican Same-sex Marriage

Do you think the Republican partys platform on same-sex marriage should:
Gender
Oppose same-sex marriages
Accept same-sex marriages
Not comment on same-sex marriage
either way
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
26%
31%
27%
28%
26%
19%
54%
29%
33%
32%
23%
31%
17%
27%
29%
45%
7%
24%
27%
44%
42%
46%
27%
38%
45%
52%
44%
47%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(519)
(487)
(106)
(199)
(412)
(288)
(787)
100%
(1,006)
(123)
(79)
(17)
21

California
22. Republican Candidate Actions

The next Republican President needs to:
Gender
Stand up to Democrats more
effectively
Negotiate with Democrats more
effectively
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
62%
64%
59%
46%
62%
64%
64%
60%
68%
61%
38%
36%
41%
54%
38%
36%
36%
40%
32%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(519)
(490)
(108)
(199)
(413)
(288)
(790)
100%
(1,008)
(123)
(79)
(17)
22

California
23. Trump General Election

If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee, how do you think he will approach the General election campaign this fall?
Gender
He will continue to be as outspoken
as he is now
He will be less outspoken than he is
now
He will become more outspoken than
he is now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
66%
64%
67%
56%
66%
71%
62%
68%
57%
61%
20%
25%
16%
20%
20%
17%
26%
20%
21%
16%
14%
11%
17%
24%
14%
12%
12%
12%
22%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(517)
(491)
(110)
(199)
(411)
(289)
(791)
100%
(1,009)
(123)
(79)
(16)
23

California
24. Republican Personal Changes Your own financial outlook

For you personally, do you feel each of these things is becoming...
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
11%
43%
46%
15%
41%
44%
6%
45%
49%
39%
41%
20%
17%
40%
43%
5%
43%
53%
4%
46%
50%
10%
44%
47%
14%
42%
44%
18%
31%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(516)
(492)
(111)
(196)
(413)
(288)
(789)
100%
(1,007)
(123)
(79)
(17)
24

California
25. Republican Personal Changes Your ability to practice your faith as you wish
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
8%
45%
47%
10%
40%
50%
5%
52%
43%
26%
43%
31%
11%
49%
40%
3%
43%
55%
5%
50%
45%
7%
49%
44%
16%
34%
50%
4%
43%
52%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(514)
(489)
(111)
(196)
(413)
(284)
(784)
100%
(1,003)
(123)
(79)
(17)
25

California
26. Republican Personal Changes Your freedom to say and do what you want
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
29%
64%
9%
27%
64%
4%
31%
65%
26%
38%
36%
5%
34%
61%
3%
26%
72%
6%
27%
67%
7%
28%
65%
8%
28%
65%
2%
36%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(519)
(493)
(111)
(199)
(413)
(289)
(793)
100%
(1,012)
(123)
(79)
(17)
26

California
27. Republican Personal Changes Your feeling of safety from terrorism

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
8%
26%
66%
10%
27%
62%
5%
25%
70%
29%
42%
29%
12%
32%
56%
3%
25%
73%
4%
19%
77%
8%
27%
66%
13%
15%
72%
1%
36%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(519)
(492)
(111)
(199)
(413)
(288)
(792)
100%
(1,011)
(123)
(79)
(17)
27

California
28. Democratic Vote Support

Do you think of your vote as mainly supporting...
Gender
An individual candidate for President
that you like
A larger movement that youre a part
of
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
39%
37%
40%
34%
39%
39%
44%
37%
44%
43%
36%
22%
39%
26%
36%
18%
41%
36%
30%
26%
35%
18%
43%
13%
43%
24%
39%
13%
42%
20%
37%
22%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,120)
(514)
(607)
(181)
(282)
(447)
(210)
(591)
(78)
(322)
(129)
28

California
29. Democrats Selection of Nominees

Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Gender
It has been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
70%
30%
68%
32%
73%
27%
65%
35%
65%
35%
73%
27%
76%
24%
68%
32%
82%
18%
76%
24%
59%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,115)
(514)
(600)
(180)
(277)
(447)
(209)
(591)
(79)
(317)
(128)
29

California
30. Democratic Superdelegates

As you may know, the Democratic party uses delegates that are chosen in primaries and caucuses, and also "superdelegates" who are party leaders and Democratic
elected officials. How much say do you feel these superdelegates should have in choosing the nominee?
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
None at all
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
14%
40%
26%
20%
15%
35%
25%
25%
12%
45%
26%
17%
11%
32%
31%
26%
16%
36%
31%
17%
13%
41%
24%
22%
13%
52%
19%
16%
10%
34%
31%
24%
30%
48%
15%
8%
14%
52%
20%
14%
18%
34%
20%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,123)
(517)
(607)
(181)
(284)
(448)
(210)
(592)
(80)
(324)
(128)
30

California
31. Democratic Candidate Traits Electable in november

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
66%
34%
66%
34%
66%
34%
55%
45%
61%
39%
67%
33%
80%
20%
64%
36%
84%
16%
70%
30%
52%
48%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,079)
(501)
(578)
(178)
(270)
(431)
(200)
(569)
(76)
(310)
(124)
31

California
32. Democratic Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
44%
56%
43%
57%
45%
55%
33%
67%
36%
64%
50%
50%
51%
49%
38%
62%
65%
35%
51%
49%
41%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,067)
(498)
(570)
(178)
(262)
(429)
(199)
(563)
(71)
(312)
(121)
32

California
33. Democratic Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
68%
32%
69%
31%
67%
33%
50%
50%
67%
33%
70%
30%
80%
20%
67%
33%
85%
15%
68%
32%
60%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(503)
(569)
(174)
(266)
(431)
(201)
(571)
(69)
(308)
(124)
33

California
34. Democratic Candidate Traits Authentic

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
37%
63%
35%
65%
38%
62%
35%
65%
31%
69%
39%
61%
43%
57%
28%
72%
53%
47%
54%
46%
28%
72%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,094)
(512)
(581)
(180)
(276)
(437)
(201)
(582)
(75)
(314)
(123)
34

California
35. Democratic Candidate Traits Specific about their policy ideas

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
62%
38%
64%
36%
60%
40%
52%
48%
57%
43%
66%
34%
70%
30%
62%
38%
77%
23%
62%
38%
53%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(503)
(569)
(180)
(262)
(430)
(200)
(572)
(71)
(307)
(122)
35

California
36. Democratic Candidate Traits Honest and trustworthy

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
62%
35%
65%
39%
61%
36%
64%
33%
67%
37%
63%
45%
55%
31%
69%
62%
38%
47%
53%
28%
72%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(498)
(575)
(178)
(261)
(433)
(201)
(569)
(73)
(310)
(121)
36

California
37. Sanders Critiques

Do you think Bernie Sanders has been too critical of Hillary Clinton, not critical enough, or has his approach been about right?
Gender
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
20%
50%
31%
25%
45%
29%
17%
54%
21%
33%
47%
26%
20%
54%
33%
20%
47%
36%
11%
53%
32%
18%
50%
31%
6%
63%
29%
26%
44%
23%
24%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,114)
(513)
(601)
(181)
(281)
(442)
(209)
(586)
(78)
(321)
(129)
37

California
38. Clinton Critiques

Do you think Hillary Clinton has been too critical of Bernie Sanders, not critical enough, or has her approach been about right?
Gender
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
26%
15%
59%
26%
15%
58%
26%
14%
59%
34%
11%
55%
32%
16%
53%
24%
16%
60%
18%
15%
67%
27%
14%
58%
20%
15%
66%
25%
15%
60%
32%
15%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,115)
(512)
(604)
(181)
(282)
(444)
(208)
(585)
(79)
(324)
(128)
38

California
39. Democratic Vote Reasons

Gender
Terrorism
Wall street reform
Rights and equality
Criminal justice and sentencing
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
12%
43%
17%
25%
3%
12%
41%
21%
23%
3%
13%
44%
13%
26%
4%
8%
39%
17%
27%
9%
6%
49%
16%
27%
2%
15%
43%
17%
23%
3%
18%
38%
20%
24%
1%
12%
40%
22%
24%
2%
13%
39%
8%
34%
6%
16%
45%
11%
23%
5%
1%
55%
18%
25%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,120)
(516)
(604)
(181)
(282)
(447)
(210)
(591)
(79)
(324)
(126)
39

California
40. Democratic Personal Changes Your own financial outlook

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
22%
52%
26%
26%
51%
23%
19%
53%
28%
28%
42%
30%
24%
50%
26%
21%
56%
24%
16%
58%
26%
20%
53%
27%
37%
52%
11%
22%
54%
24%
24%
46%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,122)
(516)
(606)
(181)
(285)
(447)
(210)
(590)
(80)
(324)
(129)
40

California
41. Democratic Personal Changes Your ability to practice your faith as you wish
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
20%
68%
11%
20%
67%
12%
20%
69%
11%
27%
64%
9%
13%
78%
9%
21%
66%
13%
23%
64%
13%
16%
70%
14%
37%
55%
8%
24%
69%
7%
19%
67%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,115)
(513)
(601)
(181)
(283)
(443)
(208)
(587)
(80)
(321)
(127)
41

California
42. Democratic Personal Changes Your freedom to say and do what you want
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
17%
56%
27%
18%
52%
30%
17%
59%
24%
22%
56%
22%
13%
57%
30%
18%
51%
31%
18%
64%
18%
12%
59%
29%
27%
62%
11%
25%
50%
25%
18%
52%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,119)
(516)
(603)
(181)
(285)
(443)
(210)
(590)
(80)
(321)
(129)
42

California
43. Democratic Personal Changes Your feeling of safety from terrorism

Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
16%
63%
21%
18%
66%
16%
14%
60%
26%
21%
61%
18%
12%
73%
15%
14%
62%
24%
21%
52%
27%
13%
65%
22%
29%
58%
13%
22%
59%
20%
8%
64%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,120)
(516)
(604)
(181)
(285)
(445)
(210)
(591)
(80)
(321)
(129)
43

California
44. Bill Clinton Involvement

Does Bill Clintons involvement in Hillary Clintons Presidential campaign make you...
Gender
More likely to support Hillary Clinton
Less likely to support Hillary Clinton
It doesnt make a difference to you
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
28%
13%
59%
27%
17%
56%
28%
10%
62%
27%
20%
53%
32%
9%
60%
30%
14%
56%
19%
13%
68%
23%
15%
62%
32%
6%
62%
37%
10%
53%
24%
20%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,121)
(516)
(605)
(181)
(283)
(447)
(210)
(590)
(80)
(324)
(128)
44

California
45. Democratic Candidate Better Job Improving race relations in America

Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
56%
44%
59%
41%
54%
46%
44%
56%
50%
50%
60%
40%
68%
32%
56%
44%
70%
30%
59%
41%
43%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,089)
(505)
(584)
(181)
(273)
(433)
(202)
(571)
(78)
(319)
(121)
45

California
46. Democratic Candidate Better Job Health care

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
57%
43%
58%
42%
56%
44%
48%
52%
53%
47%
59%
41%
65%
35%
50%
50%
77%
23%
66%
34%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(506)
(585)
(181)
(270)
(437)
(203)
(575)
(73)
(320)
(124)
46

California
47. Democratic Candidate Better Job Fixing income inequality

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
45%
55%
43%
57%
48%
52%
43%
57%
39%
61%
48%
52%
50%
50%
37%
63%
65%
35%
57%
43%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,094)
(504)
(590)
(180)
(273)
(438)
(202)
(574)
(80)
(319)
(121)
47

California
48. Immigration
Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the US?
Gender
They should be allowed to stay in the
US and eventually apply for
citizenship.
US legally, but not be allowed to apply
for citizenship.
They should be required to leave the
US.
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
52%
49%
55%
68%
55%
46%
48%
49%
66%
59%
48%
15%
15%
14%
17%
13%
15%
13%
13%
14%
17%
19%
33%
36%
31%
15%
32%
39%
39%
38%
21%
24%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(2,378)
(1,128)
(1,250)
(416)
(468)
(947)
(547)
(1,439)
(170)
(466)
(302)
48

California
49. Abortion
Which comes closest to your position?
Gender
Legal in all cases
Legal in most cases
Illegal in most cases
Illegal in all cases
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
32%
36%
25%
7%
28%
37%
28%
7%
35%
35%
22%
8%
42%
28%
18%
11%
30%
41%
20%
9%
31%
37%
26%
6%
27%
35%
31%
7%
33%
36%
25%
7%
38%
36%
24%
2%
28%
32%
26%
13%
30%
40%
23%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(2,380)
(1,123)
(1,256)
(416)
(470)
(949)
(544)
(1,434)
(171)
(475)
(301)
49

California Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
1012 Likely Republican Primary Voters

April 13-15, 2016
4.8%
1. Economy in State
Ideology
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
2%
26%
47%
21%
3%
1%
19%
49%
30%
1%
0%
23%
53%
19%
4%
5%
33%
41%
16%
5%
4%
19%
48%
28%
1%
1%
32%
46%
16%
5%
3%
25%
45%
26%
2%
3%
27%
46%
20%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,012)
(311)
(364)
(242)
(478)
(532)
(277)
(692)
Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
2%
26%
47%
21%
3%
4%
26%
42%
24%
4%
1%
26%
52%
19%
2%
3%
40%
40%
5%
12%
9%
26%
41%
25%
0%
1%
23%
48%
25%
3%
1%
24%
52%
20%
3%
3%
29%
47%
19%
3%
1%
17%
47%
28%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,012)
(519)
(493)
(111)
(199)
(413)
(289)
(710)
(191)

2. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the California Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference
31%
16%
49%
4%
48%
9%
40%
4%
31%
13%
49%
6%
14%
25%
57%
4%
43%
7%
46%
4%
20%
23%
51%
6%
37%
11%
48%
4%
27%
18%
50%
5%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,012)
(311)
(363)
(242)
(478)
(532)
(277)
(692)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference
31%
16%
49%
4%
32%
13%
51%
4%
29%
18%
47%
6%
34%
23%
39%
4%
28%
14%
50%
7%
34%
11%
50%
5%
27%
19%
50%
4%
30%
16%
49%
5%
30%
17%
49%
4%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,012)
(519)
(492)
(111)
(199)
(413)
(289)
(710)
(191)

3. Republican Candidate Support

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
51%
31%
13%
4%
58%
32%
8%
2%
48%
33%
15%
4%
50%
28%
14%
7%
60%
26%
12%
2%
44%
36%
14%
6%
54%
35%
10%
1%
50%
30%
14%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(959)
(300)
(337)
(231)
(456)
(502)
(265)
(656)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
51%
31%
13%
4%
52%
31%
14%
3%
51%
31%
13%
5%
47%
36%
14%
4%
55%
23%
18%
4%
52%
30%
13%
6%
50%
37%
11%
2%
47%
35%
13%
5%
60%
27%
11%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(959)
(500)
(459)
(107)
(184)
(391)
(277)
(672)
(183)

4. Republican Selection of Nominees

Overall, do you feel the Republicans process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Ideology
It has been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
51%
49%
57%
43%
49%
51%
46%
54%
55%
45%
46%
54%
48%
52%
52%
48%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,005)
(308)
(359)
(242)
(474)
(529)
(271)
(691)
Gender
It has been fair
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
51%
49%
52%
48%
50%
50%
57%
43%
41%
59%
49%
51%
57%
43%
53%
47%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,005)
(519)
(486)
(107)
(199)
(411)
(288)
(704)
(190)

5. Republican Convention
As you may know, the Republican party requires a nominee to get 1,237 delegates in the primaries for the nomination. If Donald Trump does not get 1,237 but
Trump still has more delegates than Ted Cruz, and more delegates than John Kasich, what do you feel Republicans should do at the convention this summer?
Ideology
candidate
decide the winner
running right now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
44%
39%
47%
49%
42%
46%
45%
44%
50%
58%
49%
44%
53%
48%
50%
50%
6%
3%
5%
7%
5%
6%
5%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,009)
(311)
(362)
(241)
(478)
(529)
(275)
(691)
Gender
candidate
decide the winner
running right now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
44%
42%
46%
20%
48%
49%
44%
43%
48%
50%
54%
47%
77%
41%
46%
52%
51%
47%
6%
4%
7%
3%
11%
5%
4%
6%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,009)
(519)
(490)
(111)
(198)
(411)
(289)
(707)
(191)

6. Republican Nominee Feeling Donald Trump

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
37%
26%
16%
20%
31%
31%
16%
21%
43%
20%
17%
20%
40%
22%
17%
21%
40%
28%
18%
14%
35%
24%
15%
25%
33%
31%
17%
19%
39%
25%
16%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,006)
(310)
(361)
(240)
(477)
(528)
(273)
(690)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
37%
26%
16%
20%
40%
29%
14%
17%
34%
24%
19%
23%
30%
23%
2%
45%
40%
20%
15%
25%
36%
29%
21%
14%
41%
28%
16%
15%
36%
26%
18%
20%
36%
28%
17%
19%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,006)
(517)
(489)
(111)
(196)
(411)
(288)
(704)
(191)

7. Republican Nominee Feeling Ted Cruz

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
20%
37%
25%
18%
42%
34%
19%
5%
16%
44%
24%
16%
5%
26%
35%
34%
34%
39%
18%
8%
8%
35%
31%
27%
29%
36%
22%
12%
17%
37%
26%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,006)
(309)
(362)
(239)
(476)
(529)
(275)
(688)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
20%
37%
25%
18%
24%
41%
21%
14%
17%
33%
28%
22%
24%
35%
29%
12%
19%
35%
26%
19%
19%
36%
24%
21%
21%
41%
24%
15%
20%
41%
24%
15%
18%
30%
29%
23%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,006)
(516)
(489)
(111)
(199)
(410)
(287)
(704)
(191)

8. Republican Nominee Feeling John Kasich

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
12%
38%
33%
17%
8%
32%
36%
24%
15%
33%
37%
15%
15%
48%
24%
13%
10%
28%
39%
23%
15%
47%
27%
11%
11%
42%
31%
17%
12%
38%
33%
17%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,003)
(308)
(364)
(236)
(475)
(526)
(275)
(684)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
12%
38%
33%
17%
13%
37%
31%
19%
12%
39%
34%
15%
25%
43%
20%
12%
11%
39%
36%
14%
8%
35%
37%
20%
15%
40%
28%
16%
14%
43%
30%
13%
9%
24%
40%
28%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,003)
(515)
(488)
(111)
(199)
(405)
(288)
(701)
(191)

9. Republican Candidate Traits Electable in november

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
49%
30%
20%
44%
44%
12%
47%
29%
24%
57%
14%
29%
45%
42%
13%
53%
20%
27%
50%
40%
10%
49%
26%
25%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(975)
(304)
(357)
(221)
(463)
(511)
(270)
(663)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
49%
30%
20%
47%
30%
23%
52%
31%
17%
38%
28%
34%
43%
32%
25%
54%
32%
14%
51%
28%
21%
48%
31%
21%
54%
29%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(975)
(501)
(475)
(103)
(195)
(404)
(274)
(679)
(186)

10. Republican Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
46%
30%
24%
38%
49%
13%
50%
27%
22%
46%
15%
38%
44%
45%
11%
48%
17%
36%
45%
37%
18%
46%
28%
26%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(966)
(300)
(353)
(226)
(465)
(500)
(256)
(668)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
46%
30%
24%
46%
32%
22%
45%
29%
26%
30%
33%
36%
51%
32%
17%
46%
34%
20%
47%
23%
30%
44%
31%
25%
51%
27%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(966)
(495)
(471)
(107)
(191)
(387)
(281)
(672)
(183)
10

11. Republican Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
57%
18%
25%
53%
33%
14%
59%
17%
24%
59%
6%
35%
57%
27%
15%
56%
10%
34%
49%
27%
25%
60%
14%
26%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(976)
(307)
(356)
(229)
(464)
(511)
(262)
(671)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
57%
18%
25%
55%
17%
28%
58%
20%
22%
33%
20%
47%
54%
22%
23%
63%
18%
19%
58%
16%
27%
56%
17%
27%
57%
20%
23%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(976)
(499)
(478)
(100)
(198)
(395)
(284)
(681)
(186)
11

12. Republican Candidate Traits Authentic

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
50%
27%
23%
44%
42%
15%
52%
27%
21%
58%
7%
35%
47%
41%
12%
52%
13%
35%
48%
35%
16%
50%
23%
27%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(969)
(300)
(353)
(230)
(466)
(502)
(257)
(671)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
50%
27%
23%
51%
29%
21%
49%
24%
27%
43%
27%
30%
57%
23%
20%
49%
29%
22%
49%
25%
26%
50%
25%
25%
51%
30%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(969)
(500)
(469)
(107)
(195)
(386)
(280)
(673)
(189)
12

13. Republican Candidate Traits Conservative

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
19%
66%
15%
19%
75%
6%
20%
67%
13%
19%
55%
25%
20%
74%
6%
19%
58%
23%
27%
61%
12%
16%
68%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(981)
(309)
(357)
(229)
(467)
(513)
(265)
(674)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
19%
66%
15%
17%
74%
9%
22%
58%
21%
15%
73%
12%
21%
69%
10%
19%
67%
15%
21%
60%
19%
18%
67%
15%
26%
63%
11%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(981)
(501)
(480)
(103)
(198)
(395)
(285)
(681)
(191)
13

14. Republican Candidate Traits Optimistic

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
47%
25%
28%
45%
41%
14%
46%
23%
31%
56%
6%
38%
47%
36%
17%
47%
15%
39%
43%
34%
23%
48%
21%
31%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(978)
(303)
(353)
(227)
(470)
(507)
(262)
(673)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
47%
25%
28%
46%
27%
27%
48%
23%
30%
33%
13%
53%
47%
32%
20%
51%
25%
24%
46%
23%
31%
46%
26%
28%
49%
21%
30%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(978)
(508)
(470)
(107)
(191)
(399)
(281)
(683)
(184)
14

15. Republican Vote Reasons

Ideology
Terrorism
Immigration
Faith and values
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
18%
46%
24%
12%
18%
36%
25%
20%
21%
48%
22%
10%
18%
47%
28%
7%
16%
44%
28%
12%
19%
49%
20%
12%
18%
41%
16%
26%
17%
49%
27%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,011)
(310)
(364)
(242)
(478)
(531)
(277)
(691)
Gender
Terrorism
Immigration
Faith and values
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
18%
46%
24%
12%
15%
51%
24%
10%
20%
41%
24%
15%
10%
60%
14%
16%
13%
52%
19%
16%
18%
46%
24%
12%
22%
38%
31%
9%
20%
44%
24%
13%
14%
47%
27%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,011)
(519)
(492)
(111)
(199)
(412)
(289)
(709)
(191)
15

16. Republican Stop Terrorism

Do you agree or disagree with the following: We need a President who will do whatever it takes to stop terrorism, including things that might restrict some peoples
civil liberties
Ideology
Agree
Disagree
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
67%
33%
65%
35%
66%
34%
74%
26%
65%
35%
69%
31%
68%
32%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,002)
(308)
(357)
(242)
(471)
(530)
(275)
(685)
Gender
Agree
Disagree
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
67%
33%
63%
37%
71%
29%
47%
53%
56%
44%
67%
33%
82%
18%
74%
26%
52%
48%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,002)
(516)
(486)
(110)
(199)
(409)
(285)
(706)
(188)
16

17. Republican Same-sex Marriage

Do you think the Republican partys platform on same-sex marriage should:
Ideology
either way
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
30%
26%
50%
9%
27%
19%
10%
50%
39%
16%
21%
36%
55%
12%
19%
32%
44%
41%
54%
40%
45%
43%
33%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,006)
(309)
(364)
(238)
(473)
(531)
(273)
(690)
Gender
either way
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
30%
26%
31%
27%
28%
26%
19%
54%
29%
33%
32%
23%
31%
17%
32%
26%
24%
21%
44%
42%
46%
27%
38%
45%
52%
42%
56%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,006)
(519)
(487)
(106)
(199)
(412)
(288)
(705)
(190)
17

18. Republican Candidate Actions

The next Republican President needs to:
Ideology
effectively
effectively
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
62%
81%
66%
39%
80%
45%
73%
56%
38%
19%
34%
61%
20%
55%
27%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,008)
(311)
(361)
(242)
(478)
(529)
(273)
(692)
Gender
effectively
effectively
Tea Party
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
62%
64%
59%
46%
62%
64%
64%
58%
72%
38%
36%
41%
54%
38%
36%
36%
42%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,008)
(519)
(490)
(108)
(199)
(413)
(288)
(707)
(191)
18

19. Trump General Election

If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee, how do you think he will approach the General election campaign this fall?
Ideology
as he is now
now
he is now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
66%
69%
67%
63%
68%
64%
65%
66%
20%
17%
20%
21%
23%
19%
21%
20%
14%
14%
13%
16%
9%
18%
13%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,009)
(309)
(363)
(242)
(476)
(531)
(276)
(690)
Gender
as he is now
now
he is now
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
66%
64%
67%
56%
66%
71%
62%
65%
68%
20%
25%
16%
20%
20%
17%
26%
21%
17%
14%
11%
17%
24%
14%
12%
12%
14%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,009)
(517)
(491)
(110)
(199)
(411)
(289)
(708)
(190)
19

20. Republican Personal Changes Your own financial outlook

Ideology
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
11%
43%
46%
9%
41%
50%
9%
41%
50%
16%
47%
37%
10%
38%
52%
11%
47%
41%
8%
38%
54%
12%
45%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,007)
(308)
(363)
(242)
(475)
(531)
(273)
(691)
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
11%
43%
46%
15%
41%
44%
6%
45%
49%
39%
41%
20%
17%
40%
43%
5%
43%
53%
4%
46%
50%
12%
48%
40%
8%
30%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,007)
(516)
(492)
(111)
(196)
(413)
(288)
(706)
(191)
20

21. Republican Personal Changes Your ability to practice your faith as you wish
Ideology
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
8%
45%
47%
7%
27%
66%
6%
46%
48%
9%
61%
30%
9%
31%
61%
6%
60%
34%
5%
33%
62%
9%
51%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,003)
(308)
(361)
(239)
(473)
(529)
(273)
(687)
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
8%
45%
47%
10%
40%
50%
5%
52%
43%
26%
43%
31%
11%
49%
40%
3%
43%
55%
5%
50%
45%
9%
48%
42%
3%
37%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,003)
(514)
(489)
(111)
(196)
(413)
(284)
(704)
(188)
21

22. Republican Personal Changes Your freedom to say and do what you want
Ideology
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
7%
29%
64%
6%
16%
79%
6%
25%
69%
9%
40%
51%
7%
18%
75%
6%
39%
54%
5%
26%
69%
7%
31%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,012)
(311)
(364)
(242)
(478)
(532)
(277)
(692)
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
7%
29%
64%
9%
27%
64%
4%
31%
65%
26%
38%
36%
5%
34%
61%
3%
26%
72%
6%
27%
67%
8%
34%
58%
2%
16%
82%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,012)
(519)
(493)
(111)
(199)
(413)
(289)
(710)
(191)
22

23. Republican Personal Changes Your feeling of safety from terrorism

Ideology
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
8%
26%
66%
7%
13%
81%
3%
24%
72%
12%
31%
57%
10%
15%
75%
6%
36%
58%
4%
27%
70%
10%
27%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,011)
(311)
(363)
(242)
(478)
(532)
(277)
(691)
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
8%
26%
66%
10%
27%
62%
5%
25%
70%
29%
42%
29%
12%
32%
56%
3%
25%
73%
4%
19%
77%
9%
25%
66%
2%
29%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,011)
(519)
(492)
(111)
(199)
(413)
(288)
(709)
(191)
23

24. Immigration
Ideology
citizenship.
for citizenship.
US.
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
22%
14%
16%
32%
14%
29%
27%
21%
18%
17%
20%
15%
15%
20%
17%
17%
60%
69%
63%
53%
70%
51%
57%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(995)
(308)
(354)
(242)
(470)
(524)
(268)
(691)
Gender
citizenship.
for citizenship.
US.
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
22%
21%
23%
32%
24%
18%
23%
24%
21%
18%
21%
14%
36%
11%
14%
20%
18%
15%
60%
58%
63%
32%
65%
68%
57%
59%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(995)
(513)
(482)
(108)
(199)
(402)
(286)
(702)
(183)
24

25. Abortion
Ideology
Legal in all cases
Legal in most cases
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
8%
38%
41%
13%
2%
14%
57%
27%
10%
35%
47%
8%
13%
61%
22%
5%
4%
32%
47%
17%
12%
44%
36%
8%
5%
20%
47%
28%
10%
45%
38%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,002)
(310)
(357)
(240)
(471)
(530)
(276)
(687)
Gender
Legal in all cases
Legal in most cases
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
8%
38%
41%
13%
6%
41%
44%
9%
11%
35%
38%
16%
0%
38%
36%
26%
14%
43%
27%
16%
11%
39%
41%
9%
4%
33%
53%
9%
9%
38%
39%
13%
4%
34%
49%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,002)
(511)
(491)
(111)
(199)
(408)
(284)
(702)
(191)
25

California Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
1124 Likely Democratic Primary Voters

April 13-15, 2016
4.5%
1. Economy in State
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
14%
58%
17%
5%
5%
13%
59%
19%
2%
7%
14%
69%
12%
1%
3%
13%
55%
18%
7%
6%
13%
61%
16%
5%
6%
24%
58%
12%
4%
3%
16%
53%
22%
4%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,124)
(216)
(348)
(356)
(721)
(80)
(324)
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
14%
58%
17%
5%
5%
22%
59%
11%
5%
4%
8%
58%
23%
5%
6%
10%
51%
27%
5%
6%
13%
55%
16%
8%
7%
15%
63%
15%
3%
4%
19%
59%
16%
3%
3%
16%
60%
15%
4%
5%
13%
50%
28%
4%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,124)
(517)
(607)
(181)
(285)
(448)
(210)
(888)
(167)

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the California Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
52%
40%
8%
41%
54%
4%
53%
42%
5%
58%
35%
8%
49%
44%
7%
65%
25%
11%
57%
34%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,123)
(216)
(347)
(356)
(721)
(80)
(322)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
52%
40%
8%
53%
39%
8%
51%
41%
8%
41%
55%
4%
47%
45%
7%
56%
35%
9%
60%
30%
10%
58%
36%
6%
32%
56%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,123)
(515)
(607)
(181)
(283)
(448)
(210)
(887)
(167)

3. Democratic Candidate Support

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
60%
25%
73%
19%
55%
31%
50%
28%
56%
27%
69%
19%
67%
22%
12%
7%
13%
16%
14%
10%
9%
3%
0%
1%
5%
3%
2%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,034)
(206)
(328)
(328)
(670)
(71)
(293)

change
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
change
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
60%
25%
64%
21%
56%
28%
65%
17%
60%
31%
61%
23%
53%
28%
61%
26%
53%
20%
12%
11%
13%
15%
8%
12%
17%
11%
19%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
4%
2%
2%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,034)
(475)
(559)
(174)
(262)
(408)
(190)
(833)
(148)

4. Democratic Vote Support

Do you think of your vote as mainly supporting...
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
39%
33%
36%
42%
37%
44%
43%
22%
39%
26%
41%
24%
40%
20%
38%
24%
39%
13%
42%
20%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,120)
(216)
(347)
(353)
(720)
(78)
(322)

that you like
of
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
that you like
of
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
39%
37%
40%
34%
39%
39%
44%
41%
33%
22%
39%
26%
36%
18%
41%
36%
30%
26%
35%
18%
43%
13%
43%
22%
38%
27%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,120)
(514)
(607)
(181)
(282)
(447)
(210)
(887)
(167)

5. Democrats Selection of Nominees

Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
70%
30%
62%
38%
73%
27%
75%
25%
67%
33%
82%
18%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,115)
(215)
(346)
(350)
(718)
(79)
(317)
It has been fair

Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
It has been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
70%
30%
68%
32%
73%
27%
65%
35%
65%
35%
73%
27%
76%
24%
74%
26%
61%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,115)
(514)
(600)
(180)
(277)
(447)
(209)
(881)
(167)

6. Democratic Superdelegates
As you may know, the Democratic party uses delegates that are chosen in primaries and caucuses, and also "superdelegates" who are party leaders and Democratic
elected officials. How much say do you feel these superdelegates should have in choosing the nominee?
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
14%
40%
26%
20%
8%
38%
23%
31%
13%
42%
29%
16%
10%
43%
31%
16%
12%
34%
29%
25%
30%
48%
15%
8%
14%
52%
20%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,123)
(216)
(347)
(356)
(720)
(80)
(324)
A lot
Some
Not much
None at all
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
None at all
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
14%
40%
26%
20%
15%
35%
25%
25%
12%
45%
26%
17%
11%
32%
31%
26%
16%
36%
31%
17%
13%
41%
24%
22%
13%
52%
19%
16%
16%
43%
25%
17%
6%
36%
34%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,123)
(517)
(607)
(181)
(284)
(448)
(210)
(888)
(167)

7. Democratic Candidate Traits Electable in november

Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
66%
34%
57%
43%
66%
34%
72%
28%
62%
38%
84%
16%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,079)
(212)
(337)
(345)
(693)
(76)
(310)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
66%
34%
66%
34%
66%
34%
55%
45%
61%
39%
67%
33%
80%
20%
70%
30%
58%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,079)
(501)
(578)
(178)
(270)
(431)
(200)
(860)
(160)

8. Democratic Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
44%
56%
30%
70%
42%
58%
48%
52%
38%
62%
65%
35%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,067)
(215)
(337)
(333)
(684)
(71)
(312)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
44%
56%
43%
57%
45%
55%
33%
67%
36%
64%
50%
50%
51%
49%
49%
51%
27%
73%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,067)
(498)
(570)
(178)
(262)
(429)
(199)
(851)
(159)

9. Democratic Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
68%
32%
62%
38%
70%
30%
69%
31%
66%
34%
85%
15%
68%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(215)
(333)
(343)
(695)
(69)
(308)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
68%
32%
69%
31%
67%
33%
50%
50%
67%
33%
70%
30%
80%
20%
72%
28%
58%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(503)
(569)
(174)
(266)
(431)
(201)
(855)
(160)

10. Democratic Candidate Traits Authentic

Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
37%
63%
23%
77%
31%
69%
41%
59%
28%
72%
53%
47%
54%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,094)
(215)
(337)
(345)
(704)
(75)
(314)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
37%
63%
35%
65%
38%
62%
35%
65%
31%
69%
39%
61%
43%
57%
42%
58%
21%
79%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,094)
(512)
(581)
(180)
(276)
(437)
(201)
(870)
(161)
10

11. Democratic Candidate Traits Specific about their policy ideas

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
62%
38%
55%
45%
61%
39%
68%
32%
60%
40%
77%
23%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(214)
(335)
(344)
(694)
(71)
(307)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
62%
38%
64%
36%
60%
40%
52%
48%
57%
43%
66%
34%
70%
30%
65%
35%
53%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(503)
(569)
(180)
(262)
(430)
(200)
(854)
(161)
11

12. Democratic Candidate Traits Honest and trustworthy

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
38%
62%
31%
69%
30%
70%
42%
58%
31%
69%
62%
38%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(215)
(338)
(341)
(689)
(73)
(310)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
38%
62%
35%
65%
39%
61%
36%
64%
33%
67%
37%
63%
45%
55%
41%
59%
27%
73%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(498)
(575)
(178)
(261)
(433)
(201)
(854)
(159)
12

13. Sanders Critiques

Do you think Bernie Sanders has been too critical of Hillary Clinton, not critical enough, or has his approach been about right?
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
30%
20%
50%
36%
20%
44%
28%
17%
55%
27%
19%
54%
30%
19%
51%
31%
6%
63%
29%
26%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,114)
(216)
(345)
(351)
(715)
(78)
(321)
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
30%
20%
50%
31%
25%
45%
29%
17%
54%
21%
33%
47%
26%
20%
54%
33%
20%
47%
36%
11%
53%
34%
17%
49%
17%
28%
55%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,114)
(513)
(601)
(181)
(281)
(442)
(209)
(881)
(164)
13

14. Clinton Critiques

Do you think Hillary Clinton has been too critical of Bernie Sanders, not critical enough, or has her approach been about right?
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
26%
15%
59%
34%
13%
53%
23%
14%
62%
20%
15%
65%
28%
15%
57%
20%
15%
66%
25%
15%
60%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,115)
(216)
(344)
(352)
(713)
(79)
(324)
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
26%
15%
59%
26%
15%
58%
26%
14%
59%
34%
11%
55%
32%
16%
53%
24%
16%
60%
18%
15%
67%
25%
15%
60%
30%
11%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,115)
(512)
(604)
(181)
(282)
(444)
(208)
(881)
(167)
14

15. Democratic Vote Reasons

Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
12%
43%
17%
25%
3%
2%
29%
22%
43%
3%
8%
45%
16%
29%
2%
16%
50%
22%
10%
2%
10%
43%
21%
24%
2%
13%
39%
8%
34%
6%
16%
45%
11%
23%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,120)
(215)
(347)
(353)
(717)
(79)
(324)
Terrorism
Wall street reform
Rights and equality
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Terrorism
Wall street reform
Rights and equality
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
12%
43%
17%
25%
3%
12%
41%
21%
23%
3%
13%
44%
13%
26%
4%
8%
39%
17%
27%
9%
6%
49%
16%
27%
2%
15%
43%
17%
23%
3%
18%
38%
20%
24%
1%
13%
44%
15%
25%
3%
5%
42%
29%
24%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,120)
(516)
(604)
(181)
(282)
(447)
(210)
(885)
(167)
15

16. Democratic Personal Changes Your own financial outlook

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
22%
52%
26%
21%
50%
28%
22%
57%
21%
19%
52%
29%
20%
52%
28%
37%
52%
11%
22%
54%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,122)
(216)
(347)
(354)
(719)
(80)
(324)
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
22%
52%
26%
26%
51%
23%
19%
53%
28%
28%
42%
30%
24%
50%
26%
21%
56%
24%
16%
58%
26%
23%
55%
22%
19%
46%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,122)
(516)
(606)
(181)
(285)
(447)
(210)
(887)
(167)
16

17. Democratic Personal Changes Your ability to practice your faith as you wish
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
20%
68%
11%
15%
74%
11%
15%
76%
9%
24%
67%
9%
17%
70%
14%
37%
55%
8%
24%
69%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,115)
(214)
(342)
(354)
(714)
(80)
(321)
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
20%
68%
11%
20%
67%
12%
20%
69%
11%
27%
64%
9%
13%
78%
9%
21%
66%
13%
23%
64%
13%
19%
72%
9%
25%
61%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,115)
(513)
(601)
(181)
(283)
(443)
(208)
(882)
(164)
17

18. Democratic Personal Changes Your freedom to say and do what you want
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
17%
56%
27%
13%
57%
30%
12%
58%
30%
18%
61%
21%
13%
58%
29%
27%
62%
11%
25%
50%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,119)
(215)
(345)
(355)
(718)
(80)
(321)
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
17%
56%
27%
18%
52%
30%
17%
59%
24%
22%
56%
22%
13%
57%
30%
18%
51%
31%
18%
64%
18%
17%
59%
24%
17%
54%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,119)
(516)
(603)
(181)
(285)
(443)
(210)
(883)
(167)
18

19. Democratic Personal Changes Your feeling of safety from terrorism

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
16%
63%
21%
16%
74%
10%
13%
69%
19%
17%
57%
26%
12%
65%
23%
29%
58%
13%
22%
59%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,120)
(216)
(345)
(355)
(720)
(80)
(321)
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
More secure
Staying the same
Less secure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
16%
63%
21%
18%
66%
16%
14%
60%
26%
21%
61%
18%
12%
73%
15%
14%
62%
24%
21%
52%
27%
16%
63%
20%
15%
65%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,120)
(516)
(604)
(181)
(285)
(445)
(210)
(885)
(167)
19

20. Bill Clinton Involvement

Does Bill Clintons involvement in Hillary Clintons Presidential campaign make you...
Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
28%
13%
59%
16%
16%
67%
31%
9%
60%
24%
15%
61%
23%
16%
61%
32%
6%
62%
37%
10%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,121)
(215)
(348)
(354)
(718)
(80)
(324)

Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
28%
13%
59%
27%
17%
56%
28%
10%
62%
27%
20%
53%
32%
9%
60%
30%
14%
56%
19%
13%
68%
32%
9%
59%
14%
26%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,121)
(516)
(605)
(181)
(283)
(447)
(210)
(886)
(167)
20

21. Democratic Candidate Better Job Improving race relations in America

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
56%
44%
51%
49%
58%
42%
60%
40%
54%
46%
70%
30%
59%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,089)
(212)
(339)
(348)
(692)
(78)
(319)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
56%
44%
59%
41%
54%
46%
44%
56%
50%
50%
60%
40%
68%
32%
61%
39%
43%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,089)
(505)
(584)
(181)
(273)
(433)
(202)
(874)
(159)
21

22. Democratic Candidate Better Job Health care

Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
57%
43%
46%
54%
59%
41%
61%
39%
50%
50%
77%
23%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(216)
(340)
(349)
(698)
(73)
(320)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
57%
43%
58%
42%
56%
44%
48%
52%
53%
47%
59%
41%
65%
35%
62%
38%
43%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(506)
(585)
(181)
(270)
(437)
(203)
(873)
(160)
22

23. Democratic Candidate Better Job Fixing income inequality

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
45%
55%
33%
67%
42%
58%
48%
52%
38%
62%
65%
35%
57%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,094)
(216)
(343)
(349)
(695)
(80)
(319)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
45%
55%
43%
57%
48%
52%
43%
57%
39%
61%
48%
52%
50%
50%
51%
49%
29%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,094)
(504)
(590)
(180)
(273)
(438)
(202)
(875)
(162)
23

24. Immigration
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
72%
94%
78%
59%
71%
76%
74%
15%
4%
11%
24%
15%
13%
16%
13%
2%
11%
17%
14%
11%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,112)
(216)
(341)
(351)
(713)
(79)
(321)

citizenship.
for citizenship.
US.
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
citizenship.
for citizenship.
US.
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
72%
70%
73%
80%
76%
61%
82%
75%
61%
15%
16%
14%
13%
16%
20%
8%
14%
24%
13%
13%
13%
7%
9%
19%
10%
10%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,112)
(511)
(601)
(181)
(279)
(445)
(207)
(880)
(164)
24

25. Abortion
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
45%
38%
11%
6%
68%
30%
2%
1%
48%
44%
4%
3%
38%
41%
20%
1%
49%
37%
9%
4%
38%
46%
15%
0%
37%
36%
17%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,121)
(215)
(348)
(354)
(719)
(80)
(322)
Legal in all cases

Legal in most cases
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Legal in all cases
Legal in most cases
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
45%
38%
11%
6%
46%
38%
11%
5%
43%
38%
13%
6%
54%
26%
11%
9%
44%
40%
11%
5%
43%
37%
15%
6%
41%
48%
8%
3%
44%
39%
12%
6%
49%
36%
13%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,121)
(514)
(606)
(181)
(285)
(445)
(210)
(886)
(167)
25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: California, April 17, 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: California, April 17, 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

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