CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Michigan, March 2016

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Michigan
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
1415 Registered Voters

March 2-4, 2016
4.1%
1. Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Very interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Somewhat interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Not too interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Michigan?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .69%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

Michigan
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .55%

Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%
6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
7. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

Michigan
8. As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
What big donors want

30%
47%
66%
48%
What regular people

want
70%
53%
34%
52%
9. Do you feel each of these candidates is...?

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Too
conservative
14%
38%
20%
15%
About right
42%
49%
46%
55%
Not
conservative
enough
44%
13%
34%
30%
10. If you heard a candidate described as an "establishment Republican" would it make you...?
More likely to vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%

Less likely to vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
It doesnt affect my vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Never heard the term . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
11. Do you think the US should try to put more or fewer trade restrictions on China?
More trade restrictions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%

Fewer trade restrictions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Keep trade as it is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

Michigan
12. Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Honest and Trustworthy

48%
51%
53%
74%
NOT Honest and

Trustworthy
52%
49%
47%
26%
13. Which of these candidates do you feel is...?

Most able to bring

needed change
Most prepared to be
president
Most able to win in
November
Most focused on
issues
Most focused on
personal attacks
Best understands the
middle class
Most likely to get
things done
Donald
Trump
Marco
Rubio
Ted
Cruz
John
Kasich
50%
11%
22%
17%
31%
10%
28%
30%
53%
19%
19%
8%
32%
11%
30%
27%
65%
22%
12%
1%
31%
17%
21%
31%
49%
11%
21%
18%
14. Which do you feel the Republican party needs to do more of right now...?
Reach out to include new groups and new people . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%

Pay more attention to its regular voters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%

Michigan
15. Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Taxes
Federal spending
and budgets
Immigration
Trade policy
Donald
Trump
42%
Marco
Rubio
12%
Ted
Cruz
26%
John
Kasich
20%
44%
52%
54%
6%
12%
9%
25%
23%
18%
25%
13%
19%
16. Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been
getting better or getting worse lately?
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Getting better
31%
18%
25%
39%
Getting worse
41%
49%
38%
14%
Staying about
the same
28%
33%
37%
47%
17. If Donald Trump wins more primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump
Do all they can to stop him from getting nominated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%

Get behind him and try to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
18. Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering
the United States, or not?
Should ban . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70%

Should not ban . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%

Michigan
19. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Understands
70%
84%
Doesnt understand
30%
16%
20. As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
What regular people

want
50%
82%

50%
18%
21. Who do you think would do a better job on...?

Improving race
relations in America
Gun policy
Being Commander in
Chief
Health care
Standing up to a
Republican Congress
Fixing income
inequality
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
54%
57%
46%
43%
61%
51%
39%
49%
56%
44%
39%
61%
22. Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Principled
49%
80%
Qualified
81%
59%
Honest
33%
69%

Michigan
23. When you vote in the Michigan primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance
to...
Support an historic candidacy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Get progressive things done . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Give the Democrats a good chance to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
24. Should the next president...?

Generally continue Barack Obamas policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%

Change to more progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%
Change to less progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
25. These days, do you feel the Democratic party represents you...?
Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21%

Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Not too well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Not well, but at least more than the Republicans do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
26. If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, how will you feel about voting
for [Other Candidate Name] in November?
Very enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

Somewhat enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Probably wont vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

Michigan
27. Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been
getting better or getting worse lately?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Getting better
38%
45%
Getting worse
19%
8%
Staying about
the same
43%
47%
28. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
29. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
30. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in a previous
recruitment wave. Earlier responses were used where available.

Michigan
31. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
32. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
33. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
34. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
35. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%

Michigan
1. Interest in Presidential Campaign
Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
56%
29%
15%
64%
22%
14%
48%
35%
17%
71%
18%
11%
46%
32%
22%
54%
29%
17%
59%
31%
10%
58%
28%
13%
41%
33%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,414)
(662)
(752)
(188)
(242)
(648)
(336)
(1,203)
(158)
(11)
(43)

Michigan
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Michigan?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
I already voted early in-person or by
mail (absentee)
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
69%
10%
5%
4%
3%
72%
9%
3%
4%
4%
67%
11%
7%
5%
2%
65%
19%
7%
4%
1%
65%
10%
7%
5%
10%
73%
11%
4%
5%
2%
68%
5%
5%
1%
1%
68%
10%
6%
3%
4%
70%
11%
3%
11%
0%
7%
1%
7%
1%
7%
2%
4%
0%
2%
1%
4%
1%
17%
2%
7%
2%
5%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,414)
(663)
(751)
(188)
(242)
(648)
(335)
(1,202)
(158)
(11)
(43)

Michigan
3. 2016 Primary Turnout

In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
44%
42%
5%
9%
39%
49%
5%
7%
50%
35%
5%
10%
59%
31%
4%
6%
44%
31%
8%
16%
42%
45%
6%
7%
42%
48%
3%
7%
38%
47%
6%
9%
93%
1%
2%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,405)
(663)
(743)
(188)
(242)
(648)
(326)
(1,194)
(158)
(11)
(43)

Michigan
4. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference
5%
24%
15%
16%
39%
0%
4%
24%
18%
14%
41%
0%
7%
25%
12%
18%
38%
0%
2%
34%
20%
32%
12%
0%
11%
19%
8%
21%
41%
0%
4%
26%
15%
11%
44%
0%
4%
22%
18%
15%
41%
1%
6%
25%
15%
16%
38%
0%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(637)
(330)
(308)
(62)
(119)
(305)
(151)
(602)
(2)
(4)
(30)

Michigan
5. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
55%
44%
1%
48%
52%
1%
60%
39%
1%
33%
65%
1%
42%
56%
2%
65%
35%
0%
70%
29%
1%
46%
53%
1%
80%
19%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(597)
(260)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(256)
(90)
(416)
(141)
(15)
(26)

Michigan
6. Republican Candidate Support

Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
28%
57%
25%
43%
32%
55%
27%
51%
27%
49%
28%
49%
29%
16%
12%
19%
12%
17%
19%
15%
6%
6%
6%
5%
5%
4%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(298)
(281)
100%
(580)
(118)
(293)
(122)
(545)
(47)
(2)
(4)
(29)

Michigan
7. Democratic Candidate Support

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
67%
20%
60%
26%
72%
15%
78%
11%
70%
23%
63%
21%
61%
23%
64%
24%
69%
14%
12%
14%
12%
11%
6%
16%
16%
12%
16%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(552)
(242)
(311)
(92)
(148)
(243)
(70)
(381)
(130)
(15)
(26)

Michigan
8. Republican Candidate Attention Donald Trump

As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Gender
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
70%
27%
73%
34%
66%
58%
42%
41%
59%
25%
75%
21%
79%
30%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(606)
(314)
(292)
(61)
(105)
(292)
(148)
(571)
(2)
(4)
(30)

Michigan
9. Republican Candidate Attention Ted Cruz

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
47%
53%
51%
49%
43%
57%
61%
39%
39%
61%
45%
55%
50%
50%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(598)
(316)
(282)
(62)
(93)
(297)
(146)
(572)
(2)
(4)
(20)

Michigan
10. Republican Candidate Attention Marco Rubio

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
66%
34%
75%
25%
57%
43%
42%
58%
49%
51%
74%
26%
72%
28%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(597)
(314)
(283)
(62)
(95)
(293)
(148)
(572)
(2)
(4)
(20)
10

Michigan
11. Republican Candidate Attention John Kasich

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
48%
52%
51%
49%
45%
55%
45%
55%
49%
51%
54%
46%
38%
62%
48%
52%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(585)
(312)
(273)
(61)
(85)
(292)
(148)
(559)
(2)
(4)
(20)
11

Michigan
12. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Donald Trump

Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
14%
42%
44%
16%
41%
43%
11%
44%
46%
47%
12%
40%
14%
40%
46%
8%
47%
45%
11%
46%
43%
14%
41%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(610)
(316)
(294)
(61)
(102)
(297)
(149)
(574)
(2)
(4)
(30)
12

Michigan
13. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Ted Cruz

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
49%
13%
45%
45%
10%
32%
53%
16%
56%
35%
8%
57%
40%
2%
35%
50%
16%
24%
59%
17%
38%
49%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(606)
(311)
(296)
(61)
(104)
(292)
(148)
(571)
(2)
(4)
(30)
13

Michigan
14. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Marco Rubio

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
20%
46%
34%
24%
43%
33%
15%
51%
34%
27%
65%
8%
20%
67%
13%
19%
40%
41%
17%
39%
44%
20%
45%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(604)
(312)
(292)
(61)
(100)
(294)
(148)
(569)
(2)
(4)
(30)
14

Michigan
15. Republican Candidate Conservative Level John Kasich

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
15%
55%
30%
15%
54%
31%
14%
56%
29%
17%
73%
9%
21%
58%
21%
17%
47%
37%
5%
64%
31%
14%
57%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(607)
(315)
(292)
(61)
(100)
(296)
(149)
(571)
(2)
(4)
(30)
15

Michigan
16. Establishment Republican Candidate

If you heard a candidate described as an "establishment Republican" would it make you...?
Gender
More likely to vote for them
Less likely to vote for them
It doesnt affect my vote
Never heard the term
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
10%
46%
36%
8%
11%
55%
32%
3%
9%
36%
40%
14%
20%
26%
32%
21%
21%
25%
44%
10%
6%
50%
37%
7%
6%
60%
29%
5%
9%
46%
37%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(630)
(326)
(304)
(62)
(112)
(304)
(151)
(594)
(2)
(4)
(30)
16

Michigan
17. Trade with China

Do you think the US should try to put more or fewer trade restrictions on China?
Gender
More trade restrictions
Fewer trade restrictions
Keep trade as it is
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
59%
7%
18%
16%
61%
8%
19%
11%
58%
5%
16%
22%
39%
10%
32%
19%
28%
14%
21%
37%
70%
5%
13%
12%
70%
2%
18%
9%
60%
7%
16%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(628)
(324)
(303)
(62)
(113)
(303)
(150)
(592)
(2)
(4)
(30)
17

Michigan
18. Republican Candidate Trust Donald Trump

Do you think each of these candidates is honest and trustworthy or not?
Gender
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
48%
52%
52%
48%
44%
56%
25%
75%
43%
57%
52%
48%
52%
48%
46%
54%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(619)
(323)
(296)
(62)
(106)
(302)
(148)
(583)
(2)
(4)
(30)
18

Michigan
19. Republican Candidate Trust Marco Rubio

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
49%
49%
51%
54%
46%
52%
48%
58%
42%
50%
50%
50%
50%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(618)
(320)
(298)
(62)
(105)
(302)
(149)
(582)
(2)
(4)
(30)
19

Michigan
20. Republican Candidate Trust Ted Cruz

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
53%
47%
51%
49%
56%
44%
41%
59%
55%
45%
55%
45%
53%
47%
52%
48%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(619)
(321)
(298)
(62)
(105)
(303)
(149)
(584)
(2)
(4)
(30)
20

Michigan
21. Republican Candidate Trust John Kasich

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
74%
26%
77%
23%
72%
28%
63%
37%
66%
34%
74%
26%
85%
15%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(613)
(321)
(293)
(62)
(101)
(301)
(150)
(577)
(2)
(4)
(30)
21

Michigan
22. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most able to bring needed change
Which of these candidates do you feel is...?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
50%
11%
22%
17%
52%
13%
15%
19%
47%
9%
28%
15%
26%
23%
11%
40%
50%
20%
28%
3%
55%
8%
21%
15%
48%
8%
22%
22%
48%
12%
22%
17%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(618)
(323)
(295)
(57)
(111)
(299)
(150)
(582)
(2)
(4)
(30)
22

Michigan
23. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most prepared to be president

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
31%
10%
28%
30%
27%
11%
26%
37%
36%
10%
31%
23%
27%
20%
14%
40%
39%
9%
28%
25%
31%
8%
33%
28%
27%
13%
25%
35%
30%
11%
28%
31%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(615)
(321)
(294)
(56)
(111)
(300)
(148)
(580)
(2)
(4)
(29)
23

Michigan
24. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most able to win in November
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
53%
19%
19%
8%
50%
21%
17%
12%
57%
17%
22%
4%
33%
30%
13%
24%
55%
28%
16%
1%
56%
16%
22%
6%
56%
13%
18%
14%
53%
19%
19%
9%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(614)
(320)
(294)
(57)
(111)
(297)
(149)
(578)
(2)
(4)
(30)
24

Michigan
25. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most focused on issues

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
32%
11%
30%
27%
31%
12%
26%
31%
32%
11%
34%
23%
6%
19%
26%
48%
39%
10%
26%
25%
35%
11%
32%
23%
30%
11%
29%
30%
30%
12%
30%
28%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(617)
(319)
(298)
(57)
(108)
(302)
(150)
(581)
(2)
(4)
(30)
25

Michigan
26. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most focused on personal attacks
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
65%
22%
12%
1%
62%
25%
13%
0%
68%
20%
11%
1%
79%
10%
10%
0%
69%
17%
14%
0%
63%
25%
11%
1%
58%
26%
15%
0%
65%
22%
12%
0%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(617)
(322)
(295)
(56)
(112)
(303)
(146)
(582)
(2)
(4)
(30)
26

Michigan
27. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Best understands the middle class
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
31%
17%
21%
31%
31%
14%
17%
39%
32%
20%
25%
23%
14%
38%
4%
44%
41%
20%
15%
23%
32%
15%
25%
27%
30%
9%
21%
40%
30%
18%
21%
31%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(613)
(320)
(293)
(57)
(110)
(299)
(147)
(578)
(2)
(4)
(30)
27

Michigan
28. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most likely to get things done
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
49%
11%
21%
18%
51%
10%
18%
21%
48%
13%
24%
15%
24%
21%
5%
50%
47%
21%
18%
14%
54%
7%
26%
13%
51%
11%
19%
20%
48%
12%
22%
18%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(616)
(321)
(296)
(52)
(112)
(302)
(150)
(581)
(2)
(4)
(30)
28

Michigan
29. Republican Party Priority

Which do you feel the Republican party needs to do more of right now...?
Gender
Reach out to include new groups and
new people
Pay more attention to its regular
voters
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
52%
54%
50%
58%
55%
49%
53%
51%
48%
46%
50%
42%
45%
51%
47%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(624)
(323)
(301)
(60)
(112)
(303)
(149)
(590)
(2)
(2)
(30)
29

Michigan
30. Republican Candidate Best Job Taxes

Which candidate would do the best job on...?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
42%
12%
26%
20%
40%
10%
26%
24%
44%
15%
26%
15%
29%
29%
11%
31%
46%
15%
26%
13%
45%
11%
29%
16%
38%
9%
24%
29%
41%
13%
25%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(617)
(326)
(291)
(52)
(115)
(299)
(150)
(582)
(2)
(4)
(30)
30

Michigan
31. Republican Candidate Best Job Federal spending and budgets

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
44%
6%
25%
25%
42%
5%
23%
29%
46%
8%
26%
20%
35%
5%
7%
54%
50%
10%
31%
10%
44%
6%
27%
23%
43%
5%
21%
31%
43%
7%
25%
25%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(614)
(323)
(292)
(52)
(115)
(297)
(150)
(579)
(2)
(4)
(30)
31

Michigan
32. Republican Candidate Best Job Immigration

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
52%
12%
23%
13%
55%
12%
17%
16%
47%
13%
30%
10%
28%
30%
7%
36%
49%
21%
27%
3%
55%
8%
25%
12%
56%
8%
22%
14%
51%
13%
23%
13%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(622)
(326)
(296)
(52)
(117)
(301)
(151)
(586)
(2)
(4)
(30)
32

Michigan
33. Republican Candidate Best Job Trade policy

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
54%
9%
18%
19%
56%
7%
16%
21%
52%
11%
21%
17%
20%
17%
14%
49%
58%
12%
19%
12%
59%
7%
19%
16%
54%
8%
17%
20%
53%
9%
18%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(619)
(326)
(293)
(52)
(115)
(300)
(151)
(583)
(2)
(4)
(30)
33

Michigan
34. Opinion of Republican Candidates Donald Trump

Compared to how you felt a few months ago, has your opinion of these candidates been getting better or getting worse lately?
Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Staying about the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
31%
41%
28%
34%
41%
25%
28%
41%
32%
12%
72%
16%
32%
38%
29%
34%
38%
28%
30%
37%
33%
29%
43%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(623)
(324)
(299)
(57)
(110)
(304)
(151)
(586)
(2)
(4)
(30)
34

Michigan
35. Opinion of Republican Candidates Marco Rubio

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
49%
33%
15%
57%
28%
21%
40%
39%
26%
50%
24%
18%
26%
55%
15%
52%
32%
20%
57%
23%
18%
49%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(620)
(322)
(297)
(56)
(110)
(304)
(149)
(583)
(2)
(4)
(30)
35

Michigan
36. Opinion of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
25%
38%
37%
24%
38%
37%
26%
38%
37%
14%
51%
34%
17%
34%
49%
27%
37%
35%
30%
38%
32%
25%
38%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(622)
(324)
(298)
(56)
(112)
(303)
(151)
(586)
(2)
(4)
(30)
36

Michigan
37. Opinion of Republican Candidates John Kasich

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
39%
14%
47%
43%
17%
40%
35%
10%
54%
64%
4%
32%
26%
19%
55%
35%
15%
50%
49%
12%
39%
40%
14%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(620)
(324)
(297)
(56)
(110)
(303)
(151)
(584)
(2)
(4)
(30)
37

Michigan
38. Republican Response to Trump

If Donald Trump wins more primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Gender
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
43%
39%
47%
71%
58%
32%
36%
43%
37%
20%
42%
19%
32%
21%
14%
15%
18%
24%
47%
22%
48%
16%
36%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(387)
(196)
(191)
(54)
(71)
(172)
(90)
(373)
(1)
(2)
(12)
38

Michigan
39. Ban Muslims from Entering US

Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering the United States, or not?
Gender
Should ban
Should not ban
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
70%
30%
68%
32%
71%
29%
50%
50%
53%
47%
77%
23%
74%
26%
69%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(622)
(324)
(298)
(62)
(108)
(302)
(151)
(587)
(2)
(4)
(30)
39

Michigan
40. Democratic Candidate Understanding Hillary Clinton

Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
70%
30%
66%
34%
73%
27%
57%
43%
64%
36%
75%
25%
82%
18%
66%
34%
87%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(258)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(254)
(89)
(415)
(139)
(15)
(26)
40

Michigan
41. Democratic Candidate Understanding Bernie Sanders

now?
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
84%
16%
86%
14%
83%
17%
91%
9%
92%
8%
81%
19%
71%
29%
86%
14%
78%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(583)
(251)
(333)
(98)
(152)
(243)
(89)
(414)
(129)
(15)
(26)
41

Michigan
42. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
50%
59%
41%
44%
56%
69%
31%
66%
34%
39%
61%
34%
66%
58%
42%
26%
74%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(584)
(251)
(334)
(98)
(152)
(246)
(88)
(411)
(133)
(15)
(26)
42

Michigan
43. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
82%
8%
92%
26%
74%
9%
91%
13%
87%
25%
75%
17%
83%
12%
88%
35%
65%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(587)
(257)
(330)
(98)
(152)
(249)
(88)
(413)
(134)
(15)
(25)
43

Michigan
44. Democratic Candidate Job Improving race relations in America

Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
54%
46%
46%
54%
60%
40%
34%
66%
40%
60%
63%
37%
76%
24%
47%
53%
75%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(591)
(254)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(251)
(89)
(415)
(135)
(15)
(26)
44

Michigan
45. Democratic Candidate Job Gun policy

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
57%
43%
44%
56%
67%
33%
39%
61%
49%
51%
65%
35%
70%
30%
48%
52%
85%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(258)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(254)
(89)
(415)
(139)
(15)
(26)
45

Michigan
46. Democratic Candidate Job Being Commander in Chief

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
61%
39%
51%
49%
68%
32%
54%
46%
46%
54%
66%
34%
79%
21%
56%
44%
79%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(593)
(258)
(335)
(98)
(152)
(252)
(90)
(416)
(137)
(15)
(26)
46

Michigan
47. Democratic Candidate Job Health care

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
49%
38%
62%
61%
39%
33%
67%
42%
58%
60%
40%
62%
38%
42%
58%
80%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(592)
(258)
(335)
(98)
(152)
(253)
(89)
(415)
(137)
(15)
(26)
47

Michigan
48. Democratic Candidate Job Standing up to a Republican Congress

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
56%
44%
42%
58%
66%
34%
41%
59%
44%
56%
63%
37%
71%
29%
48%
52%
83%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(258)
(336)
(98)
(152)
(255)
(88)
(416)
(138)
(15)
(26)
48

Michigan
49. Democratic Candidate Job Fixing income inequality

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
39%
61%
24%
76%
50%
50%
12%
88%
30%
70%
53%
47%
40%
60%
27%
73%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(257)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(254)
(89)
(415)
(139)
(15)
(26)
49

Michigan
50. Democratic Candidate Qualities Hillary Clinton

Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
49%
81%
33%
47%
78%
30%
50%
84%
35%
45%
81%
36%
34%
83%
19%
54%
78%
35%
63%
89%
48%
45%
81%
32%
55%
85%
30%
(597)
(260)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(256)
(90)
(416)
(141)
(15)
(26)
50

Michigan
51. Democratic Candidate Qualities Bernie Sanders

Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
80%
59%
69%
83%
63%
83%
77%
56%
59%
89%
76%
99%
81%
73%
67%
76%
47%
57%
77%
52%
75%
84%
68%
78%
68%
34%
45%
(597)
(260)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(256)
(90)
(416)
(141)
(15)
(26)
51

Michigan
52. Democratic Vote Reasons

When you vote in the Michigan primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
11%
34%
4%
12%
37%
10%
10%
31%
15%
6%
58%
1%
17%
51%
9%
8%
18%
3%
15%
20%
7%
12%
41%
8%
7%
11%
48%
47%
49%
21%
30%
65%
61%
40%
74%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(595)
(258)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(255)
(90)
(416)
(139)
(15)
(26)
52

Michigan
53. Next President Policies

Should the next president...?
Gender
Generally continue Barack Obamas
policies
Change to more progressive policies
than Barack Obama
Change to less progressive policies
than Barack Obama
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
31%
45%
26%
46%
40%
38%
34%
56%
58%
64%
53%
71%
54%
54%
59%
63%
44%
4%
6%
2%
3%
0%
7%
3%
4%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(591)
(258)
(333)
(98)
(152)
(251)
(89)
(415)
(135)
(15)
(26)
53

Michigan
54. Democratic Party Representation

These days, do you feel the Democratic party represents you...?
Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but at least more than the
Republicans do
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
21%
56%
6%
22%
56%
6%
20%
56%
6%
8%
79%
1%
15%
59%
4%
25%
51%
8%
33%
42%
9%
21%
59%
5%
21%
47%
11%
17%
16%
18%
12%
21%
16%
17%
15%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(595)
(258)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(255)
(90)
(416)
(139)
(15)
(26)
54

Michigan
55. Enthusiasm for Other Candidate

If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, how will you feel about voting for [Other Candidate Name] in November?
Gender
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote
for them
Probably wont vote for them
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
14%
28%
15%
35%
13%
22%
8%
28%
10%
34%
18%
26%
17%
20%
12%
31%
20%
20%
44%
14%
34%
16%
52%
13%
37%
27%
39%
17%
48%
8%
48%
15%
39%
18%
56%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(588)
(256)
(332)
(97)
(149)
(254)
(88)
(410)
(138)
(15)
(26)
55

Michigan
56. Opinion of Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
19%
43%
29%
22%
49%
45%
17%
38%
23%
29%
48%
31%
30%
40%
45%
12%
44%
44%
14%
42%
32%
23%
45%
56%
6%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(258)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(254)
(90)
(416)
(139)
(15)
(25)
56

Michigan
57. Opinion of Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders

Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
45%
8%
47%
49%
4%
47%
43%
11%
47%
38%
17%
45%
61%
6%
33%
43%
5%
52%
34%
11%
55%
49%
9%
42%
32%
6%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(590)
(258)
(333)
(98)
(152)
(250)
(89)
(415)
(135)
(15)
(26)
57

Michigan Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
638 Likely Republican Primary Voters

March 2-4, 2016
5.9%

Ideology
Very interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
65%
27%
7%
70%
21%
10%
60%
31%
8%
66%
29%
4%
68%
26%
7%
64%
29%
8%
61%
34%
4%
68%
22%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(638)
(197)
(198)
(163)
(269)
(369)
(260)
(352)
Gender
Very interesting
Not too interesting
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
65%
27%
7%
71%
23%
7%
60%
32%
8%
65%
29%
6%
51%
33%
16%
68%
27%
5%
71%
24%
5%
63%
30%
7%
69%
25%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(638)
(330)
(308)
(62)
(119)
(306)
(151)
(348)
(184)

2. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference
5%
24%
15%
16%
39%
0%
6%
39%
5%
17%
32%
0%
8%
26%
11%
14%
42%
0%
2%
10%
19%
24%
44%
1%
5%
39%
5%
13%
38%
0%
6%
14%
22%
18%
40%
0%
5%
29%
9%
22%
35%
0%
6%
21%
20%
11%
42%
0%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(637)
(197)
(198)
(163)
(269)
(369)
(260)
(352)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference
5%
24%
15%
16%
39%
0%
4%
24%
18%
14%
41%
0%
7%
25%
12%
18%
38%
0%
2%
34%
20%
32%
12%
0%
11%
19%
8%
21%
41%
0%
4%
26%
15%
11%
44%
0%
4%
22%
18%
15%
41%
1%
5%
23%
11%
19%
41%
0%
8%
22%
16%
12%
41%
0%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(637)
(330)
(308)
(62)
(119)
(305)
(151)
(348)
(184)

3. Republican Candidate Support

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
50%
28%
16%
6%
64%
24%
10%
3%
40%
32%
24%
4%
47%
35%
12%
6%
57%
27%
14%
2%
45%
29%
17%
9%
46%
28%
19%
7%
51%
29%
14%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(580)
(181)
(180)
(149)
(245)
(335)
(239)
(316)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
50%
28%
16%
6%
57%
25%
12%
6%
43%
32%
19%
6%
55%
27%
12%
5%
51%
27%
17%
5%
49%
28%
19%
4%
48%
29%
15%
8%
52%
29%
16%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(298)
(281)
100%
(580)
(118)
(293)
(122)
(321)
(171)
(47)

4. Republican Candidate Attention Donald Trump

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
30%
70%
27%
73%
24%
76%
29%
71%
21%
79%
36%
64%
33%
67%
29%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(606)
(184)
(190)
(160)
(250)
(357)
(244)
(336)
Gender
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
30%
70%
27%
73%
34%
66%
58%
42%
41%
59%
25%
75%
21%
79%
28%
72%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(606)
(314)
(292)
(61)
(105)
(292)
(148)
(324)
(178)

5. Republican Candidate Attention Ted Cruz

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
47%
53%
29%
71%
40%
60%
64%
36%
28%
72%
63%
37%
37%
63%
53%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(598)
(197)
(181)
(157)
(263)
(334)
(244)
(328)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
47%
53%
51%
49%
43%
57%
61%
39%
39%
61%
45%
55%
50%
50%
42%
58%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(598)
(316)
(282)
(62)
(93)
(297)
(146)
(314)
(181)

6. Republican Candidate Attention Marco Rubio

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
66%
34%
66%
34%
65%
35%
62%
38%
69%
31%
64%
36%
54%
46%
75%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(597)
(193)
(182)
(159)
(259)
(338)
(242)
(329)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
66%
34%
75%
25%
57%
43%
42%
58%
49%
51%
74%
26%
72%
28%
59%
41%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(597)
(314)
(283)
(62)
(95)
(293)
(148)
(312)
(180)

7. Republican Candidate Attention John Kasich

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
48%
52%
56%
44%
40%
60%
42%
58%
50%
50%
47%
53%
45%
55%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(585)
(187)
(178)
(156)
(253)
(332)
(233)
(327)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
48%
52%
51%
49%
45%
55%
45%
55%
49%
51%
54%
46%
38%
62%
47%
53%
45%
55%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(585)
(312)
(273)
(61)
(85)
(292)
(148)
(302)
(180)

8. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Donald Trump

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
14%
42%
44%
1%
37%
62%
4%
50%
46%
19%
46%
35%
0%
43%
56%
23%
41%
36%
8%
37%
55%
17%
45%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(610)
(185)
(192)
(161)
(252)
(357)
(243)
(341)
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
14%
42%
44%
16%
41%
43%
11%
44%
46%
47%
12%
40%
14%
40%
46%
8%
47%
45%
11%
46%
43%
9%
44%
46%
10%
43%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(610)
(316)
(294)
(61)
(102)
(297)
(149)
(324)
(181)

9. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Ted Cruz

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
38%
49%
13%
10%
75%
15%
28%
57%
14%
60%
27%
13%
12%
75%
12%
56%
30%
13%
27%
57%
16%
47%
44%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(606)
(186)
(188)
(160)
(250)
(356)
(243)
(338)
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
38%
49%
13%
45%
45%
10%
32%
53%
16%
56%
35%
8%
57%
40%
2%
35%
50%
16%
24%
59%
17%
34%
55%
11%
42%
43%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(606)
(311)
(296)
(61)
(104)
(292)
(148)
(320)
(181)

10. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Marco Rubio

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
20%
46%
34%
2%
44%
54%
11%
56%
33%
27%
51%
22%
4%
45%
51%
31%
48%
21%
9%
52%
39%
28%
43%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(604)
(184)
(188)
(159)
(250)
(354)
(237)
(341)
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
20%
46%
34%
24%
43%
33%
15%
51%
34%
27%
65%
8%
20%
67%
13%
19%
40%
41%
17%
39%
44%
16%
51%
33%
18%
47%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(604)
(312)
(292)
(61)
(100)
(294)
(148)
(319)
(180)
10

11. Republican Candidate Conservative Level John Kasich

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
15%
55%
30%
1%
44%
55%
5%
69%
26%
19%
66%
15%
2%
48%
50%
23%
61%
16%
4%
63%
33%
23%
50%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(607)
(184)
(191)
(159)
(250)
(357)
(241)
(340)
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
15%
55%
30%
15%
54%
31%
14%
56%
29%
17%
73%
9%
21%
58%
21%
17%
47%
37%
5%
64%
31%
14%
58%
29%
11%
59%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(607)
(315)
(292)
(61)
(100)
(296)
(149)
(321)
(181)
11

12. Establishment Republican Candidate

If you heard a candidate described as an "establishment Republican" would it make you...?
Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
10%
46%
36%
8%
8%
57%
31%
4%
3%
48%
41%
8%
4%
39%
43%
15%
3%
63%
31%
3%
15%
33%
40%
12%
6%
46%
38%
9%
14%
45%
34%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(630)
(196)
(198)
(163)
(268)
(362)
(260)
(344)
Gender
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
10%
46%
36%
8%
11%
55%
32%
3%
9%
36%
40%
14%
20%
26%
32%
21%
21%
25%
44%
10%
6%
50%
37%
7%
6%
60%
29%
5%
12%
41%
37%
10%
2%
54%
35%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(630)
(326)
(304)
(62)
(112)
(304)
(151)
(340)
(184)
12

13. Trade with China

Do you think the US should try to put more or fewer trade restrictions on China?
Ideology
Keep trade as it is
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
59%
7%
18%
16%
67%
7%
10%
16%
64%
3%
16%
17%
60%
11%
14%
15%
70%
4%
12%
14%
52%
9%
21%
18%
61%
8%
14%
18%
57%
6%
21%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(628)
(193)
(196)
(163)
(266)
(362)
(255)
(347)
Gender
Keep trade as it is
Dont know
Tea Party
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
59%
7%
18%
16%
61%
8%
19%
11%
58%
5%
16%
22%
39%
10%
32%
19%
28%
14%
21%
37%
70%
5%
13%
12%
70%
2%
18%
9%
60%
6%
17%
17%
62%
8%
13%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(628)
(324)
(303)
(62)
(113)
(303)
(150)
(340)
(184)
13

14. Republican Candidate Trust Donald Trump

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
48%
52%
45%
55%
54%
46%
52%
48%
54%
46%
43%
57%
46%
54%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(619)
(194)
(190)
(162)
(265)
(354)
(251)
(342)
Gender
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
48%
52%
52%
48%
44%
56%
25%
75%
43%
57%
52%
48%
52%
48%
51%
49%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(619)
(323)
(296)
(62)
(106)
(302)
(148)
(330)
(183)
14

15. Republican Candidate Trust Marco Rubio

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
51%
49%
48%
52%
50%
50%
50%
50%
46%
54%
55%
45%
57%
43%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(618)
(193)
(191)
(160)
(262)
(356)
(250)
(343)
Gender
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
51%
49%
49%
51%
54%
46%
52%
48%
58%
42%
50%
50%
50%
50%
57%
43%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(618)
(320)
(298)
(62)
(105)
(302)
(149)
(333)
(182)
15

16. Republican Candidate Trust Ted Cruz

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
53%
47%
68%
32%
59%
41%
41%
59%
71%
29%
40%
60%
64%
36%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(619)
(197)
(188)
(162)
(263)
(356)
(249)
(344)
Gender
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
53%
47%
51%
49%
56%
44%
41%
59%
55%
45%
55%
45%
53%
47%
60%
40%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(619)
(321)
(298)
(62)
(105)
(303)
(149)
(334)
(184)
16

17. Republican Candidate Trust John Kasich

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
74%
26%
69%
31%
78%
22%
77%
23%
74%
26%
75%
25%
75%
25%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(613)
(190)
(190)
(161)
(260)
(353)
(246)
(342)
Gender
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
74%
26%
77%
23%
72%
28%
63%
37%
66%
34%
74%
26%
85%
15%
82%
18%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(613)
(321)
(293)
(62)
(101)
(301)
(150)
(325)
(182)
17

18. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most able to bring needed change
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
50%
11%
22%
17%
45%
13%
36%
7%
58%
11%
20%
11%
53%
17%
12%
19%
54%
8%
32%
6%
47%
14%
14%
25%
46%
16%
26%
12%
52%
7%
19%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(618)
(195)
(189)
(160)
(263)
(355)
(251)
(340)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
50%
11%
22%
17%
52%
13%
15%
19%
47%
9%
28%
15%
26%
23%
11%
40%
50%
20%
28%
3%
55%
8%
21%
15%
48%
8%
22%
22%
51%
14%
21%
14%
55%
10%
21%
14%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(618)
(323)
(295)
(57)
(111)
(299)
(150)
(331)
(181)
18

19. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most prepared to be president

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
31%
10%
28%
30%
28%
11%
46%
15%
35%
9%
25%
30%
33%
11%
14%
42%
30%
4%
45%
21%
32%
15%
16%
37%
32%
14%
34%
20%
30%
8%
24%
37%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(615)
(195)
(187)
(160)
(265)
(349)
(250)
(339)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
31%
10%
28%
30%
27%
11%
26%
37%
36%
10%
31%
23%
27%
20%
14%
40%
39%
9%
28%
25%
31%
8%
33%
28%
27%
13%
25%
35%
36%
13%
31%
21%
29%
7%
26%
37%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(615)
(321)
(294)
(56)
(111)
(300)
(148)
(329)
(180)
19

20. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most able to win in November
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
53%
19%
19%
8%
49%
15%
33%
3%
65%
12%
17%
6%
57%
24%
11%
8%
54%
13%
30%
3%
53%
23%
11%
13%
51%
20%
25%
4%
55%
18%
15%
12%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(614)
(194)
(190)
(158)
(266)
(348)
(249)
(339)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
53%
19%
19%
8%
50%
21%
17%
12%
57%
17%
22%
4%
33%
30%
13%
24%
55%
28%
16%
1%
56%
16%
22%
6%
56%
13%
18%
14%
55%
19%
19%
6%
57%
18%
20%
6%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(614)
(320)
(294)
(57)
(111)
(297)
(149)
(330)
(178)
20

21. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most focused on issues

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
32%
11%
30%
27%
29%
14%
45%
12%
36%
8%
29%
27%
31%
12%
22%
35%
32%
8%
46%
13%
31%
14%
17%
38%
30%
13%
35%
23%
32%
11%
26%
31%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(617)
(193)
(191)
(160)
(263)
(354)
(248)
(343)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
32%
11%
30%
27%
31%
12%
26%
31%
32%
11%
34%
23%
6%
19%
26%
48%
39%
10%
26%
25%
35%
11%
32%
23%
30%
11%
29%
30%
34%
16%
32%
18%
32%
7%
27%
34%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(617)
(319)
(298)
(57)
(108)
(302)
(150)
(334)
(178)
21

22. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most focused on personal attacks
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
65%
22%
12%
1%
64%
24%
10%
1%
60%
29%
11%
0%
62%
22%
16%
1%
60%
30%
9%
0%
68%
17%
14%
1%
69%
21%
10%
0%
62%
24%
14%
1%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(617)
(195)
(187)
(162)
(264)
(353)
(251)
(340)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
65%
22%
12%
1%
62%
25%
13%
0%
68%
20%
11%
1%
79%
10%
10%
0%
69%
17%
14%
0%
63%
25%
11%
1%
58%
26%
15%
0%
62%
24%
13%
1%
65%
21%
14%
0%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(617)
(322)
(295)
(56)
(112)
(303)
(146)
(328)
(184)
22

23. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Best understands the middle class
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
31%
17%
21%
31%
31%
17%
37%
16%
34%
17%
16%
34%
31%
18%
13%
38%
31%
13%
34%
21%
32%
19%
10%
39%
27%
18%
27%
29%
33%
16%
16%
34%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(613)
(195)
(189)
(157)
(263)
(350)
(250)
(336)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
31%
17%
21%
31%
31%
14%
17%
39%
32%
20%
25%
23%
14%
38%
4%
44%
41%
20%
15%
23%
32%
15%
25%
27%
30%
9%
21%
40%
36%
18%
20%
25%
28%
15%
19%
37%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(613)
(320)
(293)
(57)
(110)
(299)
(147)
(330)
(178)
23

24. Republican Candidate Most Able To... Most likely to get things done
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
49%
11%
21%
18%
48%
12%
34%
6%
57%
10%
18%
16%
52%
18%
9%
21%
54%
7%
33%
7%
46%
15%
12%
27%
49%
16%
23%
13%
49%
7%
21%
23%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(616)
(197)
(190)
(159)
(265)
(351)
(249)
(341)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
49%
11%
21%
18%
51%
10%
18%
21%
48%
13%
24%
15%
24%
21%
5%
50%
47%
21%
18%
14%
54%
7%
26%
13%
51%
11%
19%
20%
50%
14%
23%
13%
53%
10%
19%
17%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(616)
(321)
(296)
(52)
(112)
(302)
(150)
(329)
(182)
24

25. Republican Party Priority

Which do you feel the Republican party needs to do more of right now...?
Ideology
new people
voters
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
52%
34%
56%
62%
42%
59%
51%
54%
48%
66%
44%
38%
58%
41%
49%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(624)
(195)
(196)
(162)
(266)
(359)
(254)
(344)
Gender
new people
voters
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
52%
54%
50%
58%
55%
49%
53%
53%
54%
48%
46%
50%
42%
45%
51%
47%
47%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(624)
(323)
(301)
(60)
(112)
(303)
(149)
(337)
(182)
25

26. Republican Candidate Best Job Taxes

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
42%
12%
26%
20%
37%
12%
42%
9%
47%
10%
24%
19%
46%
14%
15%
24%
42%
7%
41%
11%
42%
17%
15%
27%
40%
15%
30%
14%
43%
10%
23%
24%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(617)
(192)
(191)
(156)
(263)
(354)
(244)
(347)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
42%
12%
26%
20%
40%
10%
26%
24%
44%
15%
26%
15%
29%
29%
11%
31%
46%
15%
26%
13%
45%
11%
29%
16%
38%
9%
24%
29%
44%
13%
26%
17%
46%
9%
25%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(617)
(326)
(291)
(52)
(115)
(299)
(150)
(331)
(181)
26

27. Republican Candidate Best Job Federal spending and budgets

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
44%
6%
25%
25%
38%
11%
38%
13%
50%
6%
24%
20%
46%
5%
16%
33%
42%
5%
38%
15%
45%
7%
15%
32%
45%
9%
28%
18%
42%
5%
23%
30%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(614)
(191)
(191)
(155)
(263)
(352)
(242)
(347)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
44%
6%
25%
25%
42%
5%
23%
29%
46%
8%
26%
20%
35%
5%
7%
54%
50%
10%
31%
10%
44%
6%
27%
23%
43%
5%
21%
31%
47%
8%
24%
21%
44%
6%
25%
26%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(614)
(323)
(292)
(52)
(115)
(297)
(150)
(332)
(178)
27

28. Republican Candidate Best Job Immigration

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
52%
12%
23%
13%
48%
12%
37%
3%
64%
10%
20%
6%
52%
20%
14%
14%
55%
6%
37%
1%
49%
17%
13%
21%
51%
17%
25%
7%
52%
8%
23%
18%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(622)
(195)
(191)
(159)
(264)
(358)
(247)
(349)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
52%
12%
23%
13%
55%
12%
17%
16%
47%
13%
30%
10%
28%
30%
7%
36%
49%
21%
27%
3%
55%
8%
25%
12%
56%
8%
22%
14%
53%
13%
25%
9%
57%
15%
20%
9%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(622)
(326)
(296)
(52)
(117)
(301)
(151)
(334)
(182)
28

29. Republican Candidate Best Job Trade policy

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
54%
9%
18%
19%
51%
11%
30%
7%
61%
10%
16%
13%
60%
9%
8%
23%
56%
7%
31%
6%
53%
10%
8%
29%
52%
11%
23%
14%
55%
7%
15%
23%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(619)
(194)
(191)
(157)
(264)
(355)
(244)
(349)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
54%
9%
18%
19%
56%
7%
16%
21%
52%
11%
21%
17%
20%
17%
14%
49%
58%
12%
19%
12%
59%
7%
19%
16%
54%
8%
17%
20%
55%
12%
19%
14%
62%
6%
14%
18%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(619)
(326)
(293)
(52)
(115)
(300)
(151)
(333)
(181)
29

30. Opinion of Republican Candidates Donald Trump

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
31%
41%
28%
28%
40%
32%
32%
35%
33%
36%
40%
24%
32%
36%
32%
30%
45%
25%
26%
46%
29%
33%
39%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(623)
(195)
(192)
(162)
(266)
(357)
(252)
(344)
Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
31%
41%
28%
34%
41%
25%
28%
41%
32%
12%
72%
16%
32%
38%
29%
34%
38%
28%
30%
37%
33%
32%
39%
29%
33%
35%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(623)
(324)
(299)
(57)
(110)
(304)
(151)
(333)
(183)
30

31. Opinion of Republican Candidates Marco Rubio

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
18%
49%
33%
19%
47%
34%
19%
47%
35%
17%
51%
31%
16%
54%
30%
20%
45%
36%
25%
41%
34%
14%
54%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(620)
(195)
(189)
(163)
(265)
(355)
(252)
(341)
Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
18%
49%
33%
15%
57%
28%
21%
40%
39%
26%
50%
24%
18%
26%
55%
15%
52%
32%
20%
57%
23%
21%
43%
36%
14%
53%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(620)
(322)
(297)
(56)
(110)
(304)
(149)
(330)
(184)
31

32. Opinion of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
25%
38%
37%
39%
29%
31%
28%
37%
35%
13%
47%
40%
41%
27%
32%
13%
46%
41%
31%
31%
38%
22%
42%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(622)
(195)
(191)
(163)
(267)
(355)
(252)
(343)
Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
25%
38%
37%
24%
38%
37%
26%
38%
37%
14%
51%
34%
17%
34%
49%
27%
37%
35%
30%
38%
32%
30%
32%
38%
20%
40%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(622)
(324)
(298)
(56)
(112)
(303)
(151)
(334)
(182)
32

33. Opinion of Republican Candidates John Kasich

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
39%
14%
47%
27%
19%
54%
43%
12%
45%
47%
11%
42%
31%
16%
53%
45%
12%
42%
36%
14%
50%
42%
14%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(620)
(194)
(191)
(163)
(264)
(356)
(251)
(342)
Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
39%
14%
47%
43%
17%
40%
35%
10%
54%
64%
4%
32%
26%
19%
55%
35%
15%
50%
49%
12%
39%
35%
14%
51%
42%
13%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(620)
(324)
(297)
(56)
(110)
(303)
(151)
(331)
(184)
33

34. Republican Response to Trump

If Donald Trump wins more primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Ideology
getting nominated
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
43%
29%
36%
56%
24%
57%
47%
39%
37%
20%
54%
17%
45%
20%
21%
23%
58%
18%
21%
21%
35%
18%
39%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(387)
(134)
(116)
(92)
(167)
(221)
(169)
(205)
Gender
getting nominated
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
43%
39%
47%
71%
58%
32%
36%
38%
38%
37%
20%
42%
19%
32%
21%
14%
15%
18%
24%
47%
22%
48%
16%
38%
24%
43%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(387)
(196)
(191)
(54)
(71)
(172)
(90)
(206)
(109)
34

35. Ban Muslims from Entering US

Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering the United States, or not?
Ideology
Should ban
Should not ban
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
70%
30%
82%
18%
79%
21%
60%
40%
85%
15%
58%
42%
71%
29%
68%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(622)
(190)
(197)
(162)
(267)
(355)
(258)
(338)
Gender
Should ban
Should not ban
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
70%
30%
68%
32%
71%
29%
50%
50%
53%
47%
77%
23%
74%
26%
77%
23%
69%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(622)
(324)
(298)
(62)
(108)
(302)
(151)
(335)
(182)
35

Michigan Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
597 Likely Democratic Primary Voters

March 2-4, 2016
7.7%

Ideology
Very interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
61%
28%
11%
75%
21%
4%
59%
29%
13%
58%
31%
11%
65%
27%
8%
51%
33%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(597)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(415)
(141)
Gender
Very interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
61%
28%
11%
66%
25%
9%
57%
31%
12%
84%
14%
2%
59%
35%
5%
56%
28%
17%
52%
35%
13%
60%
31%
10%
76%
16%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(597)
(259)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(256)
(90)
(481)
(72)

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Michigan Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
55%
44%
1%
25%
75%
0%
54%
46%
0%
62%
38%
1%
46%
53%
1%
80%
19%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(597)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(416)
(141)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
55%
44%
1%
48%
52%
1%
60%
39%
1%
33%
65%
1%
42%
56%
2%
65%
35%
0%
70%
29%
1%
59%
40%
1%
30%
68%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(597)
(260)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(256)
(90)
(482)
(72)

3. Democratic Candidate Support

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
67%
20%
12%
0%
82%
11%
6%
1%
69%
20%
11%
0%
58%
30%
11%
1%
64%
24%
12%
1%
69%
14%
16%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(552)
(94)
(183)
(174)
(381)
(130)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
67%
20%
12%
0%
60%
26%
14%
0%
72%
15%
12%
1%
78%
11%
11%
0%
70%
23%
6%
1%
63%
21%
16%
1%
61%
23%
16%
0%
68%
19%
12%
0%
62%
30%
8%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(552)
(242)
(311)
(92)
(148)
(243)
(70)
(443)
(67)

4. Democratic Candidate Understanding Hillary Clinton

now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
70%
30%
57%
43%
79%
21%
70%
30%
66%
34%
87%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(415)
(139)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
70%
30%
66%
34%
73%
27%
57%
43%
64%
36%
75%
25%
82%
18%
77%
23%
37%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(258)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(254)
(89)
(481)
(72)

5. Democratic Candidate Understanding Bernie Sanders

now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
84%
16%
97%
3%
93%
7%
75%
25%
86%
14%
78%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(583)
(100)
(190)
(196)
(414)
(129)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
84%
16%
86%
14%
83%
17%
91%
9%
92%
8%
81%
19%
71%
29%
84%
16%
93%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(583)
(251)
(333)
(98)
(152)
(243)
(89)
(470)
(72)

6. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
50%
50%
72%
28%
52%
48%
48%
52%
58%
42%
26%
74%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(584)
(101)
(189)
(194)
(411)
(133)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
50%
50%
59%
41%
44%
56%
69%
31%
66%
34%
39%
61%
34%
66%
46%
54%
81%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(584)
(251)
(334)
(98)
(152)
(246)
(88)
(471)
(72)

7. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
18%
82%
6%
94%
8%
92%
23%
77%
12%
88%
35%
65%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(587)
(100)
(190)
(193)
(413)
(134)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
18%
82%
8%
92%
26%
74%
9%
91%
13%
87%
25%
75%
17%
83%
17%
83%
12%
88%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(587)
(257)
(330)
(98)
(152)
(249)
(88)
(474)
(72)

8. Democratic Candidate Job Improving race relations in America

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
54%
46%
33%
67%
53%
47%
57%
43%
47%
53%
75%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(591)
(101)
(190)
(193)
(415)
(135)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
54%
46%
46%
54%
60%
40%
34%
66%
40%
60%
63%
37%
76%
24%
57%
43%
35%
65%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(591)
(254)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(251)
(89)
(478)
(72)

9. Democratic Candidate Job Gun policy

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
57%
43%
44%
56%
55%
45%
63%
37%
48%
52%
85%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(415)
(139)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
57%
43%
44%
56%
67%
33%
39%
61%
49%
51%
65%
35%
70%
30%
61%
39%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(258)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(254)
(89)
(481)
(72)

10. Democratic Candidate Job Being Commander in Chief

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
61%
39%
49%
51%
63%
37%
65%
35%
56%
44%
79%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(593)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(416)
(137)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
61%
39%
51%
49%
68%
32%
54%
46%
46%
54%
66%
34%
79%
21%
65%
35%
45%
55%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(593)
(258)
(335)
(98)
(152)
(252)
(90)
(481)
(72)
10

11. Democratic Candidate Job Health care

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
51%
49%
27%
73%
52%
48%
55%
45%
42%
58%
80%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(592)
(99)
(190)
(195)
(415)
(137)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
51%
49%
38%
62%
61%
39%
33%
67%
42%
58%
60%
40%
62%
38%
55%
45%
30%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(592)
(258)
(335)
(98)
(152)
(253)
(89)
(479)
(72)
11

12. Democratic Candidate Job Standing up to a Republican Congress

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
56%
44%
30%
70%
57%
43%
59%
41%
48%
52%
83%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(100)
(190)
(196)
(416)
(138)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
56%
44%
42%
58%
66%
34%
41%
59%
44%
56%
63%
37%
71%
29%
60%
40%
37%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(258)
(336)
(98)
(152)
(255)
(88)
(480)
(72)
12

13. Democratic Candidate Job Fixing income inequality

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
39%
61%
17%
83%
27%
73%
45%
55%
27%
73%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(101)
(190)
(195)
(415)
(139)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
39%
61%
24%
76%
50%
50%
12%
88%
30%
70%
53%
47%
40%
60%
41%
59%
15%
85%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(257)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(254)
(89)
(481)
(71)
13

14. Democratic Candidate Qualities Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
49%
81%
33%
47%
85%
25%
53%
89%
39%
45%
80%
35%
45%
81%
32%
55%
85%
30%
(597)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(416)
(141)
Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
49%
81%
33%
47%
78%
30%
50%
84%
35%
45%
81%
36%
34%
83%
19%
54%
78%
35%
63%
89%
48%
52%
87%
34%
23%
61%
15%
(597)
(260)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(256)
(90)
(482)
(72)
14

15. Democratic Candidate Qualities Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
80%
59%
69%
90%
78%
81%
96%
68%
86%
70%
49%
65%
84%
68%
78%
68%
34%
45%
(597)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(416)
(141)
Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
80%
59%
69%
83%
63%
83%
77%
56%
59%
89%
76%
99%
81%
73%
67%
76%
47%
57%
77%
52%
75%
78%
57%
68%
95%
69%
85%
(597)
(260)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(256)
(90)
(482)
(72)
15

16. Democratic Vote Reasons

When you vote in the Michigan primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Ideology
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
7%
11%
34%
7%
13%
52%
7%
10%
41%
8%
12%
26%
7%
12%
41%
8%
7%
11%
48%
28%
43%
54%
40%
74%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(595)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(416)
(139)
Gender
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
7%
11%
34%
4%
12%
37%
10%
10%
31%
15%
6%
58%
1%
17%
51%
9%
8%
18%
3%
15%
20%
7%
11%
33%
3%
15%
41%
48%
47%
49%
21%
30%
65%
61%
50%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(595)
(258)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(255)
(90)
(482)
(72)
16

17. Next President Policies

Should the next president...?
Ideology
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
38%
58%
4%
20%
77%
3%
42%
58%
0%
42%
57%
2%
34%
63%
4%
56%
44%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(591)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(415)
(135)
Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
38%
58%
4%
31%
64%
6%
45%
53%
2%
26%
71%
3%
46%
54%
0%
40%
54%
7%
38%
59%
3%
41%
56%
4%
34%
63%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(591)
(258)
(333)
(98)
(152)
(251)
(89)
(477)
(72)
17

18. Democratic Party Representation

These days, do you feel the Democratic party represents you...?
Ideology
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the
Republicans
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
21%
56%
6%
19%
45%
4%
22%
65%
5%
24%
54%
9%
21%
59%
5%
21%
47%
11%
17%
32%
9%
13%
15%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(595)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(416)
(139)
Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the
Republicans
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
21%
56%
6%
22%
56%
6%
20%
56%
6%
8%
79%
1%
15%
59%
4%
25%
51%
8%
33%
42%
9%
24%
56%
5%
4%
56%
8%
17%
16%
18%
12%
21%
16%
17%
14%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(595)
(258)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(255)
(90)
(482)
(72)
18

19. Enthusiasm for Other Candidate

If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, how will you feel about voting for [Other Candidate Name] in November?
Ideology
Very enthusiastic
for them
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
14%
28%
23%
33%
19%
39%
11%
15%
12%
31%
20%
20%
44%
14%
26%
18%
35%
7%
51%
22%
39%
18%
56%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(588)
(101)
(190)
(194)
(410)
(138)
Gender
Very enthusiastic
for them
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
14%
28%
15%
35%
13%
22%
8%
28%
10%
34%
18%
26%
17%
20%
16%
32%
8%
8%
44%
14%
34%
16%
52%
13%
37%
27%
39%
17%
48%
8%
48%
15%
44%
7%
40%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(588)
(256)
(332)
(97)
(149)
(254)
(88)
(476)
(71)
19

20. Opinion of Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
38%
19%
43%
33%
28%
39%
23%
18%
58%
47%
16%
37%
32%
23%
45%
56%
6%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(101)
(190)
(196)
(416)
(139)
Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
38%
19%
43%
29%
22%
49%
45%
17%
38%
23%
29%
48%
31%
30%
40%
45%
12%
44%
44%
14%
42%
42%
14%
43%
8%
47%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(594)
(258)
(337)
(98)
(152)
(254)
(90)
(482)
(72)
20

21. Opinion of Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
45%
8%
47%
52%
4%
44%
47%
12%
41%
43%
9%
48%
49%
9%
42%
32%
6%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(590)
(100)
(190)
(196)
(415)
(135)
Gender
Getting better
Getting worse
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
45%
8%
47%
49%
4%
47%
43%
11%
47%
38%
17%
45%
61%
6%
33%
43%
5%
52%
34%
11%
55%
44%
8%
48%
66%
7%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(590)
(258)
(333)
(98)
(152)
(250)
(89)
(477)
(72)
21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Michigan, March 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Michigan, March 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

1415 Registered Voters