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FROM:
SUBJECT:
RECOMMENDATION:
That the Vancouver Police Board receives this report for information.
BACKGROUND:
The Key Performance Indicator (KPI) report is produced quarterly. Amongst other statistics, this
report reviews property crime, violent crime, priority 1 response time, ICBC reported traffic
injuries and motor vehicle incidents resulting in death. This report is produced to provide a
macro-level perspective of organizational performance and overall public safety.
DISCUSSION:
The following is a summary of the Year-end 2015 KPI Report (note - all results compare
January 1 December 31, 2015 with the results for the same time period in 2014):
Violent Crime
The violent crime rate (per 1,000 population) decreased by 3.3%.
There were 16 incidents of Culpable Homicide in 2015 compared to 10 in 2014.
Sexual Offences decreased by 0.7%.
There were 35 Bank Robbery incidents in 2015 compared to 27 in 2014.
There were 10 Shots Fired incidents in 2015 compared to 18 incidents in 2014.
Property Crime
The property crime rate (per 1,000 population) increased by 2.6%.
B&E - Business incidents increased by 8.5%.
B&E - Residence incidents increased by 4.2%.
Theft from Motor Vehicle incidents increased by 5.1%.
Author:
Correen Yedon
Telephone:
604-717-2689
Date:
Date:
K E Y PE R F O RM A NCE
I N DI CAT O R S
YEAR-END 2015
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 2
Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... 3
Violent Crime ............................................................................................................................. 4
Property Crime ........................................................................................................................... 7
s. 28 Mental Health Act Apprehensions ....................................................................................10
Priority 1 Response Times ........................................................................................................11
Traffic Related Injuries & Deaths ...............................................................................................12
Appendix ...................................................................................................................................14
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Violent Crime Rate 2014 Compared to 2015 ............................................................. 4
Table 2: Property Crime Rate 2014 Compared to 2015.......................................................... 7
Table 3: s. 28 MHA Apprehensions 2014 Compared to 2015 ................................................10
Table 4: Priority 1 Response Times 2014 Compared to 2015 ...............................................11
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Selected Violent Crime Incidents 2006-2015 .............................................................. 4
Figure 2: 2005-2015 Trend for Violent Crime Rate .................................................................... 6
Figure 3: Selected Property Crime Incidents 2006-2015 ........................................................... 7
Figure 4: 2005-2015 Trend for Property Crime Rate ................................................................. 9
Figure 5: s. 28 MHA Apprehensions 2010-2015 .......................................................................10
Figure 6: P1 Year-End Response Times 2006-2015 ................................................................11
Figure 7: 10-Year Trend for ICBC Reported Injuries & Fatalities ..............................................12
Figure 8: 10-Year Trend for Traffic Fatalities ............................................................................13
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INTRODUCTION
The Vancouver Police Departments (VPD) 2012-2016 Strategic Plan establishes the VPDs
vision of being the safest major city in Canada. The Strategic Plan identifies policing priorities
that include the following five crime reduction goals:
Reduce violent crime by 2.5% a year for a total reduction of 12.5% over the next five
years;
Reduce property crime by 5% a year for a total reduction of 25% over the next five
years;
Disrupt organized crime groups;
Reduce motor vehicle collisions that result in injury or death by 12.5% over the next five
years; and
Combat low-level crimes and problems that impact perceptions of neighbourhood safety.
The establishment of crime reduction goals is critical and success can be accurately determined
through effective measurement. The VPD and Vancouver Police Board identified Key
Performance Indicators (KPIs) that provide a macro-level perspective of organizational
performance. A KPI report is produced on a quarterly basis to provide a snapshot of the VPD
relative to its primary purpose public safety.
This KPI Report presents year-end data for 2014 and 2015. A description of the data included
in this report and the extraction criteria is available in the appendix. The KPIs that will be
presented in this report are:
This KPI is reported in the Vancouver Police Board each year in a separate report (prepared by the independent
research consultant).
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VIOLENT CRIME
Table 1 shows the 2015 violent crime rate per 1,000 population is down 3.3% when compared
to the same period in 2014.
Table 1: Violent Crime Rate 2014 Compared to 2015
2015
2014
7.7
7.9
% Change
-3.3%
The VPD also monitors other trends such as Bank Robbery incidents (included in Robbery
totals) and confirmed Shots Fired incidents. The following figures show the total number of
incidents by year since 2006. Figure 1 depicts the 10-year trend for Culpable Homicide, Sexual
Offences, Bank Robberies and shots fired. With the exception of Sexual Offences all figures are
showing an overall decrease as represented by their trend lines.
Figure 1: Selected Violent Crime Incidents 2006-2015
Culpable Homicides
25
21
20
15
20
19
16
15
15
10
10
10
6
5
0
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Page |
Sexual Offences
Number of Incidents
500
400
384
411
433
423
425
2009
2010
2011
378
466
389
410
407
2014
2015
300
200
100
0
2006
2007
2008
2012
2013
Bank Robberies
185
Number of Incidents
200
160
173
130
111
120
96
80
83
81
47
40
27
35
0
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
83
Number of Incidents
80
68
70
60
50
42
40
36
30
20
16
13
2010
2011
19
13
18
10
10
0
2006
2007
2008
2009
2012
2013
2014
2015
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Figure 2 shows that the violent crime rate has declined four consecutive years since 2011 (10.3)
and 2015 (7.7) experienced the lowest violent crime rate since 2005. The blue bars represent
the target rates set in the 2008-2012 and 2012-2016 Strategic Plans with a 2.0% and 2.5%
annual target decrease respectively. The dashed line is the 2007 baseline rate (11.1) which
reflects how the violent crime rate has progressed over the past seven years and since the start
of the 2008-2012 Strategic Plan.
Figure 2: 2005-2015 Trend for Violent Crime Rate
14
11.1
12
10
8
6
11.2
11.6
11.1
11.1
10.7
10.3
10.1
9.4
9.0
7.9
7.7
2
10.9
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
10.7
2009
10.5
2010
10.3
2011
Actual Rate
10.0
2012
9.7
9.4
9.1
2013
2014
2015
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PROPERTY CRIME
Table 2 shows the property crime rate per 1,000 population in 2014 and 2015. As shown,
property crime has increased 2.6% when comparing year-end incidents.
Table 2: Property Crime Rate 2014 Compared to 2015
2015
2014
56.5
55.0
% Change
2.6%
Figure 3 reflects year-end data for Break & Enters into business and residences over 10 years.
B&E Business increased from 1,691 incidents in 2012 to 2,425 in 2015 representing a 43.4%
increase. In 2014, there were 2,276 residential B&Es. By 2015, this figure increased to 2,372, a
4.2% increase in this crime type. Theft from Motor Vehicle experienced a five-year consecutive
decrease from 2006 to 2011. Since 2011, this crime type has increased four consecutive years
with 2015 reflecting 10,151 incidents.
Figure 3: Selected Property Crime Incidents 2006-2015
Number of Incidents
3,000
2,872
2,449
2,500
2,243
2,236
1,880
2,000
1,668
1,890
1,691
1,762
2012
2013
2,425
1,500
1,000
500
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2014
2015
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Number of Incidents
4,500
4,535
4,153
4,000
3,567
3,500
2,728
3,000
2,591
2,633
2,602
2010
2011
2012
2,500
2,348
2,276
2,372
2013
2014
2015
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
2006
2007
2008
2009
14,476
Number of Incidents
14,000
11,960
12,000
11,047
9,629
10,000
8,363
8,000
9,654 10,151
7,249
7,778 8,014
6,000
4,000
2,000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
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As shown in Figure 4, the property crime rate experienced six consecutive annual decreases
from 2005 (83.6) to 2011 (49.8). Unfortunately, property crime has increased four years in a
row from 2012 (50.0) to 2015 (56.5). The blue bars represents the property crime reduction
goal set in the last three Strategic Plans with a 4.0%, 4.0%, and 5.0% annual target decrease
respectively. As illustrated, for the second time in a row since 2005, the VPD did not achieve its
property crime rate goal (45.0) as set out by the 2012-2016 Strategic Plan. The dashed line is
the 2004 baseline rate (92.2) which reflects how the property crime rate has progressed over
the past ten years (after the first year of the 2004-2008 Strategic Plan).
100
80
60
40
83.6
76.5
66.9
62.7
56.3
20
0
86.2
2005
82.4
2006
78.7
2007
74.9
2008
71.2
2009
51.9
67.5
49.8
63.7
2010
Actual Rate
2011
50.0
59.0
2012
50.2
54.3
2013
55.0
49.7
2014
56.5
45.0
2015
Page |
Incidents
2015
2014
3,045
3,010
% Change
1.2%
The s. 28 MHA apprehension data is extracted from hospital wait time templates. Figure 5
shows the number of s. 28 MHA apprehensions that occurred from 2010 (2,278) to 2015
(3,045). Each year there has been an increase in MHA apprehensions.
Figure 5: s. 28 MHA Apprehensions 2010-2015
Number of Apprehensions
3,500
2,750
2,278
2,489
2,636
2,873
3,010
3,045
2014
2015
2,000
1,250
500
-250
2010
2011
2012
2013
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mm:ss
2015
2014
9:29
9:10
% Change
3.4%
Figure 6 shows response times between 2006 and 2015. Although the 2015 response time has
increased over the past four years, the trend line shows that overall, response times have
remained stable since 2006.
Figure 6: P1 Year-End Response Times 2006-2015
11:31
Response Times (mm:ss)
10:05
09:41
09:01
08:38
08:37
08:00
08:44
08:59
09:10
09:29
08:17
08:38
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
07:12
05:46
04:19
02:53
01:26
00:00
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Page | 11
ICBC has implemented a new claims system. As a result of the transition to the new system,
ICBCs crash and auto crime data from January 1, 2014 onward will not be available for release
until approximately early 2016.
The latest comparable data that we currently have from ICBC shows Vancouver has
experienced 1.4% fewer reported injury collisions from January to April 2014 (2,735) than in
2013 (2,774).
Figure 7 depicts the number of ICBC reported injuries per 1,000 population from 2004 to 2013.
ICBC reported five consecutive decreases in reported injuries from 2004 (16.1) to 2009 (13.6)
before experiencing a 7.0% increase in 2010 (14.3). Since then, there have been three annual
consecutive decreases in reported injuries from 2011 (14.2) to 2013 (13.9). Comparing 2004
(16.1) to 2013 (13.9) shows there has been a 13.5% decrease in ICBC reported injuries and
fatalities. The blue bars represent the target rate set in the 2012-2016 Strategic Plans with a
2.5% annual target decrease. The dashed line is the 2011 baseline rate (14.2) which reflects
how the motor vehicle collisions that result in injury or death has progressed over the past two
years (since the beginning of the 2012-2016 Strategic Plan).
Figure 7: 10-Year Trend for ICBC Reported Injuries & Fatalities
18
14.2
15
12
9
16.1
16.0
15.5
15.0
14.5
13.6
14.3
14.2
14.0
13.9
3
13.8
0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Actual Rate
2010
2011
13.5
2012
2013
Page | 12
Figure 8 shows there were 14 fatalities involving a motor vehicle in 2015 as reported by the
VPD Traffic Section. This is down one incident when compared to 2014. Overall, the city of
Vancouver has seen a four year decrease in traffic fatalities.
Figure 8: 10-Year Trend for Traffic Fatalities
30
25
# of Fatals
20
25
25
19
19
16
16
15
10
13
15
14
10
5
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Page | 13
APPENDIX
The data for this report is obtained from the PRIME records management system. Crime
statistics at the VPD are published using the most serious offence method, which captures the
most serious offence associated with an incident. All cases cleared as unfounded have been
removed to more accurately represent actual criminal offences rather than incidents reported.
Crime rates are calculated per 1,000 population. BC Statistics cites Vancouvers 2015
population to be 648,608 2.
Response Time is measured in hours:minutes:seconds, between the time a call is received and
the time when the first police unit arrives. The following calls are excluded from response time
calculations: calls with a response time less than one minute and greater than 1 hour and call
types motor vehicle incident with injury and missing persons.
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