CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

South Carolina
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1315 Registered Voters
February 10-12, 2016

±5.2%

1. Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Very interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
Somewhat interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Not too interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .74%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?‡
Asked of Republican primary voters

Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%

5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .59%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%

6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not too strong – I’ll probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

Chris Christie and Carly Fiorina were removed after the first night of fielding.

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
7. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%
Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Not too strong – I’ll probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

8. The next Republican President needs to:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Stand up to Democrats more effectively . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68%
Negotiate with Democrats more effectively . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%

9. If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Jeb Bush
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Ben Carson

Ready
58%
57%
45%
39%
41%
22%

Not ready
28%
27%
40%
41%
37%
55%

Not sure
14%
15%
15%
20%
22%
22%

10. Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Asked of Republican primary voters

How candidates performed at debates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
How candidates reacted to news events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Seeing what happened in Iowa and New Hampshire . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Being contacted by the campaigns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
None of the above . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
11. When you hear the term "Republican establishment" what does that mean to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

It’s a bad thing: Washington politicians who don’t care about regular voters 45%
It’s a good thing: they know how to get things done and make reasonable
compromises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Neither good nor bad: it’s just another thing pundits say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
I’ve never heard of that . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11%

12. How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Jeb Bush
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Ben Carson

Part of the
solution
60%
53%
30%
40%
32%
51%

Part of the
problem
23%
31%
46%
35%
30%
10%

Not sure either
way
17%
16%
24%
25%
38%
38%

13. Are you planning to watch the Republican debate on Saturday night?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

14. Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

How candidates performed at debates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
How candidates reacted to news events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Seeing what happened in Iowa and New Hampshire . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Being contacted by the campaigns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
None of the above . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
15. How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Very well
70%
44%

Fairly well
26%
40%

Not very well yet
4%
16%

16. If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Ready
80%
51%

Not ready
12%
29%

Not sure
7%
20%

17. Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%

18. Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

19. Should the next president:
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Generally continue Barack Obama’s policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Change to more progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Change to less progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
20. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?*
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%

21. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

22. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

23. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
*

Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
24. Are you male or female?
Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%

25. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%

26. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

27. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
1. Interest in Presidential Campaign
Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%
33%
15%

55%
31%
13%

48%
34%
17%

52%
27%
22%

49%
35%
16%

52%
34%
14%

54%
32%
14%

55%
32%
14%

44%
36%
20%





100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,303)

(591)

(713)

(168)

(299)

(561)

(275)

(929)

(346)

(7)

(21)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

74%
10%
6%
4%
5%
1%

77%
7%
3%
4%
6%
3%

71%
13%
9%
4%
3%
1%

69%
4%
10%
3%
12%
1%

68%
13%
10%
5%
5%
0%

74%
14%
5%
4%
3%
1%

82%
5%
1%
3%
3%
6%

71%
11%
6%
5%
4%
2%

82%
7%
6%
0%
5%
0%











100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,314)

(591)

(723)

(168)

(309)

(562)

(275)

(940)

(346)

(7)

(21)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

3. 2016 Primary Turnout
In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
35%
9%
19%

33%
40%
11%
16%

42%
30%
7%
21%

39%
24%
12%
24%

41%
29%
9%
21%

40%
36%
8%
16%

30%
46%
7%
17%

23%
46%
9%
22%

81%
3%
7%
9%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,315)

(592)

(723)

(168)

(310)

(562)

(275)

(941)

(346)

(7)

(21)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

4. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

6%
6%
1%
20%
0%
0%
9%
15%
42%
1%

3%
7%
0%
18%
0%
0%
7%
18%
45%
1%

10%
5%
1%
22%
0%
0%
10%
13%
39%
1%

5%
22%
0%
23%
0%
0%
23%
3%
22%
1%

3%
6%
1%
26%
0%
0%
2%
23%
38%
1%

8%
6%
0%
17%
0%
0%
6%
13%
49%
1%

7%
3%
1%
19%
0%
0%
12%
17%
41%
0%

6%
6%
1%
20%
0%
0%
9%
15%
43%
1%

Totals
(Weighted N)




























100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(744)

(380)

(365)

(67)

(141)

(290)

(245)

(710)

(13)

(7)

(14)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

59%
40%
1%

45%
54%
1%

70%
29%
1%

37%
63%
0%

45%
55%
1%

69%
30%
1%

69%
29%
1%

36%
63%
1%

73%
26%
1%





100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(173)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(72)

(150)

(250)

(1)

(3)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

6. Republican Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

42%
35%
21%
2%

43%
39%
17%
2%

41%
30%
26%
4%

28%
56%
8%
9%

50%
30%
19%
1%

43%
31%
23%
3%

40%
35%
24%
2%

41%
35%
21%
3%










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(736)

(376)

(360)

(66)

(139)

(286)

(244)

(701)

(13)

(7)

(14)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

7. Democratic Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

67%
26%
7%
0%

68%
25%
7%
0%

66%
28%
6%
0%




72%
19%
8%
0%

65%
29%
6%
0%

56%
33%
11%
0%

72%
19%
9%
0%

64%
31%
5%
0%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(172)

(228)

100%

(401)

(105)

(176)

(71)

(149)

(247)

(48)

(1)

(3)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

8. Republican Candidate Actions
The next Republican President needs to:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Stand up to Democrats
Negotiate with Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

68%
32%

73%
27%

63%
37%

65%
35%

74%
26%

70%
30%

64%
36%

69%
31%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(741)

(378)

(363)

(67)

(140)

(290)

(243)

(706)

(13)

(7)

(14)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

9. Republican Candidate Ready – Donald Trump
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

58%
28%
14%

64%
26%
10%

52%
31%
17%

49%
23%
27%

51%
36%
13%

63%
25%
12%

58%
29%
13%

58%
28%
14%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(734)

(378)

(356)

(64)

(140)

(289)

(241)

(703)

(13)

(7)

(11)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

10. Republican Candidate Ready – Ted Cruz
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

57%
27%
15%

60%
28%
12%

54%
27%
18%

51%
29%
20%

68%
16%
17%

57%
31%
12%

53%
29%
18%

57%
28%
16%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(724)

(372)

(352)

(59)

(136)

(285)

(244)

(697)

(9)

(7)

(11)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

11. Republican Candidate Ready – Jeb Bush
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
40%
15%

41%
43%
16%

49%
37%
14%



30%
50%
20%

47%
38%
14%

49%
36%
15%

44%
40%
16%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(377)

(339)

100%

(716)

(140)

(283)

(245)

(685)

(47)

(13)

(7)

(11)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

12. Republican Candidate Ready – Marco Rubio
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
41%
20%

41%
44%
15%

36%
37%
27%

48%
32%
20%

36%
35%
29%

38%
45%
16%

38%
41%
21%

39%
39%
21%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(374)

(352)

(59)

(140)

(282)

(244)

(694)

(13)

(7)

(11)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

13. Republican Candidate Ready – John Kasich
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

41%
37%
22%

49%
35%
16%

32%
39%
29%

33%
46%
20%

30%
44%
26%

38%
37%
25%

52%
31%
17%

41%
37%
22%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(728)

(377)

(351)

(59)

(140)

(284)

(244)

(697)

(13)

(7)

(11)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

14. Republican Candidate Ready – Ben Carson
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

22%
55%
22%

23%
58%
19%

22%
53%
25%

30%
46%
24%

22%
59%
19%

24%
56%
20%

18%
56%
26%

23%
56%
22%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(376)

(351)

(59)

(140)

(284)

(243)

(696)

(13)

(7)

(11)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

15. Republican Vote Choice Impact
Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Debate performance
Candidate reactions to news and
events
Results in Iowa and New Hampshire
Campaign contact
None of the above
Totals

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%

51%

53%

70%

47%

55%

47%

52%

42%
21%
3%
34%

41%
23%
3%
33%

42%
19%
3%
34%

67%
36%
5%
19%

44%
23%
2%
38%

44%
20%
4%
31%

31%
16%
1%
38%

42%
21%
3%
34%

(744)

(379)

(365)

(67)

(141)

(290)

(245)

(709)










(13)

(7)

(14)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

16. Republican Establishment Perception
When you hear the term "Republican establishment" what does that mean to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
It’s a bad thing
It’s a good thing
Neither good nor bad
Never heard of that
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
11%
33%
11%

57%
8%
31%
4%

33%
13%
36%
18%

35%
12%
48%
5%

43%
17%
26%
14%

45%
9%
33%
13%

50%
8%
34%
8%

46%
10%
34%
11%










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(741)

(379)

(361)

(67)

(140)

(289)

(244)

(706)

(13)

(7)

(14)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

17. Republican Candidate Solution – Donald Trump
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

60%
23%
17%

64%
20%
16%

55%
26%
19%

29%
42%
29%

55%
33%
13%

68%
17%
15%

61%
19%
20%

60%
22%
18%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(734)

(376)

(358)

(64)

(141)

(286)

(243)

(703)

(13)

(7)

(11)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

18. Republican Candidate Solution – Ted Cruz
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

53%
31%
16%

57%
30%
13%

50%
32%
19%

53%
26%
21%

53%
26%
21%

56%
30%
14%

50%
36%
14%

53%
31%
16%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(730)

(378)

(352)

(59)

(140)

(286)

(244)

(699)

(13)

(7)

(11)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

19. Republican Candidate Solution – Jeb Bush
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

30%
46%
24%

26%
55%
19%

34%
36%
30%

42%
38%
20%

24%
44%
31%

23%
50%
27%

37%
43%
20%

31%
45%
24%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(732)

(378)

(354)

(59)

(140)

(288)

(243)

(700)

(13)

(7)

(11)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

20. Republican Candidate Solution – Marco Rubio
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
35%
25%

38%
40%
22%

42%
29%
29%

68%
21%
11%

34%
24%
42%

35%
41%
23%

43%
36%
21%

41%
34%
25%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(732)

(378)

(354)

(59)

(140)

(288)

(244)

(701)

(13)

(7)

(11)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

21. Republican Candidate Solution – John Kasich
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

32%
30%
38%

37%
36%
27%

27%
23%
50%

39%
38%
23%

25%
41%
35%

23%
28%
48%

45%
23%
31%

32%
29%
38%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(725)

(377)

(348)

(59)

(140)

(281)

(244)

(694)

(13)

(7)

(11)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

22. Republican Candidate Solution – Ben Carson
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
10%
38%

55%
9%
37%

48%
11%
40%

63%
17%
20%

44%
13%
43%

53%
8%
39%

51%
9%
40%

51%
9%
40%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(377)

(349)

(59)

(140)

(289)

(238)

(696)

(13)

(7)

(10)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

23. Republican Debate
Are you planning to watch the Republican debate on Saturday night?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
19%
18%

63%
20%
17%

62%
19%
19%

68%
4%
28%

61%
20%
19%

59%
23%
18%

66%
18%
16%

62%
19%
19%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(743)

(379)

(364)

(67)

(141)

(289)

(245)

(709)

(13)

(7)

(14)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

24. Democratic Vote Choice Impact
Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Debate performance
Candidate reactions to news and
events
Results in Iowa and New Hampshire
Campaign contact
None of the above
Totals

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%

49%

53%

52%

58%

47%

50%

50%

52%

38%
23%
10%
31%

37%
19%
16%
37%

38%
25%
6%
27%

51%
8%
20%
34%

22%
25%
10%
25%

43%
29%
9%
35%

37%
14%
6%
29%

38%
20%
13%
37%

38%
25%
9%
27%

(404)

(173)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(72)

(150)

(250)







(1)

(3)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

25. Democratic Candidate Perception – Hillary Clinton
How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

70%
26%
4%

70%
28%
2%

69%
25%
6%

53%
40%
7%

67%
21%
11%

77%
22%
1%

66%
34%
0%

61%
33%
6%

74%
22%
4%





100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(402)

(172)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(71)

(150)

(248)

(1)

(3)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

26. Democratic Candidate Perception – Bernie Sanders
How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

44%
40%
16%

54%
37%
8%

36%
42%
22%

77%
13%
10%

60%
32%
8%

36%
49%
15%

19%
47%
35%

70%
24%
6%

28%
49%
23%





100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(396)

(172)

(224)

(49)

(104)

(174)

(70)

(148)

(243)

(1)

(3)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

27. Democratic Candidate Ready – Hillary Clinton
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

80%
12%
7%

77%
14%
9%

83%
11%
6%

66%
15%
19%

68%
24%
8%

88%
9%
4%

91%
2%
6%

70%
19%
10%

86%
9%
5%





100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(391)

(166)

(225)

(49)

(101)

(177)

(65)

(144)

(243)

(1)

(3)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

28. Democratic Candidate Ready – Bernie Sanders
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
29%
20%

62%
29%
9%

43%
28%
29%

76%
23%
2%

72%
17%
11%

39%
37%
24%

32%
28%
40%

69%
20%
10%

40%
34%
27%





100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(386)

(167)

(219)

(49)

(100)

(173)

(63)

(143)

(238)

(1)

(3)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

29. Bernie Sanders Traits
Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

75%
10%
15%

90%
3%
8%

64%
16%
20%

100%
0%
0%

73%
3%
24%

72%
14%
14%

68%
20%
13%

89%
4%
7%

66%
15%
19%





100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(173)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(72)

(150)

(250)

(1)

(3)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

30. Hillary Clinton Traits
Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

60%
24%
16%

49%
30%
21%

67%
20%
13%

43%
44%
13%

51%
34%
15%

70%
16%
14%

58%
17%
25%

41%
41%
18%

71%
14%
15%





100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(403)

(173)

(230)

(49)

(104)

(178)

(72)

(149)

(250)

(1)

(3)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

31. Next President Policies
Should the next president:
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
50%
5%

35%
62%
3%

53%
41%
6%

10%
90%
0%

47%
47%
6%

51%
42%
7%

54%
45%
1%

23%
72%
5%

59%
36%
4%





100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(173)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(72)

(150)

(250)

(1)

(3)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

744 Likely Republican Primary Voters
February 10-12, 2016

±5.7%

1. Interest in Presidential Campaign
Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

70%
25%
5%

73%
21%
6%

67%
29%
5%

67%
29%
4%

74%
23%
2%

66%
27%
7%

68%
27%
5%

76%
19%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(744)

(206)

(310)

(147)

(309)

(415)

(474)

(222)

Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

70%
25%
5%

72%
24%
4%

67%
27%
6%

92%
7%
1%

61%
35%
4%

69%
25%
6%

69%
26%
5%

71%
24%
5%

65%
30%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(744)

(379)

(364)

(67)

(141)

(290)

(245)

(536)

(161)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

6%
6%
1%
20%
0%
0%
9%
15%
42%
1%

11%
5%
0%
37%
0%
0%
1%
12%
33%
1%

5%
7%
0%
18%
0%
0%
5%
15%
49%
1%

3%
8%
2%
3%
0%
0%
24%
13%
46%
1%

3%
4%
0%
31%
0%
0%
2%
14%
45%
0%

9%
8%
1%
12%
0%
0%
14%
17%
39%
1%

7%
8%
0%
25%
0%
0%
4%
13%
41%
1%

6%
2%
1%
10%
0%
0%
18%
17%
45%
1%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(744)

(206)

(310)

(147)

(309)

(415)

(475)

(222)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

6%
6%
1%
20%
0%
0%
9%
15%
42%
1%

3%
7%
0%
18%
0%
0%
7%
18%
45%
1%

10%
5%
1%
22%
0%
0%
10%
13%
39%
1%

5%
22%
0%
23%
0%
0%
23%
3%
22%
1%

3%
6%
1%
26%
0%
0%
2%
23%
38%
1%

8%
6%
0%
17%
0%
0%
6%
13%
49%
1%

7%
3%
1%
19%
0%
0%
12%
17%
41%
0%

8%
7%
0%
22%
0%
0%
7%
17%
38%
1%

2%
4%
2%
16%
1%
0%
13%
11%
50%
1%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(744)

(379)

(365)

(67)

(141)

(290)

(245)

(536)

(161)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

42%
35%
21%
2%

51%
24%
23%
2%

38%
43%
18%
1%

40%
35%
18%
7%

51%
31%
18%
0%

35%
38%
22%
4%

43%
34%
20%
3%

37%
40%
20%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(736)

(204)

(308)

(144)

(308)

(408)

(468)

(220)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

42%
35%
21%
2%

43%
39%
17%
2%

41%
30%
26%
4%

28%
56%
8%
9%

50%
30%
19%
1%

43%
31%
23%
3%

40%
35%
24%
2%

40%
35%
22%
3%

43%
35%
18%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(736)

(376)

(360)

(66)

(139)

(286)

(244)

(532)

(157)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Candidate Actions
The next Republican President needs to:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Stand up to Democrats
Negotiate with Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

68%
32%

82%
18%

74%
26%

45%
55%

87%
13%

54%
46%

73%
27%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(741)

(206)

(308)

(146)

(308)

(414)

(473)

(221)

Gender
Stand up to Democrats
Negotiate with Democrats

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

68%
32%

73%
27%

63%
37%

65%
35%

74%
26%

70%
30%

64%
36%

71%
29%

58%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(741)

(378)

(363)

(67)

(140)

(290)

(243)

(536)

(158)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

5. Republican Candidate Ready – Donald Trump
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

58%
28%
14%

58%
27%
14%

63%
21%
15%

51%
36%
13%

65%
25%
10%

52%
31%
17%

58%
27%
15%

58%
31%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(734)

(202)

(306)

(147)

(307)

(409)

(469)

(218)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

58%
28%
14%

64%
26%
10%

52%
31%
17%

49%
23%
27%

51%
36%
13%

63%
25%
12%

58%
29%
13%

57%
28%
15%

59%
27%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(734)

(378)

(356)

(64)

(140)

(289)

(241)

(530)

(157)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

6. Republican Candidate Ready – Ted Cruz
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

57%
27%
15%

66%
20%
14%

64%
24%
12%

36%
44%
20%

75%
15%
10%

44%
37%
19%

62%
22%
16%

49%
39%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(724)

(202)

(302)

(144)

(295)

(410)

(465)

(212)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

57%
27%
15%

60%
28%
12%

54%
27%
18%

51%
29%
20%

68%
16%
17%

57%
31%
12%

53%
29%
18%

60%
23%
17%

50%
37%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(724)

(372)

(352)

(59)

(136)

(285)

(244)

(521)

(161)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

7. Republican Candidate Ready – Jeb Bush
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

45%
40%
15%

40%
40%
19%

44%
43%
13%

52%
32%
16%

41%
46%
13%

47%
37%
16%

43%
43%
14%

49%
36%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(716)

(201)

(289)

(145)

(299)

(397)

(457)

(211)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

45%
40%
15%

41%
43%
16%

49%
37%
14%



30%
50%
20%

47%
38%
14%

49%
36%
15%

47%
40%
13%

41%
37%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(377)

(339)

100%

(716)

(140)

(283)

(245)

(508)

(161)

(47)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Candidate Ready – Marco Rubio
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

39%
41%
20%

42%
38%
20%

38%
37%
25%

31%
53%
17%

43%
37%
20%

35%
44%
21%

40%
39%
21%

34%
47%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(202)

(298)

(145)

(299)

(407)

(465)

(213)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

39%
41%
20%

41%
44%
15%

36%
37%
27%

48%
32%
20%

36%
35%
29%

38%
45%
16%

38%
41%
21%

44%
36%
21%

27%
50%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(374)

(352)

(59)

(140)

(282)

(244)

(519)

(160)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Candidate Ready – John Kasich
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

41%
37%
22%

41%
39%
20%

38%
38%
24%

50%
32%
18%

40%
41%
19%

42%
34%
24%

35%
42%
23%

54%
28%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(728)

(202)

(301)

(145)

(299)

(410)

(468)

(213)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

41%
37%
22%

49%
35%
16%

32%
39%
29%

33%
46%
20%

30%
44%
26%

38%
37%
25%

52%
31%
17%

39%
36%
24%

47%
39%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(728)

(377)

(351)

(59)

(140)

(284)

(244)

(522)

(160)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidate Ready – Ben Carson
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

22%
55%
22%

21%
57%
22%

24%
48%
27%

19%
65%
16%

26%
54%
20%

20%
57%
23%

27%
50%
22%

14%
68%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(202)

(300)

(145)

(297)

(411)

(468)

(213)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

22%
55%
22%

23%
58%
19%

22%
53%
25%

30%
46%
24%

22%
59%
19%

24%
56%
20%

18%
56%
26%

22%
56%
22%

26%
50%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(376)

(351)

(59)

(140)

(284)

(243)

(521)

(159)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Vote Choice Impact
Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Debate performance
Candidate reactions to news and
events
Results in Iowa and New Hampshire
Campaign contact
None of the above
Totals

Totals

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

52%

49%

51%

51%

49%

54%

55%

46%

42%
21%
3%
34%

36%
15%
4%
40%

42%
19%
2%
35%

53%
25%
4%
28%

40%
17%
3%
35%

43%
22%
3%
33%

44%
21%
4%
34%

40%
17%
1%
33%

(744)

(206)

(310)

(147)

(309)

(415)

(475)

(222)

Gender
Debate performance
Candidate reactions to news and
events
Results in Iowa and New Hampshire
Campaign contact
None of the above

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

52%

51%

53%

70%

47%

55%

47%

54%

47%

42%
21%
3%
34%

41%
23%
3%
33%

42%
19%
3%
34%

67%
36%
5%
19%

44%
23%
2%
38%

44%
20%
4%
31%

31%
16%
1%
38%

43%
21%
3%
33%

43%
20%
2%
35%

(744)

(379)

(365)

(67)

(141)

(290)

(245)

(536)

(161)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Establishment Perception
When you hear the term "Republican establishment" what does that mean to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
It’s a bad thing
It’s a good thing
Neither good nor bad
Never heard of that
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

45%
11%
33%
11%

52%
10%
29%
9%

53%
8%
31%
8%

29%
17%
42%
12%

62%
8%
25%
6%

34%
13%
40%
13%

48%
9%
31%
12%

45%
13%
38%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(741)

(205)

(309)

(147)

(306)

(415)

(471)

(222)

Gender
It’s a bad thing
It’s a good thing
Neither good nor bad
Never heard of that

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

45%
11%
33%
11%

57%
8%
31%
4%

33%
13%
36%
18%

35%
12%
48%
5%

43%
17%
26%
14%

45%
9%
33%
13%

50%
8%
34%
8%

42%
12%
34%
12%

59%
3%
34%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(741)

(379)

(361)

(67)

(140)

(289)

(244)

(534)

(160)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Candidate Solution – Donald Trump
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

60%
23%
17%

64%
17%
19%

63%
18%
18%

53%
35%
12%

71%
15%
14%

51%
29%
20%

58%
23%
19%

63%
23%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(734)

(202)

(308)

(144)

(306)

(410)

(471)

(217)

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

60%
23%
17%

64%
20%
16%

55%
26%
19%

29%
42%
29%

55%
33%
13%

68%
17%
15%

61%
19%
20%

58%
22%
20%

66%
23%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(734)

(376)

(358)

(64)

(141)

(286)

(243)

(528)

(159)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Solution – Ted Cruz
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

53%
31%
16%

66%
22%
12%

56%
30%
15%

31%
48%
21%

69%
21%
9%

41%
38%
21%

56%
27%
17%

47%
39%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(730)

(202)

(302)

(146)

(301)

(410)

(470)

(213)

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

53%
31%
16%

57%
30%
13%

50%
32%
19%

53%
26%
21%

53%
26%
21%

56%
30%
14%

50%
36%
14%

57%
29%
14%

43%
35%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(730)

(378)

(352)

(59)

(140)

(286)

(244)

(523)

(161)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Solution – Jeb Bush
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

30%
46%
24%

25%
50%
25%

26%
48%
26%

43%
37%
21%

19%
53%
28%

37%
40%
23%

28%
44%
27%

33%
47%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(732)

(202)

(305)

(146)

(302)

(410)

(472)

(213)

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

30%
46%
24%

26%
55%
19%

34%
36%
30%

42%
38%
20%

24%
44%
31%

23%
50%
27%

37%
43%
20%

34%
41%
25%

23%
55%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(732)

(378)

(354)

(59)

(140)

(288)

(243)

(525)

(160)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Solution – Marco Rubio
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

40%
35%
25%

42%
36%
21%

42%
31%
27%

30%
39%
31%

38%
37%
25%

41%
33%
26%

39%
32%
28%

41%
40%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(732)

(202)

(304)

(146)

(302)

(411)

(472)

(213)

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

40%
35%
25%

38%
40%
22%

42%
29%
29%

68%
21%
11%

34%
24%
42%

35%
41%
23%

43%
36%
21%

46%
30%
24%

26%
43%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(732)

(378)

(354)

(59)

(140)

(288)

(244)

(525)

(161)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Solution – John Kasich
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

32%
30%
38%

28%
38%
34%

30%
30%
40%

42%
25%
33%

28%
41%
31%

35%
22%
43%

25%
34%
41%

45%
25%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(725)

(197)

(305)

(144)

(302)

(404)

(466)

(213)

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

32%
30%
38%

37%
36%
27%

27%
23%
50%

39%
38%
23%

25%
41%
35%

23%
28%
48%

45%
23%
31%

33%
31%
36%

34%
27%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(725)

(377)

(348)

(59)

(140)

(281)

(244)

(518)

(161)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Solution – Ben Carson
How would you describe each of these candidates?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

51%
10%
38%

56%
11%
33%

58%
6%
36%

38%
14%
48%

63%
5%
32%

43%
13%
43%

55%
10%
35%

46%
10%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(196)

(305)

(146)

(297)

(411)

(467)

(212)

Gender
Part of the solution
Part of the problem
Not sure either way

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

51%
10%
38%

55%
9%
37%

48%
11%
40%

63%
17%
20%

44%
13%
43%

53%
8%
39%

51%
9%
40%

51%
11%
38%

58%
6%
36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(377)

(349)

(59)

(140)

(289)

(238)

(519)

(161)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Debate
Are you planning to watch the Republican debate on Saturday night?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

63%
19%
18%

67%
22%
11%

64%
17%
19%

54%
20%
25%

68%
18%
14%

58%
20%
22%

61%
20%
19%

64%
18%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(743)

(206)

(309)

(147)

(309)

(415)

(475)

(221)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

63%
19%
18%

63%
20%
17%

62%
19%
19%

68%
4%
28%

61%
20%
19%

59%
23%
18%

66%
18%
16%

65%
20%
15%

54%
19%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(743)

(379)

(364)

(67)

(141)

(289)

(245)

(536)

(161)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

404 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
February 10-12, 2016

±8.7%

1. Interest in Presidential Campaign
Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

58%
32%
9%

70%
29%
1%

64%
30%
6%

60%
34%
5%

71%
23%
6%

51%
37%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(91)

(106)

(122)

(150)

(250)

Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

58%
32%
9%

63%
31%
6%

55%
33%
12%

82%
16%
2%

63%
25%
13%

50%
39%
11%

58%
36%
6%

56%
34%
10%

64%
29%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(173)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(72)

(322)

(67)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

59%
40%
1%

52%
48%
0%

52%
48%
0%

58%
40%
2%

36%
63%
1%

73%
26%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(91)

(106)

(122)

(150)

(250)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

59%
40%
1%

45%
54%
1%

70%
29%
1%

37%
63%
0%

45%
55%
1%

69%
30%
1%

69%
29%
1%

68%
31%
1%

29%
71%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(173)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(72)

(322)

(67)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

3. Democratic Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

67%
26%
7%
0%

85%
11%
4%
0%

77%
19%
4%
0%

57%
34%
9%
0%

72%
19%
9%
0%

64%
31%
5%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(401)

(91)

(106)

(120)

(149)

(247)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

67%
26%
7%
0%

68%
25%
7%
0%

66%
28%
6%
0%

77%
23%
0%
0%

72%
19%
8%
0%

65%
29%
6%
0%

56%
33%
11%
0%

65%
28%
7%
0%

73%
22%
5%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(401)

(172)

(228)

(48)

(105)

(176)

(71)

(319)

(67)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

4. Democratic Vote Choice Impact
Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Debate performance
Candidate reactions to news and
events
Results in Iowa and New Hampshire
Campaign contact
None of the above
Totals

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

51%

56%

52%

46%

50%

52%

38%
23%
10%
31%

51%
24%
15%
25%

37%
20%
17%
37%

36%
20%
5%
35%

38%
20%
13%
37%

38%
25%
9%
27%

(404)

(91)

(106)

(122)

(150)

(250)

Gender
Debate performance
Candidate reactions to news and
events
Results in Iowa and New Hampshire
Campaign contact
None of the above
Totals

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

51%

49%

53%

52%

58%

47%

50%

51%

58%

38%
23%
10%
31%

37%
19%
16%
37%

38%
25%
6%
27%

51%
8%
20%
34%

22%
25%
10%
25%

43%
29%
9%
35%

37%
14%
6%
29%

39%
25%
10%
30%

39%
14%
15%
27%

(404)

(173)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(72)

(322)

(67)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democratic Candidate Perception – Hillary Clinton
How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

70%
26%
4%

72%
24%
3%

77%
19%
4%

65%
31%
4%

61%
33%
6%

74%
22%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(402)

(90)

(105)

(122)

(150)

(248)

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

70%
26%
4%

70%
28%
2%

69%
25%
6%

53%
40%
7%

67%
21%
11%

77%
22%
1%

66%
34%
0%

70%
26%
4%

65%
30%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(402)

(172)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(71)

(320)

(67)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

6. Democratic Candidate Perception – Bernie Sanders
How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

44%
40%
16%

47%
50%
3%

58%
34%
9%

46%
36%
18%

70%
24%
6%

28%
49%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(396)

(91)

(105)

(118)

(148)

(243)

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

44%
40%
16%

54%
37%
8%

36%
42%
22%

77%
13%
10%

60%
32%
8%

36%
49%
15%

19%
47%
35%

37%
44%
18%

71%
24%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(396)

(172)

(224)

(49)

(104)

(174)

(70)

(314)

(67)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

7. Democratic Candidate Ready – Hillary Clinton
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

80%
12%
7%

75%
16%
9%

87%
6%
7%

83%
10%
8%

70%
19%
10%

86%
9%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(391)

(85)

(100)

(122)

(144)

(243)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

80%
12%
7%

77%
14%
9%

83%
11%
6%

66%
15%
19%

68%
24%
8%

88%
9%
4%

91%
2%
6%

86%
8%
5%

60%
23%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(391)

(166)

(225)

(49)

(101)

(177)

(65)

(314)

(63)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

8. Democratic Candidate Ready – Bernie Sanders
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

51%
29%
20%

60%
28%
12%

55%
23%
22%

45%
33%
22%

69%
20%
10%

40%
34%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(386)

(85)

(100)

(120)

(143)

(238)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

51%
29%
20%

62%
29%
9%

43%
28%
29%

76%
23%
2%

72%
17%
11%

39%
37%
24%

32%
28%
40%

45%
33%
22%

77%
10%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(386)

(167)

(219)

(49)

(100)

(173)

(63)

(309)

(62)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

9. Bernie Sanders Traits
Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

75%
10%
15%

85%
7%
8%

86%
6%
8%

70%
12%
18%

89%
4%
7%

66%
15%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(91)

(106)

(122)

(150)

(250)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

75%
10%
15%

90%
3%
8%

64%
16%
20%

100%
0%
0%

73%
3%
24%

72%
14%
14%

68%
20%
13%

72%
12%
16%

85%
4%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(173)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(72)

(322)

(67)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

10. Hillary Clinton Traits
Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

60%
24%
16%

51%
28%
20%

56%
26%
18%

65%
25%
10%

41%
41%
18%

71%
14%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(403)

(91)

(106)

(121)

(149)

(250)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

60%
24%
16%

49%
30%
21%

67%
20%
13%

43%
44%
13%

51%
34%
15%

70%
16%
14%

58%
17%
25%

68%
16%
16%

27%
53%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(403)

(173)

(230)

(49)

(104)

(178)

(72)

(322)

(66)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

11. Next President Policies
Should the next president:
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Generally continue Barack Obama’s
policies
Change to more progressive policies
than Barack Obama
Change to less progressive policies
than Barack Obama
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

45%

32%

37%

56%

23%

59%

50%

68%

62%

35%

72%

36%

5%

0%

1%

9%

5%

4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(91)

(106)

(122)

(150)

(250)

Gender
Generally continue Barack Obama’s
policies
Change to more progressive policies
than Barack Obama
Change to less progressive policies
than Barack Obama
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

45%

35%

53%

10%

47%

51%

54%

53%

19%

50%

62%

41%

90%

47%

42%

45%

43%

77%

5%

3%

6%

0%

6%

7%

1%

4%

4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(173)

(231)

(49)

(105)

(178)

(72)

(322)

(67)

11

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