Professional Documents
Culture Documents
South Carolina
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
5.3%
1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .73%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters
8. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
9. Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could
consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Ben Carson
10. In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Too extreme
47%
22%
11%
About right
50%
63%
53%
Too moderate
3%
16%
36%
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Yes, consistent
70%
68%
54%
12. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Understands
77%
74%
65%
Doesnt understand
23%
26%
35%
13. Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters
Serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Not serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74%
15. Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or
does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%
Hillary Clinton
55%
36%
57%
46%
Bernie Sanders
30%
48%
23%
35%
Both equally
15%
16%
20%
19%
43%
47%
33%
25%
24%
28%
17. From what youve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Realistic
73%
38%
Idealistic
27%
62%
18. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Understands
69%
77%
Doesnt understand
31%
23%
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
21. Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
22. Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.
28. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
45%
37%
16%
2%
60%
30%
10%
0%
32%
43%
21%
4%
28%
37%
35%
0%
35%
38%
19%
7%
50%
37%
12%
1%
55%
36%
9%
0%
50%
34%
15%
1%
30%
46%
19%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,370)
(616)
(753)
(164)
(327)
(599)
(280)
(995)
(347)
Hispanic
(8)
Other
(20)
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Gender
Total
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
73%
13%
6%
5%
1%
2%
82%
8%
1%
4%
1%
4%
66%
17%
10%
5%
1%
1%
57%
11%
31%
0%
0%
0%
70%
16%
2%
8%
2%
1%
74%
13%
3%
4%
1%
4%
84%
10%
1%
4%
1%
0%
71%
13%
6%
5%
2%
3%
79%
12%
6%
1%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,369)
(615)
(753)
(164)
(326)
(600)
(279)
(994)
(347)
Hispanic
(8)
Other
(20)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
38%
35%
8%
19%
36%
41%
11%
12%
40%
29%
6%
24%
42%
16%
0%
42%
41%
29%
10%
20%
39%
36%
10%
15%
31%
50%
7%
12%
23%
46%
10%
21%
81%
1%
5%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,370)
(616)
(753)
(164)
(327)
(600)
(280)
(995)
(347)
Hispanic
(8)
Other
(20)
Gender
Total
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
8%
9%
1%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
0%
3%
7%
2%
21%
0%
0%
1%
2%
6%
13%
0%
44%
1%
13%
11%
1%
20%
1%
0%
3%
1%
1%
13%
0%
35%
1%
0%
9%
0%
8%
0%
0%
6%
5%
27%
8%
0%
33%
3%
7%
16%
1%
29%
2%
0%
3%
1%
3%
9%
0%
30%
0%
10%
9%
1%
20%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
14%
0%
44%
1%
8%
6%
3%
20%
1%
0%
1%
3%
0%
16%
0%
42%
0%
8%
9%
2%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(804)
(411)
(393)
(72)
(153)
(311)
(267)
(782)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(11)
Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
60%
0%
38%
2%
50%
0%
49%
1%
67%
0%
31%
2%
100%
100%
100%
(388)
(167)
(221)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
53%
0%
46%
1%
70%
0%
28%
2%
71%
0%
28%
1%
38%
0%
60%
2%
76%
0%
22%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(173)
(67)
(163)
(221)
(47)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
Gender
Total
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
42%
30%
24%
4%
43%
32%
24%
1%
40%
29%
24%
7%
53%
17%
23%
7%
41%
33%
23%
3%
42%
32%
21%
5%
39%
30%
28%
3%
42%
30%
23%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(407)
(391)
(70)
(153)
(308)
(266)
(775)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(11)
Gender
Total
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
29%
37%
23%
31%
41%
34%
19%
19%
19%
20%
18%
16%
18%
31%
33%
29%
34%
34%
31%
31%
11%
5%
11%
8%
12%
3%
13%
11%
11%
5%
9%
3%
12%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(232)
(233)
100%
(464)
(90)
(180)
(161)
(446)
(33)
(5)
(6)
(8)
Gender
Total
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
59%
33%
7%
70%
29%
0%
51%
36%
13%
100%
100%
100%
(382)
(166)
(216)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
63%
26%
11%
59%
38%
3%
56%
35%
9%
70%
26%
4%
52%
38%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(100)
(169)
(67)
(160)
(218)
(46)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
48%
52%
50%
50%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
(446)
(208)
(238)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
56%
44%
52%
48%
49%
51%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(100)
(162)
(138)
(433)
(46)
65+
White
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(4)
Other
(4)
Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
60%
40%
63%
37%
57%
43%
45%
55%
60%
40%
64%
36%
61%
39%
60%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(587)
(294)
(292)
(60)
(105)
(231)
(191)
(573)
Black
(2)
Hispanic
(4)
Other
(7)
10
Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
57%
43%
57%
43%
57%
43%
100%
100%
100%
(607)
(298)
(309)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
56%
44%
56%
44%
66%
34%
57%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(120)
(234)
(203)
(592)
(49)
65+
White
Black
(2)
Hispanic
(4)
Other
(9)
11
Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
37%
63%
36%
64%
38%
62%
11%
89%
34%
66%
36%
64%
48%
52%
37%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(669)
(329)
(341)
(56)
(129)
(262)
(223)
(653)
Black
(2)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
12
Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
32%
68%
26%
74%
38%
62%
35%
65%
33%
67%
32%
68%
30%
70%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(630)
(325)
(306)
(56)
(121)
(243)
(211)
(614)
Black
(2)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
13
Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
19%
81%
21%
79%
17%
83%
5%
95%
20%
80%
20%
80%
21%
79%
19%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(662)
(329)
(333)
(52)
(126)
(263)
(221)
(642)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
14
Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
56%
44%
51%
49%
61%
39%
59%
41%
55%
45%
58%
42%
53%
47%
56%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(636)
(323)
(313)
(61)
(104)
(256)
(214)
(622)
Black
(0)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(8)
15
Gender
Total
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
47%
50%
3%
43%
53%
4%
50%
48%
2%
75%
25%
0%
52%
45%
3%
38%
58%
3%
47%
50%
3%
47%
50%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(771)
(389)
(382)
(55)
(153)
(306)
(257)
(751)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
16
Gender
Total
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
22%
63%
16%
26%
62%
13%
17%
64%
19%
49%
34%
17%
18%
72%
10%
18%
63%
19%
21%
63%
15%
22%
62%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(767)
(384)
(383)
(61)
(151)
(300)
(256)
(747)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
17
Gender
Total
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
11%
53%
36%
12%
47%
41%
10%
60%
30%
47%
38%
15%
4%
47%
49%
8%
51%
40%
9%
64%
27%
11%
53%
36%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(761)
(385)
(376)
(55)
(152)
(299)
(254)
(740)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
18
Gender
Total
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
70%
30%
66%
34%
74%
26%
54%
46%
63%
37%
74%
26%
74%
26%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(783)
(400)
(383)
(70)
(148)
(303)
(263)
(763)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
19
Gender
Total
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
68%
32%
68%
32%
67%
33%
52%
48%
75%
25%
68%
32%
68%
32%
68%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(774)
(399)
(375)
(70)
(148)
(300)
(256)
(754)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
20
Gender
Total
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
54%
46%
48%
52%
60%
40%
54%
46%
51%
49%
51%
49%
58%
42%
54%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(770)
(395)
(375)
(70)
(148)
(296)
(256)
(750)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
21
Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
77%
23%
78%
22%
77%
23%
49%
51%
75%
25%
86%
14%
76%
24%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(795)
(408)
(387)
(70)
(152)
(306)
(267)
(775)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
22
Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
74%
26%
77%
23%
72%
28%
78%
22%
77%
23%
71%
29%
75%
25%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(407)
(374)
(70)
(149)
(306)
(256)
(761)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
23
Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
65%
35%
61%
39%
68%
32%
54%
46%
64%
36%
63%
37%
69%
31%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(403)
(377)
(70)
(149)
(301)
(261)
(760)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
24
Gender
Total
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
16%
25%
20%
20%
15%
27%
14%
27%
17%
22%
26%
12%
14%
11%
26%
36%
30%
25%
13%
17%
17%
17%
21%
22%
8%
37%
21%
16%
16%
25%
20%
20%
19%
16%
22%
13%
14%
23%
18%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(410)
(387)
(67)
(153)
(310)
(268)
(775)
(5)
(6)
(11)
25
Gender
Total
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
26%
74%
25%
75%
26%
74%
47%
53%
30%
70%
26%
74%
17%
83%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(799)
(410)
(389)
(72)
(152)
(310)
(265)
(777)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(11)
26
Gender
Total
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
3%
11%
86%
2%
18%
80%
4%
4%
92%
0%
27%
73%
3%
22%
75%
3%
7%
90%
4%
5%
90%
3%
11%
86%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(805)
(411)
(394)
(72)
(153)
(311)
(268)
(783)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(11)
27
Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
55%
30%
15%
49%
38%
13%
59%
24%
16%
100%
100%
100%
(372)
(166)
(206)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
45%
36%
19%
64%
24%
12%
68%
18%
13%
36%
48%
16%
70%
17%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(167)
(62)
(163)
(205)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
28
Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
36%
48%
16%
33%
54%
13%
38%
44%
19%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(166)
(205)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
37%
41%
22%
37%
48%
14%
38%
46%
16%
15%
73%
12%
52%
29%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(166)
(61)
(162)
(205)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
29
Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
57%
23%
20%
54%
25%
21%
59%
21%
19%
100%
100%
100%
(372)
(166)
(206)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
44%
38%
18%
68%
11%
21%
69%
6%
25%
48%
29%
22%
64%
18%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(167)
(62)
(163)
(205)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
30
Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
46%
35%
19%
38%
46%
16%
53%
25%
22%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(166)
(205)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
36%
37%
27%
52%
29%
19%
54%
28%
17%
26%
49%
26%
62%
23%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(167)
(62)
(162)
(205)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
31
Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
43%
33%
24%
42%
38%
20%
44%
28%
27%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(165)
(206)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
37%
31%
32%
49%
25%
26%
54%
32%
15%
32%
52%
16%
53%
18%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(166)
(62)
(162)
(205)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
32
Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
47%
25%
28%
46%
21%
33%
47%
29%
24%
100%
100%
100%
(373)
(167)
(206)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
34%
38%
28%
56%
18%
26%
58%
11%
31%
29%
36%
35%
61%
17%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(167)
(63)
(163)
(206)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
33
Gender
Total
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
73%
27%
70%
30%
75%
25%
100%
100%
100%
(377)
(162)
(214)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
57%
43%
82%
18%
83%
17%
74%
26%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(99)
(170)
(61)
(160)
(213)
(46)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
34
Gender
Total
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
38%
62%
33%
67%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
(370)
(166)
(203)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
56%
44%
25%
75%
30%
70%
36%
64%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(160)
(63)
(162)
(203)
(46)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
35
Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
69%
31%
67%
33%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
(378)
(166)
(212)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
65%
35%
80%
20%
79%
21%
52%
48%
82%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(98)
(172)
(62)
(162)
(212)
(46)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
36
Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
77%
23%
85%
15%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
(376)
(167)
(210)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
93%
7%
68%
32%
71%
29%
89%
11%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(98)
(168)
(63)
(162)
(210)
(47)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
37
Gender
Total
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
49%
51%
53%
47%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
(386)
(166)
(219)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
61%
39%
34%
66%
42%
58%
63%
37%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(172)
(66)
(162)
(220)
(47)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
38
Gender
Total
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
22%
78%
8%
92%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
(381)
(167)
(214)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
25%
75%
22%
78%
19%
81%
7%
93%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(167)
(66)
(161)
(216)
(47)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
39
Gender
Total
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
8%
10%
30%
8%
11%
31%
8%
9%
29%
15%
13%
32%
8%
9%
21%
3%
6%
36%
7%
19%
36%
9%
3%
25%
52%
51%
54%
39%
63%
55%
39%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(216)
100%
(382)
(101)
(171)
(64)
(162)
(217)
(47)
(1)
(3)
40
Gender
Total
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
27%
44%
28%
40%
44%
17%
18%
45%
37%
100%
100%
100%
(383)
(167)
(216)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
33%
32%
35%
23%
54%
23%
20%
60%
19%
40%
41%
18%
17%
46%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(96)
(173)
(67)
(162)
(216)
(47)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
41
Gender
Total
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
22%
48%
30%
25%
50%
25%
20%
46%
33%
100%
100%
100%
(377)
(164)
(213)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
19%
44%
37%
30%
45%
25%
22%
57%
21%
9%
66%
24%
32%
34%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(97)
(170)
(67)
(159)
(214)
(43)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
42
5.7%
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
67%
26%
7%
0%
80%
14%
6%
1%
65%
30%
5%
0%
72%
23%
5%
0%
81%
18%
2%
0%
58%
31%
11%
0%
65%
26%
9%
0%
72%
25%
3%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(805)
(200)
(316)
(137)
(319)
(451)
(526)
(228)
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
67%
26%
7%
0%
77%
20%
3%
0%
56%
33%
10%
0%
59%
33%
8%
0%
57%
35%
7%
0%
69%
25%
6%
1%
72%
21%
7%
0%
67%
26%
7%
0%
68%
26%
6%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(805)
(411)
(394)
(72)
(153)
(311)
(268)
(556)
(197)
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
8%
9%
1%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
0%
9%
6%
0%
35%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
10%
0%
36%
1%
6%
8%
1%
22%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
10%
0%
47%
1%
5%
9%
2%
6%
2%
0%
0%
7%
15%
14%
0%
40%
0%
3%
8%
1%
35%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
10%
0%
42%
0%
11%
9%
2%
12%
1%
0%
2%
3%
6%
15%
0%
38%
1%
9%
10%
0%
26%
0%
0%
3%
1%
4%
10%
0%
36%
1%
3%
6%
5%
11%
2%
0%
0%
4%
3%
18%
0%
47%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(804)
(200)
(316)
(137)
(319)
(450)
(526)
(227)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
8%
9%
1%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
0%
3%
7%
2%
21%
0%
0%
1%
2%
6%
13%
0%
44%
1%
13%
11%
1%
20%
1%
0%
3%
1%
1%
13%
0%
35%
1%
0%
9%
0%
8%
0%
0%
6%
5%
27%
8%
0%
33%
3%
7%
16%
1%
29%
2%
0%
3%
1%
3%
9%
0%
30%
0%
10%
9%
1%
20%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
14%
0%
44%
1%
8%
6%
3%
20%
1%
0%
1%
3%
0%
16%
0%
42%
0%
9%
7%
1%
23%
1%
0%
2%
1%
0%
14%
0%
39%
1%
6%
12%
2%
17%
1%
0%
0%
3%
11%
10%
0%
38%
0%
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(804)
(411)
(393)
(72)
(153)
(311)
(267)
(555)
(197)
Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
42%
30%
24%
4%
53%
27%
16%
3%
38%
40%
20%
2%
43%
16%
32%
9%
44%
33%
22%
1%
40%
28%
25%
6%
44%
29%
23%
4%
36%
33%
27%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(198)
(312)
(136)
(319)
(444)
(520)
(227)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
42%
30%
24%
4%
43%
32%
24%
1%
40%
29%
24%
7%
53%
17%
23%
7%
41%
33%
23%
3%
42%
32%
21%
5%
39%
30%
28%
3%
40%
31%
24%
5%
49%
30%
20%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(407)
(391)
(70)
(153)
(308)
(266)
(548)
(196)
Ideology
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
33%
37%
30%
30%
37%
29%
30%
39%
19%
20%
20%
20%
17%
21%
24%
10%
31%
21%
31%
34%
27%
34%
30%
33%
11%
5%
14%
8%
11%
8%
13%
4%
6%
12%
14%
2%
12%
4%
10%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(93)
(193)
(78)
(177)
(268)
(291)
(145)
Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
33%
29%
37%
23%
31%
41%
34%
35%
19%
19%
19%
20%
18%
16%
20%
11%
31%
33%
29%
34%
34%
31%
30%
34%
11%
5%
11%
8%
12%
3%
13%
11%
11%
5%
9%
3%
11%
5%
12%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(232)
(233)
100%
(464)
(90)
(180)
(161)
(330)
(99)
(33)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
48%
52%
51%
49%
56%
44%
31%
69%
67%
33%
36%
64%
47%
53%
52%
48%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(446)
(114)
(151)
(77)
(168)
(257)
(302)
(114)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
48%
52%
50%
50%
47%
53%
56%
44%
52%
48%
49%
51%
51%
49%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(208)
(238)
100%
(446)
(100)
(162)
(138)
(317)
(104)
(46)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
60%
40%
66%
34%
69%
31%
40%
60%
81%
19%
52%
48%
66%
34%
55%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(587)
(113)
(225)
(123)
(194)
(361)
(358)
(184)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
60%
40%
63%
37%
57%
43%
45%
55%
60%
40%
64%
36%
61%
39%
64%
36%
56%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(587)
(294)
(292)
(60)
(105)
(231)
(191)
(388)
(154)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
57%
43%
56%
44%
66%
34%
36%
64%
65%
35%
53%
47%
60%
40%
53%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(607)
(152)
(239)
(101)
(242)
(339)
(401)
(168)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
57%
43%
57%
43%
57%
43%
56%
44%
56%
44%
66%
34%
62%
38%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(298)
(309)
100%
(607)
(120)
(234)
(203)
(417)
(161)
(49)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
37%
63%
33%
67%
38%
62%
48%
52%
35%
65%
40%
60%
34%
66%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(669)
(163)
(262)
(116)
(255)
(382)
(429)
(194)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
37%
63%
36%
64%
38%
62%
11%
89%
34%
66%
36%
64%
48%
52%
42%
58%
29%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(669)
(329)
(341)
(56)
(129)
(262)
(223)
(468)
(164)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
32%
68%
23%
77%
30%
70%
29%
71%
28%
72%
34%
66%
29%
71%
37%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(630)
(146)
(248)
(111)
(262)
(341)
(391)
(195)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
32%
68%
26%
74%
38%
62%
35%
65%
33%
67%
32%
68%
30%
70%
36%
64%
21%
79%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(630)
(325)
(306)
(56)
(121)
(243)
(211)
(429)
(163)
10
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
19%
81%
18%
82%
19%
81%
17%
83%
19%
81%
20%
80%
17%
83%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(662)
(166)
(256)
(107)
(260)
(370)
(424)
(191)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
19%
81%
21%
79%
17%
83%
5%
95%
20%
80%
20%
80%
21%
79%
18%
82%
20%
80%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(662)
(329)
(333)
(52)
(126)
(263)
(221)
(461)
(164)
11
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
56%
44%
66%
34%
58%
42%
40%
60%
67%
33%
48%
52%
64%
36%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(636)
(168)
(240)
(114)
(258)
(349)
(403)
(191)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
56%
44%
51%
49%
61%
39%
59%
41%
55%
45%
58%
42%
53%
47%
57%
43%
54%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(636)
(323)
(313)
(61)
(104)
(256)
(214)
(441)
(152)
12
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
47%
50%
3%
41%
56%
4%
37%
59%
5%
62%
38%
1%
35%
59%
6%
54%
44%
1%
49%
48%
4%
40%
57%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(771)
(198)
(299)
(125)
(307)
(429)
(498)
(222)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
47%
50%
3%
43%
53%
4%
50%
48%
2%
75%
25%
0%
52%
45%
3%
38%
58%
3%
47%
50%
3%
46%
51%
3%
46%
51%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(771)
(389)
(382)
(55)
(153)
(306)
(257)
(542)
(187)
13
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
22%
63%
16%
13%
76%
11%
15%
68%
17%
52%
32%
16%
12%
79%
9%
28%
52%
21%
17%
69%
13%
28%
51%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(767)
(198)
(296)
(124)
(303)
(430)
(495)
(222)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
22%
63%
16%
26%
62%
13%
17%
64%
19%
49%
34%
17%
18%
72%
10%
18%
63%
19%
21%
63%
15%
16%
66%
17%
31%
60%
9%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(767)
(384)
(383)
(61)
(151)
(300)
(256)
(537)
(187)
14
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
11%
53%
36%
4%
48%
48%
8%
52%
40%
32%
45%
23%
7%
47%
46%
14%
58%
28%
10%
55%
35%
13%
49%
38%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(761)
(196)
(291)
(124)
(306)
(420)
(489)
(222)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
11%
53%
36%
12%
47%
41%
10%
60%
30%
47%
38%
15%
4%
47%
49%
8%
51%
40%
9%
64%
27%
6%
56%
39%
21%
52%
27%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(761)
(385)
(376)
(55)
(152)
(299)
(254)
(533)
(184)
15
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
70%
30%
68%
32%
76%
24%
65%
35%
68%
32%
71%
29%
66%
34%
78%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(783)
(195)
(308)
(130)
(310)
(439)
(511)
(223)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
70%
30%
66%
34%
74%
26%
54%
46%
63%
37%
74%
26%
74%
26%
73%
27%
61%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(783)
(400)
(383)
(70)
(148)
(303)
(263)
(545)
(189)
16
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
68%
32%
77%
23%
74%
26%
43%
57%
82%
18%
58%
42%
72%
28%
60%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(774)
(196)
(300)
(130)
(308)
(432)
(503)
(221)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
68%
32%
68%
32%
67%
33%
52%
48%
75%
25%
68%
32%
68%
32%
71%
29%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(774)
(399)
(375)
(70)
(148)
(300)
(256)
(537)
(186)
17
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
54%
46%
51%
49%
55%
45%
44%
56%
51%
49%
56%
44%
58%
42%
44%
56%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(770)
(195)
(296)
(130)
(307)
(429)
(498)
(222)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
54%
46%
48%
52%
60%
40%
54%
46%
51%
49%
51%
49%
58%
42%
59%
41%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(770)
(395)
(375)
(70)
(148)
(296)
(256)
(534)
(185)
18
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
77%
23%
78%
22%
87%
13%
62%
38%
86%
14%
72%
28%
76%
24%
81%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(795)
(198)
(312)
(134)
(318)
(444)
(522)
(224)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
77%
23%
78%
22%
77%
23%
49%
51%
75%
25%
86%
14%
76%
24%
79%
21%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(795)
(408)
(387)
(70)
(152)
(306)
(267)
(548)
(194)
19
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
74%
26%
81%
19%
80%
20%
57%
43%
86%
14%
67%
33%
81%
19%
63%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(191)
(308)
(134)
(316)
(437)
(514)
(222)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
74%
26%
77%
23%
72%
28%
78%
22%
77%
23%
71%
29%
75%
25%
77%
23%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(407)
(374)
(70)
(149)
(306)
(256)
(539)
(189)
20
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
65%
35%
64%
36%
66%
34%
51%
49%
70%
30%
61%
39%
68%
32%
58%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(192)
(306)
(134)
(316)
(436)
(514)
(222)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
65%
35%
61%
39%
68%
32%
54%
46%
64%
36%
63%
37%
69%
31%
68%
32%
57%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(403)
(377)
(70)
(149)
(301)
(261)
(534)
(194)
21
Ideology
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
16%
25%
20%
20%
21%
23%
21%
23%
19%
31%
14%
17%
4%
17%
25%
27%
14%
27%
19%
22%
18%
24%
18%
19%
24%
22%
19%
20%
2%
32%
15%
23%
19%
13%
19%
26%
17%
21%
15%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(200)
(308)
(136)
(319)
(444)
(520)
(226)
Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Tea Party
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
16%
25%
20%
20%
15%
27%
14%
27%
17%
22%
26%
12%
14%
11%
26%
36%
30%
25%
13%
17%
17%
17%
21%
22%
8%
37%
21%
16%
18%
27%
22%
16%
14%
23%
12%
33%
19%
16%
22%
13%
14%
23%
18%
17%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(410)
(387)
(67)
(153)
(310)
(268)
(549)
(196)
22
Ideology
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
26%
74%
25%
75%
21%
79%
33%
67%
16%
84%
31%
69%
25%
75%
26%
74%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(799)
(197)
(313)
(136)
(316)
(448)
(521)
(228)
Gender
Serious
Not serious
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
26%
74%
25%
75%
26%
74%
47%
53%
30%
70%
26%
74%
17%
83%
25%
75%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(799)
(410)
(389)
(72)
(152)
(310)
(265)
(553)
(194)
23
Ideology
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
3%
11%
86%
4%
13%
83%
3%
11%
86%
2%
18%
80%
2%
15%
83%
3%
9%
88%
1%
13%
85%
6%
8%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(805)
(200)
(316)
(137)
(319)
(451)
(526)
(228)
Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
3%
11%
86%
2%
18%
80%
4%
4%
92%
0%
27%
73%
3%
22%
75%
3%
7%
90%
4%
5%
90%
4%
9%
87%
2%
17%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(805)
(411)
(394)
(72)
(153)
(311)
(268)
(556)
(197)
24
9.4%
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
53%
34%
12%
0%
72%
27%
0%
0%
64%
21%
16%
0%
45%
43%
13%
0%
72%
24%
4%
0%
40%
42%
18%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(388)
(70)
(106)
(116)
(163)
(221)
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
53%
34%
12%
0%
70%
26%
4%
0%
41%
41%
18%
1%
52%
38%
10%
0%
56%
34%
10%
1%
46%
46%
8%
0%
49%
37%
13%
0%
68%
22%
10%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(221)
100%
(388)
(101)
(173)
(67)
(302)
(75)
(47)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
60%
0%
38%
2%
48%
0%
52%
0%
54%
0%
45%
1%
68%
0%
30%
2%
38%
0%
60%
2%
76%
0%
22%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(388)
(70)
(106)
(116)
(163)
(221)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
60%
0%
38%
2%
50%
0%
49%
1%
67%
0%
31%
2%
53%
0%
46%
1%
70%
0%
28%
2%
71%
0%
28%
1%
69%
0%
30%
1%
30%
0%
69%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(221)
100%
(388)
(101)
(173)
(67)
(302)
(75)
(47)
Ideology
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
59%
33%
7%
75%
25%
0%
67%
30%
3%
53%
42%
5%
70%
26%
4%
52%
38%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(382)
(70)
(106)
(114)
(160)
(218)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
59%
33%
7%
70%
29%
0%
51%
36%
13%
63%
26%
11%
59%
38%
3%
56%
35%
9%
59%
34%
7%
60%
32%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(216)
100%
(382)
(100)
(169)
(67)
(298)
(75)
(46)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
55%
30%
15%
36%
48%
16%
49%
39%
12%
67%
22%
11%
36%
48%
16%
70%
17%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(372)
(70)
(100)
(115)
(163)
(205)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
55%
30%
15%
49%
38%
13%
59%
24%
16%
45%
36%
19%
64%
24%
12%
68%
18%
13%
63%
24%
13%
27%
51%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(206)
100%
(372)
(101)
(167)
(62)
(291)
(71)
(42)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
36%
48%
16%
19%
71%
10%
19%
69%
12%
50%
27%
22%
15%
73%
12%
52%
29%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(70)
(100)
(114)
(162)
(205)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
36%
48%
16%
33%
54%
13%
38%
44%
19%
37%
41%
22%
37%
48%
14%
38%
46%
16%
42%
40%
18%
10%
79%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(205)
100%
(371)
(101)
(166)
(61)
(291)
(70)
(42)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
57%
23%
20%
53%
31%
17%
54%
26%
20%
66%
16%
18%
48%
29%
22%
64%
18%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(372)
(70)
(100)
(115)
(163)
(205)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
57%
23%
20%
54%
25%
21%
59%
21%
19%
44%
38%
18%
68%
11%
21%
69%
6%
25%
63%
18%
18%
35%
40%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(206)
100%
(372)
(101)
(167)
(62)
(291)
(71)
(42)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
46%
35%
19%
39%
50%
10%
40%
42%
18%
52%
27%
21%
26%
49%
26%
62%
23%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(70)
(100)
(115)
(162)
(205)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
46%
35%
19%
38%
46%
16%
53%
25%
22%
36%
37%
27%
52%
29%
19%
54%
28%
17%
51%
29%
20%
29%
57%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(205)
100%
(371)
(101)
(167)
(62)
(291)
(70)
(42)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
43%
33%
24%
27%
52%
22%
44%
42%
14%
51%
17%
32%
32%
52%
16%
53%
18%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(70)
(100)
(115)
(162)
(205)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
43%
33%
24%
42%
38%
20%
44%
28%
27%
37%
31%
32%
49%
25%
26%
54%
32%
15%
51%
23%
26%
18%
66%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(165)
(206)
100%
(371)
(101)
(166)
(62)
(290)
(71)
(42)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
47%
25%
28%
42%
36%
22%
34%
35%
31%
63%
12%
25%
29%
36%
35%
61%
17%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(373)
(70)
(101)
(115)
(163)
(206)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
47%
25%
28%
46%
21%
33%
47%
29%
24%
34%
38%
28%
56%
18%
26%
58%
11%
31%
54%
22%
24%
21%
36%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(206)
100%
(373)
(101)
(167)
(63)
(292)
(71)
(42)
Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
73%
27%
87%
13%
56%
44%
82%
18%
74%
26%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(377)
(69)
(103)
(115)
(160)
(213)
Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
73%
27%
70%
30%
75%
25%
57%
43%
82%
18%
83%
17%
77%
23%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(162)
(214)
100%
(377)
(99)
(170)
(61)
(298)
(70)
(46)
10
Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
38%
62%
39%
61%
38%
62%
30%
70%
36%
64%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(370)
(70)
(101)
(113)
(162)
(203)
Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
38%
62%
33%
67%
42%
58%
56%
44%
25%
75%
30%
70%
38%
62%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(203)
100%
(370)
(101)
(160)
(63)
(288)
(71)
(46)
11
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
69%
31%
55%
45%
60%
40%
83%
17%
52%
48%
82%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(378)
(70)
(105)
(112)
(162)
(212)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
69%
31%
67%
33%
71%
29%
65%
35%
80%
20%
79%
21%
78%
22%
36%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(212)
100%
(378)
(98)
(172)
(62)
(297)
(71)
(46)
12
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
77%
23%
70%
30%
83%
17%
79%
21%
89%
11%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(376)
(70)
(106)
(113)
(162)
(210)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
77%
23%
85%
15%
70%
30%
93%
7%
68%
32%
71%
29%
72%
28%
96%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(210)
100%
(376)
(98)
(168)
(63)
(295)
(71)
(47)
13
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
49%
51%
66%
34%
52%
48%
35%
65%
63%
37%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(386)
(70)
(106)
(115)
(162)
(220)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
49%
51%
53%
47%
47%
53%
61%
39%
34%
66%
42%
58%
41%
59%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(219)
100%
(386)
(101)
(172)
(66)
(301)
(74)
(47)
14
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
22%
78%
14%
86%
10%
90%
25%
75%
7%
93%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(381)
(70)
(105)
(115)
(161)
(216)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
22%
78%
8%
92%
32%
68%
25%
75%
22%
78%
19%
81%
27%
73%
5%
95%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(214)
100%
(381)
(101)
(167)
(66)
(296)
(75)
(47)
15
Ideology
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
8%
10%
30%
14%
6%
49%
7%
14%
29%
9%
5%
25%
7%
19%
36%
9%
3%
25%
52%
32%
50%
61%
39%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(382)
(70)
(106)
(115)
(162)
(217)
Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
8%
10%
30%
8%
11%
31%
8%
9%
29%
15%
13%
32%
8%
9%
21%
3%
6%
36%
8%
6%
26%
8%
22%
44%
52%
51%
54%
39%
63%
55%
61%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(216)
100%
(382)
(101)
(171)
(64)
(297)
(75)
(47)
16
Ideology
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
27%
44%
28%
43%
34%
24%
29%
51%
20%
14%
51%
35%
40%
41%
18%
17%
46%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(383)
(70)
(106)
(116)
(162)
(216)
Gender
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
27%
44%
28%
40%
44%
17%
18%
45%
37%
33%
32%
35%
23%
54%
23%
20%
60%
19%
21%
50%
29%
46%
28%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(216)
100%
(383)
(96)
(173)
(67)
(297)
(75)
(47)
17
Ideology
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
22%
48%
30%
17%
58%
25%
8%
61%
31%
21%
37%
42%
9%
66%
24%
32%
34%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(377)
(68)
(106)
(115)
(159)
(214)
Gender
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
22%
48%
30%
25%
50%
25%
20%
46%
33%
19%
44%
37%
30%
45%
25%
22%
57%
21%
27%
42%
32%
6%
72%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(164)
(213)
100%
(377)
(97)
(170)
(67)
(292)
(74)
(43)
18