MODELING UTAH POPULATION DATA

Math 1010 Intermediate Algebra Group Project

According to data fro~ the U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, the population ofUtah
appears to have increased linearly over the years from 1980 to 2008. The following table shows
the population in 100,000's living in Utah according to year. In this project, you will use the
data in the table to find a linear functionj(x) that represents the data, reflecting the change in
population in Utah.

Estimates of Utah Resident Population, in 1 OO,OOO's

Year

1981
1

Population, y

15.2

1989
9
17. D

1993
13)
19

1999
19

2005
25

22\

25

2008
28
27.4

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division

1.

Using the graph paper on the last page, plot the data given in the table as ordered pairs.
Label the x and y axes with words to indicate what the variables represent.

2.

Use a straight edge to draw on your graph what appears to be the line that "best fits" the
data you plotted. You will only have one line drawn, rather than several pieces of lines

3.

Estimate the coordinates of two points that fall on your best-fitting line. Write these
points below.

Use the points that you wrote down to find a linear functionf(x) for the line. Show your
work!

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4.

What is the slope of your line? m = _1_

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Interpret its meaning. Does it make sense in the context of this situation? Please use
complete sentences to respond to these questions.

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5.

Find the value ofj(45) using your function from part 3. Show your work, then write your
result in the blank below.

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Write a sentence interpreting the meaning off (45) in the context of this project.

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6.

Use your function from part 3 to approximate in what year the residential population of
Utah reached 2,000,000. Show your work.

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7.

Compare your linear function with that of another student or group.

Comparison function : f(x) =

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Is the comparison function the same as the function you wrote down for part 3?

Ifthey are different, explain why.

If they are the same, explain why.

8.

In actuality, using a linear growth model for population is not com,mon. Most models are
exponential models, due to the fact that most populations experience relative growth, i.e.
2% growth per year. Linear models for nonlinear relationships like population work only
within a small time frame valid close to the time of the data modeled. Discuss some of
the false conclusions you might reach if you use your linear model for times far from
1980-2008.

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