MARKET VERSUS PLAN
THE INTER-WAR SOCIALIST
CALCULATION DEBATE
By Mick BrooksFirst the development of the socialist calculation debate is
outlined. It is asserted that the challenge by Mises and his
supporters as to the viability of a planned economy was
adequately answered by the socialists in the neoclassical terms
in which it was presented to them. The ‘market socialist’ reply,
however, raised real problems of its own. Criticisms of these
socialist solutions converged from right and left.
The nature of economic rationality originally raised by Mises
is then discussed. It is emphasised that the rationality derived
from neo-classical concepts is capitalist rationality.
Questions relating to the nature of economic thought are
taken up. It is argued that neo-classical economics is a system
of tautologies derived from market economies and is therefore
incapable of being used to assess a planned economy.
The limits to the neo-classical theory of value and costs are
then stressed, Finally instances of market failure are referred
to. what is important is to discuss how far such ‘waste’, widelyrecognised in standard discussions of welfare economics, is
inherent in economic activity or specific to a market economy.Introduction
This is an analytical history of a debate which raised
fundamental questions of economic theory. The issues raised have
once again become topical. Apart from the revival of the
socialist calculation debate in labour movement circles over
recent years, during the course of writing the ‘crisis of the
planned economies’ has become a hot news item. The question is
approached here from the standpoint of classical marxism.
After outlining the history of the debate, the issues raised
during its course are then taken up. It is not possible of course
to discuss all the views put forward during the inter-war period
and since on questions which are quite fundamental to economics.
We intend to concentrate particularly on the proposals of the
Austrian strand of neo-classical economics which was both
dominant on the anti-socialist side and most conscious of its own
political implications. As Lavoie (1985: 6) correctly points out
"most histories of thought treat the Austrian tradition of
economics as a branch of neo-classical economics parallel to the
Marshallian and Walrasian branches, and it seems that this was
the view of the Austrian economists themselves at the time of the
debate". As we shall see, the debate accelerated the process of
differentiation between the Austrian school and the neo-classical
mainstream.
Lavoie’s book opens with the statement that "the socialist
calculation debate is widely acknowledged to have been the mostimportant theoretical controversy in the field of comparative
economics". (ibid pl). Taking part in the debate shaped the
subsequent patterns of thought and preoccupations of the
participants and of economics generally into the post-war period.
Dramatis personae
The problems of economic calculation in a socialist
community were first brought to international notice in 1920 by
Mises, an outstanding representative of the Austrian school.
Mises’ attack was based on a discussion already taking place
in German on the feasibility of a planned economy. among others
who contributed on the anti-socialist side was Max Weber. The
English language debate was more sharply formulated as a result,
and provides ample scope to discuss the issues which arose.
Mises’ critique of socialism implied that a planned economy would
necessarily slide into chaos. We can surmise that his 1920 essay
was influenced by the view then general in the West that the
Soviet Union under War Communism was on the point of collapse or
capitalist restoration. He intended to dance on its grave. This
is also Lavoie’s interpretation. (ibid p4).
The perspective before Hayek in 1935 was rather different.
Capitalism had gone into its deepest crisis ever, while Stalin’s
Russia under the Five Year Plans seemed to be surging ahead.
Hayek, a follower of Mises and an outstanding theorist in his own
right, was able to apply the same approach to this new situation
and to develop the arguments to deal with its critics.Building on Mises’ basic arguments about the impossibility
of rational calculation under socialism and the problen of
incentives, Hayek added the issue of complexity of the planning
process and the perception of the market as a necessary
institution for the dissemination of knowledge.
The socialists who opposed them, with the sole exception of
Dobb, did not regard themselves as marxists. They were university
trained in neo-classical economics and attempted to apply it to
the problems of a planned economy. In fact they represented a new
generation of intellectuals, who in Britain were organised in
various think tanks around the Labour Party. Durbin and
Dickinson were associated with Gaitskell, whose 1931 memorandum
on the practicalities of a socialist programme raised all the
basic questions which were discussed in their writing. Barbara
Wootton’s political activity is well known.
Dobb’s intervention was quite different. He defended the
twists and turns of the line of the Communist International and
explicitly offered the Soviet Union as a model for socialist
development. Nevertheless, his academic work took him into the
labyrinth of welfare economics. As Bergson (1948: 444) remarks:
“he makes free use of orthodox value theory in his analysis of
socialist resource allocation" and adds "in Dobb’s analysis the
labour theory is not so much an analytic tool as excess baggage"
Schumpeter (1954: 884) commented that Dobb: "cannot be described
as marxist as far as economic analysis is concerned". Widely
regarded as a supporter of the Bukharin faction, in 1928 Dobb’s
Russian Economic Development defended universal price calculation
in a socialist economy. He repudiated this at the time of thefirst Five Year Plan. Nevertheless there are consistent themes in
his work which differentiate him from the ‘market socialists’, as
we shall call them.
Aftermath
Increasingly during the debate Hayek retreated into the
mists of metaphysics as he developed the anti-socialists’
further lines of defence. He began to formulate the argument that
the community was incapable of developing a common scale of
values. It followed that a plan could only be implemented by the
state imposing its own scale upon those of the citizenry. This of
course was the theme of the Road to Serfdom (1944).
The other major participants were also affected in their
intellectual development by their intervention in the debate.
After the war Lange offered his services to Polish stalinism, by
which he was undoubtedly changed but which he was perhaps able to
influence with some of his pre-war concepts. Dobb continued to
work within welfare economics, his work neverthless reflecting
the changes in economic policy and thinking in the Soviet Union.
The most influential assessment of the debate, by Bergson
(2948: 412), showed the socialists to have won a splendid
victory: "By now it seems generally agreed that the argument on
these questions advanced by Mises himself is ....without much
force".
Yet the fate of these doctrines is paradoxical. The standard
anti-communist economic histories of the Soviet Union by such asWiles (1962) and Nove (1970) have uncritically appropriated the
critique of Mises and company. In 1983 Nove’s Economics of
Feasible Socialism, an influential book, particularly in Labour
Party intellectual circles, unveiled the problems of calculation,
of compexity and of incentives an an invincible argument against
@ planned economy.
Some definitions and qualifications
The case for a planned economy can be stated very simply. A
basic feature of capitalism is that it is an unplanned system of
generalised commodity production. Marx (1962: 316) exploited its
ironies in the following passage:
“The very same bourgeois mentality which extols the
manufacturing division of labour denounces just as loudly
every kind of deliberate social control and regulation of
the social process of production....It is characteristic
that the inspired apologists of the factory system can find
nothing worse to say of any proposal for the general
organisation of social labour, than that it would transform
the whole of society into a factory."
By planned production then we mean that resources are allocated
ex ante, as happens in a factory, and not found in the market, ex
post.
This essay should in no sense be regarded as a general
discussion on the relative merits of capitalism and socialism,even in regard to strictly economic matters. Its purpose is much
more narrowly conceived. ‘capitalism versus socialism’ is a much
more broad and general question and cannot be resolved just by
comparing the market economy with a plan of production. Clearly
there is an overlap, since under capitalism relations between
classes appear as market relations. For the sake of simplicity,
however, it should be noted that we assume that capitalism is
incompatible with planning the economy as a whole (though
individual capitalists of course attempt to plan). This
assumption was shared by all the participants in the inter-war
debate, from both right and left.
It might be asked whether a post-capitalist economy will
necessarily be governed by a plan of production. Again, this was
the assumption of all the participants in the inter-war debate,
though many had different conceptions of what planning was and
how it would be undertaken. Though we have differentiated ‘plan’
from ‘socialism’, all the debaters who regarded themselves as
socialists advocated planning in some form, and were criticised
by their opponents for doing so. Therefore we may identify the
two terms for shorthand purposes during our description of the
debate. This view is qualified somewhat in our discussion of the
‘politics of planning’.
We intend to neglect entirely what Marx (1966(2): 15) called
the "higher phase of communist society", where each individual
gives according to their ability and takes according to their
needs. In so far as we deal with a post-capitalist planned
economy: "what we have to deal with here is a communist society,
not as it has developed on its own foundations, but on thecontrary, just as it emerges from capitalist society; which
is therefore, in every respect, economically, morally and
intellectually still stamped with the birth marks of the old
society from whose womb it comes.
In the debate the socialists accepted Mises’ definition of
socialism (as against communism) as a society where the
predominant means of production are communally owned but there
continues to be a labour and a consumer goods market. This seems
to derive from Marx’s description of the ower phase of
communism" in Critique of the Gotha Programme (1966(2)) - which
was later called socialism by Lenin in State and Revolution
(1976(1)), and as such passed into usage in the international
communist movement. More likely, however, it comes from Kautsky’s
(1907) pamphlet On the Day after the Social Revolution.
The next preliminary is to discuss whether markets and money
will exist under socialism as we have defined it. It is important
to understand that this lower phase of communism is not
inaugurated by the seizure of state power by the working class.
Lenin, to the day of his death, did not refer to the Soviet Union
as socialist. And in many of his works (eg. State and Revolution
(1976(1)) and Politics in the Era of the Dictatorship of the
Proletariat (1976(2)) he refers to an entire "epoch" or "era"
between the seizure of state power and entry onto the stage of
socialist development. It is necessary to point this out since
pro-capitalist critics and those who defend what they call
“actually existing socialism" both persist in referring to every
post-capitalist society as immediately socialist.
The founding fathers of marxism believed there would not becommodity production, money and market relations under socialism.
Thus, for instance, Engels in Anti-Duhring (1959: 427) in the
section on ‘Socialism’: "the useful effects of the various
articles of consumption, compared with one another and with
the quantities of labour required for their production, will
in the end determine the plan. People will be able to manage
everything very simply, without the intervention of much
vaunted ‘value’.
He was emphatic that the law of value regulates only a commodity
producing society.
For our part we emphasise that we are discussing post-
capitalist societies in transition to socialism where market and
plan co-exist. We will not discuss socialism as defined by Lenin
here.
Since it is accepted that markets and a plan will exist side
by side for a whole period, in what sense are we discussing
‘market versus plan’? The participants in the inter-war debate
recognised that they were discussing societies with different
laws of motion. There would have been no point in debating the
question otherwise.
Review of the literature. The attack on socialism.
As Joan Robinson has reminded us: "The whole point of
utility was to justify laisser faire". (1962: 53). It remained
for neo-classical economists to marshall their basic assumptions
and demonstrate their incompatibility with belief in theviability of a planned economy. Though Pierson had achieved this
in 1902, it was Mises who first brought this line of attack to
international notice. The central thrust of his assault was on
the question of economic calculation, or in other words on the
rationality of a planned economy. His most important work was
Economic Calculation in a Socialist Community (in Hayek 1935);
his larger work Socialism (1936) mainly repeated the same
arguments on this point. The rest of the latter book was devoted
to unoriginal anti-socialist dogmas and prejudices.
The basic premises of his argument are very simple. They were
accurately restated by Sweezy in his own book Socialism (1949:
223).
"1) under capitalism resources are allocated to various
industries and the appropriate means of production are
determined through the medium of a price system, which in turn is
regulated by the market competition of independent owners of the
means of production...
"2) under socialism all means of production are the
property of the community as a whole
"3) since therefore there are no independent owners to
compete in the market, it follows that there can be no
pricing of the means of production under socialism
"4) without prices for the means of production rational
economic caculation is impossible
"5) hence, finally, socialism is bound to fail".
Mises begins with a discussion about using labour units as a
method of calculation and labour tokens as a means of
distribution. He shares this preoccupation with Pierson and theother early generation of anti-socialist writers. Mises seems to
have been polemicising as much against the perspectives for in
natura planning of such as Neurath (1919) (inspired by
interventionism during the First World War) as against Marx.
Mises concludes (1936: 119): "without calculation economic
activity is impossible. Since under socialism economic
calculation is impossible, under socialism there can be no
economic activity in our sense of the word...it would no
longer do to speak of rational production. In the absence of
criteria of rationality, production could not be consciously
ecoriomical."
When Mises speaks of “economic caclulation" he is harking back to
the fundamental notion of opportunity cost. Since resources are
scarce, it is necessary to choose between alternatives. Choice
depends upon the relative scarcity (‘value’) of resources. For
instance if you intend to get a hole dug, whether you employ one
man with a JCB or a whole gang with shovels depends upon the
xelative cost of labour power and capital. There is no choice
which is ‘correct’ in all circumstances.
Mises concentrated on the need for a common denominator in
evaluating costs. This could only be money. He accepted that the
value of ‘factors’ were imputed from that of the final product
they contribute to produce, in the neo-classical manner. The
nature of value, and particularly the subjective nature of costs
is an important underlying issue in the debate. Mises thus
responded to the socialist challenge by spelling out what markets
do. The debate therefore raised all the underlying theoretical
issues as to the nature and object of economics.
10Heyek, intervening at a later stage in the debate, had a
much more lively awareness of the central issues as they had been
debated. Hayek’s (1935(1)) introduction to collectivist Economic
Planning, entitled The Nature and History of the Problem is a
fuller and more articulate defence of Mises’s proposition. He
begins with the ends of economic activity. Implicitly he accepts
Robbins’ (1935: 16) definition of economics as the: "science
which studies human behaviour as the relationship between ends
and scarce means which have alternative uses." Of course he
assumes consumer sovereignty - that the individual chooses their
ends. They do so within a framework of given market prices. They
do not approach the market with any preconception as to what they
want independent of the price of these wants compared with
alternatives.
Hayek therefore draws a clear distinction between the
activity of an engineer whose end is given and that of an
economist.
Economic calculation can also be applied to the means of
achieving these ends. Here again we are confronted by
alternatives with production methods different with respect to
money cost.
Moreover the relative prices of both consumer goods and
capital goods are all interdependent. Hayek (1945: 525) therefore
feels entitled to refer to the market as a "means-end structure".
Each price is dependent upon every other.
In other words though, as Hayek emphasises, the individual
is confronted with given prices, these prices change in order to
reflect changes in preferences, and these changes gradually
aneliminate deviations from equilibrium. This is wnat Lange (1967:
402) later described as the "feedback principle", comparing it
with the servo-mechanism of a computer. Thus the data, as Hayek
observes, is continually changing.
The process through which proportionality is established in a
market economy is of course the operation of the laws of supply
and demand. Hayek finally emphasises the role of supply and
demand factors upon prices.
This analysis in effect defines markets as processing “two
kinds of information: first, information about what people want;
second, information about the economic costs of meeting those
wants" - a standard definition from an Economist ‘Schools Brief’
(11/10/86: 90). The modern emphasis on markets as providing
signals owes much to Hayek’s work and in particular to the
clarification provided by the inter-war debate.
The Austrian approach enables Hayek (1935(2): 209) to
marshall some interesting defences of his position: “It follows
that the excellence, from a technological point of view, of
some parts of the Russian industrial equipment, which most
strikes the casual observer and which is commonly regarded
as evidence of success, has little significance in so far as
the answer to the central question is concerned".
In fact he is able to imply that such technical sucess is a mark
of deep economic irrationality - without of course providing a
shred of evidence.
Most notably Hayek’s introduction (1935(1): 36-37) modifies
Mises’ original position on the grounds that: "Mises had
originally used the somewhat loose statement that socialism
a2was impossible, while what he meant was that socialism made
rational calculation impossible. Of course any proposed
course of action is possible in the strict sense of the
word, ie. it may be tried. The question can only be whether
it will lead to the expected results, that is whether the
proposed course of action is consistent with the aims which
it is intended to serve." He goes on: “the real difficulty
here is, of course, that for most people the decision on
this point will depend on the extent to which the
impossibility of rational calculation would lead to a
reduction of output in a centrally directed economy compared
with that of a competitive systen...it must be admitted that
there is no simple way to prove how great that difference
would be."
The reader may not find this argument against socialism as
devastating as Hayek evidently intended it to be.
Complexity
We see that Hayek is beginning to explore other themes.
Though planning is not impossible it is very complicated. The
problem of complexity arising from the market as a source of
information represents, as Lange (1964: 63) put it: "a second
line of defence". Hayek raised the spectre of the solutions of
hundreds of thousands of simultaneous equations, Robbins of
millions. They were evidently referring back to the work of
Barone, a follower of Pareto, who had shown in 1908 that if a
13scale of wants, available capital and a productivity of capital
coefficient were given, a series of simultaneous equations could
simulate the working out of a position of optimum allocation of
resources provided by a perfectly competitive market (a ‘Pareto
optimum’). Barone (1935: 267-) was no socialist, as the
concluding remarks of his essay show. He hinted darkly that: "an
army of officials would appear" and ended with the bizarre
comment that we "cannot talk about organised production and free
love". Evidently his essay was conceived as a simple intellectual
exercise.
In fact with the exception of Dickinson (1933) none of the
socialists who responded to Mises’ challenge used this
framework. Dickinson specifically repudiated this approach in
Economics of Socialism (1939) on the grounds that the data would
be constantly changing - one of Hayek’s favourite points.
Nevertheless Hayek and Robbins continued to belabour the
issue. This was despite the fact that Taylor’s (1964: 51, 53)
pioneering defence of the possibility of socialist planning
combined with a free market in labour and consumer goods as early
as 1928 had clearly and specifically been based on solution of
the problem of factor pricing through trial and error. He
describes it as: "the method which consists in trying out a
series of hypothetical solutions till one is found which
proves a success...A too high valuation of any factor would
cause the stock of that factor to show a surplus at the end
of the productive period...a too low valuation of any factor
in the tables would be certain to cause a deficit in the
stock of that factor. Surplus or deficit, one or the other
14would result from every wrong valuation of a factor".
Incentives
The anti-socialists raised as a third string to their bow the
question of incentives to managers of nationalised enterprises.
Lange (1964: 109) replied: "these public officials must be
compared with corporation officials under capitalism and not
with private small-scale entrepreneurs. The argument thus
loses much of its force. The discussion of this argument
belongs to the field of sociology rather than economic
theory".
We merely note in passing that Pigou (1937: 101) that doyen of
Cambridge economics opined on this issue that: "socialism should
be allotted, I think, some more marks than its rival." Certainly
Hayek’s assertion that the departments of big corporations act
towards each other as firms are supposed to do in the market is
quite incredible and could only be defended by those like Hayek
with an unlimited contempt for empirical enquiry.
It hardly seems necessary to do more than quote Shaw (from a
letter to The Times in reply to Mallock) on “the obvious fact
that interest is paid mostly to people who could not invent.
@ wheelbarrow much less a locomotive". No more than rustic
ignorance is "the notion that the people who are now
spending, in weekend hotels, on motor cars or in
Switzerland, the Riviera and Algeria the remarkable increase
in unearned incomes recently noted, have ever invented
15anything, ever directed anything, ever even selected their
own investments without the aid of a stockbroker or a
solicitor, or even as much as seen the industries from which
their incomes derive". (quoted in Dobb 1966: 7).
What lay behind this dismissal of the question of incentives by
the socialists of course was the recognition that the development
of monopoly capitalism had led to a separation of ownership and
control. As far as we have been able to ascertain Hayek never
even addressed the growth of monopoly in his voluminous writings
- implicitly a powerful critique of the whole austrian approach.
Mises, for instance, was still asserting in 1949 that:
“capitalism is not a managerial system; it is an entrepreneurial
system." Nor did Hayek ask himself whether his examples (for
instance of the unique knowledge of a tramp steamer skipper) are
of more than of marginal significance in a world of great
corporations.
Review of the Literature. Ihe Socialist Response.
The socialists who picked up the gauntlet thrown down by Mises
were working entirely within the canons of welfare economics.
They denied that a society of abundance could ever exist (note
that we have specifically excluded this question from our
purview) and accepted Robbins’ classic definition of the function
of economic science. Indeed both Hall’s (1937) and Dickinson’s
(1939) books start with a chapter on "the economic problem". Both
works then continue to grind through the basic precepts of neo-
16classical economics. Most of the other participants, too,
emphasise the role of economic calculation as an eternally valid
method. In a word, the socialists present themselves as more
consistent neo-classical economists than their opponents.
Dickinson (1933: 247) even avers that: “only in a socialist
community is it possible to realise the true principles from
economic valuation" and “the beautiful systems of economic
equilibrium described by Bohm-Bawerk...are not descriptions
of society as it is but prophetic visions of the socialist
economy of the future".
The reason why socialism was envisaged as providing a better
approximation to the ideals of welfare economics will be dealt
with later.
We are being offered utopias in the strict sense. No means
of getting from the present to the ideal state presented is
outlined. The major exception to this is Lange’s work, which
rather resembles a prize essay on the subject "reconcile
socialism with the precepts of welfare economics". Since Lange
was in many respects the most rigorous and aware of the basic
issues of welfare economics (to which he was a major contributor
in the 1930s) we will use his presentation most extensively.
The basic solution to the problem of pricing capital goods
was again very simple. Since the prices of ‘factors’ in neo-
classical theory are held to be imputed from the value of final
goods, what is the problem with accounting prices being imputed
arbitrarily by the Central Planning Authority and varied by trial
and error? The neo-classical opponents of socialism were hoist on
their own petard.
a7Lange (1964: 59-60) begins with what he calls the
"parametric" function of prices. Though prices are supposed to be
the resultant of choices by producers and consumers, under
perfect competition they confront both as given. He quotes
Wicksteed to show that ‘price’ has two meanings: "It may mean
either price in the ordinary sense, ie. the exchange ratio
of two commodities on a market, or it may have the
generalised meaning of ‘terms on which alternatives are
offered’." He goes on: "To solve the problem three data are
needed: 1) a preference scale which guides the acts of
choice; 2) knowledge of the ‘terms on which alternatives are
offered’; 3) knowledge of the amount of resources
available."
(Note the similarity of this to Barone’s data from which the
series of simultaneous equations were to be worked out.) Since
(1) and (3) are given as in capitalism, (2) can be derived from
the production functions: "the technical possibilities of
transformation of one commodity into another". (ibid p60)
Lange goes on to exorcise the ghost of solving millions of
equations used by Hayek and Robbins: "The only ‘equations’ which
would have to be ‘solved’ would be those of the consumers
and managers of production. They are exactly the same
‘equations’ which are ‘solved’ in the present economic
system and the persons who do the ‘solving’ are the same
also. Consumers ‘solve’ them by spending their income so as
to get out of it the maximum total utility; and the managers
of production ‘solve’ them by finding the combination of
18factors that minimises average cost and the scale of output
that equalises marginal cost and the price of the product.
They ‘solve’ them by a method of trial and error, making (or
imagining) small variations at the margin as Marshall used
to say, and watching what effect those variations have
either on the total utility or on the cost of production.
And only a few of them have been graduated in higher
mathematics. Professor Hayek and Professor Robbins
themselves ‘solve’ at least hundreds of equations daily, for
instance in buying a newspaper or in deciding to take a meal
in a restaurant, and presumably they do not use determinants
or Jacobians for that purpose. And each entrepreneur who
hires or discharges a worker or who buys a bale of cotton
‘solves equations’ too. Exactly the same kind and number of
‘equations’, no less and no more have to be ‘solved’ in a
socialist as in a capitalist economy, and exactly the same
persons, the consumers and managers of production plants
have to ‘solve’ them." (ibid p.88-89)
We have quoted at length here because Lange excellently
demystifies the problem handed to the socialists by Hayek and the
Austrians.
Following from this it was a simple matter to show that
Mises had confused the two meanings of ‘price’ in the narrow
sense with ‘price’ in the wider sense of an index of
alternatives. It is only in the latter sense that ‘prices’ are
indispensable for the allocation of resources. It follows that:
"the accounting prices in a socialist economy, far from being
arbitrary, have quite the same objective character as the market
19prices in a regime of competition." (ibid p82). Lange, like most
of the socialists, accepted that historically given prices would
provide the basis in practice for the accounting prices of
capital. He envisages a society where "the Central Planning Board
performs the function of the market". It imposes rules on a
society where, by consumers maximising their utility ana
producers their profit, an equilibrium with the optinum
allocation of resources as envisaged by Pareto is reached.
Managers of state-owned firms must choose the combination of
factors which minimises the average cost of production. A second
rule determines the scale of output at the point where marginal
costs equals price. The output of the industry is fixed in
exactly the same way.
Thus the picture presented by Lange and his co-thinkers was
of a post~capitalist society dominated by rules rather than by
planning, as Sweezy (1949) quite rightly remarks. As an exercise
in taking the premises of neo-classical economics (which were
after all developed to defend the capitalist system) and using
them against the protagonists its effect was devastating. But in
what sense was this a realistic picture of a post-capitalist
society?
It became increasingly clear on both sides that the solution
was to a problem - the optimum allocation of resources in a state
of static equilibrium under conditions of perfect competition -
which quite simply does not and cannot exist. The unrealistic and
impossible assumptions of perfect competition - no historical
time, perfect knowledge, no externalities, homogeneous goods and
no economies of scale - have been outlined so often it seems
20pointless to repeat them here.
Finally, the victory of the socialists up to this point in
the debate was ‘pyrrhic’, to quote Dobb, since rent, interest,
unequal incomes determined by market forces, one man management
of factories and many other phenomena which had been denounced by
socialists for generations re-emerged. It was also a moot point
whether the problem of mass unemployment would exist.
As to further proposals, the market socialists all
recognised that in practice the rate of investment would be fixed
by conscious decision of the Central Planning Authority and not
‘automatically’ by the rate of interest (see below).
Moreover, all the socialists had developed a critique of
capitalist society because of the wider social implications
(positive and negative externalities) of economic activity that
were ignored in decisions taken by individual firms. This had led
them to propose quite extensive sectors of economic activity
which could be provided free. Dickinson’s (1939) list involves
cases where increased consumption would increase social welfare
as a whole; where services would not be wasted if provided free;
and where the ‘free’ service does not compete with marketed
commodities. All basic wants, he suggests, could come into this
category. Secondly, there are cases where collective needs must
be provided communally as they are consumed in common (ie. public
goods). Finally, there are goods where individual enjoyment is
bound up with other’s ~ such as concert halls or phone lines.
Clearly the principles laid down, though vague, can be
interpreted to take large areas of economic activity out of
market provision.
21There is some justification then in Hayek’s grumble about
the large number of “arbitrary elements" injected into the market
socialist project.
Dobb's intervention
In the first place Dobb built on the perception held by the
market socialists that the rate of investment is inevitably an
‘arbitrary’ element even in a ‘market socialist’ economy. Basing
his case on the argument that the Central Planning Authority must
set the rate of investment he goes on to point out that this
necessarily means central planning of at least the major
direction of investment and its nature and purpose. He goes on to
point out that actual investment decisions are necessarily
concrete, not deriving from general economic laws.
Here we come up against another problem in Dobb’s voluminous
writings on planning over a long period. What role has economic
decision-making (in the sense of the word used by Hayek and Co)
to play in a planned economy? In Political Economy and
Capitalism (1940: 319) he grants that it will be "very small or
Most
non-existent and at any rate...kapidly diminishing"
importantly, investment changes relative prices throughout the
economy and destroys equilibrium positions as society is in
constant change. Rather than dealing with static equilibrium we
are discussing dynamics of economic development.
In the same work Dobb cites the main failing of capitalism
as lack of foreknowledge. Naturally, since we cannot foresee the
22future, uncertainty in all things cannot be abolished. yet there
exists an important area of what is called ‘secondary
uncertainty’ - that is uncertainty of individuals about the
likely behaviour of others because of the atomised decision-
making process in a market economy. He ticks off four different
effects of secondary uncertainty which can be overcome by a
planned economy, causing investment decisions to be taken
differently from a capitalist economy.
First, there is the effect of parallel or rival investment
(by others) on entrepreneurs’ own decisions. Secondly, there is
the problem of anticipating complementary investment. As Dobb
points out, infrastructure is an essential precondition for
investment activity, particularly in a newly developing area.
Capitalism typically develops a whole series of related
investment areas and markets together - for instance car
production, roads and petroleum. Thirdly, there is the level of
investment and saving in an economy as a whole, which in a market
economy characteristically develops in cycles. Finally, there are
problens associated with anticipating the future rate of
interest, a crucial determinant for present investment decisions.
(ibid pp278-).
Elsewhere (1939: 596) Dobb uses the example of a pursuit
curve to show the way lack of foresight affects the dynamics of
capitalist investment. The point is that he is dealing not with
static problems of allocative efficiency but with society in
change. From this vantage point: "what are problems of cost
become ones of allocation.” (1940: 45). He therefore denounces
the decision of the market socialists to impute accounting prices
23to capital goods as a "Heath Robinson device", insisting that the
rates of investment, saving and interest be treated as a unitary
decision by the planning authority.
Hayek's counter-offensive
Surprisingly, the same point is taken up by Hayek (1940:
131), who denounces the market socialists for: "an excessive
preoccupation with problems of pure theory of stationary
equilibrium”. These are almost the same words Dobb (1939) uses
and it is a criticism which had already arisen within the ranks
of the market socialists (eg Lerner 1937: 254). Yet Austrian
theory also holds that there is a tendency to equilibrium over
time. If it did not, there could quite simply not be a criterion
of optimality with which to criticise the planned economy. and it
is problems of change which Hayek principally raises in objection
to Lange and Dickinson. His main objection seems to be the
practical one as to how quickly the imputed prices of capital
goods are to be varied. This second wave or counter-critique also
differs from his first onslaught in that he now raises the notion
that the prices of factors reflect entrepreneurs’ expectations
about the economy and have to be discovered through speculation.
He singles out the role of entrepreneurs (after the manner of
Mises’ praise of the "creative few") compared with the
bureaucratic lassitude of state managers. We have already ruled
the question of incentives out as a complete red herring.
24Hayek responded to the debate by asserting that the
socialists had significantly climbed down over the necessity of
the market. This is not strictly true in the sense that his
opponents in the debate had never put forward in natura planning
or calculations in labour time as a serious alternative.
Certainly Elizabeth Durbin (1984: 108) quotes Lachman, a young
student of Hayek at the LSE as saying he “felt like a junior
officer in a war which was being lost". Shapiro (1986:139-) sums
up the novel points offered in Hayek’s counter offensive. Hayek
emphasises not only the amount of information to be assimilated,
but also the fact that this information is continually changing.
It is the interdependence of these two problems in his view which
makes central planning so complex. We shall discuss later (in the
section on costs) whether costs are objectively given to the
economic agent or remain to be found by entrepreneurial activity.
At one point Hayek (1940: 132) completely gives the gane
away. He points out that: "much machinery, most buildings and
ships and many parts of other products are hardly ever produced
for a market but only on a special contract". It is odd to find
Hayek here agreeing with Marx and Engels on the obsolescence of
market relations. Finally, to the obvious argument that pre-
existing capital prices would be used as a basis for calculation
by the Central Planning Authority, Hayek (1935: 213) argues that
this would be impossible after the chaos following a revolution,
presumably in consequence of the changes in income distribution
and hence the structure of demand, though this is not clear from
his account.
Both left and right had identified basic weaknesses in
25Lange’s and other market socialists’ solution to the problem
posed by Mises. They relied on the postulate of static
equilibrium. Yet Mises added in the 1936 edition of his book the
perception that socialism would have no problem under stationary
conditions. Whereas Lange’s solution dealt quite adequately with
the production of given commodities, what was to happen if there
was a shift in the whole pattern of demand? The entrepreneur in
those circumstances would have to switch to a different line of
production if that were technically possible, or withdraw his
capital altogether from that sector. But it was not clear how the
manager of a state-owned firm would exercise that initiative.
Lange might justifiably complain that by appealing to static
equilibrium analysis he was merely applying concepts of ‘economic
science’ as they were taught to millions of people throughout the
capitalist world. The terms of debate were being shifted against
him,
The dissemination of information
fo the three basic objections against planning - the problem
of calculation, of complexity and of incentives - was to be added
a fourth, the dissemination of information. The Austrian strand
of neo-classical theory had always been the most militantly pro-
capitalist, and Hayek (1945: 519) worked up.this further theme in
26his later articles and summed it up in The price system as a
mechanism for using knowledge. He states: "the ‘data’ from which
the economic calculus starts are never for the whole society
‘given’ to a single mind which could work out the implications,
and can never be so given". He goes on: "the sort of knowledge
with which I have been concerned is knowledge of the kind which
by its nature cannot enter into statistics and therefore cannot
be conveyed to any central authority in statistical form". (ibid
p524).
Recently Lavoie (1985) and Shapiro (1986) have attempted to prove
that the notion of the market as a necessary institution in
spreading knowledge was explicit in Mises’ original formulation
and did not represent a "second line of defence" as Lange
asserted.
The problem with this view is that Mises categorically
stated that socialism was impossible, a formulation which Hayek
was forced to correct while raising the issue of complexity and
the related one of knowledge. Let us cali in witness Lionel
Robbins (1971: 107), a close collaborator of Mises in the debate
and a (partially) pentitent sinner: "I think it was a pity that
(Mises) stated his denials in terms which were liable to
suggest that productive activity of any kind was impossible
in a totalitarian system - which is obviously not true.
Hayek's most recent discussion of socialist calculation in The
Fatal Conceit (198:
: 85-88), (which raises the issue of knowledge
dissemination as the sole and fundamental objection) states that
he began this line of enquiry in 1936 - after the publication of
Collectivist Economic Planning. Certainly his articles on the
27subject post-date 1935.
It seems that recognition that the Austrian school is not
simply a slight variant of the neo-classical orthodoxy is partly
a product of the debate itself. surely the views of Lavoie and
Shapiro downgrade the originality of Hayek’s insight.
The source for this insight may be somewhat unexpected. The
Left Opposition’s critigue of forced collectivisation and the way
the first Five Year Plan was implemented focussed on the
incapacity of the bureaucracy to plan, monitor and supervise all
economic activity in a nation of over 200 million people.
Later we quote Trotsky more fully (1976: 113) from 1932: "If
there existed the universal mind that projected itself into
the scientific fantasy of Laplace...such a mind of course
could a priori draw up a faultless and exhaustive economic
plan".
This quote was injected into the debate in 1935 by Lerner in an
effort to twit Dobb. This seems to be the first reference to the
question of knowledge dissemination in the debate. Could it be
argued that Leon Trotsky was the father of the modern Austrian
school?
It is certainly a consequence of the division of labour that
every worker is equipped with unique levels of knowledge. But, as
a worker, she has no interest in communicating this to her
employer - quite the contrary. The follower of Hayek will argue
that all this is beside the point since we are dealing with
market relations between firms, not relations in the workplace.
It is accepted by the Austrian school that the other side of
‘consumer sovereignty’ is that the mass of producers (who also
28make up most of the consumers) should be mindless helots at work.
It is only ‘the few’, the entrepreneurs, who are the bearers of
this useful knowledge.
To conclude our analysis, the critique of ‘market socialism’
converges from right and left.
Wants and the Social System
Neo-classical economists refer to a ‘scale of wants’ or
values or preference scale. It is clear that nobody has ever
articulated their own scale of wants or written it down on the
back of an envelope. Nor would it be possible to do so. There is
no pre-existing scale of wants. People’s scales of wants do not
include items such as ‘food’ but articles such as bread,
potatoes, pasta, steak, etc., and are totally dependent on their
relative prices, as the theory of opportunity costs states.
Clearly the ‘scale of wants’, the very foundation and end of
economic activity has only a fleeting and nebulous existence.
For neo-classical economics consumption is the purpose of
production. Wants are exogenously given and in principle
infinite. We will not deal with the huge literature on the
attempts to manipulate wants under modern capitalism. We will
merely note with Marx (1971: 21): “mankind inevitably sets itself
only such tasks as it is able to solve, since closer
examination will always show that the problem itself arises
29only when the material conditions for its solution are
already present or at least in the course of formation".
It is highly likely that medieval peasants were bored during long
winter nights, but unlikely that any of them were wishing someone
would hurry up and invent television. Wants are determined by the
development of the productive forces and by one’s class position
within society. "The consumer is no freer than the producer. His
judgement depends on his means and his needs. Both of these
are determined by his social position, which itself depends
on the whole social organisation.” (Marx 1967(2): 41).
So wants are endogenous to the social system.
This was certainly Schumpeter’s (1939: 73) view. In his work
Business Cycles, he states: "We will throughout act on the
assumption that consumers’ initiative in changing their
tastes...is negligible and that all change in consumer taste
is incidental to, and brought about by producers’ action."
Purchases and consumption patterns vary mainly not with
mysterious exogenously given changes in taste or the weather (to
use favourite neo-classical examples) but with purchasing power
dictated by the stage of the boom-slump cycle.
A discussion took place after the Russian revolution on the
role of demand in relation to the workings of the law of value.
Rubin (197:
: chi7) summarises its basic conclusion: that social
need depends on value rather than value depending on social need.
Value determines both the volume of demand and the quantity of
supply and it is changes in value which lead to changes of supply
and demand.
This accords with Marx (1966(1): 188): "qualitatively the
30definite social wants are very elastic and changing. Their
fixedness is only apparent. If the means of subsistence were
cheaper, or money wages higher, the labourers would buy more
of them and greater ‘social need’ would arise for thom...",
It seems therefore that Mandel (1986: 11), a contemporary critic
of Nove’s market socialism, goes too far when, in polemicising
against the myth of unlimited and exogenously given wants, he
asserts that consumption patterns are largely independent of the
market. He puts forward the notion of a hierarchy of needs,
appealing to the statistician Engel, and also calls in witness
the ‘saturation model’ of Dobb, who suggests the demand curve for
a wide variety of commodities (such as television sets) may look
like diagram 1 below. Mandel expresses this as the marginal
elasticity of demand tending to zero.
Phice
QvAN TITY
What seems to be true is that marginal price changes do not
dramatically change the pattern of demand. vet major shifts in
relative prices such as those produced by the oil shock of 1974
and 1979 have had their effects. Resistance to changes in
relative prices cannot just be attributed to inertia or what neo-
classical economists might regard as irrational behaviour.
31Neo-classical economics regards people as rational egoistic
atoms. In addition to Adam Smith’s ‘invisible hand’ and the
‘visible hand’ of corporate power (from Chandler), Okun has added
to this lexicon the notion of the ‘invisible handshake’. Mandel
calls the same phenomenon “objective informal cooperation".
“Invisible handshake’ seems an inappropriate expression for
relations which are often quite literally short-sighted - such as
loyalty to work-mates, the small local shop or to known
suppliers. We are extremely reluctant to enter into this huge
area of human behaviour so these remarks will be in the nature of
basic cautions. People live in society. Nobody can deny that such
yelations are extremely important in shaping human behaviour. Nor
can they be regarded as any less rational than the model assumed
by economists. The fact is that they do cause people to behave
differently.
Rationality
Our survey of the literature began by raising the question
of rational calculation. Hutchison (1965: 116) quotes Mises as
laying down a "fundamental principle that everybody behaves
rationally" (Grundprobleme der Nationalokonomie) and goes on to
show that rationality is then defined by Mises as “how people
behave"
This vacuous definition, if taken seriously, would make
32the whole onslaught by Mises and his school on the feasibility of
socialism quite misplaced.
For neo-classical economics rationality can only refer to
the means of achieving ends. Ends are given and cannot be
subjected to a test of rationality. The matter is complicated by
the principle of opportunity cost, by which people choose between
existing alternatives at given prices. This is why Hayek
(1945: 525) refers to value’s "significance in view of the whole
means-ends structure". The ends of economic activity are set in
the scale of wants and rationality is taken to mean consistency
or “optimising behaviour" (McAuley 1967:340) in attaining those
wants. Any society can therefore be rational if it orders
production so as to satisfy "its" wants. Nove (196
73) quotes
Stalin’s reported desire that "his own" works be visible from
Mars. As McAuley comments, Nove cannot deride this scale of
values as irrational, though ‘the man on the Clapham omnibus’
would doubtless regard it as insane, and he would be right.
Likewise it is impossible for the economists to denounce the
desire of sections of the Federation of Conservative students to
legalise heroin so pushers can stand outside our schools and hand
out free samples. This is no less insane, and entirely within the
canons of consumer sovereignty.
The problem is that the scale of wants or preferences is
tacit and invisible. Any economy which looks irrational from
33outside can in fact be performing rationally according to a
different scale of values from our own, rather than failing to
optimise. This is important since most orthodox post-war
critiques of the Soviet economy merely record the undoubted fact
that it behaves differently from a capitalist economy as evidence
of its deep-rooted irrationality. Schumpeter (1954: 114-15) had
already remarked on the "habit economists have of setting
themselves up as judges of the rationality not only of means
but of ends (motives); ie. to call rational ends (motives)
that seem reasonable to thesmelves and to dispose of others
as irrational".
Lange also deals with this question in Political Economy (1976:
ch5). He shows how the very notion of rationality developed with
a market economy. Lange, of course, believes that commodity
production will continue under socialism, so a planned economy
can share that rationality and develop it by applying it to the
economy as a whole. He defines economic activity as: "the
realisation of given ends by the use of certain means" (our
emphasis) - an interesting variation on Robbins’ classic
definition. We believe that one major difference with a planned
economy is that the scale of values is articulated and that
economic activity begins with given ends, just as Marx believed
human labour in general does.
The expression "planners preferences" has long entered the
jargon alongside "consumers preferences" (consumer sovereignty).
The problem is that the utilitarian basis of neo-classical
economics is incurably individualistic. The attempt to draw up a
‘social welfare function’ seems to have foundered. As Ball (1979:
3467) points out: "The (social welfare function) is, however, only
a formal statement that the object of the analysis is to find out
what society prefers. It gives no rules by whch to derive the
actual parameters of the function". Dobb and others have
concluded in fact that no such rules can be found.
Consumer sovereignty
Under a market economy the scale of values is said to be
provided by the consumers. This is consumers’ sovereignty. unless
this is intended as a cruel joke it should be called "buyers’
sovereignty", for consumption is only possible with effective
demand - that is with money. Robbins (1937: 193) enthusiastically
refers to the market as a "continous referendum", though even he
is unable to completely gloss over an economic ‘franchise’ that
makes the pre~1832 ‘Old Corruption’ look like a model of
Periclean democracy. Apart from unequal incomes, the market
socialists had a fairly standard list of distortions to consumer
sovereignty imposed by capitalism. Dickinson’s (1939: ch2) list
is typical. He denounces the tendency to monopoly, the creation
and manipulation of wants we have already referred to, and the
neglect of externalities or social costs which we shall deal with
later.
Durbin (1935) raises an additional point. Robbins refers to
the market as a referendum not an election, and indeed the
consumer is confined to yes/no responses. Take it or leave it is
35the choice. In the case of a poor person this may mean which slum
you live in, since at your income the alternative of decent
accommodation is not available. Hoff (1981: 341) spills a great
deal of ink attempting to show that Russian peasants bought
inferior goods from Russian industry because there was no better
quality available. He sees this as some sort of distortion of
market forces. On the contrary that is the way the market works.
There can be no independent check in in a market economy as to
whether people really liked a commodity, found it worthwhile,
etc. In a planned economy there can be a check on the difference.
Commodities are produced only because there is no conscious
decision as to what society’s priorities are and because spending
power is concentrated in the hands of the rich and their state.
Recent surveys in Britain have shown that people would be
prepared to pay higher taxes for a better health service. But
that alternative is not for sale. In other words there can be a
difference between individual well-being and the preferences
revealed in the market place.
How do we know what people want? Since we are supposed to
have consumer sovereignty in a market economy, people can spend
their money as they please. It is taken that they will spend it
so as to maximise their utility or welfare. Earlier variants of
the theory assumed people would seek something till its marginal
utility was equalled by the marginal disutility of getting it.
Marshall used the homely example of a boy whose marginal utility
for the next blackberry is suddenly equal to the disutility of
picking it. So he stops. How do we know that they are equal?
Because he has stopped. The whole thing is an empty tautology. It
36has no explanatory or predictive value. Later formulations of the
theory (revealed preference) merely abandon any pretence at
measuring anything, even ordinal utility. They openly parade
their own nakedness. Evaluation, measurement, is taking place -
but nothing is being measured. The whole edifice of neo-classical
economics is a magnnificent cathedral of concepts built in honour
of a god who does not exist. Its explanatory power is non-
existent, and so is its policy value.
This view is shared by none other than Hayek (1973: 45):
"the tautologies, of which formal equilibrium analysis in
economics essentially consists, need statements about how
knowledge is acquired and communicated to tell us anything
about causation in the real world". With faulty knowledge:
“a positiion of equilibrium....is not an equilibrium in the
special sense in which equilibrium is regarded as a sort of
optimum position.” (ibid p65)
Hutchison (1965:56-7) points out that: “every single central
proposition and system of economic theory since the
Physiocrats...has been criticised as circular or as
‘assuming what it is required to prove’." He quotes Cairnes
on Jevons: "value depends upon utility and that utility is
whatever affects value." And Davenport on the Austrians: "it
explains value by marginal utility and resolves marginal
utility into market value". Hutchison goes on: "The liberal
tautology is that if people know how to achieve maximum returns,
wanted to do so and were free from obstruction, they would in
fact maximise their returns. At least one part of the assumptions
usually left unstated is obviously false". (that relating to
37expectations in his view) (ibid p1e3).
So when Robbins (1937: 199, 204) says: "we know that a
consumer has planned his expenditure rationally when...the things
that he would gain would give him less satisfaction than the
things he would lose", we know no such thing. All we know is that
the consumer has spent his money on fashion A and not fashion B.
Equally when Robbins deduces from this that in a planned economy
“the division of labour is likely to be distorted", we are
entitled to ask, ‘by whose criterion?’, or more rudely, ‘so
what?’.
Wootton explores some of these absurdities in Lament for
Economics (1938). The destruction of use-values such as coffee is
not the destruction of wealth if the coffee is unsaleable.
Payment of dole to an unemployed person is diminution of social
welfare, since society clearly has no use for that person’s
services. Resources were optimally employed before, because they
must have been. All these absurdities result from using ‘value’
as explanandun and explanans. Hutchison (1965: 189) believes the
debate to have been useful but that it could have been more so
without liberal economics "advancing purely theoretical arguments
based on unstated, one-sided and empirically false assumptions".
Welfare and economics
We can now move on to discuss more of the basic assumptions
of neo-classical economics which influenced both sides in the
debate. All variants of neo-classical theory postulate a tendency
38of the economy towards equilibrium, though it is quite true that
the Austrian school has a more dynamic concept of movement
towards equilibrium. This equilibrium state represents in some
sense an ideal allocation of resources. Without a tendency to
equilibrium it would be quite impossible to speak of a market
economy optimising any scale of values. of this equilibrium
theory one of the most well known and influential forms is the
Pareto-optimum. At equilibrium no consumer is prepared to
continue trading because each is convinced they nave the best
deal possible. Likewise the producer condition of equilibrium is
that each firm is convinced it has used the factors available to
it in the most efficient manner. In that sense the economy has
reached an optimum position: producers all seek to maximise their
profits, so profits become equal; and consumers maximise their
utility. This occurs under the restrictive conditions of perfect
competition. We have already quoted the Economist Schools Brief
definition of markets (1986:90), that they "process two kinds of
information; first information about what people want; second
information about the economic costs of meeting those wants." It
is markets therefore which provide the possibility for attaining
an optimum equilibrium position.
The first point to be made is that the fundamental
proposition of ‘welfare’ could apply while people are starving. A
Pareto optimum is defined in a limited way as a position where
nobody can becone better off without somebody else being made
worse off. It quite specifically abstracts from the initial
distribution of income between people. Dobb has written reams to
show that there are as many optimum positions as there are
39possible divisions of income between the participants. In fact
this is excessively obvious.
Marshall and Pigou had concluded that welfare would be
maximised where, other things being equal, income was as equal as
possible. This argument is a blow against market capitalism,
which relies on a far-reaching gulf of inequality in wealth and
in income between the classes. They did this on the grounds that
money, like anything else, should have a declining marginal
utility. An extra pound in the pocket of a poor person would mean
much more for utility than in the pocket of a rich person.
Robbins and others objected to this on the grounds that
interpersonal comparisons are invalid. This argument is very
Gifficult to rebut. All that can be said is, first, that the
whole of marginal utility theory collapses if an example can be
found where utility is not subject to diminishing returns;
secondly, that Robbins’ reliance on verstehen doctrine in Nature
and Significance of Economic Science (1935: 76): “elementary fact
of experience ...only have to be stated to be recognised as
obvious" and "better grounded than in physics" (ibid p79) falls
to the ground if that is the case. Dobb (1953: 60) finds the
whole argument "solipsist". He quotes Little (1960: 57): "those
who deny interpersonal comparisons must deny the existence of
other minds"
Lange (1964: 103) commented on differences in sensitivity in
a way clear to all except neo-classical economist:
"Besides, the
differences in ‘sensitiveness’ existing in present society are
chiefly due to the social barriers between classes, eg. a
Hungarian count being more sensitive than a Hungarian peasant."
40In a particularly stupid passage, Hoff (198
114) responds:
“This new assumption that the citizens of the socialist state
will grow into insensitive automatons is doubtful, but very
revealing, and so is his disregard of individual
characteristics." Actually Lange is guilty only of taking
bourgeois economics seriously.
Finally, as we have pointed out earlier, the whole theory is
a massive tautology. People have bought things that they like;
Proof: they must like them or they would not have bought them.
Our knowledge is no further advanced than Samuel Butler’s:
"What is worth anything
But as much money as it will bring?"
The nature of value
The next question that arises is the nature of value, the
central issue that has bedevilled political economy from its
early beginnings. Marx and the classical economists regarded
value as objective, having a substance independent of the
subject. One clear formulation of this may be found in Marx’s
critique of Bailey. (1969: 124-167). For Bailey value was purely
relative to the person, while for Marx, whatever the exchange
ratio, there was an identical social substance shared by two
commodities before they were brought into comparison. That is why
they could be compared. Likewise, Marx saw money arising from
value, rather than the existence of money giving rise to the
‘fiction’ of value. For Bailey, value is in the eye of the
beholder. In other words Bailey saw value as simply equivalent to
41price. Bailey's analysis raises the question of how we can
compare commodities at different periods. For Marx this already
happens with money as a means of payment, evidence of the
objective character of value.
Bukharin (1972) identifies the conflict over value as part
of the clash between two alternative world outlooks, materialism
and idealism. Marginal utility theory (and its modern
refinements) conceives the economy essentially as the result of
what people want. subjective theory thus ultimately flows from
philosophical idealism. Yet for materialists, individuals start
in a determinate environment, presented with prices, a rate of
interest and a rate of profit given as objective facts.
Nature of economic categories
This is the setting to the debate under discussion. The neo-
classical economists on both sides embraced a subjective notion
of value. For Hayek (1935: 24) value is the "attribution of the
economic subject". The anti-socialists were anxious to prove that
rent and interest and all the economic categories of the old
regime must necessarily reappear. But is this because such
categories are eternal laws or because they are a necessary part
of a rational economic calculus? Influenced by the ideas of neo-
classical economics they plumped for the second alternative. In
doing so they entangled themselves in contradictions which were
exploited by the socialists. Indeed Lange used these to turn the
tables on his opponents, catching Mises in flagrante delicto. For
42iff economic calculation is applicable only to a capitalist
society, then we must assume the bases of neo-classical economics
are only historically relative. If they are universal, what is
the problem in applying them to a planned economy? Lange says
(1964: 612): "Professor Mises does not regard himself as an
institutionalist and...has stated explicitly the universal
validity of economic theory. But there is a spectacular
contradiction between this statement and his assertion that
private ownership of the means of production is
indispensable for a rational allocation of resources."
For Hayek (1973: 47) economics itself is a "pure logic of human
choice". Some neo-classical economists such as Schumpeter (1974:
987) recognised that: "any attempt to develop a general logic of
economic behaviour will automatically yield a theory of socialist
economy as a by-product". Wieser used a communist community as an
“expository device" (according to Hayek (1935(1)) to illustrate
his universal formulae. And Robbins, astoundingly, averred in
1932 that the theory of value is as applicable to the behaviour
of isolated men or the executive authority of a communist society
as to the behaviour of men in an exchange economy.” (1935: 19).
What are we to make of his criticisms of the possibility of
socialism two years later then? Intellectually it all seems very
inconsistent. But what is the purpose of neo-classical economics
in this case? Any Arthur Daley figure can optimise quite
satisfactorily without a qualification in economics. The role of
the economist is merely to describe his manoeuvres and to applaud
them as rational. As we have already pointed out they can hardly
be described as explaining them.
43The real question is the institutional framework within
which economi:
agents optimise. Boys in third world countries can
and do withdraw themselves from school in order to sell pens,
vazor blades and post cards on the street. They are, no doubt,
optimising (maximising). The collective result of their activity
is to reduce the level of skilled labour power available to their
country.
The principles of optimising behaviour are indeed so
universal that they have been applied to non-economic behaviour.
The results may well be risible. We feel the following from
McKenzie and Tullock (1978: 48-49) on sexual intercourse needs no
comment. Parties "consume sex up to the point that marginal
benefits equal the marginal costs (or until MUs/Ps =
+++MUa/Pa = ...MUn/Pn where MU and P denote marginal utility
and price respectively and where s represents sex and a and
n other goods). If the price of sex rises relative to other
goods, the consumer will rationally choose to consume more
of other goods and less sex. (Ice cream as well as many
other goods, can substitute for sex if the relative prices
require it)",
Principles that explain everything in this way really explain
nothing. A savage who lives off root tubes dug up with a stick is
as rational as someone who earns a living as a computer
programmer. They are both confronted with different factor
endowments, that is all. We therefore agree with Engels (1959:
203): "anyone who atttempted to bring the political economy of
Tierra del Fuego under the same laws as operate in present
day England would obviously produce nothing but the most
44banal commonplaces. Political econoomy is therefore
essentially a historical science. It first investigates the
special laws of each individual stage in the development of
Production and exchange and only when it has completed this
investigation will it be able to establish the few quite
general laws which hold good for production and exchange in
general."
The Nature of Costs
The critics of socialism we have been discussing are by no
means free of these sort of ambiguities as they approach the
question of costs. In his introduction to Collectivist Economic
Planning (1935(1)) Hayek uses an objective notion of opportunity
cost. He discusses what Lange called the ‘parametric’ function of
prices. Vet in his summing up essay in the same volume Hayek
argues that costs are not objective: "Much of what is usually
termed cost of production is not really a cost element that is
given independently of the price of the product but a quasi-rent
or a depreciation quota which has to be allowed on the
45capitalised value of expected quasi-rents and is therefore
dependent on the prices which are expected to prevail" (p227).
Once again the unhappy Lange has been caught not only by the eel-
like Hayek changing his position in the course of a single volume
but also by divergences within neo-classical economics. Hayek and
the other Austrians believed costs to be subjective in this
further sense - that they embodied expectations as to the future.
As James Buchanan (1973: 13) points out, this "theory of
opportunity cost threatens the very foundations of modern applied
economics." We need to be less concerned about the nihilistic
effect of their criticisms, however, since one of their number,
Wiseman (1973: 241), having discussed the significance of all
this for a "liberal collectivist (market socialist)order" lamely
concludes in a footnote (!) that "a valuation problem similar to
this arises of course in a market economy"
We have every sympathy with Machlup when he complains
against Lange: "by measuring units of factors in terms of their
market value, marginal productivity analysis is to my mind
veduced ad absurdum. One must bear in mind that marginal
productivity analysis as a part of the theory of
distribution is to serve as explanation of the market values
of factors or services. To define services in terms of their
market values is to give up the task of explaining them".
(1936:256).
In defence of Lange we would say that his method is the method of
the neo-classical mainstream.
Like the neo-classical theory of value, its theory of costs
moves in vicious circles. While the value of capital goods is
46‘imputed’ from the price of consumer goods, in fact decisions as
to the use of factors depends upon the given prices of these
goods. Moreover, the fall in the price of capital goods occurs
before the fall in the price of consumer goods. As Bukharin
(1972:97) puts it: "It is particularly clear that a drop in
value, ie. in the long run the price...of the productive
commodities occurs earlier than a drop in the value of the
consumption commodities."
Thus, as Marx pointed out (1962: 49) the law of value
imposes itself quite objectively "like an over-riding law of
nature. The law of gravity exerts an over-riding influence
in like fashion when a house tumbles about our ears.
At another point Marx (1969: 495) explains that the “comparision
of value in one period with the value of the same
commodities in later periods is no scholastic
illusion....but rather forms the fundmental principle of the
circulation process of capital".
Periodic revolutions in the value of capital goods provide
capitalists with an unpleasant reminder about the objective
character of economic laws.
The reason we deal with this is because Buchanan (ibid pps-
10), who seems to see himself as some sort of heir to the
Austrian tradition, has suggested that the subjective notion of
costs is the solution to the controversy. In fact raising it
seems only to produce own goals in the form of splits in the
anti-socialists between the Austrians and the neo-classical
mainstream.
47Cases of Constant and Diminishing Costs
Another issue which partly sprang from the debate in hand
was the issue of pricing policy for public utilities. Lange’s
solution to the problem of economic calculation assumed perfect
competition. In that situation average cost is equal to marginal
cost, which in turn equals price and the producing firm is at the
optimum size. His rule could therefore be described as the
marginal cost rule. Marginal cost of course takes no account of
the cost of replacing fixed capital. Lerner, (1937: 264) who
throughout the debate acted as a sort of drill sergeant for
welfare economics continued to assert the validity of the Rule
(as he capitalises it) in the case of public utilities,
denouncing any other policy as a "useless carry-over from
capitalist book-keeping practices". He was opposed in this by
Durbin, who argued for average cost pricing. This may be regarded
as the beginning of the controversy on public utility pricing.
The point about public utilities of course is that because of
very large indivisible costs, they offer an example of marginal
costs which are falling rather than rising as in the well known
nodel of perfect competition. They are natural monopolies. At
what level should they produce, and how should they fund the
replacement cost of fixed capital?
There was also an extensive discussion along these lines in
48Eastern Europe after the Second World War. The possibility was
posed of charging at average cost. The reason for this is stated
by Wiseman (in Buchanan 1973: 249): ‘each tub should stand on its
own bottom’.
This raised the problem of separating prime costs from
overheads which in turn depends upon whether one takes a short
term or a long term point of view, since in the long term fixed
costs become variables.
The socialists devoted a lot of attention to this and
related matters. Dickinson, for instance, who was evidently
fanatical about railways, dealt at length with the issue of
railway charges and the desirability or otherwise of charging
like a discriminating monopoly. Clearly these arguments were
important for them to establish the viability of their schemes in
terms of welfare economics. We do not intend to deal with the
pricing policy of public utilities since the problem is exactly
the same in the case of a market economy. Wiseman’s (ibid p247)
conclusion was that the whole theory was "an empty box" (of which
more anon).
A separate but related question is the extent to which
capital equipment, once paid for, should be used. The broader
vision of a planned economy can look at this like lending a bike
to a friend when it is not in use. In a market economy such a
notion comes up "against capitalistic book-keeping practices"
(Lerner 1937: 264). The point about natural monopolies, as we
have pointed out, is that since costs decrease, marginal cost is
below average cost. Should these industries be run at a loss or
should excess capacity go unused to make capital ‘pay’? The
49separation out of real costs to society requires not only the
vista of an economy planned as a whole but a break with the
subjective theory of costs.
In the 1950s, Cambridge economists in England argued that
capital, being heterogeneous, can only be measured against a
given rate of interest. Yet according to Austrian capital theory
the rate of interest is supposed to measure the ‘productivity of
capital’ ie. to be a resultant of this value. So we encounter yet
another vicious circle. Moreover, the ‘switching theorem’ showed
that there was no linear relationship between the rate of
interest and the demand for capital. So the neo-classical theory
of capital remains in a state of crisis. Indeed, in his
discussion of the switching theorem, Blaug (1985: 523) announces:
“and now for the final nail in the coffin of the Austrian theory
of capital".
The reason we have dealt with these issues is to draw
attention to the problem of constant and increasing returns in
relation to the general issue of calculation in a planned
economy.
Lange (1964: 94) had isolated the case of constant
coefficients of production as one where efficiency could be
measured without value calculation. Constant costs could be an
indication of such rigidities: "There exists, however, a special
case where prices are not needed to carry out the plan
efficiently. This is the case of constant coefficients of
production...no prices and no cost accounting whatever are
needed. Efficiency in production is maintained merely by the
technological consideration of avoiding waste of materials
50etc. It seems that those who deny the necessity of an
adequate price system in a socialist economy have this case
in mind..,But we need not say how extremely unrealistic is
the assumption that all coefficients of production are
constant."
No real evidence is offered for this final assertion. In fact the
eminent statistician Leontieff found (in The Structure of the
American Economy 1919-39) that for broad industrial groups
production coefficients are constant. Bergson (1948: 443) also
quotes "numerous" cost studies to the same effect, at least for
short run output variations. During the debate there was no
mention (except from Dobb) of Sraffa’s 1926 conclusion that: "in
normal cases the cost of production of commodities produced
competitively...must be regarded as constant in respect of
small variations in the quantity produced". (1926:542). And
further: “Everyday experience shows that a large number of
undertakings - and the majority which produce manufactured
consumers’ goods - work under conditions of individual
diminishing costs...Business men...would consider absurd
that the limit to their production is to be found in the
internal conditions of production in their firm". (ibid
543).
Clearly if this is the case it has important implications for
economic planning.
Hayek (1940: 138) questions Dickinson’s (1939) assertion
that diminishing costs are commoner than increasing costs - as
usual without providing evidence. the point we want to underline
is that the whole of neo-classical economics is founded on the
51basic assumption of declining marginal utility, leading one to
assume diminishing returns and increasing marginal costs. This
was simply “assumed" in the way an economist stranded on a desert
island with a tin of food "assumes" a tin opener.
“Picture an economist, well educated in the dominant British
school...0n the shelves of his mind are also boxes. There is
a row labelled Diminishing Return Industries, Constant
Return Industries, Increasing Return Industries...yet from
all his reading and conversation he cannot recall a scene in
which anyone opened the boxes and said, with authority and
convincing evidence ‘constant Return Industry, hosen;
Increasing Return Industry, hats or used any like words. Nor
can he think of an industrial monograph in which profitable
use was made of the Law of Returns in commenting on the
things of life...He tries ‘The economics of welfare’ to find
that, in nearly a thousand pages, there is not even one
illustration of what industries are in which boxes, though
many an argument begins ‘when conditions of dimishing
returns prevail’, as if everyone knew when that was."
(Clapham 1922: 305).
Whether there are constant coefficients of production or not, the
point Dobb makes is that it is impossible to make investment
decisions independently of the use-value of the investment and
its specific technical role. He uses the example of the rate at
which steam locomotives may be retired in favour of diesel or
electric power. Clearly the economist cannot lay, down edicts
about investent decisions in this case in complete ignorance of
railway technology. Investment decisions taken within the firm
52are of course taken on a technical basis, though relative prices
are important. Moreover, if we lift the veil on decision-making
within the firm for a moment, it is quite clear that managers
cannot combine discrete homogeneous units of capital and labour
power in whatever combinations is most financially favourable -
they are constrained by the nature of the technology.
Hayek had raised the complexity of the production process as
an argument against the feasibility of planning. In his counter-
offensive against the market socialists he had argued that in
directing investment to take up problems of change the Central
Planning Authority would increasingly have to involve itself in
the detail of investment decision-making. We have suggested, in
the section on incentives that an important backdrop to the
debate, never spelt out by either side, was the growth of
monopoly corporations. The ‘beauty’ of the market socialist
solution was the separation of ownership from decision-making.
Already, under monopoly capitalism we find as a result the
development of techniques of control over management - the audit.
Why could the same methods not be applicable in a planned
economy, market socialist or otherwise?
Eactors of production
When Mises and his followers raised the question of factor
prices, they were not concerned solely with the price of capital
goods, to which the socialists addressed themselves. Mises had
specifically defended the need for a money market, markets in
53futures and the usefulness of speculators. This aspect of their
thought is expounded most systematically by Hoff (1981). He
isolates interest, rent, risk insurance (ie. profit) and
depreciation quotas. These are not merely ‘factors of
calculation’ of course. He defends real revenues accruing to
classes of people - for the most part in the form of what the
Inland Revenue recognises as unearned income.
In Hoff's view (ibid pp191-2) it is necessary to separate
out the ‘reward’ to each factor: “if rent is left out of its
calculation the Central Authority will have no means of
knowing whether a difference in results is due to human
factors, to the use of a greater or smaller amount of
capital, or to the nature and position of the land".
He should bear in mind that the separate ‘contribution’ of inputs
(even if we accept the concepts of neo-classical economics for a
moment) are far from simple to isolate in any social system. The
statistical problems are discussed in Nove’s (1984:50)
Observations on Intersystemic Comparisons. Secondly, we are
entitled to ask, what real risk is there for the multinationals?
once again we are offered a perfectly competitive ideal as a
justification for a world which is very different.
Hoff mentions risk insurance as a justification for profit.
The very unfamiliarity of the expression ‘risk insurance’ as a
pseudonym for profit should have suggested to Hoff that the
factors of production are not quite the eternal categories he
presents. In fact the notion of profit has quite a fly-by-night
existence in neo-classical literature. what Marx would have
described as manufacturing profit (as against rent and interest)
54is assimilated to the concept of interest, while profit (or risk
insurance as Hoff will have it) is a temporary super profit or
technological rent in Marx's terms.
Of course any society needs a reserve or insurance fund, as
Marx pointed out in his Critique of the Gotha Programme
(1967(2)). Tt was partly for this reason, no doubt, that he
referred to the society of the future as involved in ‘continous
relative overproduction’. But why can this not be provided nore
simply by alloting a reserve fund operated on insurance
principles? The answer - that is what is already done in modern
capitalist society. Furthermore Hoff’s quest is complicated by
"the fact that landed property and capital are sources of
income for their owner, that is has given them the power to
appropriate a part of the values created by labour, does not
make them sources of the value they appropriate". (Marx
1968:94). Likewise in relation to rent, "from the standpoint
of a higher economic form of society private ownership of
the globe by single individuals will appear quite as absurd
as private ownership of one man by another". (Marx 1967(1):
776).
Marx also suggests that differential rent can be used to improve
land of lower natural fertility and so eliminate productivity
differences. As Marx (1967(1)! 814, 817, 830) says, land, labour
and capital: "have about the same relation to each other as
lawyer's fees, red beet and music". "Vulgar economy actually
does no more than interpret, systematise and defend in
doctrinaire fashion the conception of the agents of
bourgeois productiion who are entrapped in bourgeois
55production relations..." "It is an enchanted, perverted,
topsy-turvy world in which Monsieur le Capital and Madame la
Yerre do their ghost-walking as social characters and as
mere things."
The rate of interest, saving and investment
The traditional justification for interest on capital is
that it is reward for waiting, though other terms have been used.
capitalists’ ‘abstinence’ has been deservedly ridiculed by
socialists over the last century and a half. Yet the waiting
theory is equally fallacious. Capital goods and consumer goods
are of course produced simultaneously.
Certainly society has to choose between producing
consumption and investment goods. But in a market economy
‘society’ does not consciously choose this. In any case it is
chiefly the rich who take decisions pertaining to saving and
investment. As we shall see below, in the dynamic context of
growth it is not simply a question of either investment or
consumption, ie. which way to slice up a given cake. The market
socialists who had taken on board the basic assumptions of neo-
classical theory focussed their attention on the rate of
interest, which is held to harmonise the rate of saving and
investment within the economy. Pigou’s excursions into welfare
economics had already caused him to denounce the deficiency of
"the telescopic facility for present gain against future good",
where people are supposed to behave like small children crying
56for a lolly now as justification for the rate of interest.
During this debate of course Keynes published his General
Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, which tried to show
that the rate of interest equalised the supply and demand for
money, not the rate of saving and investment. Though this
perception had little effect directly upon the participants,
there was a widespread understanding among economists in the
Great Depression, particularly among those inclined to socialisn,
that the interest rate was not functioning adequately as an
automatic regulator of economic activity. an exception must be
made in the ccase of Hoff’s work, where he showed that he had
assimilated the problems associated with the earlier view of the
natural rate of interest. Likewise more recent commentators such
as Lavoie know of the problems in viewing interest as the reward
for waiting.
The market socialists realised, moreover, that under
capitalism it was the rich who saved and the abolition of the
major inequality in society between the owning and wage-earning
classes would choke off the main source of savings.
It was accepted by all the socialists that the rate of
investment would be arbitrarily fixed by the state. (The word
‘arbitrarily’ is taken from the lexicon of welfare economics. in
this case it means a democratic decision by the state, as the
representative of society as a whole, rather than by the rich as
the expression of ‘consumer sovereignty’).
It was Preobrazhensky’s (1965: 214) view that: "if we were
to distribute credit resources from a single centre and its
departments according to a definite plan...then interest
87would cheerfully disappear without any change in the essence
of production relations within the state sector".
The politics of planning
As to forms of planning, Robbins and Heyek used such
Gefinitions as "centralised disposal of factors of production".
(Robbins 1934: 153). It is then child’s play to show that
planning means this ‘centre’ imposing its own scale of values
upon the community. Moreover, there is no way the shop, firm or
trust can either participate in drawing up the plan or monitor
its achievement. In other words the conclusion is drawn by Hayek
in Road to Serfdom and by East European dissidents such as Brus
and Selucky in many books that planning is economic dictatorship
(vertical relations between ‘centre’ and production agencies) and
the only alternative is the market (democratic, horizontal
relations between economic agents). Secondly, the notion of
planning is attacked by neo-classical economists as a massive and
impossible surveillance and countermanding of consumer
sovereignty: with the Central Planning Authority laying down what
should be produced - right down to the proportion of Easter
bonnets with red polkadots upon them as opposed to blue.
We cannot deal comprehensively here with the politics of
planning, though it has never, in our view, been adequately
explained why in principle a plan cannot be drawn up and
implemented democratically through an articulation of layers of
decision-making. Nor has it been explained why the ‘centre’ must
58have different interests from the rest of the economic
organism.
We agree with Trotsky (1976: 113), on the contrary, that a
plan can only be carried out in a democratic way: "If there
existed the universal mind, that projected itself into the
scientific fancy of Laplace, a mind that would register
simultaneously all the processes of nature and of society,
that could measure the dynamics of their motion, that could
forecast the results of their inter-reactions, such a mind,
of course could a priori draw up a faultless and exhaustive
economic plan, beginning with the number of hectares of
wheat and down to the last button for a vest."
However, such a conceit flows from bureaucratic arrogance, as
Trotsky goes on to point out. He calls for:
"1) special state organs, that is the hierarchical system of
plan commisions in the centre as well as locally
2) trade as a system of market regulation
3) Soviet democracy as a system of living reaction of the
masses upon the structure of the economy". (1971: 113)
Without this combination, planning simply does not exist, as
astute commentators on the Soviet Union in the period discussed
point out. (For example, Lewin’s Disappearance of Planning in the
Plan 1973:271-)
Of course it was crucial to the way Soviet plannning has
been carried out that power had already been usurped by the
bureaucracy. All post-capitalist societies today are
bureaucratically deformed (as Trotsky put it). Since planning is
inaugurated through state agencies the nature of the state power
59is critical. However we cannot discuss the effect of stalinism on
the planning process here.
certainly the arguments that Hayek raised about the
dissemination of knowledge through a market economy do strike a
chord when we look at the overcentralised planning apparatuses of
the bureaucratically deformed workers’ states. But this is in
origin a political problem, reflecting itself in the economy.
There was a bureaucracy in the Soviet Union before there were
Five Year Plans. The phenomenon of ‘planning from the achieved
level’ does show a mutual suspicion between the planning and
managerial sections of the bureuacracy. Clearly the obsessive
detail in which targets have been handed down has proved in
practice impossible to supervise. Nove (1983: 77) quotes a figure
of 2,700-3,600 million plan indicators in the Soviet Union.
Trotsky (1976: 113-114) stated: "rhe innumerable living
participants of economy, state, as well as private,
collective as well as individual, must give notice of their
needs of their relative strength not only through the
statistical determination of plan commissions but by the
direct pressure of supply and demand. The plan is checked
and, to a considerable measure, realised through the
market...Economic accounting is unthinkable without market
relations".
As we have tried to show though the market alone is not an
adequate check upon the planners. That requires also institutions
of workers’ democracy.
60How markets fail
The conclusion of our analysis so far then is that neo-
classical economics derived from an idealised model of a market
economy does not and cannot provide the framework for a
‘calculus’ of the relative merits of a market economy as against
a plan of production. Its rationality is capitalist rationality.
In any case we cannot say that markets are ‘better’ than a plan
or vice versa, since that poses the question - ‘better for what‘?
Common sense would seem to suggest that there could be a
straight-forward comparison of relative efficiency between social
systems through simply looking at the growth figures.In fact
there are insurmountable problems in handling the statistics,
apart from the fact that the Soviet Union (which cannot strictly
be regarded as planned in our terms) and the USA both combine
market and non-market provision of use-values, though in
different proportions. Clearly the whole preceeding history of
particular countries would have to be taken into account in
comparing economic performance.Finally, any comparison will be
theory-laden. We have seen that Hayek did not view the signs of
technical efficiency and growth in parts of the Soviet economy in
the 1930s as a disproof of the position he was defending. any
concept of efficiency and of waste is generated by the social
system which produces it. For instance"inefficiency" in
capitalism only becomes recognised when it is an obstacle to the
expansion of surplus value,which is the aim of production.
conn, for instance, observes "while most economists (in the
61Unites States at least) believe in the superiority of a
decentralised system over centralised ones, it is very hard
to find specialists in comparative economics(the present
author included)who are willing to commit themselves on this
issue". (1984:16)
Intuitively it may seem that a market economy should be
inefficient.First there is the perpetual non-use of existing
productive resources of both labour power and capital,swelling
to gigantic proportions when the boom turns into slump. Secondly
there is the apparent misuse of resources through duplicated
sales effort as a result of competition, apart from the luxury
spending ofthe rich. These latter are the problems handled in
Baran and Sweezy’s (1966) and Kidron’s (1974) calculations on the
US economy.
For the last year they analysed (1963) Baran and Sweezy saw
56.1% of the US G.N.P. as "economic surplus". This concept does
not correspond to Marx’s notion of surplus value and may be
regarded as a measure of waste.The categories they include as
waste are wasteful expenditures in the business sector, property
incomes and government spending. Since the last cannot simply be
described as waste inherent in the market system, it will be
eliminated for our purposes. Government spending amounted to a
little over half the economic surplus, so market induced waste
maybe regarded as 28% of G.N.P. (1966:appendix)
Kidron’s different calculations for the USA in 1970 shows
61.43% of the G.N.P. to have been waste (which Kidron, wrongly in
our view, identifies with Marx’s concept of unproductive
labour). His categories of waste include military spending, waste
62industries, waste personal consumption, and business and property
incomes. Of this figure 8.01% of G.N.P. is government spending in
one form or other and should therefore be ignored. It goes
without saying that there are daunting problems with these
statistics. They are quoted merely to make out the indictment of
an unplanned economy.
What would the defenders of capitalism make of these
arguments? Mises was well aware of the arguments of socialists in
his own age as to the waste of competitive advertising and
commercial salesmen. His own onslaught on socialism was his
counter-offensive. In other words there is no rational
alternative to a market economy.
A.E. Buchanan lists seven reasons for market inefficiency.
They are as follows: transaction costs, uncertainty, the tendency
to monopoly, the existence of externalities, of public goods, the
difference between individual well-being and revealed
preferences, and the problem of unemployment.
We intend to concentrate on the problems of uncertainty and
of externalities, since we believe that they correspond to the
inner nature of the capitalist system as an unplanned system
motivated by private profit. For reasons of space we intend to
largely ignore the question of monopoly, important as it
is. We would refer the reader back to the discussion on
incentives, where it appears as an important but largely unstated
premise of the socialist case, while on the other side it was
assumed but not proven that capitalism was powered by
entrepreneurial dynamism.
What we can do is to contrast the dynamics of the market
63economy as against that of a plan. It was agreed by all the
participants in the debate we have surveyed that the economy
wouold behave differently if planned than if left to market
forces. We must caution however that planned economy is still a
system struggling to be born. The remarks about how the systems
will work differently is therefore necessarily of a theoretical
nature.
Production for profit
Marx defined capitalist production as generalised commodity
production where labour power is also a commodity. There has
never been an economy consisting mainly of a petty commodity
producers. Commodity production only becomes generalised with the
development of capitalism.
The ain of capitalist production is the expansion of surplus
value. Yet it has been a basic proposition of welfare economics
that the aim of production is consumer satisfaction. This belief
is the foundation of Say’s Law, which in that form is now fairly
generally discredited. Say denied the possibility of a general
crisis of overproduction since he held that production was
identical with consumption. Marx pointed out that producers
(sellers) and consumers (buyers) are by no means identical under
64capitalism. Since the aim of capitalist production is the
expansion of surplus value, sale and purchase can become
separated acts at any time that valorisation of capital is
threatened. This disruption in the circular flow of commodities
may in turn pose problems for other capitalists in realising
their surplus value in a knock-on fashion. Hence the
interdependence of producers and so of prices that so fascinated
Hayek may manifest itself as a nasty surprise.
Moreover, the periodic revolutions in prices which Marx
adduced to show the objective nature of costs (see earlier) can
also have disruptive effects on production. Marx’s treatment of
this in Theories of Surplus Value vol 2 (1969) is intended solely
to demonstrate the possibility of crisis.
Interestingly, Preobrazhensky accepts the possibility of
overproduction in what he calls a ‘commodity socialist’ economy.
He believes, however, that this could be localised through the
simple expedient of distributing the unsold product free to the
working class. Clearly, this is not possible in a capitalist
economy because production is for profit.
We have tried to show that planning attempts to restore the
purposive nature of the labour process (which Marx believed
defined it as labour) to the productive activity of society as a
whole.
Market anarchy
In a market economy productive resources are left to be found
65in the market place rather than being allocated in advance. In
addition the pattern of consumer demand (the "ends" of economic
activity) emerge from market anarchy. A market economy has no
central decision-making process. Its equivalent in the animal
world is the Brontosaurus which had no central nervous system or
brain...but this creature has long since been extinct.
The case for a market economy is that it regulates the
division of labour without any conscious direction. In a
commodity economy private labour manifest itself as its opposite,
social labour. The private producers are interdependent, and this
takes the form of a mutual dependence on price signals. In his
little essay The Computer and the Market, Lange (1967) looked
back on the debate from the standpoint of the market as a
checking device on people’s intentions:
“The market mechanism and trial and error proposed in ny
essay really play the role of a computing device for solving
a system of simultaneous equations...the iterations were
based on a feed-back principle operating so as to gradually
eliminate deviations from equilibrium. It was envisaged that
the process would operate like a servo-mechanism which would
through feed-back action automatically eliminate
disturbances".
Lange regards the market as:
"A computing device of the pre-electronic age" (pp402). Now
of course we have the real thing..."My answer to Hayek and
Robbins would be: so what’s the trouble?" (p401).
Nevertheless Lange recognises limits on the use of computers in
economic planning, imposed by the sheer vastness and complexity
66of the processes under examination. "Secondly, the market is
institutionally embodied in the present socialist economy". on
the other side the computer is quicker. Because of time lags and
oscillations the market may not produce convergent results, but
cycles. Also "its iterations cause income effects" as we know to
our cost (ibid p403).
In other words the market only adjusts ex poste. This
inevitably means waste. Moreover, the conventional fixation of
neo-classcial economics on states of static equilibrium ignores
the fact that production takes place over time. In addition to
commodities being brought on to the market and found unsaleable,
we also have the waste of continued devalorisation of capital
mentioned earlier. As a result of the rising productivity of
labour there are revolutions in prices which expose many outlays
as a serious waste of society’s resources.
Mises is not inclined to deny that such waste occurs. He
believes uncertainty is inevitable. The beauty of a market
economy is that the damage is limited to the entrepreneur instead
of being spread over society as a whole. But wasted resources are
still wasted resources. For society as a whole there is no such
thing as a free wasted nuclear power plant.
‘The argument of the socialists, including the market
socialists, was that primary uncertainty may be regarded as
inherent in human affairs. There is also secondary uncertainty
owing to atomised decision-making in a market economy. This could
be overcome either by direct allocation of resources to certain
tasks or (as the market socialists believed) by surveys informing
people as to what other investors’ intentions were.
67Hayek simply "abstracts" from this argument, that is, he
ignores it.
"If we abstract, as we are probably entitled to, from the
case where there is reason to assume the planning authority
possesses greater foresight and is better qualified to judge
the probability of further technical progress than the
individual entrepreneur...that which is supposed to
eliminate waste is in fact a cause of waste". (1935(2): 225)
We have also tried to demonstrate that welfare economics is
inadequate as a judge of the performance of a planned economy.
Flowing from its preoccupation with the state of static
equilibrium is its obsession with problems of allocative
efficiency. Problems of planning are problems of dynamics. The
‘data’ necessary to establish an optimum are continually
changing. Also, as Dobb (1961
: 45) says, planning "changes
unknowns into knowns" and requires a completely different method
of analysis. James Buchanan (197.
: 5) says: “of course there can
be efficiency in a planned economy but it is a wholly different
efficiency framework that is involved here".
Morcever, we too often have the case where the real faults
of a real and bureaucratised planned economy are contrasted with
an ideal model of how markets are supposed to behave. As Nove
puts it: "Muddle is contrasted to model". We live in an era of
monopoly control and state intervention in the capitalist
economy. Clearly monopoly price distortions can lead to
distortions throughout the economy. We can get equilibrium
positions, as Hayek put it, which are not genuine optimising
positions. We are reminded of the Second Best Theorem of Welfare
68Economics - that if any one price position is wrong then all the
other will be as well, and the marginal cost rule belaboured by
Lerner and others is unjustified, for the conditions for optimal
equilibrium are much more complex. The optimising postulate in
any case assumes perfect foresight. As Durbin has pointed out
(1935: 700-): atomistic competition and perfect foresight are
quite simply incompatible.
Social and private benefits and costs
Under capitalism production is carried out for profit. Halm
opines that under capitalism "productivity and profitability are
identical". In other words “what’s good for General Motors is
good for the country".
This is recognised in welfare economics not to be the case
where externalities exist. In the category of externalities (or
external effects or spill-overs) we intend to discuss the whole
xange of problems where there is a difference between private and
social costs or benefits. This is well established in neo-
69classical economics and was recognised by Pigou. In fact the
notion of an externality can be traced back to Marshall. Indeed
there is a whole branch of economics ~ Cost Benefit Analysis —
devoted to its implications.
Externalities mean the savings or costs imposed upon a firm,
industry or the economy as a whole by the economic activity of
others. Such costs or benefits are not conveyed by price signals.
‘The problem of incorporating them into a neo-classical framework
is as Mishan puts it “their number is virtually unlimited".
(1971: 117).
Mishan believes that spill-over effects are a bigger problem
than monopolies in vitiating the conditions for a Pareto optimun.
Thus the ‘measuring rod’ held up for the efficiency of planned
and unplanned systems is not only a theoretical but a practical
delusion. Negative externalities such as pollution occur where
the polluting firm does not bear the cost to the community (and
we are speaking here of economic costs) of the pollution caused.
The whole nature of decision-making in the market economy is such
that managers take decisions which are the only ones possible for
them but which take no account of costs which are off balance
sheet. In other words we are back to Lange’s distinction between
the private rationality characteristic of capitalism and the
possibility of extending rational calculation to social costs
overall in a planned economy. This is in our view the principal
difference between a plan and a market economy.
Marx (1966: 86-7) was well aware of the myopic nature of the
decision-making process under capitalism:
"The capitalist mode of production is generally, despite all
70its niggardliness altogether too prodigal with its human
material just as conversely, thanks to its method of
distribution of products through commerce and manner of
competition, it is very prodigal with its material means and
loses for society what it gains for the individual
capitalist!
The reason why capitalism recklessly squanders labour power in
injury, illness and premature death is blindingly obvious. These
are quite simply not expenses for the individual employer. at
another point Marx (1962: 418) states:
"In England women are still used at times for hauling canal
boats, in as much as the labour requisite to produce horses
and machinery is an accurately known quantity, whereas that
required to maintain women members of the surplus population
is below all calculation."
Yet this was presumably an optimum allocation of factors for the
individual employer. Marx (1962: 416-7) comments:
"If we regard machinery exclusively as a mean for cheapening
the product, the limit to its use is that its own
production shall cost less than the labour which is replaced
by its employment. As far as capital is concerned, however,
the limitation is even narrower. Since capital pays, not the
labour which is applied but the value of the labour power
that is applied, the use of machinery to capital is limited
by the difference between the value of the machine and the
value of the labour power replaced by it".
He adds in a footnote: "Hence in a communist society scope for
the use of machinery will be very different from what it is ina
Uaebourgeois society."
These considerations have been applied in pamphlets such as
The Economic Case Against Pit Closures (Glyn 1984). The NCB, like
any employer in a market economy, makes decisions so as to
improve its profit and loss accounts. These decisions take no
account of unemployment pay and other social costs because they
are not borne by the NCB. We may say, for the sake of example,
that the NCB decides to close a pit because they perceive they
are paying a miner two hundred pounds and only making one hundred
and fifty pounds from his labour. As a result society pays him
eighty pounds unemployment benefit to produce nothing. The NCB
gains, society loses.
Clearly, such pamphlets are produced for propaganda
purposes, not as micro models of a planned economy. Still, they
make the point. Many other social audit pamphlets have hammered
it home.
In a market economy waste is hidden. There is no way of
measuring it. If a firm is making a profit Halm’s view will tend
to hold sway - that it must be operating productively. This is so
even if it is carrying costs only made necessary by the anarchy
of the market place. In fact a basic criticism of neo-classical
economics (despite later developments in the theory of the firm)
is that it treats the firm like a black box, as Friedman for
instance has been criticised for doing. Harman (1989: 3-)
provides some interesting material from Halberstam’s book The
Reckoning on the American car industry. For instance, Detroit
executives dumped thousands of useless parts in the River
Delaware. In a word, they behaved exactly like stalinist
72bureaucrats. Contrast the attitude towards the visible waste of
bureaucracy in the Soviet Union with the assumption of smooth
well-oiled efficiency in western capitalism ~ only because the
waste is hidden. Murray (1987: 104) for instance, reckons
375,000 planners work in London (in an unplanned economy).
It is the case of course that any economy has to operate
with a reserve. It was for this reason no doubt that Marx spoke
of continuous relative overproduction in a planned
economy (1967(1): 473). A market economy, however, continually
operates below capacity, both in terms of idle capital and of
labour power ready for work. Apart from a substantial non-use of
resources (which represents for the system as a whole a massive
degree of X-inefficiency) there is the waste of resources which
are in use.
By an X-inefficiency we mean, following Leibenstein, the
Gifference between potential and actual output within the firm.
The term (as its definition suggests) is excessively vague and
unquantifiable. Leibenstein (1981: 97-) points out that the
discussion on efficiency conducted within neo-classical economics
is concerned exclusively with static problems of allocation.
It is true that Wiles (1965: 31) raises the question of x-
efficiency as well as the more familiar allocative efficiency in
his discussion of the Soviet economy. Writing of the 1950s, he
refers to the fact that there were apparently too few hair
brushes and too few nail brushes. He goes on to point out that if
the Soviet economy were to grow at a rate of 10% as against 2% in
capitalist countries, the USSR would soon have more hair brushes
as well as nail brushes. The Soviet rejoinder to market economies
73would be “why aren’t you making a quart pot like me?".
As Leibenstein (198:
98) points out, this type of
inefficiency is "assumed away by the maximisation postulate". As
he goes on to say, the notion of maximisation is often
interpreted tautologically (see our discussion above in relation
to Mises). "The tautological approach immunises the postulate and
a many implications of the theory of which it is a part from all
criticisms" (Leibenstein ibid p100).
It may be argued that the case of externalities is well
known. In the first place their application is usually more
limited than the one given here. Welfare economics does allow for
non-market provision of public goods, closely related to
externalities, becaue of the free-rider and assurance problems.
However as Durbin (1935) has pointed out, there is no natural
non-market sphere. At one time human beings were regarded as
commodities - as slaves. That is now proscribed by law, by a
conscious decision of the state as representative of society as a
whole. Barbara Wootton (1938) points out that provisions such as
the Fire Service were formerly regarded as a marketable comnodity
- with lamentable results.
Markets and scarcity
So long as prices remain in existence they will have to take
into account supply and demand considerations - otherwise they
would not be prices. There is no need to invest them with an
occult optimising significance once the static framework of
equilibrium analysis is accepted to be unrealistic. There has
74been an extensive and sophisticated literature on the use of
shadow prices in a planned economy, which we have no intention of
surveying. Dobb (1969: ch7) Lists no less than six levels of
prices. There are accounting prices as the basis for a plan;
programming prices which are prices not used for planning; shadow
prices, ie. ideal prices used as a dual of linear programming;
cost prices of inputs - used primarily as a standard of
comparison with other prices; incentive payments such as wages
which are still not full prices in a planned economy; and true
market prices eg. retail prices.
The concern of welfare economists is that prices should
reflect some notion of "real cost". Hoff's "efficiency calculus"
is based on that premise. We have rejected categories such as
interest and rent as being real costs - though they may be
retained for rationing resources in the first stages of a planned
economy. Likewise, Hoff is forced to admit that depreciation is
calculated in a more or less arbitrary way at present. Any
society has to take decisions as to replacement of fixed costs
and new investment, and to put resources aside for the purpose.
As we pointed out, for firms such decisions are technically
constrained, and that must be so for society as a whole.
Welfare economics advocates direct transfers of resources
rather than subsidies if income distribution is regarded as
unsatisfactory. It is opposed to an orgy of cross-subsidisation,
but recognition of the totality of social costs inevitably. means
recognition of cross-subsidisation as a necessity.
Preobrazhensky (1965: 81) pointed out that during primitive
capitalist accumulation the individual capitalist production
75units could win the battle of competition against petty commodity
producers through their superior efficiency. For what he called
primitive socialist accumulation the individual firms and
factories were technically inferior to the surrounding capitalist
world. Their advantage can only lie in a plan of production as a
whole. That inevitably means a planned economy gradually
developing an alternative criterion of rationality as commodity
production is gradually superseded. Dealing with the fact that
both costs and selling prices are increasingly known in advance
Preobrazhensky explains:
"This standardisation leads to both prices and the
corresponding rate of profit losing their regulatory character
for the distribution of the productive forces, in so far as this
distribution is achieved, not in a roundabout indirect,
spontaneous way but is directly provided for in the general
economic plan of the given year." (ibid p198). As Preobrezhensky
emphasises, the law of value becomes increasingly formal in
operation.
We said at the outset that we would rule out discussion of
Marx's ‘higher stage of communism’. A contemporary commentator,
Nove (1983)stigmatises the ‘higher phase of communism’ as absurd
since it implies abundance. By abundance we mean the sufficiency
to meet requirements at zero price. Now surely the task of a plan
of production is to raise the level of productivity,in the
process equalising the productive powers of labour by eliminating
areas of technical backwardness. To go back to our earlier
example the taks is provision of enough JCBs so that the choice
of digging big holes with shovels simply does not arise.
76According to Nove: "Abundance removes conflict over resource
allocation, since by definition there is enough for
everyone, and so there are no mutually exclusive choices, no
opportunity is foregone and therefore there is no
opportunity cost." (ibid p15). “But resources (and time)
being finite, everything has an opportunity cost". (ibid
pL7).
Nove dismisses this as a "golden age, a communist steady state
equilibrium.
Barbara Wootton on the other hand believes the existence of
unemployment undermines the whole neo-classical assumption of
economics as about making choices under conditions of scarcity
since if the economy can be expanded we can have more of both ‘a!
and *b’.
In exactly the same way planning diverts our attention from
the problem of slicing up a given cake in a optimum way by
providing a continually growing cake. (That is not to say that
the problem of efficient allocation disappears).
For our part, we agree with Lenin (1976: 118-9) who said:
"No-one has ever promised or has even thought of introducing (the
higher phase of communism) because it cannot be introduced at
all". He means it must be allowed to evolve.
Our discussion is abstract. That is the way the debate was
conducted. Nevertheless, one can discuss the market in general,
versus the plan in general, only with serious reservations. The
discussion only became relevant at a certain juncture of human
history. According to Engels (1959: 369):
"Now modern industry, in its more complete development comes
77into collision with the bounds within which the capitalistic
mode of production holds it confined" and "modern socialism
is nothing but the reflex in thought of this conflict in
fact". (ibid p373). This contradiction "brought out the
incompatibility of socialised production with capitalist
appropriation...the contradiction between socialised
production and capitalist appropriation now presents itself
as an antagonism between the organisation of production in
the individual workshop and the anarchy of production in
society generally". (ibid p376).
This contradiction is a necessary result of the very development.
of capitalism and puts planning on the agenda as the market
becomes obsolete. Hoff (1981: 299) recognises this when, in the
course of the debate he speaks of the "tendency in capitalism to
do away with the price mechanism". Hayek (1935(1): 23-24) also
has a premonition of it when he says: "We are certainly as far
from capitalism in its pure form as we are from any system of
central planning. The world of today is just interventionist
chaos’. In conclusion, let Trotsky have the last word (1967: 65-
66):
“Phe death blow to money fetishism will be struck only upon
that stage when the steady growth of social wealth has made
us bipeds forget out miserly attitude towards every excess
minute of labour, and our humiliating fear about the size of
our ration. Having lost its ability to bring happiness or
trample men in the dust money will turn into mere book-
keeping receipts for the convenience of statisticians and
for planning purposes. In the still more distant future,
78probably these receipts will not be needed. But we can leave
this question entirely to posterity who will be more
intelligent than we are."
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