January 26, 2015

6.7
Probability and Odds

Bell Ringer:
Write the fraction as a decimal.

January 26, 2015

Vocabulary
-outcome: the possible ________ of an
experiment
-event: an outcome or collection of outcomes
i.e. rolling a 1 on a die
-favorable outcome: getting what you
specified
-probability: the likelihood an event will occur

Probability of an Event

P(event)=

Number of favorable outcomes

Number of possible outcomes

Theoretical probability: all have equal

chances

January 26, 2015

Finding a Probability

I do.

Suppose you roll a number cube. What is

the probability you will roll an even number?
P(even number)= Favorable
Possible

Finding a Probability

We do.

Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the

probability that you roll either a 4 or a 5?

January 26, 2015

Finding a Probability

You do.

Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the

probability that you roll a number greater than
1?

Experimental Probability
Based on repeated trials (experiments) and
each time the event happens it is called a
success
P(event)=

January 26, 2015

Finding Experimental Probability

I do.

A miniature golf course offers a free game to golfers who

make a hole-in-one on the last hole. Last week, 44 out of the
256 golfers made a hole-in-one on the last hole. Find the
experimental probability that a golfer makes a hole-in-one.

Finding Experimental Probability

We do.

Of the first 70 visitors through the turnstiles at a theme park,

18 visitors agreed to participate in a survey being conducted
by park employees. Find the experimental probability that a
theme park visitor will take the survey.

January 26, 2015

Finding Experimental Probability

You do.

You interviewed 45 randomly chosen students for the

newspaper. Of the students you interviewed, 15 play
sports. Find the experimental probability that the next
randomly chosen student will play sports.

Interpreting Probabilities

January 26, 2015

Using Probability to Make a Prediction

I do.

Today, you attempted 50 free throws and made 32 of them.

Use experimental probability to predict how many free
throws you will make tomorrow if you attempt 75 free throws.

Using Probability to Make a Prediction we do.

Use the information from the last problem to predict how
many free throws you would make if you attempt 150 free
throws.

January 26, 2015

Using Probability to Make a Prediction

You do

Last year, Alexia planted 12 tulip bulbs, but only 10 of them

bloomed. This year she intends to plant 60 bulbs. Use
experimental probability to predict how many bulbs will
bloom.

Odds In Favor vs. Odds Against

odds in favor=

odds against=

favorable outcomes
unfavorable outcomes

unfavorable outcomes
favorable outcomes

January 26, 2015

Finding the Odds

I do.

Suppose you randomly choose a number

between 1 and 20.
a) what are the odds in favor of choosing a
prime number?

b) what are the odds against choosing a

prime number?

Finding the Odds

We do.
Suppose you randomly choose one latter from
A through J.
a) what are the odds in favor of choosing a
vowel?

January 26, 2015

Finding the Odds

you do.

Suppose you randomly choose one latter from A

through J.
a) what are the odds against choosing a
vowel?

Writing Probabilities and Odds

Probabilities are usually expressed in

form.

Odds are usually expressed in a to b form