You are on page 1of 10

January 26, 2015

6.7

Probability and Odds

Bell Ringer:

Write the fraction as a decimal.

Bell Ringer: Write the fraction as a decimal.

January 26, 2015

Vocabulary

-outcome: the possible experiment

Vocabulary -outcome : the possible experiment ________ of an -event : an outcome or collection of

________

of an

-event: an outcome or collection of outcomes i.e. rolling a 1 on a die

Vocabulary -outcome : the possible experiment ________ of an -event : an outcome or collection of

-favorable outcome: getting what you specified -probability: the likelihood an event will occur

Vocabulary -outcome : the possible experiment ________ of an -event : an outcome or collection of
Probability of an Event Number of favorable outcomes Number of possible outcomes Theoretical probability : all

Probability of an Event

Number of favorable outcomes Number of possible outcomes

P(event)= Number of favorable outcomes Number of possible outcomes

Number of favorable outcomes Number of possible outcomes

Theoretical probability: all have equal chances

January 26, 2015

Finding a Probability

I do.

Suppose you roll a number cube. What is

the probability you will roll an even number?

P(even number)= Favorable Possible

Finding a Probability I do. Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the probability you
Finding a Probability I do. Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the probability you
Finding a Probability I do. Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the probability you
Finding a Probability I do. Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the probability you
Finding a Probability I do. Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the probability you

Finding a Probability

We do.

Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the

probability that you roll either a 4 or a 5?

Finding a Probability We do. Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the probability that
Finding a Probability We do. Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the probability that
Finding a Probability We do. Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the probability that

January 26, 2015

Finding a Probability

You do.

Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the

probability that you roll a number greater than

1?

Finding a Probability Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the probability that you roll
Finding a Probability Suppose you roll a number cube. What is the probability that you roll

Experimental Probability

Based on repeated trials (experiments) and

each time the event happens it is called a

success

P(event)=

Experimental Probability Based on repeated trials (experiments) and each time the event happens it is called
Experimental Probability Based on repeated trials (experiments) and each time the event happens it is called
Experimental Probability Based on repeated trials (experiments) and each time the event happens it is called
Experimental Probability Based on repeated trials (experiments) and each time the event happens it is called

January 26, 2015

Finding Experimental Probability I do. A miniature golf course offers a free game to golfers who

Finding Experimental Probability

I do.

A miniature golf course offers a free game to golfers who make a hole-in-one on the last hole. Last week, 44 out of the 256 golfers made a hole-in-one on the last hole. Find the experimental probability that a golfer makes a hole-in-one.

A miniature golf course offers a free game to golfers who make a hole-in-one on the
A miniature golf course offers a free game to golfers who make a hole-in-one on the
A miniature golf course offers a free game to golfers who make a hole-in-one on the
Finding Experimental Probability I do. A miniature golf course offers a free game to golfers who

Finding Experimental Probability

We do.

Of the first 70 visitors through the turnstiles at a theme park, 18 visitors agreed to participate in a survey being conducted by park employees. Find the experimental probability that a theme park visitor will take the survey.

Finding Experimental Probability We do. Of the first 70 visitors through the turnstiles at a theme
Finding Experimental Probability We do. Of the first 70 visitors through the turnstiles at a theme
Finding Experimental Probability We do. Of the first 70 visitors through the turnstiles at a theme

January 26, 2015

Finding Experimental Probability

You do.

You interviewed 45 randomly chosen students for the newspaper. Of the students you interviewed, 15 play sports. Find the experimental probability that the next randomly chosen student will play sports.

Finding Experimental Probability You do. You interviewed 45 randomly chosen students for the newspaper. Of the

Interpreting Probabilities

Interpreting Probabilities

January 26, 2015

Using Probability to Make a Prediction

I do.

Today, you attempted 50 free throws and made 32 of them. Use experimental probability to predict how many free throws you will make tomorrow if you attempt 75 free throws.

Using Probability to Make a Prediction I do. Today, you attempted 50 free throws and made
Using Probability to Make a Prediction I do. Today, you attempted 50 free throws and made
Using Probability to Make a Prediction I do. Today, you attempted 50 free throws and made

Using Probability to Make a Prediction

we do.

Use the information from the last problem to predict how many free throws you would make if you attempt 150 free throws.

Using Probability to Make a Prediction we do. Use the information from the last problem to
Using Probability to Make a Prediction we do. Use the information from the last problem to

January 26, 2015

Using Probability to Make a Prediction

You do

Last year, Alexia planted 12 tulip bulbs, but only 10 of them bloomed. This year she intends to plant 60 bulbs. Use experimental probability to predict how many bulbs will bloom.

Using Probability to Make a Prediction You do Last year, Alexia planted 12 tulip bulbs, but

Odds In Favor vs. Odds Against

odds in favor=

Odds In Favor vs. Odds Against odds in favor= favorable outcomes unfavorable outcomes unfavorable outcomes favorable
favorable outcomes

favorable outcomes

favorable outcomes
favorable outcomes
 

unfavorable outcomes

favorable outcomes unfavorable outcomes
Odds In Favor vs. Odds Against odds in favor= favorable outcomes unfavorable outcomes unfavorable outcomes favorable

odds against= unfavorable outcomes

Odds In Favor vs. Odds Against odds in favor= favorable outcomes unfavorable outcomes unfavorable outcomes favorable

favorable outcomes

Odds In Favor vs. Odds Against odds in favor= favorable outcomes unfavorable outcomes unfavorable outcomes favorable

January 26, 2015

Finding the Odds

I do.

Finding the Odds I do. Suppose you randomly choose a number between 1 and 20. a)

Suppose you randomly choose a number

between 1 and 20.

  • a) what are the odds in favor of choosing a

a) what are the odds in favor of choosing a

prime number?

Finding the Odds I do. Suppose you randomly choose a number between 1 and 20. a)
Finding the Odds I do. Suppose you randomly choose a number between 1 and 20. a)
  • b) what are the odds against choosing a

b) what are the odds against choosing a

prime number?

Finding the Odds

We do.

Suppose you randomly choose one latter from

A through J.
A through J.

a) what are the odds in favor of choosing a

vowel?

Finding the Odds Suppose you randomly choose one latter from A through J. a) what are
Finding the Odds Suppose you randomly choose one latter from A through J. a) what are

January 26, 2015

Finding the Odds

you do.

Suppose you randomly choose one latter from A

through J.

a) what are the odds against choosing a

vowel?

Finding the Odds Suppose you randomly choose one latter from A through J. a) what are

Writing Probabilities and Odds

Probabilities are usually expressed in

Writing Probabilities and Odds Probabili t ies are usually expressed in form. Odds are usually expressed
form.
form.

Odds are usually expressed in a to b form

Writing Probabilities and Odds Probabili t ies are usually expressed in form. Odds are usually expressed
Writing Probabilities and Odds Probabili t ies are usually expressed in form. Odds are usually expressed