Zadaca 3

Vremenska serija
- Broj zaposlenih na podruju FBiH -
Mjesec
Zvonko Zlovi
Zadaa_3
Broj zaposlenih na
Broj zaposlenih na
Godina
podruju FBiH
Godina
podruju FBiH
Godina
1
2011
440461
2012
437988
2013
2
440767
436534
3
439994
437479
4
440419
438147
5
440429
439127
6
441184
439094
7
442228
438022
8
440201
436899
9
441115
437856
10
442021
435812
11
440677
435644
12
439473
435356
Vremenska serija
- Broj zaposlenih na podruju FBiH Broj zaposelenih na
podruju FBiH
435709
433439
432853
433729
434286
435294
435407
433504
436137
435813
436593
438593
Zvonko Zlovi
Zadaa_3
Mjesec
Ponderi
Ponderi
Ponderi
Godina
Broj zaposlenih n=1
n=3
n=6
1
2011
440461
1
1
2
440767
2
3
439994
3
4
440419
5
440429
6
441184
7
442228
8
440201
9
441115
10
442021
11
440677
12
439473
1
2012
437988
2
436534
3
437479
4
438147
5
439127
6
439094
7
438022
8
436899
9
437856
10
435812
11
435644
12
435356
1
2013
435709
2
433439
3
432853
4
433729
5
434286
6
435294
7
435407
8
433504
9
436137
10
435813
11
436593
12
438593
444000
442000
440000
438000
Ponderi
n=12
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
444000
442000
440000
438000
436000
434000
432000
430000
428000
Greka prognoze
MPP n=1 MPP n=3 MPP n=6
440461
440767
439994
440419
440429
441184
442228
440201
441115
442021
440677
439473
437988
436534
437479
438147
439127
439094
438022
436899
437856
435812
435644
435356
435709
433439
432853
433729
434286
435294
435407
433504
436137
435813
436593
438593
440407.3
440393.3
440280.7
440677.3
441280.3
441204.3
441181.3
441112.3
441271
440723.7
439379.3
437998.3
437333.7
437386.7
438251
438789.3
438747.7
438005
437592.3
436855.7
436437.3
435604
435569.7
434834.7
434000.3
433340.3
433622.7
434436.3
434995.7
434735
435016
435151.3
436181
436999.7
440542.33
440836.83
440742.5
440929.33
441196.33
441237.67
440952.5
440245.83
439634.67
439028.67
438383
438124.67
438061.5
438067.17
438128
438190.83
437801.67
437221.17
436598.17
436212.67
435636
434802.17
434455
434228.67
434218.33
434168
434178.83
434726.17
435073.5
435458
436007.83
MPP=12
MPP n=1 MPP n=3
440747.4
440541.3
440188.6
439979
439789.7
439681.2
439507
439156.5
438881.3
438609.8
438092.3
437672.9
437329.8
437139.9
436882
436496.5
436128.3
435724.9
435408.3
435190.3
434907.4
434764.2
434764.3
434843.3
435113.1 BIAS
306
-773
425
10
755
1044
-2027
914
906
-1344
-1204
-1485
-1454
945
668
980
-33
-1072
-1123
957
-2044
-168
-288
353
-2270
-586
876
557
1008
113
-1903
2633
-324
780
2000
-1868
Broj zaposlenih
MPP n=1
11.67
35.67
903.33
1550.67
-1079.33
-89.33
839.67
-435.33
-1798.00
-2735.67
-2845.33
-519.33
813.33
1740.33
843.00
-767.33
-1848.67
-149.00
-1780.33
-1211.67
-1081.33
105.00
-2130.67
-1981.67
-271.33
945.67
1671.33
970.67
-1491.67
1402.00
797.00
1441.67
2412.00
-5733.00
Broj zaposlenih
MPP n=1
MPP n=3
MPP n=6
MPP=12
ka prognoze
MPP n=6
1685.67
-635.83
372.50
1091.67
-519.33
-1764.67
-2964.50
-3711.83
-2155.67
-881.67
744.00
969.33
-39.50
-1168.17
-272.00
-2378.83
-2157.67
-1865.17
-889.17
-2773.67
-2783.00
-1073.17
-169.00
1065.33
1188.67
-664.00
1958.17
1086.83
1519.50
3135.00
-14050.17
Apsolutna greka prognoze

MPP=12
-2759.42
-4007.33
-2709.58
-1832.00
-662.67
-587.17
-1485.00
-2257.50
-1025.33
-2797.75
-2448.33
-2316.92
-1620.83
-3700.92
-4029.00
-2767.50
-1842.33
-430.92
-1.25
-1686.33
1229.58
1048.83
1828.75
3749.67
-33111.25 MAD
MPP n=1 MPP n=3

306
773
425
10
755
1044
2027
914
906
1344
1204
1485
1454
945
668
980
33
1072
1123
957
2044
168
288
353
2270
586
876
557
1008
113
1903
2633
324
780
2000
980.8
MPP n=6
MPP=12
11.67
35.67
903.33
1550.67
1685.67
1079.33
635.83
89.33
372.50
839.67
1091.67
435.33
519.33
1798.00
1764.67
2735.67
2964.50
2759.42
2845.33
3711.83
4007.33
519.33
2155.67
2709.58
813.33
881.67
1832.00
1740.33
744.00
662.67
843.00
969.33
587.17
767.33
39.50
1485.00
1848.67
1168.17
2257.50
149.00
272.00
1025.33
1780.33
2378.83
2797.75
1211.67
2157.67
2448.33
1081.33
1865.17
2316.92
105.00
889.17
1620.83
2130.67
2773.67
3700.92
1981.67
2783.00
4029.00
271.33
1073.17
2767.50
945.67
169.00
1842.33
1671.33
1065.33
430.92
970.67
1188.67
1.25
1491.67
664.00
1686.33
1402.00
1958.17
1229.58
797.00
1086.83
1048.83
1441.67
1519.50
1828.75
2412.00
3135.00
3749.67
1172.697 1456.1167 2034.3715
Greka prognoze^2
MPP n=1 MPP n=3
MSE
93636
597529
180625
100
570025
1089936
4108729
835396
820836
1806336
1449616
2205225
2114116
893025
446224
960400
1089
1149184
1261129
915849
4177936
28224
82944
124609
5152900
343396
767376
310249
1016064
12769
3621409
6932689
104976
608400
4000000
1393798
MPP n=6
MPP=12
1272.11
816011.11
2404567.11
1164960.44 2841472.11
7980.44
404284.03
705040.11
138756.25
189515.11 1191736.11
3232804.00
269707.11
7483872.11 3114048.44
8095921.78 8788260.25 7614380.34
269707.11 13777706.69 16058720.44
661511.11 4646898.78 7341841.84
3028760.11
777336.11 3356224.00
710649.00
553536.00
439127.11
588800.44
939607.11
344764.69
3417568.44
1560.25 2205225.00
22201.00 1364613.36 5096306.25
3169586.78
73984.00 1051308.44
1468136.11 5658848.03 7827405.06
1169281.78 4655525.44 5994336.11
11025.00 3478846.69 5368102.84
4539740.44
790617.36 2627100.69
3927002.78 7693226.78 13696784.17
73621.78 7745089.00 16232841.00
894285.44 1151686.69 7659056.25
2793355.11
28561.00 3394192.11
942193.78 1134935.11
185689.17
2225069.44 1412928.44
1.56
1965604.00
440896.00 2843720.11
635209.00 3834416.69 1511875.17
2078402.78 1181206.69 1100051.36
5817744.00 2308880.25 3344326.56
1375218.18 9828225.00 14060000.11
1996564.18 3007579.86 5389724.184
Mjesec
Ponderi
Ponderi
Ponderi
Godina
Broj zaposlenih n=1
n=3
n=6
1
2011
440461
1
1
2
440767
2
3
439994
3
4
440419
5
440429
6
441184
7
442228
8
440201
9
441115
10
442021
11
440677
12
439473
1
2012
437988
2
436534
3
437479
4
438147
5
439127
6
439094
7
438022
8
436899
9
437856
10
435812
11
435644
12
435356
1
2013
435709
2
433439
3
432853
4
433729
5
434286
6
435294
7
435407
8
433504
9
436137
10
435813
11
436593
12
438593
444000
442000
440000
438000
436000
Ponderi
n=12
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
444000
442000
440000
438000
436000
434000
432000
430000
428000
MPPP n=1
440461
440767
439994
440419
440429
441184
442228
440201
441115
442021
440677
439473
437988
436534
437479
438147
439127
439094
438022
436899
437856
435812
435644
435356
435709
433439
432853
433729
434286
435294
435407
433504
436137
435813
436593
438593
MPPP n=3
440329.5
440335.3333
440353.1667
440804.8333
441580.1667
441040.5
440995.8333
441415.6667
441198
440299
438931.1667
437508.5
437248.8333
437655.5
438525.6667
438947.1667
438563.5
437639.1667
437564.6667
436674.5
436068.6667
435528
435580.5
434515.1667
433524.3333
433388.6667
433861.5
434697.1667
435182.5
434436.6667
435137.6667
435536.1667
436257
437463
MPPP n=6
440614.381
441096
440914.333
441020.762
441332.667
441184.286
440680.095
439833.095
438772.571
438156.667
437904.762
438117.333
438394.286
438383
438049.238
437971.524
437291.857
436675.381
436142.476
435888.429
435095.952
434300.81
433994.19
433945.905
434250.286
434589.905
434400.19
434959.667
435270.19
435704.333
436600.048
MPPP=12
MPPP n=1
440788.1282
440363.6026
439747.0897
439330.2308
439048.3846
438946.4359
438856.1026
438627.641
438280.3333
438122.5897
437692.1667
437315.5
436959.0513
436709.6923
436140.3205
435520.4744
435094.7051
434811.2692
434744.9744
434744.7821
434485.3462
434674.5128
434835.8718
435117.2179
435694.0897 BIAS
Broj zaposlenih
MPPP n=1
MPPP n=3
306
-773
425
10
755
1044
-2027
914
906
-1344
-1204
-1485
-1454
945
668
980
-33
-1072
-1123
957
-2044
-168
-288
353
-2270
-586
876
557
1008
113
-1903
2633
-324
780
2000
-1868
Broj zaposlenih
MPPP n=1
MPPP n=3
MPPP n=6
MPPP=12
Greka prognoze
MPPP n=3
89.50
93.67
830.83
1423.17
-1379.17
74.50
1025.17
-738.67
-1725.00
-2311.00
-2397.17
-29.50
898.17
1471.50
568.33
-925.17
-1664.50
216.83
-1752.67
-1030.50
-712.67
181.00
-2141.50
-1662.17
204.67
897.33
1432.50
709.83
-1678.50
1700.33
675.33
1056.83
2336.00
-4262.67
MPPP n=6

MPPP=12
1613.62
-895.00
200.67
1000.24
-655.67
-1711.29
-2692.10
-2800.13
-3299.10
-3829.60
-1293.57
-2268.09
-9.67
-1183.23
1222.24
78.62
976.67
147.56
-372.29
-834.10
-1484.00
-1728.64
-193.24
-424.33
-2159.52
-2310.59
-1647.86
-2048.17
-1319.38
-1959.50
-433.48
-1250.05
-2449.43
-3270.69
-2242.95
-3287.32
-571.81
-1791.47
291.81
-808.71
1348.10
482.73
1156.71
662.03
-1085.90
-1240.78
1736.81
1651.65
853.33
1138.49
1322.81
1757.13
2888.67
3475.78
-9904.57 -21641.423 MAD
MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3
MPPP n=6
306
773
425
89.50
10
93.67
755
830.83
1044
1423.17
1613.62
2027
1379.17
895.00
914
74.50
200.67
906
1025.17
1000.24
1344
738.67
655.67
1204
1725.00
1711.29
1485
2311.00
2692.10
1454
2397.17
3299.10
945
29.50
1293.57
668
898.17
9.67
980
1471.50
1222.24
33
568.33
976.67
1072
925.17
372.29
1123
1664.50
1484.00
957
216.83
193.24
2044
1752.67
2159.52
168
1030.50
1647.86
288
712.67
1319.38
353
181.00
433.48
2270
2141.50
2449.43
586
1662.17
2242.95
876
204.67
571.81
557
897.33
291.81
1008
1432.50
1348.10
113
709.83
1156.71
1903
1678.50
1085.90
2633
1700.33
1736.81
324
675.33
853.33
780
1056.83
1322.81
2000
2336.00
2888.67
980.8 1091.9293 1304.2635
ka prognoze
MPPP=12
2800.13
3829.60
2268.09
1183.23
78.62
147.56
834.10
1728.64
424.33
2310.59
2048.17
1959.50
1250.05
3270.69
3287.32
1791.47
808.71
482.73
662.03
1240.78
1651.65
1138.49
1757.13
3475.78
1684.5582 MSE
Greka prognoze^2
MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3
93636
597529
180625
100
570025
1089936
4108729
835396
820836
1806336
1449616
2205225
2114116
893025
446224
960400
1089
1149184
1261129
915849
4177936
28224
82944
124609
5152900
343396
767376
310249
1016064
12769
3621409
6932689
104976
608400
4000000
1393798
MPPP n=6
MPPP=12
8773.44
690284.03
2025403.36
1902100.69 2603766.43
5550.25
801025.00
1050966.69
40267.11
545628.44 1000476.25
2975625.00
429898.78
5340721.00 2928498.80
5746408.03 7247376.77 7840717.97
870.25 10884029.39 14665855.80
806703.36 1673327.04 5144231.08
2165312.25
93.44 1400035.05
323002.78 1493865.96
6180.38
855933.36
953877.78
21775.16
2770560.25
138596.65
695727.09
47016.69 2202256.00 2988199.80
3071840.44
37340.96
180058.78
1061930.25 4663543.08 5338824.96
507893.78 2715433.16 4194986.69
32761.00 1740766.10 3839640.25
4586022.25
187901.61 1562628.21
2762798.03 5999700.33 10697428.17
41888.44 5030835.38 10806476.15
805207.11
326966.13 3209380.38
2052056.25
85152.80
654003.98
503863.36 1817360.77
233029.00
2817362.25 1337987.94
438277.95
2891133.44 1179189.15 1539540.10
456075.11 3016507.32 2727960.43
1116896.69
728177.78 1296153.06
5456896.00 1749825.04 3087499.53
1192309.58 8344395.11 12081060.87
1715690.72 2378614.602 3943736.285
Mjesec
Ponderi
Ponderi
Ponderi
Ponderi
Godina
Broj zaposlenih n=1
n=3
n=6
n=12
1
2011
440461
1 0.255187
0 0.030918
2
440767
0.100375 0.755453
0
3
439994
4.261242
0
0
4
440419
0.241065
0
5
440429
0.147759
0
6
441184
12.38528
0
7
442228
0
8
440201
1.488918
9
441115
0
10
442021
0
11
440677
0
12
439473
29.5216
1
2012
437988
2
436534
3
437479
4
438147
5
439127
6
439094
7
438022
8
436899
9
437856
10
435812
11
435644
12
435356
1
2013
435709
2
433439
3
432853
4
433729
5
434286
6
435294
7
435407
8
433504
9
436137
10
435813
11
436593
12
438593
444000
442000
440000
444000
442000
440000
438000
436000
434000
432000
430000
428000
Greka prognoze
MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3 MPPP n=6
440461
440767
439994
440419
440429
441184
442228
440201
441115
442021
440677
439473
437988
436534
437479
438147
439127
439094
438022
436899
437856
435812
435644
435356
435709
433439
432853
433729
434286
435294
435407
433504
436137
435813
436593
438593
440036.6
440429
440404.7
441125.3
442105.9
440299.4
441156.6
441900.7
440730.4
439640
438168.9
436728.1
437486.6
438043.3
439014.6
439042.4
438106.4
437044.7
437844.4
435916.5
435769.9
435387.5
435697.7
433594.3
433023.6
433693.9
434194.7
435185.6
435342.6
433644.3
436039.4
435692.4
436550.8
438395.9
441138.84
442059.8
440252.82
441086.54
441931.94
440786.09
439572.2
438226.73
436908.62
437656.32
438185
439023.34
438934.54
438023.08
437020.06
437919.48
436036.95
435818.03
435453.43
435823.87
433630.45
433066.13
433805.11
434333.84
435151.53
435243.18
433569.24
435991.88
435746.42
436510.13
438237.47
MPPP=12
439508.9
438140.8
436800.6
437635.3
438212.9
439074.4
438974.3
437998.1
436963.1
437921.1
435974.3
435761.9
435432.6
435812.8
433556.8
432992.1
433812.4
434359
435207.7
435286
433519.1
436047.9
435787.9
436534.9
438346 BIAS
MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3

306
-773
425
10
755
1044
-2027
914
906
-1344
-1204
-1485
-1454
945
668
980
-33
-1072
-1123
957
-2044
-168
-288
353
-2270
-586
876
557
1008
113
-1903
2633
-324
780
2000
-1868
000
000
000
Broj zaposlenih
Column H
382.38
0.00
779.26
1102.70
-1904.87
815.60
864.35
-1223.70
-1257.43
-1652.01
-1634.92
750.94
660.41
1083.68
79.40
-1020.37
-1207.38
811.26
-2032.37
-272.52
-413.92
321.53
-2258.73
-741.31
705.40
592.07
1099.32
221.42
-1838.58
2492.69
-226.41
900.58
2042.16
-1979.37
000
000
000
000
000
000
Broj zaposlenih
Column H
MPPP n=1
MPPP n=3
MPPP n=1
MPPP n=3
000
MPPP n=6
000
MPPP=12
000
ka prognoze
MPPP n=6

MPPP=12
1089.16
-1858.80
862.18
934.46
-1254.94
-1313.09
-1584.20
-1520.90
-1692.73
-1606.76
570.38
678.37
490.68
511.68
942.00
914.12
70.66
19.58
-912.54
-952.33
-1124.08
-1099.13
835.94
892.94
-2107.48
-2109.11
-392.95
-330.27
-462.03
-405.88
255.57
276.37
-2384.87
-2373.80
-777.45
-703.85
662.87
736.86
480.89
473.58
960.16
934.96
255.47
199.26
-1739.18
-1781.98
2567.76
2617.87
-178.88
-234.89
846.58
805.06
2082.87
2058.12
-3875.60 -2000.1243 MAD
MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3
MPPP n=6 MPPP=12
306
773
425
382.38
10
0.00
755
779.26
1044
1102.70
1089.16
2027
1904.87
1858.80
914
815.60
862.18
906
864.35
934.46
1344
1223.70
1254.94
1204
1257.43
1313.09
1485
1652.01
1584.20
1520.90
1454
1634.92
1692.73
1606.76
945
750.94
570.38
678.37
668
660.41
490.68
511.68
980
1083.68
942.00
914.12
33
79.40
70.66
19.58
1072
1020.37
912.54
952.33
1123
1207.38
1124.08
1099.13
957
811.26
835.94
892.94
2044
2032.37
2107.48
2109.11
168
272.52
392.95
330.27
288
413.92
462.03
405.88
353
321.53
255.57
276.37
2270
2258.73
2384.87
2373.80
586
741.31
777.45
703.85
876
705.40
662.87
736.86
557
592.07
480.89
473.58
1008
1099.32
960.16
934.96
113
221.42
255.47
199.26
1903
1838.58
1739.18
1781.98
2633
2492.69
2567.76
2617.87
324
226.41
178.88
234.89
780
900.58
846.58
805.06
2000
2042.16
2082.87
2058.12
980.8 1011.8085 1056.3614 1009.9027
Greka prognoze^2
MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3
MSE
93636
597529
180625
100
570025
1089936
4108729
835396
820836
1806336
1449616
2205225
2114116
893025
446224
960400
1089
1149184
1261129
915849
4177936
28224
82944
124609
5152900
343396
767376
310249
1016064
12769
3621409
6932689
104976
608400
4000000
1393798
MPPP n=6
0.00
607248.27
1215944.57
3628511.79 1186269.90
665198.24 3455151.79
747104.51
743346.35
1497453.52
873206.62
1581129.94 1574877.96
2729147.29 1724194.35
2672950.09 2509683.72
563910.42 2865344.28
436142.97
325328.22
1174360.54
240770.72
6303.88
887354.88
1041162.09
4993.54
1457775.37
832736.12
658141.91 1263547.97
4130524.15
698796.98
74267.79 4441451.83
171327.60
154408.59
103384.02
213470.25
5101872.94
65317.55
549542.95 5687600.95
497587.35
604427.62
350552.28
439398.17
1208497.16
231252.28
49025.95
921906.28
3380382.72
65265.60
6213488.96 3024761.02
51259.63 6593390.69
811048.39
31999.05
4170428.90
716701.22
1023756.50 4338332.32
1471800.99 1557176.227
MPPP=12
2313145.76
2581664.89
460181.99
261814.45
835624.24
383.53
906932.21
1208075.92
797341.58
4448355.78
109077.19
164735.07
76379.12
5634943.60
495399.22
542955.88
224281.46
874143.18
39704.08
3175460.61
6853259.48
55174.34
648125.49
4235854.41
1539292.23
Mjesec
Ponderi
Ponderi
Ponderi
Ponderi
Godina
Broj zaposlenih n=1
n=3
n=6
n=12
1
2011
440461
1 0.255187
0 0.030918
2
440767
0.100375 0.755453
0
3
439994
4.261242
0
0
4
440419
0.241065
0
5
440429
0.147759
0
6
441184
12.38528
0
7
442228
0
8
440201
1.488918
9
441115
0
10
442021
0
11
440677
0
12
439473
29.5216
1
2012
437988
2
436534
3
437479
4
438147
5
439127
6
439094
7
438022
8
436899
9
437856
10
435812
11
435644
12
435356
1
2013
435709
2
433439
3
432853
4
433729
5
434286
6
435294
7
435407
8
433504
9
436137
10
435813
11
436593
12
438593
Greka prognoze
MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3 MPPP n=6
440461
440767
439994
440419
440429
441184
442228
440201
441115
442021
440677
439473
437988
436534
437479
438147
439127
439094
438022
436899
437856
435812
435644
435356
435709
433439
432853
433729
434286
435294
435407
433504
436137
435813
436593
438593
440036.6
440429
440404.7
441125.3
442105.9
440299.4
441156.6
441900.7
440730.4
439640
438168.9
436728.1
437486.6
438043.3
439014.6
439042.4
438106.4
437044.7
437844.4
435916.5
435769.9
435387.5
435697.7
433594.3
433023.6
433693.9
434194.7
435185.6
435342.6
433644.3
436039.4
435692.4
436550.8
438395.9
441138.84
442059.8
440252.82
441086.54
441931.94
440786.09
439572.2
438226.73
436908.62
437656.32
438185
439023.34
438934.54
438023.08
437020.06
437919.48
436036.95
435818.03
435453.43
435823.87
433630.45
433066.13
433805.11
434333.84
435151.53
435243.18
433569.24
435991.88
435746.42
436510.13
438237.47
444000
442000
440000
438000
436000
MPPP=12
439508.9
438140.8
436800.6
437635.3
438212.9
439074.4
438974.3
437998.1
436963.1
437921.1
435974.3
435761.9
435432.6
435812.8
433556.8
432992.1
433812.4
434359
435207.7
435286
433519.1
436047.9
435787.9
436534.9
438346 BIAS
MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3

306
-773
425
10
755
1044
-2027
914
906
-1344
-1204
-1485
-1454
945
668
980
-33
-1072
-1123
957
-2044
-168
-288
353
-2270
-586
876
557
1008
113
-1903
2633
-324
780
2000
-1868
382.38
0.00
779.26
1102.70
-1904.87
815.60
864.35
-1223.70
-1257.43
-1652.01
-1634.92
750.94
660.41
1083.68
79.40
-1020.37
-1207.38
811.26
-2032.37
-272.52
-413.92
321.53
-2258.73
-741.31
705.40
592.07
1099.32
221.42
-1838.58
2492.69
-226.41
900.58
2042.16
-1979.37
444000
442000
440000
438000
436000
434000
432000
430000
428000
ka prognoze
MPPP n=6

MPPP=12
MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3
1089.16
-1858.80
862.18
934.46
-1254.94
-1313.09
-1584.20
-1520.90
-1692.73
-1606.76
570.38
678.37
490.68
511.68
942.00
914.12
70.66
19.58
-912.54
-952.33
-1124.08
-1099.13
835.94
892.94
-2107.48
-2109.11
-392.95
-330.27
-462.03
-405.88
255.57
276.37
-2384.87
-2373.80
-777.45
-703.85
662.87
736.86
480.89
473.58
960.16
934.96
255.47
199.26
-1739.18
-1781.98
2567.76
2617.87
-178.88
-234.89
846.58
805.06
2082.87
2058.12
-3875.60 -2000.1243 MAD
Broj zaposlenih
MPPP n=1
MPPP n=6 MPPP=12
306
773
425
382.38
10
0.00
755
779.26
1044
1102.70
1089.16
2027
1904.87
1858.80
914
815.60
862.18
906
864.35
934.46
1344
1223.70
1254.94
1204
1257.43
1313.09
1485
1652.01
1584.20
1520.90
1454
1634.92
1692.73
1606.76
945
750.94
570.38
678.37
668
660.41
490.68
511.68
980
1083.68
942.00
914.12
33
79.40
70.66
19.58
1072
1020.37
912.54
952.33
1123
1207.38
1124.08
1099.13
957
811.26
835.94
892.94
2044
2032.37
2107.48
2109.11
168
272.52
392.95
330.27
288
413.92
462.03
405.88
353
321.53
255.57
276.37
2270
2258.73
2384.87
2373.80
586
741.31
777.45
703.85
876
705.40
662.87
736.86
557
592.07
480.89
473.58
1008
1099.32
960.16
934.96
113
221.42
255.47
199.26
1903
1838.58
1739.18
1781.98
2633
2492.69
2567.76
2617.87
324
226.41
178.88
234.89
780
900.58
846.58
805.06
2000
2042.16
2082.87
2058.12
980.8 1011.8085 1056.3614 1009.9027
Broj zaposlenih
MPPP n=1
MPPP n=3
MPPP n=6
MPPP=12
Greka prognoze^2
MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3
MSE
93636
597529
180625
100
570025
1089936
4108729
835396
820836
1806336
1449616
2205225
2114116
893025
446224
960400
1089
1149184
1261129
915849
4177936
28224
82944
124609
5152900
343396
767376
310249
1016064
12769
3621409
6932689
104976
608400
4000000
1393798
MPPP n=6
0.00
607248.27
1215944.57
3628511.79 1186269.90
665198.24 3455151.79
747104.51
743346.35
1497453.52
873206.62
1581129.94 1574877.96
2729147.29 1724194.35
2672950.09 2509683.72
563910.42 2865344.28
436142.97
325328.22
1174360.54
240770.72
6303.88
887354.88
1041162.09
4993.54
1457775.37
832736.12
658141.91 1263547.97
4130524.15
698796.98
74267.79 4441451.83
171327.60
154408.59
103384.02
213470.25
5101872.94
65317.55
549542.95 5687600.95
497587.35
604427.62
350552.28
439398.17
1208497.16
231252.28
49025.95
921906.28
3380382.72
65265.60
6213488.96 3024761.02
51259.63 6593390.69
811048.39
31999.05
4170428.90
716701.22
1023756.50 4338332.32
1471800.99 1557176.227
MPPP=12
2313145.76
2581664.89
460181.99
261814.45
835624.24
383.53
906932.21
1208075.92
797341.58
4448355.78
109077.19
164735.07
76379.12
5634943.60
495399.22
542955.88
224281.46
874143.18
39704.08
3175460.61
6853259.48
55174.34
648125.49
4235854.41
1539292.23
Mjesec
Ukupno
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Alfa
Alfa
Alfa
Godina
Broj zaposlenih
1
2011
440461
2
440767
3
439994
4
440419
5
440429
6
441184
7
442228
8
440201
9
441115
10
442021
11
440677
12
439473
13
2012
437988
14
436534
15
437479
16
438147
17
439127
18
439094
19
438022
20
436899
21
437856
22
435812
23
435644
24
435356
25
2013
435709
26
433439
27
432853
28
433729
29
434286
30
435294
31
435407
32
433504
33
436137
34
435813
35
436593
36
438593
0.994186
0.994186
0.994186
Prognoza Prognoza
za 0,1
za 0,5
-204
-204
437899
437899
440750
440750
439998
439998
440417
440417
440429
440429
441180
441180
442222
442222
440213
440213
441110
441110
442016
442016
440685
440685
439480
439480
437997
437997
436543
436543
437474
437474
438143
438143
439121
439121
439094
439094
438028
438028
436906
436906
437850
437850
435824
435824
435645
435645
435358
435358
435707
435707
433452
433452
432856
432856
433724
433724
434283
434283
435288
435288
435406
435406
433515
433515
436122
436122
435815
435815
436588
436588
Prognoza
za 0,9
-204
437899
440750
439998
440417
440429
441180
442222
440213
441110
442016
440685
439480
437997
436543
437474
438143
439121
439094
438028
436906
437850
435824
435645
435358
435707
433452
432856
433724
434283
435288
435406
433515
436122
435815
436588
Greka za Greka za Greka za

0,1
0,5
0,9
440665
440665
440665
2868
2868
2868
-756
-756
-756
421
421
421
12
12
12
755
755
755
1048
1048
1048
-2021
-2021
-2021
902
902
902
911
911
911
-1339
-1339
-1339
-1212
-1212
-1212
-1492
-1492
-1492
-1463
-1463
-1463
936
936
936
673
673
673
984
984
984
-27
-27
-27
-1072
-1072
-1072
-1129
-1129
-1129
950
950
950
-2038
-2038
-2038
-180
-180
-180
-289
-289
-289
351
351
351
-2268
-2268
-2268
-599
-599
-599
873
873
873
562
562
562
1011
1011
1011
119
119
119
-1902
-1902
-1902
2622
2622
2622
-309
-309
-309
778
778
778
2005
2005
2005
BIAS
Apsolutna
greka za 0,1
440665
2868
756
421
12
755
1048
2021
902
911
1339
1212
1492
1463
936
673
984
27
1072
1129
950
2038
180
289
351
2268
599
873
562
1011
119
1902
2622
309
778
2005
477545
Apsolutna
Apsolutna
greka za 0,5 greka za 0,9
440665
440665
2868
2868
756
756
421
421
12
12
755
755
1048
1048
2021
2021
902
902
911
911
1339
1339
1212
1212
1492
1492
1463
1463
936
936
673
673
984
984
27
27
1072
1072
1129
1129
950
950
2038
2038
180
180
289
289
351
351
2268
2268
599
599
873
873
562
562
1011
1011
119
119
1902
1902
2622
2622
309
309
778
778
2005
2005
477545
477545 MAD
Greka ^2 za
Greka ^2 za
0,1
0,5
194185467774 194185467774
8225568
8225568
572028
572028
176907
176907
155
155
570134
570134
1099122
1099122
4084056
4084056
814056
814056
830369
830369
1792123
1792123
1468419
1468419
2226199
2226199
2139417
2139417
877025
877025
453528
453528
968090
968090
744
744
1149524
1149524
1275168
1275168
903326
903326
4155377
4155377
32347
32347
83547
83547
123425
123425
5143631
5143631
359024
359024
761285
761285
315926
315926
1022663
1022663
14132
14132
3618779
3618779
6874569
6874569
95330
95330
605603
605603
4018118
4018118
5395619930
5395619930
Greka ^2 za
0,9
194185467774
8225568
572028
176907
155
570134
1099122
4084056
814056
830369
1792123
1468419
2226199
2139417
877025
453528
968090
744
1149524
1275168
903326
4155377
32347
83547
123425
5143631
359024
761285
315926
1022663
14132
3618779
6874569
95330
605603
4018118
5395619930
Vremenska serija od
kvartalnih podataka
Mjesec
Vremenska serija
Zvonko Zlovi
Zadaa_3
Broj zaposlenih na
Broj zaposlenih na
Godina
podruju FBiH
Godina
podruju FBiH
Godina
1
2011
1321222
2012
1312001
2013
2
1322032
1316368
3
1323544
1312777
4
1322171
1306812
Vremenska serija od
kvartalnih podataka
Broj zaposelenih na
podruju FBiH
1302001
1303309
1305048
1310999
Vremenska serija
Zvonko Zlovi
Zadaa_3
Mjesec
Ponderi
Ponderi
Ponderi
Godina
Broj zaposlenih n=2
n=3
n=4
1
2011
1321222
1
1
2
1322032
2
2
3
1323544
3
4
1322171
1
2012
1312001
2
1316368
3
1312777
4
1306812
1
2013
1302001
2
1303309
3
1305048
4
1310999
MPP n=2
1
2
3
4
1321627
1322788
1322858
1317086
1314185
1314573
1309795
1304407
1302655
1304179
1308024
655500
1400000
1200000
1000000
800000
600000
400000
200000
0
1
MPP n=3 MPP=4
1322266
1322582
1319239
1316847
1313715
1311986
1307197
1304041
1303453
1306452
872015.7
1322242
1319937
1318521
1315829
1311990
1309490
1306225
1304293
1305339
979839 BIAS
Greka prognoze
Apsolutna greka prognoz
MPP n=2 MPP n=3 MPP=4
MPP n=2
1917
-617
-95
-10857
-10581
-718
-2871
-1408
-4070
-7761
-6903
-7794
-9985
-1098
-3888
2393
1007
6821
7546
-1308024 -1306452
-1327144 -1336291
Broj zaposlenih
MPP n=2
MPP n=3
MPP=4
10 11 12
-71
-7936
-2153
-3052
-5178
-7489
-2916
756
5660
-22379 MAD
1917
617
10857
718
1408
7761
7794
1098
2393
6821
1308024
122673
psolutna greka prognoze
Greka prognoze^2
MPP n=3 MPP=4
95
10581
2871
4070
6903
9985
3888
1007
7546
1306452
135340
71
7936
2153
3052
5178
7489
2916
756
5660
3912 MSE
MPP n=2
MPP n=3
3674889
380689
9025
117863592
111964615
515524
8240727
1981056
16562187
60225360
47656011
60738642
99693568
1204506
15113952
5726449
1014720
46519220
56947147
1710925476552 1706816828304
155565846044 170717403026
MPP=4
5077
62980096
4635409
9316230
26806506
56077632
8501598
570780
32032770
22325122
Mjesec
Ponderi
Ponderi
Ponderi
Godina
Broj zaposlenih n=2
n=3
n=4
1
2011
1321222
1
1
2
1322032
2
2
3
1323544
3
4
1322171
1
2012
1312001
2
1316368
3
1312777
4
1306812
1
2013
1302001
2
1303309
3
1305048
4
1310999
MPPP n=2
1
2
3
4
1321762
1323040
1322629
1315391
1314912
1313974
1308800
1303605
1302873
1304468
1309015
437000
1400000
1200000
1000000
800000
600000
400000
200000
0
1
MPPP n=3 MPPP=4
1322653
1322606 1322460
1317315 1318364
1315880 1316936
1313845 1314639
1310393 1311032
1305401 1307036
1303457 1304564
1303961 1304093
1307734 1306776
654507.7 784640.2 BIAS
Greka prognoze
MPPP n=2 MPPP n=3 MPPP=4
MPPP n=2
1782
-869
-482
-10628
-10605
-10459
977
-947
-1996
-2135
-3103
-4159
-7162
-7033
-7827
-6799
-8392
-9031
-296
-2092
-3727
2175
1591
484
6531
7039
6906
-1309015 -1307734 -1306776
-1325440 -1331756 -1336585 MAD
0
Broj zaposlenih
MPPP n=2
MPPP n=3
MPPP=4
0
1
10 11 12
1782
869
10628
977
2135
7162
6799
296
2175
6531
1309015
122579

MPPP n=3 MPPP=4
482
10605
947
3103
7033
8392
2092
1591
7039
1307734
134902
10459
1996
4159
7827
9031
3727
484
6906
1306776
150152 MSE
Greka prognoze^2
MPPP n=2
MPPP n=3
MPPP=4
3175524
755161
232324
112947299
112455420
109394865
954529
896493
3982818
4559648
9625506
17298113
51294244
49458400
61254102
46230934
70425664
81551736
87419
4375069
13892020
4730625
2531811
234256
42649607
49540482
47688692
1713521142902 1710167342933 1707663252821
155798957081 171046688410 189777616603
Mjesec
Ponderi
Ponderi
Ponderi
Godina
Broj zaposlenih n=2
n=3
n=4
1
2011
1321222
2 0.273767 54966779
2
1322032
0
0 1.5E+008
3
1323544
0 1.4E+008
4
1322171
0
1
2012
1312001
2
1316368
3
1312777
4
1306812
1
2013
1302001
2
1303309
3
1305048
4
1310999
MPPP n=2
1321222
1322032
1323544
1322171
1312001
1316368
1312777
1306812
1302001
1303309
1305048
1310999
1330000
1325000
1320000
1315000
1310000
1305000
1300000
1295000
1290000
1
MPPP n=3 MPPP=4
1321222
1322032
1323544
1322171
1312001
1316368
1312777
1306812
1302001
1303309
1305048
1322514
1322749
1318282
1315380
1314224
1310938
1305816
1303293
1303804
1307175 BIAS
Greka prognoze
MPPP n=2 MPPP n=3 MPPP=4
MPPP n=2
2322
139
949
-11543
-10031
-10513
-5803
-7176
-6381
776
-9394
-5505
-9556
-5189
-8568
-10776
-14367
-12223
-3503
-9468
-7629
3047
-1764
-768
7690
8998
7706
-1305048 -1303309 -1303804
-1332255 -1350751 -1347686 MAD
Broj zaposlenih
1321222
Column I
Column J
MPPP n=2
MPPP n=3
MPPP=4
0
1
10 11 12
2322
139
11543
5803
776
9556
10776
3503
3047
7690
1305048
123655

MPPP n=3 MPPP=4
949
10031
7176
9394
5189
14367
9468
1764
8998
1303309
137065
10513
6381
5505
8568
12223
7629
768
7706
1303804
151455 MSE
Greka prognoze^2
MPPP n=2
MPPP n=3
MPPP=4
5391684
19321
900601
133240849
100620961
110523229
33674809
51494976
40721341
602176
88247236
30301526
91317136
26925721
73411276
116122176
206410689
149403449
12271009
89643024
58205610
9284209
3111696
590435
59136100
80964004
59376152
1703150282304 1698614349481 1699903785122
154873758343 169926266839 188936257571
Mjesec
Ponderi
Ponderi
Ponderi
Godina
Broj zaposlenih n=2
n=3
n=4
1
2011
1321222
2 0.273767 9.3E+015
2
1322032
0
0
0
3
1323544
0
0
4
1322171
0
1
2012
1312001
2
1316368
3
1312777
4
1306812
1
2013
1302001
2
1303309
3
1305048
4
1310999
MPP n=2
1321222
1322032
1323544
1322171
1312001
1316368
1312777
1306812
1302001
1303309
1305048
1310999
1330000
1325000
1320000
1315000
1310000
1305000
1300000
1295000
1290000
1
MPP n=3 MPP=4
1321222
1322032
1323544
1322171
1312001
1316368
1312777
1306812
1302001
1303309
1305048
1321222
1322032
1323544
1322171
1312001
1316368
1312777
1306812
1302001
1303309 BIAS
Greka prognoze
MPP n=2 MPP n=3 MPP=4
MPP n=2
2322
139
949
-11543
-10031
-9221
-5803
-7176
-5664
776
-9394
-10767
-9556
-5189
-15359
-10776
-14367
-10000
-3503
-9468
-13059
3047
-1764
-7729
7690
8998
4187
-1305048 -1303309 -1302001
-1332255 -1350751 -1369613 MAD
Broj zaposlenih
MPP n=2
MPP n=3
MPP=4
0
1
10 11 12
2322
139
11543
5803
776
9556
10776
3503
3047
7690
1305048
123655

MPP n=3 MPP=4
949
10031
7176
9394
5189
14367
9468
1764
8998
1303309
137065
9221
5664
10767
15359
10000
13059
7729
4187
1302001
153110 MSE
Greka prognoze^2
MPP n=2
MPP n=3
MPP=4
5391684
19321
900601
133240849
100620961
85026841
33674809
51494976
32080896
602176
88247236
115928289
91317136
26925721
235898881
116122176
206410689
100000000
12271009
89643024
170537481
9284209
3111696
59737441
59136100
80964004
17530969
1703150282304 1698614349481 1695206604001
154873758343 169926266839 188447038311
Microsoft Excel 14.0 Izvjee o odgovoru

Radni list: [Zadaca_3.xlsx]MPPP_4 optimizacija i ogr.
Izvjee je stvoreno: 28.4.2014 15:07:19
Rezultat: Alat za rjeavanje pronaao je rjeenje. Sva su ogranienja i uvjeti optimizacije z
Mehanizam alata za rjeavanje
Mehanizam: GRG nelinearno
Vrijeme rjeavanja: 0,016 Sekunde.
Iteracije: 0 Potproblemi: 0
Mogunosti alata za rjeavanje
Maksimalno vrijeme Neogranieno, Iteracije Neogranieno, Precision 0,000001, Koristi automatsko
Konvergencija 0,0001, Veliina populacije 100, Sluajni broj 0, Izvedenice naprijed, Obavezne gran
Maksimalan broj potproblema Neogranieno, Maksimalna cjelobrojna rjeenja Neogranieno, Cjelob
Ciljna elija (Minimum)
elija
Naziv
$T$16 MSE MPP n=2
Izvorna vrijednost Zavrna vrijednost

154873758343
154873758343
Varijabilne elije
elija
Naziv
$D$3 Ponderi n=2
$D$4 Ponderi n=2

Cijeli broj
2.0000004656
2.0000004656 Nastavak
0
0 Nastavak
Ogranienja
elija
Naziv
$D$3 Ponderi n=2
$D$4 Ponderi n=2
Vrijednost elije
Formula
2.0000004656 $D$3>=0
0 $D$4>=0
Stanje
Neobvezujue
Obvezujue
i uvjeti optimizacije zadovoljeni.
001, Koristi automatsko skaliranje

naprijed, Obavezne granice
ja Neogranieno, Cjelobrojna tolerancija 1%, Pretpostavi NonNegative
Zaliha
2.0000004656
0

elija
Naziv
$U$16 MSE MPP n=3

169926266839
169926266839
Varijabilne elije
elija
Naziv
$E$3 Ponderi n=3
$E$4 Ponderi n=3
$E$5 Ponderi n=3

Cijeli broj
0.2737672207
0.2737672207 Nastavak
0
0 Nastavak
0
0 Nastavak
Ogranienja
elija
Naziv
$E$3 Ponderi n=3
$E$4 Ponderi n=3
$E$5 Ponderi n=3
Vrijednost elije
Formula
0.2737672207 $E$3>=0
0 $E$4>=0
0 $E$5>=0
Stanje
Neobvezujue
Obvezujue
Obvezujue
i uvjeti optimizacije zadovoljeni.

ja Neogranieno, Cjelobrojna tolerancija 1%, Pretpostavi NonNegative
Zaliha
0.2737672207
0
0

elija
Naziv
$V$16 MSE MPP=4

188680438620
188447038311
Varijabilne elije
elija
Naziv
$F$3 Ponderi n=4
$F$4 Ponderi n=4
$F$5 Ponderi n=4
$F$6 Ponderi n=4

Cijeli broj
4663256346887500 9326519245856730 Nastavak
9153971509890900
0 Nastavak
0
0 Nastavak
0
0 Nastavak
Ogranienja
elija
Naziv
$F$3 Ponderi n=4
$F$4 Ponderi n=4
$F$5 Ponderi n=4
$F$6 Ponderi n=4
Vrijednost elije
Formula
9326519245856730 $F$3>=0
0 $F$4>=0
0 $F$5>=0
0 $F$6>=0
Stanje
Neobvezujue
Obvezujue
Obvezujue
Obvezujue
a i uvjeti optimizacije zadovoljeni.

enja Neogranieno, Cjelobrojna tolerancija 1%, Pretpostavi NonNegative
Zaliha
652E+015
0
0
0

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Vremenska serija

- Broj zaposlenih na podruju FBiH -

MPP n=1 MPP n=3

Apsolutna greka prognoze

MPP n=1 MPP n=3

Apsolutna greka prognoze

MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3

MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3

Apsolutna greka prognoze

MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3

MPPP n=6 MPPP=12

MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3

Apsolutna greka prognoze

MPPP n=1 MPPP n=3

MPPP n=6 MPPP=12

Greka za Greka za Greka za

MPP n=3 MPP=4

Apsolutna greka prognoz

MPP n=2 MPP n=3 MPP=4

psolutna greka prognoze

MPP n=3 MPP=4

MPPP n=3 MPPP=4

Apsolutna greka prognoz

MPPP n=2 MPPP n=3 MPPP=4

psolutna greka prognoze

MPPP n=3 MPPP=4

Apsolutna greka prognoz

MPPP n=2 MPPP n=3 MPPP=4

psolutna greka prognoze

MPP n=3 MPP=4

Apsolutna greka prognoz

MPP n=2 MPP n=3 MPP=4

psolutna greka prognoze

Microsoft Excel 14.0 Izvjee o odgovoru

Izvorna vrijednost Zavrna vrijednost

Izvorna vrijednost Zavrna vrijednost

i uvjeti optimizacije zadovoljeni.

001, Koristi automatsko skaliranje

Microsoft Excel 14.0 Izvjee o odgovoru

Izvorna vrijednost Zavrna vrijednost

Izvorna vrijednost Zavrna vrijednost

i uvjeti optimizacije zadovoljeni.

001, Koristi automatsko skaliranje

Microsoft Excel 14.0 Izvjee o odgovoru

Izvorna vrijednost Zavrna vrijednost

Izvorna vrijednost Zavrna vrijednost

a i uvjeti optimizacije zadovoljeni.

0001, Koristi automatsko skaliranje

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