55 river call analysis Preflop: There are 7 players sitting. It folds around to the cutoff who raises to $10.

I am on the button with 55. I call. It is heads up. Range: His preflop raising range, even from late position was really tight. 99+, AJ+ The pot is $23. Flop: J 8 3 clubs. He checks and I fire $16. He calls Opponents estimated Range: 99,tt, ace high flush draws. The pot is $55 Turn:6 hearts. He checks and I bet $30. Truthfully, idk how much value this bet has. I feel that if I fire two barrels that he will fold 99 or tt and ace high flush draws. It is still possible for him to come along though. He calls. Range: His call discounts the 99 and tt. A nut flush draw with overs or a made nut flush seems probable. These combos would be AQc, AKc, AcK, or AcQ. The pot is $115 River: 2 hearts. The final board is J 8 3 6 2 with three clubs. He bets out $50 My breakeven equity is 165/50, or approximately 3.2/1. This equates to 23% breakeven. Range: His range is now polarized to 4 holdings. The AQc, AKc, AcK, or AcQ. This line represents either a flopped nut flush or a nut flush draw with overs that did not hit. If my model is correct, than he is bluffing approximately 50% of the time and value betting 50% of the time. An issue that needs to be addressed is the frequency of bluffing to value betting. He does not really seem like a person to bluff often. Since ive only played maybe 8 orbits with him, I dont have a substantial sample size. So my question is if I should fold in these spots where I have not seen him bluff..? This is why I like to play tightaggressive until I get a feel for my opponents than loosen up. Anyways, I call and he shows AKc for the nut flush.