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Vov' d (/o'^t 60

MODELING UTAH POPULATION DATA

Math l0l0Intermediate Algebra Group Project
According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, the population of Utah appears to have increased linearly over the years from 1980 to 2008. The following table shows the population in 100,000's living in Utah according to year. In this project, you will use the dati in the table to find a linear function/(x) that represents the data, reflecting the change in population in Utah.

0smarcs
Year

0F

Iftaf, f,esncms Poru.auon,

1_993

100,000b 2008
28

1981

1989
9

1999

2005
25 25

x Population, y

t
L5.2
Source:

13
1_9

t9
22

17.1

27.4

U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division

1.

Using the graph paper on the last page, plot the data given in the table as ordered pairs' Label the x and y axes with words to indicate what the variables represent.
Use a straight edge to draw on your graph what appears to be the line that "best fits'the data you pttt"a.-Vou will only have one line drawn, rather than several pieces of lines Estimate the coordinates of two points that fall on your best-fitting line. Write these points below.

2. 3.

(t; ,zz),(zr,z.

) function/(xl for the line. Show your

Use the points that you wrote down to find a linear

c\\

f(x)

4.

= What is the sloPe of Your line? in the context of this situation? Please use sense Interpret its meaning. Does it make sentences to respond to these questions'
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your work, then write your Find the value of/(aD using your function from part 3. Show result in the blank below.

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Itqil = ff ++ f t**=* =3i,f

f(4s)
write

= Tt'{
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a sentence interpreting the meaning
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year the residential population use your function from part 3 to approximate in what 4tUtatrreached 2,000,000. Show yourwork'

of

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o

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7.

Compare your linear function with that of another student or group.

Comparison function: f(x)

: I,,> -> x r's

Is the comparison function the same as the function you wrote down for part 3?

If they
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are different, exPlain whY.

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=br*i"^ *k,n {,r.iqa i*S

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If they are the same, exPlain whY. $ 3of,r,;g,+",'JL *in*- 6*f,--q .tLq 5o.,r,rz- O.C+i orne '4"t A. X &',d $-errl UL ?':a|a*b\ g,g+i,,t6o+E-rX' our il^* a,qL ei& $u*na, t'--o ic<*tf, 91o94,
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In actuality, using a linear growth model for population is not coqrmon. Most models are exponentiaimodils, due to the fact that most populations experience relative growth, i.e. work only 2o/o growthper year. Linear models for nonlinear relationships like population within a rmull time frame valid close to the time of the data modeled. Discuss some of from the false conclusions you might reach if you use your linear model for times far
1980-2008.

ourc-

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