Viet Nam: Financial Sector Assessment, Strategy, and Road Map
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Viet Nam - Asian Development Bank
VIET NAM
FINANCIAL SECTOR ASSESSMENT, STRATEGY, AND ROAD MAP
July 2014
© 2014 Asian Development Bank
All rights reserved. Published in 2014.
Printed in the Philippines.
ISBN 978-92-9254-568-0 (Print), 978-92-9254-569-7 (e-ISBN)
Publication Stock No. RPT146520
Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Asian Development Bank.
Viet Nam: Financial sector assessment, strategy, and road map.
Mandaluyong City, Philippines: Asian Development Bank, 2014.
1. Financial institutions. 2. Banking. 3. Bonds. 4. Viet Nam. I. Asian Development Bank.
The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) or its Board of Governors or the governments they represent.
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Contents
Tables, Figures, and Boxes
Tables
Figures
Boxes
Currency Equivalents
(as of 1 April 2014)
Acknowledgments
This report was prepared by Mark Bezemer, results management specialist, Results Management Unit, Strategy and Policy Department; and Stephen R. Schuster, senior financial sector specialist, Public Management, Financial Sector, and Trade Division, Southeast Asia Department (SERD).
Useful input and comments were received from Noritaka Akamatsu, deputy head, Office of Regional Economic Integration and chair of the Financial Sector Development Community of Practice; Hiroyuki Aoki, senior financial sector specialist, SERD; Juan Luis Gomez, senior public management specialist, SERD; Mohd Sani Mohd Ismail, financial sector economist, SERD; Eiichi Sasaki, senior financial sector specialist, SERD; Dominic Mellor, country economist, Viet Nam Resident Mission (VRM); Chu Thi Hong Minh, senior financial sector officer, VRM; and Sophie Nguyen, consultant. Guidance and support was provided by Tomoyuki Kimura, country director, VRM; and SERD management: Director General James Nugent, Director Shigeko Hattori (Public Management, Financial Sector, and Trade Division), Neeraj Jain (senior advisor, Office of the Director General), and Richard Bolt (country director, Philippines Country Office).
The team wishes to thank the following staff for their support in preparing and editing the report: Marie Parra, operations assistant, SERD; May Santos, senior programs officer, SERD; and the Publishing Team of the Department of External Relations.
Abbreviations
I Introduction
1. The Southeast Asia Department of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) is systematically updating its sector assessment, strategy, and road maps (ASRs) to better harmonize project planning and programming with developing member countries and development partners. The previous financial sector ASR was linked to ADB’s country partnership strategy (CPS) for Viet Nam, 2012–2015.¹ This updated ASR documents ADB’s current assessment of Viet Nam’s financial sector and outlines strategic investment and reform priorities of the government and ADB.
2. The ASR highlights sector performance, development constraints, government plans and strategies, past ADB operations and experience, other development partner support, and the strategy for future ADB support. It is based on the specific needs of Viet Nam, and drawn from a review of available studies, other documents, and websites, as well as regular policy dialogue with officials of the Government of Viet Nam, development partners, and other stakeholders. Given a lack of comprehensive in-depth reporting on Viet Nam‘s financial subsectors, an absence of current statistics in some areas, and a rapidly progressing reform agenda, this assessment is based on the best information available at the time of writing.
3. This ASR will help provide sector background information for future program, investment, and technical assistance (TA) operations. The ASR also forms a basis for further dialogue between the government and ADB in financial sector programming and coordination with development partners. The sector road map and results framework appears in Appendix 1. The problem tree is in Appendix 2.
II Sector Assessment: Context and Strategic Issues
A. Overall Sector Context
4. Viet Nam has made significant progress in transitioning from a centrally planned economy to a market-oriented system. Political and economic reforms (doi moi) initiated in 1986 when Viet Nam’s per capita income was only $437, helped the country achieve a lower middle-income status and reach a per capita income of $1,755 in 2013. As a result, the population living in absolute poverty—defined as less than $1.25 a day—has fallen sharply to 16.9% in 2008 from 63.7% in 1993. Good progress has also been made toward achieving the Millennium Development Goals.
5. The government aspires to reach higher middle-income country status, with a per capita income of at least $3,000 and significant improvements in human development and poverty reduction by 2020. Specifically, the government aims at an average annual reduction in the number of poor households by 2%–3%. To meet these objectives, the Socio-Economic Development Plan (SEDP) 2011–2020 provides a road map to transform the country into a modern, productive, and equitable market economy.
6. Viet Nam will need to fundamentally reshape its financial sector to support these long-term socioeconomic goals by more efficiently and effectively directing its high national savings—30.7% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2012—toward productive investment.² This is particularly important as it has become increasingly hard to sustain high economic growth rates. Average GDP growth per year exceeded 7% during 2004–2007, but fell below 6% during 2008–2013 in the wake of the global financial crisis.
7. First and foremost, there is a need to recapitalize and further reform the