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    Unavailable
    Black Swan, The: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: Second Edition: With a New Section: "On Robustness and Fragility"
    Unavailable
    Black Swan, The: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: Second Edition: With a New Section: "On Robustness and Fragility"
    Unavailable
    Black Swan, The: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: Second Edition: With a New Section: "On Robustness and Fragility"
    Audiobook15 hours

    Black Swan, The: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: Second Edition: With a New Section: "On Robustness and Fragility"

    Written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

    Narrated by Joe Ochman

    4.5/5

    ()

    Currently unavailable

    Currently unavailable

    About this audiobook

    The Black Swan is a stand-alone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other audiobooks in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.

    A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.

    Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible”.

    For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory audiobook, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility”, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

    Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark audiobook — itself a black swan.

    LanguageEnglish
    PublisherPenguin Random House Audio
    Release dateJan 8, 2019
    ISBN9781984841582
    Unavailable
    Black Swan, The: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: Second Edition: With a New Section: "On Robustness and Fragility"

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    Reviews for Black Swan, The

    4.5/5

    30 ratings3 reviews

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    • 3/5
      Very valid points but too long winded and go about beating the bush and explaining the same concept over and over again without moving on.
    • 5/5
      Insightful and surprisingly entertaining. I just hope I can remember these principals in the future
    • 5/5
      The post book essay was life changing! I highly recommend it.