Foreign Policy Magazine

The Thucydides Trap

When one great power threatens to displace another, war is almost always the result—but it doesn’t have to be.

In April, chocolate cake had just been served at the Mar-a-Lago summit when President Donald Trump leaned over to tell Chinese President Xi Jinping that American missiles had been launched at Syrian air bases, according to Trump’s account of the evening. What the attack on Syria signaled about Trump’s readiness to attack North Korea was left to Xi’s imagination.

Welcome to dinner with the leaders who are now attempting to manage the world’s most dangerous geopolitical relationship.

The story is a small one. But as China challenges America’s predominance, misunderstandings about each other’s actions and intentions could lead them into a deadly

You’re reading a preview, subscribe to read more.

More from Foreign Policy Magazine

Foreign Policy Magazine6 min readWorld
Ukraine Isn’t Just Putin’s War
For years, as Moscow’s intent to challenge the West became clearer, a key question loomed: whether the country as a whole or its leader was at fault—in effect, whether the world had a Russia problem or a Putin problem. Since the full-scale invasion o
Foreign Policy Magazine2 min read
Foreign Policy
Ravi Agrawal EDITOR IN CHIEF EXECUTIVE EDITOR Amelia Lester EXECUTIVE EDITOR, PODCASTS Dan Ephron MANAGING EDITOR Audrey Wilson CREATIVE DIRECTOR Lori Kelley DEPUTY EDITORS Cameron Abadi, James Palmer, Sasha Polakow-Suransky, Stefan Theil, Jennifer W
Foreign Policy Magazine8 min readInternational Relations
What South Africa Really Won at the ICJ
For those with long memories, the seed of South Africa’s case against Israel—accusing it of genocidal acts in the Gaza Strip—might be traced to a spring day nearly 50 years ago. On April 9, 1976, South Africa’s white supremacist prime minister, Balth

Related Books & Audiobooks